38.49 USD
-0.51 (-1.31%)
38.3 USD
-0.19 (-0.49%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to PZZA. PZZA was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. PZZA has an average financial health and profitability rating. PZZA has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. Finally PZZA also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PZZA was profitable.
PZZA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
PZZA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years PZZA had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.23%, PZZA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.41% of the companies in the same industry.
PZZA's Return On Invested Capital of 15.12% is amongst the best of the industry. PZZA outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
PZZA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 19.10%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.39%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.23% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 15.12% |
ROA(3y)8.86%
ROA(5y)6.36%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)19.1%
ROIC(5y)18.49%
1.3 Margins
PZZA has a Profit Margin (1.79%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PZZA has grown nicely.
PZZA has a worse Operating Margin (5.41%) than 60.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PZZA has grown nicely.
PZZA's Gross Margin of 26.62% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PZZA is outperformed by 78.20% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PZZA has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.79% | ||
| GM | 26.62% |
OM growth 3Y-6.37%
OM growth 5Y42.55%
PM growth 3Y174.07%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
PZZA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
PZZA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for PZZA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PZZA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.65 indicates that PZZA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.65, PZZA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.71% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PZZA is 9.68, which is on the high side as it means it would take PZZA, 9.68 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PZZA has a better Debt to FCF ratio (9.68) than 61.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.68 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
ROIC/WACC1.88
WACC8.06%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.87 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PZZA has a Current ratio of 0.87. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 45.86% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.76 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PZZA has a Quick ratio (0.76) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for PZZA have decreased strongly by -34.35% in the last year.
PZZA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 14.87% yearly.
PZZA shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.64%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.35%
EPS 3Y-11.8%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%-25.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.15%
Revenue growth 5Y4.93%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
3.2 Future
PZZA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.87% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, PZZA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-37.7%
EPS Next 2Y-10.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.53%
EPS Next 5Y17.87%
Revenue Next Year1.15%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.36%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.02%
Revenue Next 5Y6.01%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.38, PZZA is valued on the expensive side.
63.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PZZA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
PZZA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.51.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.35, the valuation of PZZA can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PZZA is on the same level as its industry peers.
PZZA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.13.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
62.41% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PZZA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PZZA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PZZA is cheaper than 79.70% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.38 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of PZZA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.5
EPS Next 2Y-10.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.68%, PZZA is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.66, PZZA pays a better dividend. On top of this PZZA pays more dividend than 94.74% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, PZZA pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.68% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of PZZA grows each year by 8.81%, which is quite nice.
PZZA has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
PZZA has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.81%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
163.20% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PZZA. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
PZZA's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP163.2%
EPS Next 2Y-10.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.53%
38.49
-0.51 (-1.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.39%
Inst Owner Change0.71%
Ins Owners1.1%
Ins Owner Change-0.27%
Market Cap1.26B
Revenue(TTM)2.09B
Net Income(TTM)37.38M
Analysts73.91
Price Target50.04 (30.01%)
Short Float %10.32%
Short Ratio2.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.68% |
Yearly Dividend1.86
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.81%
DP163.2%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.56%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)21.54%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)24.17%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)9.02%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)5.3%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)3.07%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.85%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.45%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.73%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.57%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-5.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.6%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-16.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.77%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.35 | ||
| P/S | 0.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.92 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.04 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.38 |
EPS(TTM)1.72
EY4.47%
EPS(NY)1.89
Fwd EY4.91%
FCF(TTM)2.42
FCFY6.28%
OCF(TTM)4.79
OCFY12.43%
SpS63.63
BVpS-13.4
TBVpS-15.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.5
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.23% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 19.69% | ||
| ROIC | 15.12% | ||
| ROICexc | 16.23% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.57% | ||
| OM | 5.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.79% | ||
| GM | 26.62% | ||
| FCFM | 3.8% |
ROA(3y)8.86%
ROA(5y)6.36%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)19.1%
ROIC(5y)18.49%
ROICexc(3y)20.56%
ROICexc(5y)20.67%
ROICexgc(3y)23.77%
ROICexgc(5y)24.21%
ROCE(3y)24.87%
ROCE(5y)24.07%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.79%
ROICexgc growth 5Y44.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.04%
ROICexc growth 5Y45.25%
OM growth 3Y-6.37%
OM growth 5Y42.55%
PM growth 3Y174.07%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-3.81%
GM growth 5Y-0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover2.36
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9.68 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.94 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.72% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 81.82% | ||
| Profit Quality | 212.08% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.76 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
F-Score6
WACC8.06%
ROIC/WACC1.88
Cap/Depr(3y)124.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)117.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.61%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.22%
Profit Quality(3y)80.41%
Profit Quality(5y)690.68%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.35%
EPS 3Y-11.8%
EPS 5Y14.87%
EPS Q2Q%-25.58%
EPS Next Y-37.7%
EPS Next 2Y-10.09%
EPS Next 3Y-0.53%
EPS Next 5Y17.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.15%
Revenue growth 5Y4.93%
Sales Q2Q%0.27%
Revenue Next Year1.15%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.36%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.02%
Revenue Next 5Y6.01%
EBIT growth 1Y-28.28%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.51%
EBIT growth 5Y49.57%
EBIT Next Year34.33%
EBIT Next 3Y17.16%
EBIT Next 5Y19.41%
FCF growth 1Y-9.22%
FCF growth 3Y-33.5%
FCF growth 5Y7.27%
OCF growth 1Y-6.69%
OCF growth 3Y-16.73%
OCF growth 5Y11.55%
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to PZZA.
What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of PZZA stock?
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for PZZA stock?
The financial health rating of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PZZA stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to decline by -37.7% in the next year.