PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:PZZA • US6988131024
30.7 USD
-0.31 (-1%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
30.76 USD
+0.06 (+0.2%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:00:02 PM
This PZZA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Overall PZZA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated PZZA against 125 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of PZZA while its profitability can be described as average. PZZA is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. PZZA also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. PZZA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year PZZA was profitable.
- PZZA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years PZZA has always been profitable.
- PZZA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- PZZA's Return On Assets of 3.53% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA outperforms 58.40% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.84%, PZZA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.20% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PZZA is significantly above the industry average of 10.72%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (16.01%) for PZZA is well above the current ROIC(11.84%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.84% |
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
1.3 Margins
- PZZA has a Profit Margin (1.44%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- PZZA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of PZZA (4.49%) is worse than 68.00% of its industry peers.
- PZZA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- PZZA has a worse Gross Margin (28.89%) than 78.40% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PZZA has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 28.89% |
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
2. PZZA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PZZA is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, PZZA has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for PZZA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- PZZA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.57 indicates that PZZA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.57, PZZA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.40% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of PZZA is 14.67, which is on the high side as it means it would take PZZA, 14.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- PZZA's Debt to FCF ratio of 14.67 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA outperforms 49.60% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.57 |
ROIC/WACC1.73
WACC6.85%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.82 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of PZZA (0.82) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
- PZZA has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- PZZA's Quick ratio of 0.70 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA is outperformed by 64.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 |
3. PZZA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for PZZA have decreased strongly by -38.89% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, PZZA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.70% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, PZZA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.27% in the last year.
- PZZA shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, PZZA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 32.15% on average per year.
- PZZA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.36% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue Next Year-5.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. PZZA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.47, PZZA is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PZZA is valued a bit cheaper than 60.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- PZZA is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- PZZA is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.50.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PZZA is valued a bit cheaper than 60.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.57, PZZA is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PZZA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.80% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- 72.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PZZA, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.41 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- PZZA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- PZZA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
5. PZZA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.97%, PZZA is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- The stock price of PZZA dropped by -25.41% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, PZZA pays a better dividend. On top of this PZZA pays more dividend than 96.80% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.97% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of PZZA is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.96%!
- PZZA has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- PZZA has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
- PZZA pays out 206.77% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of PZZA is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP206.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
PZZA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
30.7
-0.31 (-1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06/bmo
Inst Owners112.48%
Inst Owner Change-6.74%
Ins Owners1.1%
Ins Owner Change0.01%
Market Cap1.01B
Revenue(TTM)2.05B
Net Income(TTM)29.57M
Analysts73.33
Price Target48.47 (57.88%)
Short Float %11.83%
Short Ratio3.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.97% |
Yearly Dividend1.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
DP206.77%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date02-09 2026-02-09 (0.46)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)21.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.82%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.68%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)-3.14%
PT rev (3m)-3.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.72%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.47 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.5 | ||
| P/S | 0.49 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.99 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.41 |
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY4.66%
EPS(NY)1.66
Fwd EY5.4%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY5.12%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY12.51%
SpS62.6
BVpS-13.56
TBVpS-15.61
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 16.89% | ||
| ROIC | 11.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.64% | ||
| OM | 4.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 28.89% | ||
| FCFM | 2.51% |
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
ROICexc(3y)17.17%
ROICexc(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)21.63%
ROCE(3y)22.85%
ROCE(5y)24.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.89%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.82%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 80.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.62% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 174.39% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.57 |
F-Score5
WACC6.85%
ROIC/WACC1.73
Cap/Depr(3y)101.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)119.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.56%
Profit Quality(3y)119.04%
Profit Quality(5y)653.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
Revenue Next Year-5.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 5Y0.49%
EBIT Next Year90.01%
EBIT Next 3Y26.29%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y51%
FCF growth 3Y9.37%
FCF growth 5Y-19.31%
OCF growth 1Y18.16%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y-7.54%
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PZZA.
What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of PZZA stock?
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for PZZA stock?
The financial health rating of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PZZA stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to grow by 16.03% in the next year.