PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:PZZA • US6988131024
38.86 USD
+6.32 (+19.42%)
At close: Mar 11, 2026
38.8 USD
-0.06 (-0.15%)
After Hours: 3/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
This PZZA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to PZZA. PZZA was compared to 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of PZZA while its profitability can be described as average. PZZA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. Finally PZZA also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. PZZA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- PZZA had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year PZZA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years PZZA has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years PZZA had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of PZZA (3.53%) is better than 60.32% of its industry peers.
- PZZA has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.84%) than 75.40% of its industry peers.
- PZZA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.01%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.49%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (11.84%) for PZZA is well below the 3 year average (16.01%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PZZA had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.84% |
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
1.3 Margins
- PZZA's Profit Margin of 1.44% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PZZA has declined.
- With a Operating Margin value of 4.49%, PZZA is not doing good in the industry: 68.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PZZA has declined.
- PZZA has a worse Gross Margin (28.89%) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
- PZZA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 28.89% |
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
2. PZZA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PZZA is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, PZZA has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for PZZA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- PZZA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.69 indicates that PZZA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- PZZA has a better Altman-Z score (3.69) than 82.54% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of PZZA is 14.67, which is on the high side as it means it would take PZZA, 14.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- PZZA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 48.41% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.69 |
ROIC/WACC1.72
WACC6.89%
2.3 Liquidity
- PZZA has a Current Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- PZZA's Current ratio of 0.82 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA is outperformed by 61.11% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.70 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- PZZA's Quick ratio of 0.70 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA is outperformed by 65.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 |
3. PZZA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for PZZA have decreased strongly by -38.89% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, PZZA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.70% on average per year.
- PZZA shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.27%.
- PZZA shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
3.2 Future
- PZZA is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 32.15% yearly.
- PZZA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.36% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue Next Year-5.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. PZZA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.17, PZZA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of PZZA is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.15, PZZA is valued at the same level.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.42, the valuation of PZZA can be described as rather expensive.
- PZZA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PZZA to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.27), we can say PZZA is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- PZZA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- PZZA's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 24.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.81 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as PZZA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
5. PZZA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.93%, PZZA is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.11, PZZA pays a better dividend. On top of this PZZA pays more dividend than 96.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.93% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of PZZA grows each year by 6.96%, which is quite nice.
- PZZA has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- PZZA has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
- PZZA pays out 206.77% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- PZZA's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP206.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
PZZA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
38.86
+6.32 (+19.42%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06/bmo
Inst Owners106.91%
Inst Owner Change-6.74%
Ins Owners1.1%
Ins Owner Change5.61%
Market Cap1.27B
Revenue(TTM)2.05B
Net Income(TTM)29.57M
Analysts73.33
Price Target48.47 (24.73%)
Short Float %11.83%
Short Ratio3.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.93% |
Yearly Dividend1.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
DP206.77%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date02-09 2026-02-09 (0.46)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)21.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.82%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.68%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)-1.59%
PT rev (3m)-3.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.93%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.95%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.42 | ||
| P/S | 0.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 24.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.12 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.81 |
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY3.68%
EPS(NY)1.66
Fwd EY4.27%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY4.04%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY9.88%
SpS62.6
BVpS-13.56
TBVpS-15.61
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 16.89% | ||
| ROIC | 11.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.64% | ||
| OM | 4.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 28.89% | ||
| FCFM | 2.51% |
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
ROICexc(3y)17.17%
ROICexc(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)21.63%
ROCE(3y)22.85%
ROCE(5y)24.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.89%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.82%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 80.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.62% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 174.39% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.69 |
F-Score5
WACC6.89%
ROIC/WACC1.72
Cap/Depr(3y)101.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)119.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.56%
Profit Quality(3y)119.04%
Profit Quality(5y)653.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
Revenue Next Year-5.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 5Y0.49%
EBIT Next Year90.01%
EBIT Next 3Y26.29%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y51%
FCF growth 3Y9.37%
FCF growth 5Y-19.31%
OCF growth 1Y18.16%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y-7.54%
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PZZA.
What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of PZZA stock?
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for PZZA stock?
The financial health rating of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PZZA stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to grow by 16.03% in the next year.