POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:POST - US7374461041 - Common Stock
99.72 USD
+1.18 (+1.2%)
99.72 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to POST. POST was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. POST has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. POST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years POST has been profitable.
In the past 5 years POST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
POST has a Return On Assets (2.48%) which is in line with its industry peers.
POST's Return On Equity of 8.94% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 70.11% of its industry peers.
POST has a Return On Invested Capital (5.22%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.38%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.22%) for POST is above the 3 year average (4.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 4.11%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.82% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
POST has a better Operating Margin (10.28%) than 75.86% of its industry peers.
POST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of POST (28.68%) is better than 64.37% of its industry peers.
POST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% |
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POST is destroying value.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.43, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.43, POST is not doing good in the industry: 60.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 15.21, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 15.21 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POST has a Debt to FCF ratio of 15.21. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 55.17% of its industry peers.
POST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.98. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
POST's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.98 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. POST is outperformed by 86.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.43 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC6.93%
2.3 Liquidity
POST has a Current Ratio of 1.67. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POST has a Current ratio of 1.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 57.47% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.95 indicates that POST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.95, POST is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.79% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, POST shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 21.52% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.97% in the past year.
POST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.56% on average over the next years.
POST is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y9.13%
EPS Next 2Y11.29%
EPS Next 3Y12.04%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year6.89%
Revenue Next 2Y3.09%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.74, POST is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of POST to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.37), we can say POST is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.59, the valuation of POST can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 77.01% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.20. POST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POST is valued cheaper than 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as POST's earnings are expected to grow with 12.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.5
PEG (5Y)0.64
EPS Next 2Y11.29%
EPS Next 3Y12.04%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
POST does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
99.72
+1.18 (+1.2%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.18%
Inst Owner Change-2.32%
Ins Owners2.48%
Ins Owner Change9.25%
Market Cap5.42B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)335.70M
Analysts81.25
Price Target128.19 (28.55%)
Short Float %8.25%
Short Ratio5.58
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.09%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)20.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.35%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)20.81%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)20.74%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)27.69%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)34.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.04%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)-0.21%
PT rev (3m)-0.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.56%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.56%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.59 | ||
| P/S | 0.66 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.43 | ||
| P/B | 1.44 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.29 |
EPS(TTM)7.26
EY7.28%
EPS(NY)7.92
Fwd EY7.95%
FCF(TTM)8.99
FCFY9.01%
OCF(TTM)18.38
OCFY18.43%
SpS150.19
BVpS69.09
TBVpS-75.59
PEG (NY)1.5
PEG (5Y)0.64
Graham Number106.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROCE | 6.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.02% | ||
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% | ||
| FCFM | 5.98% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.31% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.27 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.43 |
F-Score4
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
EPS Next Y9.13%
EPS Next 2Y11.29%
EPS Next 3Y12.04%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
Revenue Next Year6.89%
Revenue Next 2Y3.09%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y4.46%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year73.23%
EBIT Next 3Y19.83%
EBIT Next 5Y4.47%
FCF growth 1Y-2.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y7.15%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
Can you provide the valuation status for POST HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for POST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.74 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.44.
What is the expected EPS growth for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to grow by 9.13% in the next year.