Primo Water Corporation (PRMW) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:PRMW • CA74167P1080

24.21 USD
-0.23 (-0.94%)
At close: Nov 8, 2024
24.26 USD
+0.05 (+0.21%)
After Hours: 11/8/2024, 8:15:10 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall PRMW gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated PRMW against 33 industry peers in the Beverages industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of PRMW get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. PRMW has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PRMW had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year PRMW had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PRMW reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years PRMW had a positive operating cash flow.
PRMW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPRMW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of PRMW (7.22%) is better than 60.61% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of PRMW (17.34%) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • PRMW has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.13%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PRMW underperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PRMW is significantly below the industry average of 11.45%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.20%) for PRMW is below the current ROIC(4.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.22%
ROE 17.34%
ROIC 4.13%
ROA(3y)2.49%
ROA(5y)0.78%
ROE(3y)6.19%
ROE(5y)1.81%
ROIC(3y)3.2%
ROIC(5y)3.02%
PRMW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPRMW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of PRMW (17.64%) is better than 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PRMW has declined.
  • PRMW's Operating Margin of 12.23% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PRMW is outperformed by 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • PRMW's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • PRMW has a better Gross Margin (68.16%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • PRMW's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.23%
PM (TTM) 17.64%
GM 68.16%
OM growth 3Y10.6%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-8.87%
GM growth 3Y4.02%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
PRMW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPRMW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • PRMW has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PRMW remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for PRMW has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PRMW Yearly Shares OutstandingPRMW Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
PRMW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPRMW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • PRMW has an Altman-Z score of 1.96. This is not the best score and indicates that PRMW is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • PRMW has a Altman-Z score of 1.96. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PRMW outperforms 42.42% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PRMW is 5.49, which is a neutral value as it means it would take PRMW, 5.49 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 5.49, PRMW is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PRMW has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.86. This is a neutral value indicating PRMW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • PRMW's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.86 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PRMW outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 5.49
Altman-Z 1.96
ROIC/WACC0.54
WACC7.61%
PRMW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPRMW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.34 indicates that PRMW has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of PRMW (2.34) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • PRMW has a Quick Ratio of 2.23. This indicates that PRMW is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PRMW's Quick ratio of 2.23 is amongst the best of the industry. PRMW outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.23
PRMW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPRMW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.20% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.74% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • PRMW shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -36.45%.
  • PRMW shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.22% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.2%
EPS 3Y15.98%
EPS 5Y22.74%
EPS Q2Q%6.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.45%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.2%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.22%
Sales Q2Q%-17.78%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.95% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • PRMW is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.75% yearly.
EPS Next Y27.83%
EPS Next 2Y21.02%
EPS Next 3Y22.04%
EPS Next 5Y10.95%
Revenue Next Year-18.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.75%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PRMW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPRMW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B
PRMW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPRMW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 0.5 1

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • PRMW is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.32.
  • PRMW's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.18. PRMW is around the same levels.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.19 indicates a rather expensive valuation of PRMW.
  • PRMW's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.51. PRMW is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.32
Fwd PE 21.19
PRMW Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPRMW Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PRMW is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.61% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PRMW is valued cheaper than 84.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.59
EV/EBITDA 13.63
PRMW Per share dataPRMW EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • PRMW's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • PRMW has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • PRMW's earnings are expected to grow with 22.04% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)1.16
EPS Next 2Y21.02%
EPS Next 3Y22.04%

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6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.34%, PRMW has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.74, PRMW has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • PRMW's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.34%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of PRMW has a limited annual growth rate of 1.16%.
  • PRMW has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • PRMW has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years11
PRMW Yearly Dividends per sharePRMW Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 22.12% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PRMW. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • PRMW's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP22.12%
EPS Next 2Y21.02%
EPS Next 3Y22.04%
PRMW Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPRMW Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M 300M
PRMW Dividend Payout.PRMW Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PRMW Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Primo Water Corporation

NYSE:PRMW (11/8/2024, 8:15:10 PM)

After market: 24.26 +0.05 (+0.21%)

24.21

-0.23 (-0.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)11-07
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners89.04%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.23%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.88B
Revenue(TTM)1.46B
Net Income(TTM)257.20M
Analysts82.86
Price Target17.35 (-28.34%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.34%
Yearly Dividend0.32
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
DP22.12%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.7%
Min EPS beat(2)1.96%
Max EPS beat(2)13.43%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-29.61%
Max EPS beat(4)29.96%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)7.5%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)8.05%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)10.17%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.11%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-25.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.11%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.87%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.03%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.3%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.21%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.32
Fwd PE 21.19
P/S 2.66
P/FCF 16.59
P/OCF 10.98
P/B 2.62
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.63
EPS(TTM)0.92
EY3.8%
EPS(NY)1.14
Fwd EY4.72%
FCF(TTM)1.46
FCFY6.03%
OCF(TTM)2.2
OCFY9.11%
SpS9.09
BVpS9.25
TBVpS-1.47
PEG (NY)0.95
PEG (5Y)1.16
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.22%
ROE 17.34%
ROCE 5.69%
ROIC 4.13%
ROICexc 5.25%
ROICexgc 17.26%
OM 12.23%
PM (TTM) 17.64%
GM 68.16%
FCFM 16.05%
ROA(3y)2.49%
ROA(5y)0.78%
ROE(3y)6.19%
ROE(5y)1.81%
ROIC(3y)3.2%
ROIC(5y)3.02%
ROICexc(3y)3.53%
ROICexc(5y)3.28%
ROICexgc(3y)11.83%
ROICexgc(5y)11.37%
ROCE(3y)4.6%
ROCE(5y)4.33%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.08%
OM growth 3Y10.6%
OM growth 5Y18.86%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-8.87%
GM growth 3Y4.02%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.41
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 5.49
Debt/EBITDA 3.84
Cap/Depr 78.79%
Cap/Sales 8.2%
Interest Coverage 3.21
Cash Conversion 107.09%
Profit Quality 90.98%
Current Ratio 2.34
Quick Ratio 2.23
Altman-Z 1.96
F-Score7
WACC7.61%
ROIC/WACC0.54
Cap/Depr(3y)80.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)73.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.7%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.2%
EPS 3Y15.98%
EPS 5Y22.74%
EPS Q2Q%6.06%
EPS Next Y27.83%
EPS Next 2Y21.02%
EPS Next 3Y22.04%
EPS Next 5Y10.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-36.45%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.2%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.22%
Sales Q2Q%-17.78%
Revenue Next Year-18.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.75%
EBIT growth 1Y1.94%
EBIT growth 3Y7.06%
EBIT growth 5Y18.6%
EBIT Next Year86.15%
EBIT Next 3Y30.95%
EBIT Next 5Y15.23%
FCF growth 1Y367.07%
FCF growth 3Y56.46%
FCF growth 5Y60.54%
OCF growth 1Y31.01%
OCF growth 3Y25.74%
OCF growth 5Y19.02%

Primo Water Corporation / PRMW FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for PRMW stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to PRMW.


What is the valuation status for PRMW stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to Primo Water Corporation (PRMW). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of PRMW stock?

Primo Water Corporation (PRMW) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of Primo Water Corporation based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Primo Water Corporation (PRMW) is 26.32 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.62.


What is the expected EPS growth for Primo Water Corporation (PRMW) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Primo Water Corporation (PRMW) is expected to grow by 27.83% in the next year.