PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:PYPL • US70450Y1038

46.75 USD
+0.37 (+0.8%)
At close: Mar 4, 2026
46.9818 USD
+0.23 (+0.5%)
After Hours: 3/4/2026, 8:00:01 PM

This PYPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

PYPL gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 97 industry peers in the Financial Services industry. PYPL has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. PYPL may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings would make PYPL suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. PYPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PYPL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • PYPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years PYPL has been profitable.
  • PYPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
PYPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPYPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • PYPL has a Return On Assets of 6.53%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PYPL outperforms 80.41% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of PYPL (25.83%) is better than 90.72% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 15.26%, PYPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.75% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PYPL is significantly above the industry average of 8.35%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (13.68%) for PYPL is below the current ROIC(15.26%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 25.83%
ROIC 15.26%
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
PYPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPYPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

  • PYPL has a Profit Margin of 15.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: PYPL outperforms 62.89% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • PYPL's Operating Margin of 19.28% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PYPL outperforms 68.04% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • PYPL has a Gross Margin of 41.48%. This is in the better half of the industry: PYPL outperforms 60.82% of its industry peers.
  • PYPL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 19.28%
PM (TTM) 15.78%
GM 41.48%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
PYPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPYPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

6

2. PYPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PYPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • PYPL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, PYPL has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PYPL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
PYPL Yearly Shares OutstandingPYPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
PYPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPYPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • PYPL has an Altman-Z score of 1.87. This is not the best score and indicates that PYPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.87, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PYPL has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.05. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as PYPL would need 2.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PYPL (2.05) is better than 72.16% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49 indicates that PYPL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • PYPL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.49. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PYPL outperforms 55.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 2.05
Altman-Z 1.87
ROIC/WACC1.98
WACC7.71%
PYPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPYPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • PYPL has a Current Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that PYPL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.29, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.29 indicates that PYPL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • PYPL has a Quick ratio of 1.29. This is in the better half of the industry: PYPL outperforms 63.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.29
PYPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPYPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

5

3. PYPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.43% over the past year.
  • PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.53% yearly.
  • PYPL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.32%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 9.11% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.78% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, PYPL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.74%
EPS Next 2Y11.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.21%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue Next Year2.52%
Revenue Next 2Y3.51%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PYPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPYPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
PYPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPYPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2 4 6 8 10

8

4. PYPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 8.82, the valuation of PYPL can be described as reasonable.
  • PYPL's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PYPL is cheaper than 63.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PYPL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.03.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.97 indicates a rather cheap valuation of PYPL.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PYPL is valued a bit cheaper than 70.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.11. PYPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.82
Fwd PE 7.97
PYPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPYPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 90.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PYPL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PYPL is valued cheaper than 81.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.74
EV/EBITDA 5.61
PYPL Per share dataPYPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • PYPL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of PYPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • PYPL's earnings are expected to grow with 14.21% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.82
PEG (5Y)1.6
EPS Next 2Y11.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.21%

2

5. PYPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PYPL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.23%.
  • The stock price of PYPL dropped by -24.94% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
  • PYPL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.29.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, PYPL is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.23%

5.2 History

  • PYPL is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
PYPL Yearly Dividends per sharePYPL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2025 2026 0.05 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

  • PYPL pays out 2.48% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP2.48%
EPS Next 2Y11.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.21%
PYPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPYPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B
PYPL Dividend Payout.PYPL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PYPL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PYPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:PYPL (3/4/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 46.9818 +0.23 (+0.5%)

46.75

+0.37 (+0.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)04-27
Inst Owners80.89%
Inst Owner Change-1.32%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change0.11%
Market Cap43.04B
Revenue(TTM)33.17B
Net Income(TTM)5.23B
Analysts67.45
Price Target51.89 (10.99%)
Short Float %5.63%
Short Ratio2.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.23%
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP2.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.38%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.3%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.57%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)5.95%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.12%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.21%
PT rev (1m)-32.58%
PT rev (3m)-39.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-8.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.27%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.55%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.3%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.82
Fwd PE 7.97
P/S 1.3
P/FCF 7.74
P/OCF 6.71
P/B 2.12
P/tB 4.69
EV/EBITDA 5.61
EPS(TTM)5.3
EY11.34%
EPS(NY)5.87
Fwd EY12.55%
FCF(TTM)6.04
FCFY12.93%
OCF(TTM)6.97
OCFY14.91%
SpS36.03
BVpS22
TBVpS9.98
PEG (NY)0.82
PEG (5Y)1.6
Graham Number51.22
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.53%
ROE 25.83%
ROCE 18.96%
ROIC 15.26%
ROICexc 22.09%
ROICexgc 42.08%
OM 19.28%
PM (TTM) 15.78%
GM 41.48%
FCFM 16.77%
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
ROICexc(3y)21.02%
ROICexc(5y)18.45%
ROICexgc(3y)44.19%
ROICexgc(5y)39.13%
ROCE(3y)16.99%
ROCE(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.67%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.49
Debt/FCF 2.05
Debt/EBITDA 1.36
Cap/Depr 88.47%
Cap/Sales 2.57%
Interest Coverage 15.75
Cash Conversion 87.19%
Profit Quality 106.33%
Current Ratio 1.29
Quick Ratio 1.29
Altman-Z 1.87
F-Score8
WACC7.71%
ROIC/WACC1.98
Cap/Depr(3y)70.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.59%
Profit Quality(3y)122.96%
Profit Quality(5y)139.46%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
EPS Next Y10.74%
EPS Next 2Y11.08%
EPS Next 3Y14.21%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%
Revenue Next Year2.52%
Revenue Next 2Y3.51%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
EBIT growth 1Y10.98%
EBIT growth 3Y16.51%
EBIT growth 5Y13.29%
EBIT Next Year4.9%
EBIT Next 3Y1.65%
EBIT Next 5Y10.35%
FCF growth 1Y-17.78%
FCF growth 3Y2.9%
FCF growth 5Y0.78%
OCF growth 1Y-13.88%
OCF growth 3Y3.34%
OCF growth 5Y0.63%

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC / PYPL FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PYPL.


What is the valuation status of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?

PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?

The financial health rating of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PYPL stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is expected to grow by 10.74% in the next year.