PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PZZA • US6988131024

Current stock price

33.53 USD
-0.8 (-2.33%)
Last:

This PZZA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. PZZA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year PZZA was profitable.
  • PZZA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • PZZA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years PZZA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • PZZA has a better Return On Assets (3.53%) than 61.11% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a better Return On Invested Capital (11.84%) than 75.40% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PZZA is significantly above the industry average of 10.59%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (11.84%) for PZZA is well below the 3 year average (16.01%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PZZA had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.84%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
PZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of PZZA (1.44%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PZZA has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.49%, PZZA is doing worse than 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PZZA has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 28.89%, PZZA is not doing good in the industry: 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • PZZA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
PZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. PZZA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PZZA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PZZA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, PZZA has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for PZZA is higher compared to a year ago.
PZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingPZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
PZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

  • PZZA has an Altman-Z score of 3.62. This indicates that PZZA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • PZZA's Altman-Z score of 3.62 is amongst the best of the industry. PZZA outperforms 82.54% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PZZA would need 14.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • PZZA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 48.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Altman-Z 3.62
ROIC/WACC1.73
WACC6.84%
PZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • PZZA has a Current Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PZZA has a worse Current ratio (0.82) than 61.11% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of PZZA (0.70) is worse than 65.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
PZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. PZZA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for PZZA have decreased strongly by -38.89% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, PZZA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.70% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, PZZA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.27% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, PZZA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 32.15% on average per year.
  • PZZA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.36% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue Next Year-5.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
PZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B
PZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6

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3

4. PZZA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.45, PZZA is valued on the expensive side.
  • 60.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PZZA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.79. PZZA is around the same levels.
  • PZZA is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.21.
  • PZZA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PZZA to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.80), we can say PZZA is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.45
Fwd PE 20.21
PZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as PZZA.
  • 65.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PZZA, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.33
EV/EBITDA 10
PZZA Per share dataPZZA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • PZZA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • PZZA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. PZZA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PZZA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.09%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.12, PZZA pays a better dividend. On top of this PZZA pays more dividend than 96.83% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.09%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of PZZA is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.96%!
  • PZZA has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • PZZA has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
PZZA Yearly Dividends per sharePZZA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 206.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PZZA. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • PZZA's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP206.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
PZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M
PZZA Dividend Payout.PZZA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PZZA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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PZZA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC

NASDAQ:PZZA (3/19/2026, 11:40:08 AM)

33.53

-0.8 (-2.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners106.91%
Inst Owner Change-6.74%
Ins Owners1.1%
Ins Owner Change5.68%
Market Cap1.10B
Revenue(TTM)2.05B
Net Income(TTM)29.57M
Analysts73.33
Price Target48.47 (44.56%)
Short Float %12.33%
Short Ratio2.82
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.09%
Yearly Dividend1.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
DP206.77%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date02-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)21.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.82%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.68%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)-1.59%
PT rev (3m)-3.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-12.29%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.38%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.45
Fwd PE 20.21
P/S 0.54
P/FCF 21.33
P/OCF 8.73
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY4.26%
EPS(NY)1.66
Fwd EY4.95%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY4.69%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY11.45%
SpS62.6
BVpS-13.56
TBVpS-15.61
PEG (NY)1.46
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROCE 16.89%
ROIC 11.84%
ROICexc 12.69%
ROICexgc 14.64%
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
FCFM 2.51%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
ROICexc(3y)17.17%
ROICexc(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)21.63%
ROCE(3y)22.85%
ROCE(5y)24.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.89%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.82%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Debt/EBITDA 4.02
Cap/Depr 80.69%
Cap/Sales 3.62%
Interest Coverage 2.31
Cash Conversion 68.28%
Profit Quality 174.39%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
Altman-Z 3.62
F-Score5
WACC6.84%
ROIC/WACC1.73
Cap/Depr(3y)101.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)119.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.56%
Profit Quality(3y)119.04%
Profit Quality(5y)653.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
Revenue Next Year-5.35%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.54%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 5Y0.49%
EBIT Next Year90.01%
EBIT Next 3Y26.29%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y51%
FCF growth 3Y9.37%
FCF growth 5Y-19.31%
OCF growth 1Y18.16%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y-7.54%

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PZZA.


What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of PZZA stock?

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for PZZA stock?

The financial health rating of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PZZA stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to grow by 16.03% in the next year.