PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PZZA • US6988131024

Current stock price

35.1 USD
+0.2 (+0.57%)
Last:

This PZZA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. PZZA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PZZA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year PZZA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • PZZA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years PZZA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPZZA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M

1.2 Ratios

  • PZZA has a Return On Assets of 3.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 59.52% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.84%, PZZA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PZZA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.01%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.56%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (11.84%) for PZZA is well below the 3 year average (16.01%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PZZA had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.84%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
PZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPZZA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

1.3 Margins

  • PZZA has a Profit Margin of 1.44%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 42.06% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PZZA has declined.
  • PZZA's Operating Margin of 4.49% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA is outperformed by 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • PZZA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.89%, PZZA is doing worse than 79.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PZZA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
PZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPZZA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. PZZA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PZZA is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PZZA has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • PZZA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PZZA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
PZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingPZZA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
PZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPZZA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.63 indicates that PZZA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • PZZA has a Altman-Z score of 3.63. This is amongst the best in the industry. PZZA outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PZZA is 14.67, which is on the high side as it means it would take PZZA, 14.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • PZZA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 49.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Altman-Z 3.63
ROIC/WACC1.73
WACC6.85%
PZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPZZA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.82 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • PZZA has a Current ratio (0.82) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • PZZA has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.70, PZZA is not doing good in the industry: 67.46% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
PZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPZZA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. PZZA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for PZZA have decreased strongly by -38.89% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.70% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, PZZA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.27% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, PZZA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, PZZA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 32.15% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.36% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
PZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1B 2B 3B
PZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPZZA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6

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3

4. PZZA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.55, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of PZZA.
  • PZZA's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.21, PZZA is valued at the same level.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.15, the valuation of PZZA can be described as rather expensive.
  • PZZA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PZZA to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.10), we can say PZZA is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.55
Fwd PE 21.15
PZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPZZA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PZZA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PZZA is cheaper than 60.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PZZA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PZZA is cheaper than 61.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.33
EV/EBITDA 10.1
PZZA Per share dataPZZA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as PZZA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. PZZA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PZZA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.79%, which is a nice return.
  • PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.14. PZZA pays more dividend than 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, PZZA pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.79%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of PZZA grows each year by 6.96%, which is quite nice.
  • PZZA has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • PZZA has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years12
PZZA Yearly Dividends per sharePZZA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • PZZA pays out 206.77% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • PZZA's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP206.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
PZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPZZA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M
PZZA Dividend Payout.PZZA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PZZA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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PZZA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC

NASDAQ:PZZA (4/8/2026, 10:41:49 AM)

35.1

+0.2 (+0.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners106.91%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.1%
Ins Owner Change5.6%
Market Cap1.15B
Revenue(TTM)2.05B
Net Income(TTM)29.57M
Analysts73.33
Price Target40.86 (16.41%)
Short Float %14.55%
Short Ratio3.22
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.79%
Yearly Dividend1.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
DP206.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date02-09
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)21.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.82%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.68%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)-15.7%
PT rev (3m)-18.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.43%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.06%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.55
Fwd PE 21.15
P/S 0.56
P/FCF 22.33
P/OCF 9.14
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.1
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY4.07%
EPS(NY)1.66
Fwd EY4.73%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY4.48%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY10.94%
SpS62.6
BVpS-13.56
TBVpS-15.61
PEG (NY)1.53
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE N/A
ROCE 16.89%
ROIC 11.84%
ROICexc 12.69%
ROICexgc 14.64%
OM 4.49%
PM (TTM) 1.44%
GM 28.89%
FCFM 2.51%
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
ROICexc(3y)17.17%
ROICexc(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)21.63%
ROCE(3y)22.85%
ROCE(5y)24.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.89%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.82%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.45
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 14.67
Debt/EBITDA 4.02
Cap/Depr 80.69%
Cap/Sales 3.62%
Interest Coverage 2.31
Cash Conversion 68.28%
Profit Quality 174.39%
Current Ratio 0.82
Quick Ratio 0.7
Altman-Z 3.63
F-Score5
WACC6.85%
ROIC/WACC1.73
Cap/Depr(3y)101.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)119.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.56%
Profit Quality(3y)119.04%
Profit Quality(5y)653.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
EPS Next Y16.03%
EPS Next 2Y14.25%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 5Y0.49%
EBIT Next Year90.01%
EBIT Next 3Y26.29%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y51%
FCF growth 3Y9.37%
FCF growth 5Y-19.31%
OCF growth 1Y18.16%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y-7.54%

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PZZA.


What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) stock?

PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 24.55 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -2.59.


What is the earnings growth outlook for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to grow by 16.03% in the next year.