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POSTE ITALIANE SPA (PST.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:PST - Euronext Milan - IT0003796171 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

16.15  +0.16 (+1%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, PST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PST was compared to 33 industry peers in the Insurance industry. There are concerns on the financial health of PST while its profitability can be described as average. PST is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. Finally PST also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PST was profitable.
PST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
PST had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years PST 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
PST.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPST.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

PST has a Return On Assets of 0.86%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PST underperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
PST has a better Return On Equity (19.86%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
PST has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.03%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PST outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 19.86%
ROIC 1.03%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PST.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPST.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of PST (15.25%) is better than 86.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PST has grown nicely.
PST has a Operating Margin of 22.92%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PST outperforms 86.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PST has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of PST (72.84%) is better than 97.22% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PST has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.92%
PM (TTM) 15.25%
GM 72.84%
OM growth 3Y10.96%
OM growth 5Y31.82%
PM growth 3Y3.13%
PM growth 5Y30.15%
GM growth 3Y-2.09%
GM growth 5YN/A
PST.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPST.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
There is no outstanding debt for PST. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
PST.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingPST.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
PST.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPST.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

PST has an Altman-Z score of 0.04. This is a bad value and indicates that PST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 0.04, PST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.44% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PST is 49.73, which is on the high side as it means it would take PST, 49.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PST (49.73) is worse than 77.78% of its industry peers.
PST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.24. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 6.24, PST is doing worse than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.24
Debt/FCF 49.73
Altman-Z 0.04
ROIC/WACC0.34
WACC2.99%
PST.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPST.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

PST has a Current Ratio of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that PST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 0.56, PST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.55 indicates that PST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PST has a Quick ratio of 0.55. This is in the better half of the industry: PST outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.56
Quick Ratio 0.55
PST.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPST.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

PST shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -29.71%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 8.33% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, PST shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -31.33% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, PST shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -16.83% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.71%
EPS 3Y8.2%
EPS 5Y8.33%
EPS Q2Q%-47.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-31.33%
Revenue growth 3Y4.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.83%
Sales Q2Q%7.05%

3.2 Future

PST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.00% yearly.
PST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.59% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.42%
EPS Next 2Y3.53%
EPS Next 3Y5.05%
EPS Next 5Y5%
Revenue Next Year2.99%
Revenue Next 2Y2.69%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y2.59%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
PST.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPST.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 10B 20B 30B
PST.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPST.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.49, which indicates a very decent valuation of PST.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
PST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.35.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.94, the valuation of PST can be described as very reasonable.
PST's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.10, PST is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.49
Fwd PE 9.94
PST.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPST.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as PST.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.01
EV/EBITDA -7.83
PST.MI Per share dataPST.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.07
PEG (5Y)1.26
EPS Next 2Y3.53%
EPS Next 3Y5.05%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.75%, PST is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.64, PST pays a better dividend. On top of this PST pays more dividend than 88.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, PST pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.75%

5.2 History

The dividend of PST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.13%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.13%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

PST pays out 44.06% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of PST is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP44.06%
EPS Next 2Y3.53%
EPS Next 3Y5.05%
PST.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPST.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B 3B
PST.MI Dividend Payout.PST.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PST.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

POSTE ITALIANE SPA

BIT:PST (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

16.15

+0.16 (+1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-21 2025-02-21/amc
Earnings (Next)05-08 2025-05-08
Inst Owners9.98%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.09B
Analysts77.89
Price Target15.74 (-2.54%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.75%
Yearly Dividend0.68
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.13%
DP44.06%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.72%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.49%
Max EPS beat(2)9.94%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)5.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.49%
Max EPS beat(4)9.94%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.56%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.88%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.56%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.95%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)6.47%
PT rev (3m)9.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.64%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.38%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.49%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.49
Fwd PE 9.94
P/S 1.36
P/FCF 12.01
P/OCF 7.88
P/B 1.77
P/tB 2.13
EV/EBITDA -7.83
EPS(TTM)1.54
EY9.54%
EPS(NY)1.63
Fwd EY10.06%
FCF(TTM)1.34
FCFY8.32%
OCF(TTM)2.05
OCFY12.7%
SpS11.89
BVpS9.12
TBVpS7.59
PEG (NY)3.07
PEG (5Y)1.26
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 19.86%
ROCE 1.91%
ROIC 1.03%
ROICexc 1.24%
ROICexgc 1.25%
OM 22.92%
PM (TTM) 15.25%
GM 72.84%
FCFM 11.31%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y10.96%
OM growth 5Y31.82%
PM growth 3Y3.13%
PM growth 5Y30.15%
GM growth 3Y-2.09%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.24
Debt/FCF 49.73
Debt/EBITDA 16.7
Cap/Depr 103.13%
Cap/Sales 5.94%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 60.15%
Profit Quality 74.19%
Current Ratio 0.56
Quick Ratio 0.55
Altman-Z 0.04
F-Score7
WACC2.99%
ROIC/WACC0.34
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-29.71%
EPS 3Y8.2%
EPS 5Y8.33%
EPS Q2Q%-47.48%
EPS Next Y3.42%
EPS Next 2Y3.53%
EPS Next 3Y5.05%
EPS Next 5Y5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-31.33%
Revenue growth 3Y4.83%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.83%
Sales Q2Q%7.05%
Revenue Next Year2.99%
Revenue Next 2Y2.69%
Revenue Next 3Y2.74%
Revenue Next 5Y2.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.61%
EBIT growth 3Y16.33%
EBIT growth 5Y9.63%
EBIT Next Year31.23%
EBIT Next 3Y13.67%
EBIT Next 5Y11.09%
FCF growth 1Y133.51%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y73.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A