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PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A (POU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:POU - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA6993202069 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

31.11  +1.4 (+4.71%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, POU scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. POU was compared to 214 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of POU get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. POU is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year POU was profitable.
In the past year POU had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: POU reported negative net income in multiple years.
POU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
POU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPOU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 7.93%, POU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.07% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of POU (9.99%) is better than 68.66% of its industry peers.
POU's Return On Invested Capital of 5.42% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POU outperforms 68.66% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for POU is in line with the industry average of 7.73%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.93%
ROE 9.99%
ROIC 5.42%
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)5.87%
ROE(3y)14.22%
ROE(5y)7.47%
ROIC(3y)9.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
POU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPOU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

POU's Profit Margin of 20.06% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POU outperforms 75.62% of its industry peers.
POU has a Operating Margin (16.42%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 66.17%, POU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.12% of the companies in the same industry.
POU's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.42%
PM (TTM) 20.06%
GM 66.17%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.57%
GM growth 5Y7.21%
POU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPOU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200 -200 400

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

POU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, POU has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for POU has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, POU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
POU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingPOU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M
POU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPOU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

POU has an Altman-Z score of 3.74. This indicates that POU is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.74, POU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.08% of the companies in the same industry.
POU has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.76. This is a neutral value as POU would need 5.76 years to pay back of all of its debts.
POU's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.76 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POU outperforms 76.62% of its industry peers.
POU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of POU (0.02) is better than 74.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 5.76
Altman-Z 3.74
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC7.72%
POU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPOU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

POU has a Current Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that POU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of POU (0.62) is worse than 78.11% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.62 indicates that POU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
POU has a Quick ratio of 0.62. This is in the lower half of the industry: POU underperforms 60.70% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.62
POU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPOU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

POU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -42.17%.
The Revenue has decreased by -8.47% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.78% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-42.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.47%
Revenue growth 3Y43.92%
Revenue growth 5Y14.78%
Sales Q2Q%-16.79%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, POU will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -18.01% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, POU will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -20.45% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-29.95%
EPS Next 2Y20.29%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.51%
Revenue Next 2Y-42.65%
Revenue Next 3Y-20.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
POU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPOU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
POU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPOU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 5 -5 10

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

POU is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.86.
POU's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of POU to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.35), we can say POU is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.24 indicates a rather cheap valuation of POU.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POU is valued a bit cheaper than 79.10% of the companies in the same industry.
POU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 95.00, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.86
Fwd PE 6.24
POU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPOU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.13% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as POU.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 354.51
EV/EBITDA 5.9
POU.CA Per share dataPOU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of POU may justify a higher PE ratio.
POU's earnings are expected to decrease with -18.01% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.29%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.13%, POU is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.59, POU pays a better dividend. On top of this POU pays more dividend than 90.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, POU pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.13%

5.2 History

POU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
POU has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
POU.CA Yearly Dividends per sharePOU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

64.79% of the earnings are spent on dividend by POU. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP64.79%
EPS Next 2Y20.29%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%
POU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPOU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B
POU.CA Dividend Payout.POU.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.POU.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PARAMOUNT RESOURCES LTD -A

TSX:POU (2/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

31.11

+1.4 (+4.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners9.13%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners46.06%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.57B
Analysts80
Price Target39.59 (27.26%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.13%
Yearly Dividend2.48
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP64.79%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date01-15 2025-01-15 (0.15)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.23%
Min EPS beat(2)-33.53%
Max EPS beat(2)35.98%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.82%
Min EPS beat(4)-33.53%
Max EPS beat(4)35.98%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-11.95%
Max Revenue beat(2)22.94%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)22.94%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.32%
PT rev (3m)4.12%
EPS NQ rev (1m)14.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)22.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-11.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.86
Fwd PE 6.24
P/S 2.54
P/FCF 354.51
P/OCF 5
P/B 1.27
P/tB 1.27
EV/EBITDA 5.9
EPS(TTM)2.42
EY7.78%
EPS(NY)4.98
Fwd EY16.02%
FCF(TTM)0.09
FCFY0.28%
OCF(TTM)6.22
OCFY20%
SpS12.22
BVpS24.54
TBVpS24.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.93%
ROE 9.99%
ROCE 6.91%
ROIC 5.42%
ROICexc 5.43%
ROICexgc 5.43%
OM 16.42%
PM (TTM) 20.06%
GM 66.17%
FCFM 0.72%
ROA(3y)10.83%
ROA(5y)5.87%
ROE(3y)14.22%
ROE(5y)7.47%
ROIC(3y)9.19%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.22%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)9.22%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.7%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y25.57%
GM growth 5Y7.21%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 5.76
Debt/EBITDA 0.09
Cap/Depr 183.31%
Cap/Sales 50.19%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 116.22%
Profit Quality 3.58%
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 3.74
F-Score3
WACC7.72%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)230.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)200.08%
Cap/Sales(3y)35.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)38.94%
Profit Quality(3y)49.62%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-42.17%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%8.47%
EPS Next Y-29.95%
EPS Next 2Y20.29%
EPS Next 3Y-18.01%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.47%
Revenue growth 3Y43.92%
Revenue growth 5Y14.78%
Sales Q2Q%-16.79%
Revenue Next Year-6.51%
Revenue Next 2Y-42.65%
Revenue Next 3Y-20.45%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-49.3%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year88.65%
EBIT Next 3Y-1.13%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-94.8%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-2.12%
OCF growth 3Y126.35%
OCF growth 5Y33.24%