PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:PYPL • US70450Y1038
Current stock price
44.59 USD
-1.54 (-3.34%)
At close:
44.4652 USD
-0.12 (-0.28%)
After Hours:
This PYPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. PYPL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- PYPL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year PYPL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- PYPL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- PYPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- PYPL has a better Return On Assets (6.53%) than 81.63% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 25.83%, PYPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 15.26%, PYPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- PYPL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.68%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.22%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (13.68%) for PYPL is below the current ROIC(15.26%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.53% | ||
| ROE | 25.83% | ||
| ROIC | 15.26% |
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 15.78%, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- PYPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 19.28%, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.37% of the companies in the same industry.
- PYPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- PYPL has a Gross Margin of 41.48%. This is in the better half of the industry: PYPL outperforms 62.24% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PYPL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.78% | ||
| GM | 41.48% |
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
2. PYPL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PYPL is creating value.
- PYPL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, PYPL has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, PYPL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 1.87 indicates that PYPL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- PYPL's Altman-Z score of 1.87 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PYPL outperforms 75.51% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of PYPL is 2.05, which is a good value as it means it would take PYPL, 2.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.05, PYPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- PYPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.49. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- PYPL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.49 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PYPL outperforms 56.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
ROIC/WACC2
WACC7.65%
2.3 Liquidity
- PYPL has a Current Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that PYPL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.29, PYPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- PYPL has a Quick Ratio of 1.29. This is a normal value and indicates that PYPL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.29, PYPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 |
3. PYPL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.43% over the past year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, PYPL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.53% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.32% in the past year.
- PYPL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%
3.2 Future
- PYPL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.78% yearly.
- PYPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue Next Year2.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. PYPL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- PYPL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.41.
- PYPL's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PYPL is cheaper than 65.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.79, PYPL is valued rather cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.23, the valuation of PYPL can be described as reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PYPL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- PYPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.80, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.23 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- PYPL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PYPL is cheaper than 91.84% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PYPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: PYPL is cheaper than 81.63% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.58 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- PYPL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.82
PEG (5Y)1.52
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
5. PYPL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%, PYPL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- The stock price of PYPL dropped by -25.45% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- PYPL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.61.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, PYPL is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.26% |
5.2 History
- PYPL is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- PYPL pays out 2.48% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP2.48%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
PYPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
44.59
-1.54 (-3.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryFinancial Services
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/amc
Inst Owners82.1%
Inst Owner Change-1.18%
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner Change0.17%
Market Cap41.05B
Revenue(TTM)33.17B
Net Income(TTM)5.23B
Analysts65.88
Price Target51.89 (16.37%)
Short Float %4.56%
Short Ratio1.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.26% |
Yearly Dividend0.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP2.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-04 2026-03-04 (0.14)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.63%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(2)9.38%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.12%
Max EPS beat(4)12.26%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.3%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)6.57%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)5.95%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.54%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.26%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.12%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.11%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.21%
PT rev (1m)-29.9%
PT rev (3m)-38.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.41%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.23 | ||
| P/S | 1.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.38 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.4 | ||
| P/B | 2.03 | ||
| P/tB | 4.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.58 |
EPS(TTM)5.3
EY11.89%
EPS(NY)5.42
Fwd EY12.15%
FCF(TTM)6.04
FCFY13.55%
OCF(TTM)6.97
OCFY15.63%
SpS36.03
BVpS22
TBVpS9.98
PEG (NY)3.82
PEG (5Y)1.52
Graham Number51.22
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.53% | ||
| ROE | 25.83% | ||
| ROCE | 18.96% | ||
| ROIC | 15.26% | ||
| ROICexc | 22.09% | ||
| ROICexgc | 42.08% | ||
| OM | 19.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 15.78% | ||
| GM | 41.48% | ||
| FCFM | 16.77% |
ROA(3y)5.59%
ROA(5y)5.07%
ROE(3y)22.11%
ROE(5y)19.49%
ROIC(3y)13.68%
ROIC(5y)12.27%
ROICexc(3y)21.02%
ROICexc(5y)18.45%
ROICexgc(3y)44.19%
ROICexgc(5y)39.13%
ROCE(3y)16.99%
ROCE(5y)15.24%
ROICexgc growth 3Y11.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y5.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.67%
OM growth 3Y9.47%
OM growth 5Y3.83%
PM growth 3Y21.52%
PM growth 5Y-4.24%
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y-2.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.49 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.05 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.47% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 15.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.19% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.33% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.29 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.87 |
F-Score8
WACC7.65%
ROIC/WACC2
Cap/Depr(3y)70.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.63%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.27%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.59%
Profit Quality(3y)122.96%
Profit Quality(5y)139.46%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.43%
EPS 3Y8.67%
EPS 5Y5.53%
EPS Q2Q%3.36%
EPS Next Y2.2%
EPS Next 2Y5.68%
EPS Next 3Y7.36%
EPS Next 5Y12.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.32%
Revenue growth 3Y6.43%
Revenue growth 5Y9.11%
Sales Q2Q%3.71%
Revenue Next Year2.42%
Revenue Next 2Y3.41%
Revenue Next 3Y3.98%
Revenue Next 5Y6.93%
EBIT growth 1Y10.98%
EBIT growth 3Y16.51%
EBIT growth 5Y13.29%
EBIT Next Year5.21%
EBIT Next 3Y1.99%
EBIT Next 5Y10.35%
FCF growth 1Y-17.78%
FCF growth 3Y2.9%
FCF growth 5Y0.78%
OCF growth 1Y-13.88%
OCF growth 3Y3.34%
OCF growth 5Y0.63%
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC / PYPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PYPL.
What is the valuation status of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC?
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) stock?
The financial health rating of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is 6 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PYPL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC (PYPL) is expected to grow by 2.2% in the next year.