PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PYPL • US70450Y1038

Current stock price

44.19 USD
-0.4 (-0.9%)
At close:
44.32 USD
+0.13 (+0.29%)
Pre-Market:

This PYPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. PYPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year PYPL was profitable.
  • In the past year PYPL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years PYPL has always been profitable.
  • PYPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
PYPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPYPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • PYPL has a better Return On Assets (6.53%) than 81.63% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Return On Equity of 25.83% is amongst the best of the industry. PYPL outperforms 90.82% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of PYPL (15.26%) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.68%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.22%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (15.26%) for PYPL is above the 3 year average (13.68%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 25.83%
ROIC 15.26%
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
PYPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPYPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of PYPL (15.78%) is better than 62.24% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • PYPL's Operating Margin of 19.28% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PYPL outperforms 68.37% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of PYPL (41.48%) is better than 62.24% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.28%
PM (TTM) 15.78%
GM 41.48%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
PYPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPYPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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6

2. PYPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PYPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • PYPL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PYPL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for PYPL is higher compared to a year ago.
PYPL Yearly Shares OutstandingPYPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
PYPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPYPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • PYPL has an Altman-Z score of 1.85. This is not the best score and indicates that PYPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of PYPL (1.85) is better than 76.53% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PYPL is 2.05, which is a good value as it means it would take PYPL, 2.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.05, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49 indicates that PYPL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of PYPL (0.49) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 2.05
Altman-Z 1.85
ROIC/WACC1.99
WACC7.68%
PYPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPYPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.29 indicates that PYPL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • PYPL has a better Current ratio (1.29) than 62.24% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL has a Quick Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that PYPL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of PYPL (1.29) is better than 64.29% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.29
PYPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPYPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. PYPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.43%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.53% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.32% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, PYPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.78% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.93% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue Next Year2.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PYPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPYPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
PYPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPYPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8 10

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7

4. PYPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.34 indicates a reasonable valuation of PYPL.
  • 65.31% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PYPL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • PYPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.73, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.16 indicates a reasonable valuation of PYPL.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PYPL is valued a bit cheaper than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.72. PYPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.34
Fwd PE 8.16
PYPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPYPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PYPL is valued cheaper than 91.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 81.63% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PYPL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.31
EV/EBITDA 5.34
PYPL Per share dataPYPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates PYPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • PYPL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.79
PEG (5Y)1.51
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

2

5. PYPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PYPL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • In the last 3 months the price of PYPL has falen by -26.12%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
  • PYPL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.61.
  • PYPL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • PYPL is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
PYPL Yearly Dividends per sharePYPL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2025 2026 0.05 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 2.48% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PYPL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP2.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
PYPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPYPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B
PYPL Dividend Payout.PYPL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PYPL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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PYPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:PYPL (3/19/2026, 8:24:35 PM)

Premarket: 44.32 +0.13 (+0.29%)

44.19

-0.4 (-0.9%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners82.1%
Inst Owner Change-1.18%
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner Change0.17%
Market Cap40.68B
Revenue(TTM)33.17B
Net Income(TTM)5.23B
Analysts65.88
Price Target51.89 (17.42%)
Short Float %4.56%
Short Ratio1.67
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP2.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.38%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.3%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.57%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)5.95%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.12%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.21%
PT rev (1m)-29.9%
PT rev (3m)-38.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.34
Fwd PE 8.16
P/S 1.23
P/FCF 7.31
P/OCF 6.34
P/B 2.01
P/tB 4.43
EV/EBITDA 5.34
EPS(TTM)5.3
EY11.99%
EPS(NY)5.42
Fwd EY12.26%
FCF(TTM)6.04
FCFY13.68%
OCF(TTM)6.97
OCFY15.77%
SpS36.03
BVpS22
TBVpS9.98
PEG (NY)3.79
PEG (5Y)1.51
Graham Number51.22
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 25.83%
ROCE 18.96%
ROIC 15.26%
ROICexc 22.09%
ROICexgc 42.08%
OM 19.28%
PM (TTM) 15.78%
GM 41.48%
FCFM 16.77%
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
ROICexc(3y)21.02%
ROICexc(5y)18.45%
ROICexgc(3y)44.19%
ROICexgc(5y)39.13%
ROCE(3y)16.99%
ROCE(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.67%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 2.05
Debt/EBITDA 1.36
Cap/Depr 88.47%
Cap/Sales 2.57%
Interest Coverage 15.75
Cash Conversion 87.19%
Profit Quality 106.33%
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.29
Altman-Z 1.85
F-Score8
WACC7.68%
ROIC/WACC1.99
Cap/Depr(3y)70.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.59%
Profit Quality(3y)122.96%
Profit Quality(5y)139.46%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%
Revenue Next Year2.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
EBIT growth 1Y10.98%
EBIT growth 3Y16.51%
EBIT growth 5Y13.29%
EBIT Next Year5.21%
EBIT Next 3Y1.99%
EBIT Next 5Y10.35%
FCF growth 1Y-17.78%
FCF growth 3Y2.9%
FCF growth 5Y0.78%
OCF growth 1Y-13.88%
OCF growth 3Y3.34%
OCF growth 5Y0.63%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC / PYPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PYPL.


What is the valuation status of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?

The financial health rating of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PYPL stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is expected to grow by 2.2% in the next year.