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PORTILLO'S INC-CL A (PTLO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:PTLO - Nasdaq - US73642K1060 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

13.7  -0.63 (-4.4%)

After market: 13.6 -0.1 (-0.73%)

Fundamental Rating

3

PTLO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 135 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. PTLO has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. PTLO is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PTLO was profitable.
PTLO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PTLO reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years PTLO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PTLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPTLO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M 40M 60M

1.2 Ratios

PTLO has a Return On Assets of 1.77%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PTLO outperforms 45.80% of its industry peers.
PTLO has a Return On Equity of 6.81%. This is in the better half of the industry: PTLO outperforms 61.07% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of PTLO (3.78%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PTLO is significantly below the industry average of 10.84%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.21%) for PTLO is below the current ROIC(3.78%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.77%
ROE 6.81%
ROIC 3.78%
ROA(3y)0.22%
ROA(5y)-0.34%
ROE(3y)0.36%
ROE(5y)-1.05%
ROIC(3y)3.21%
ROIC(5y)4.17%
PTLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPTLO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5

1.3 Margins

PTLO has a Profit Margin (3.65%) which is in line with its industry peers.
PTLO has a Operating Margin of 8.06%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PTLO outperforms 46.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PTLO has declined.
PTLO has a Gross Margin of 65.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: PTLO outperforms 77.10% of its industry peers.
PTLO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.06%
PM (TTM) 3.65%
GM 65.78%
OM growth 3Y-13.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.31%
GM growth 5YN/A
PTLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPTLO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PTLO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PTLO has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for PTLO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PTLO Yearly Shares OutstandingPTLO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
PTLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPTLO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

PTLO has an Altman-Z score of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that PTLO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.14, PTLO is not doing good in the industry: 62.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PTLO is 126.30, which is on the high side as it means it would take PTLO, 126.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PTLO's Debt to FCF ratio of 126.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PTLO is outperformed by 64.89% of its industry peers.
PTLO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77. This is a neutral value indicating PTLO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
PTLO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.77. This is in the better half of the industry: PTLO outperforms 65.65% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 126.3
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC0.37
WACC10.2%
PTLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPTLO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.38 indicates that PTLO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.38, PTLO is not doing good in the industry: 82.44% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that PTLO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PTLO's Quick ratio of 0.31 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PTLO is outperformed by 81.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.38
Quick Ratio 0.31
PTLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPTLO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

PTLO shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 61.54%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 11.01% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.28% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.54%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.01%
Revenue growth 3Y14.28%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%6.86%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PTLO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.03% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.12% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y17.36%
EPS Next 2Y14.08%
EPS Next 3Y17.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.06%
Revenue Next 2Y8.18%
Revenue Next 3Y10.16%
Revenue Next 5Y16.12%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
PTLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPTLO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
PTLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPTLO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 32.62, which means the current valuation is very expensive for PTLO.
PTLO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.62. PTLO is around the same levels.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.96 indicates a quite expensive valuation of PTLO.
PTLO's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, PTLO is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.62
Fwd PE 33.96
PTLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPTLO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

PTLO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
PTLO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. PTLO is more expensive than 63.36% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 424.91
EV/EBITDA 15.17
PTLO Per share dataPTLO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PTLO's earnings are expected to grow with 17.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y14.08%
EPS Next 3Y17.03%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PTLO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PORTILLO'S INC-CL A

NASDAQ:PTLO (2/21/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 13.6 -0.1 (-0.73%)

13.7

-0.63 (-4.4%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-25 2025-02-25/bmo
Inst Owners84.18%
Inst Owner Change-91.79%
Ins Owners6.39%
Ins Owner Change-8.8%
Market Cap1.02B
Analysts84.71
Price Target15.91 (16.13%)
Short Float %15.57%
Short Ratio5.06
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)29.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.87%
Max EPS beat(2)69.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)67.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.87%
Max EPS beat(4)187.77%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)90.24%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)88.01%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.33%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.61%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.03%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.48%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.02%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)81.48%
EPS NQ rev (3m)83.77%
EPS NY rev (1m)10.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.38%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.05%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 32.62
Fwd PE 33.96
P/S 1.42
P/FCF 424.91
P/OCF 11.4
P/B 2.66
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.17
EPS(TTM)0.42
EY3.07%
EPS(NY)0.4
Fwd EY2.95%
FCF(TTM)0.03
FCFY0.24%
OCF(TTM)1.2
OCFY8.77%
SpS9.62
BVpS5.15
TBVpS-3.54
PEG (NY)1.88
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.77%
ROE 6.81%
ROCE 4.27%
ROIC 3.78%
ROICexc 3.84%
ROICexgc 7.38%
OM 8.06%
PM (TTM) 3.65%
GM 65.78%
FCFM 0.34%
ROA(3y)0.22%
ROA(5y)-0.34%
ROE(3y)0.36%
ROE(5y)-1.05%
ROIC(3y)3.21%
ROIC(5y)4.17%
ROICexc(3y)3.3%
ROICexc(5y)4.31%
ROICexgc(3y)8.61%
ROICexgc(5y)18.48%
ROCE(3y)3.6%
ROCE(5y)4.69%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-40.1%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.53%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-13.53%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.31%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.77
Debt/FCF 126.3
Debt/EBITDA 3.45
Cap/Depr 318.41%
Cap/Sales 12.16%
Interest Coverage 2.25
Cash Conversion 105.13%
Profit Quality 9.19%
Current Ratio 0.38
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score6
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACC0.37
Cap/Depr(3y)247.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)183.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.4%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)61.54%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%57.14%
EPS Next Y17.36%
EPS Next 2Y14.08%
EPS Next 3Y17.03%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.01%
Revenue growth 3Y14.28%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%6.86%
Revenue Next Year5.06%
Revenue Next 2Y8.18%
Revenue Next 3Y10.16%
Revenue Next 5Y16.12%
EBIT growth 1Y22.99%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.17%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year89.78%
EBIT Next 3Y32.04%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-30.64%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y112.55%
OCF growth 3Y6.7%
OCF growth 5YN/A