PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:PZZA • US6988131024
Current stock price
37.46 USD
+0.56 (+1.52%)
At close:
37.4158 USD
-0.04 (-0.12%)
After Hours:
This PZZA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PZZA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year PZZA was profitable.
- In the past year PZZA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years PZZA has always been profitable.
- PZZA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of 3.53%, PZZA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of PZZA (11.84%) is better than 74.60% of its industry peers.
- PZZA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.01%. This is significantly above the industry average of 10.55%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (11.84%) for PZZA is well below the 3 year average (16.01%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PZZA had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.84% |
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
1.3 Margins
- PZZA has a Profit Margin of 1.44%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PZZA outperforms 42.06% of its industry peers.
- PZZA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.49%, PZZA is doing worse than 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PZZA has declined.
- With a Gross Margin value of 28.89%, PZZA is not doing good in the industry: 79.37% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PZZA has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 28.89% |
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
2. PZZA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PZZA is creating value.
- PZZA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- PZZA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, PZZA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- PZZA has an Altman-Z score of 3.67. This indicates that PZZA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.67, PZZA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- PZZA has a debt to FCF ratio of 14.67. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PZZA would need 14.67 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of PZZA (14.67) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.67 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.67 |
ROIC/WACC1.7
WACC6.96%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.82 indicates that PZZA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- PZZA has a Current ratio (0.82) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- PZZA has a Quick Ratio of 0.82. This is a bad value and indicates that PZZA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- PZZA has a worse Quick ratio (0.70) than 67.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 |
3. PZZA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for PZZA have decreased strongly by -38.89% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, PZZA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.70% on average per year.
- PZZA shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.27%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
3.2 Future
- PZZA is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 32.15% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.36% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y8.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. PZZA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 26.20, the valuation of PZZA can be described as expensive.
- PZZA's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PZZA to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.87), we can say PZZA is valued inline with the index average.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.08, the valuation of PZZA can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PZZA is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.51. PZZA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.08 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PZZA is on the same level as its industry peers.
- PZZA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PZZA is cheaper than 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 23.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates PZZA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as PZZA's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
5. PZZA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- PZZA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.99%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, PZZA pays a better dividend. On top of this PZZA pays more dividend than 97.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- PZZA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.99% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of PZZA is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 6.96%!
- PZZA has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- PZZA has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
- 206.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PZZA. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- PZZA's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP206.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
PZZA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
37.46
+0.56 (+1.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-26 2026-02-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-07 2026-05-07/bmo
Inst Owners106.65%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.6%
Ins Owner Change5.6%
Market Cap1.23B
Revenue(TTM)2.05B
Net Income(TTM)29.57M
Analysts73.33
Price Target40.86 (9.08%)
Short Float %12.62%
Short Ratio2.91
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.99% |
Yearly Dividend1.87
Dividend Growth(5Y)6.96%
DP206.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date02-09 2026-02-09 (0.46)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-12.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.66%
Max EPS beat(4)21.54%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)5.82%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)4.68%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.89%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.16%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.53%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.04%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.83%
PT rev (1m)-15.7%
PT rev (3m)-18.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.23%
EPS NY rev (3m)-18.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.08 | ||
| P/S | 0.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 23.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.78 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.57 |
EPS(TTM)1.43
EY3.82%
EPS(NY)1.56
Fwd EY4.15%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY4.19%
OCF(TTM)3.83
OCFY10.23%
SpS62.44
BVpS-13.52
TBVpS-15.58
PEG (NY)2.98
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.53% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 16.89% | ||
| ROIC | 11.84% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.64% | ||
| OM | 4.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.44% | ||
| GM | 28.89% | ||
| FCFM | 2.51% |
ROA(3y)7.43%
ROA(5y)6.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.01%
ROIC(5y)17.08%
ROICexc(3y)17.17%
ROICexc(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)21.63%
ROCE(3y)22.85%
ROCE(5y)24.37%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.89%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.82%
OM growth 3Y-11.72%
OM growth 5Y-1.98%
PM growth 3Y-23.41%
PM growth 5Y-8.96%
GM growth 3Y-1.18%
GM growth 5Y-0.77%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.45
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 14.67 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.02 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 80.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.62% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 174.39% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.82 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.67 |
F-Score5
WACC6.96%
ROIC/WACC1.7
Cap/Depr(3y)101.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)119.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.56%
Profit Quality(3y)119.04%
Profit Quality(5y)653.3%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-38.89%
EPS 3Y-21.36%
EPS 5Y-2.7%
EPS Q2Q%-46.03%
EPS Next Y8.8%
EPS Next 2Y14.1%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y32.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.27%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.77%
Revenue growth 5Y2.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.14%
Revenue Next Year-6.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.28%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 5Y6.36%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.71%
EBIT growth 3Y-12.4%
EBIT growth 5Y0.49%
EBIT Next Year88.75%
EBIT Next 3Y26.29%
EBIT Next 5Y26.35%
FCF growth 1Y51%
FCF growth 3Y9.37%
FCF growth 5Y-19.31%
OCF growth 1Y18.16%
OCF growth 3Y2.27%
OCF growth 5Y-7.54%
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC / PZZA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PZZA.
What is the valuation status for PZZA stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) stock?
PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is 26.2 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -2.77.
What is the earnings growth outlook for PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAPA JOHN'S INTL INC (PZZA) is expected to grow by 8.8% in the next year.