POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:POST • US7374461041

Current stock price

101.59 USD
+2.04 (+2.05%)
At close:
101.423 USD
-0.17 (-0.16%)
After Hours:

This POST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. POST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year POST was profitable.
  • In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years POST has always been profitable.
  • POST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
POST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPOST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 2.46%, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.23%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of POST (5.54%) is better than 62.07% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for POST is in line with the industry average of 6.76%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.54%) for POST is above the 3 year average (4.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.46%
ROE 9.23%
ROIC 5.54%
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
POST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPOST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 3.82%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • POST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • POST has a Operating Margin of 10.33%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
  • POST has a Gross Margin of 28.51%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 67.82% of its industry peers.
  • POST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.33%
PM (TTM) 3.82%
GM 28.51%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
POST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPOST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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3

2. POST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POST is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, POST has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
POST Yearly Shares OutstandingPOST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
POST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPOST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.49, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.49, POST is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • POST has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.11. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as POST would need 17.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of POST (17.11) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.16 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of POST (2.16) is worse than 80.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.16
Debt/FCF 17.11
Altman-Z 1.49
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC6.98%
POST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPOST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • POST has a Current Ratio of 1.90. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.90, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • POST has a Quick Ratio of 1.02. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • POST has a better Quick ratio (1.02) than 60.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.9
Quick Ratio 1.02
POST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPOST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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4

3. POST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.39% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 21.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.38% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.61% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%

3.2 Future

  • POST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.56% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -6.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.59%
EPS Next 2Y7.05%
EPS Next 3Y9.28%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year2.99%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
POST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPOST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
POST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPOST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8

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6

4. POST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.26 indicates a correct valuation of POST.
  • POST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.87, POST is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.21, the valuation of POST can be described as correct.
  • POST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.51. POST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.26
Fwd PE 12.21
POST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPOST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POST is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.46% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.17
EV/EBITDA 8.42
POST Per share dataPOST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates POST does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.69
PEG (5Y)0.62
EPS Next 2Y7.05%
EPS Next 3Y9.28%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. POST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • POST does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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POST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

POST HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:POST (4/17/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 101.423 -0.17 (-0.16%)

101.59

+2.04 (+2.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners101.13%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners3.93%
Ins Owner Change5.1%
Market Cap4.87B
Revenue(TTM)8.36B
Net Income(TTM)319.20M
Analysts82.67
Price Target127.57 (25.57%)
Short Float %13.24%
Short Ratio6.39
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.37%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)23.35%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.16%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)23.35%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)17.36%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)25.02%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)37.18%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.3%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)-2.62%
PT rev (3m)1.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.26
Fwd PE 12.21
P/S 0.58
P/FCF 11.17
P/OCF 5.28
P/B 1.41
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.42
EPS(TTM)7.66
EY7.54%
EPS(NY)8.32
Fwd EY8.19%
FCF(TTM)9.09
FCFY8.95%
OCF(TTM)19.26
OCFY18.96%
SpS174.27
BVpS72.09
TBVpS-90.74
PEG (NY)3.69
PEG (5Y)0.62
Graham Number111.462 (9.72%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.46%
ROE 9.23%
ROCE 7.23%
ROIC 5.54%
ROICexc 5.67%
ROICexgc 17.15%
OM 10.33%
PM (TTM) 3.82%
GM 28.51%
FCFM 5.22%
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.16
Debt/FCF 17.11
Debt/EBITDA 5.25
Cap/Depr 87.62%
Cap/Sales 5.83%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.07%
Profit Quality 136.59%
Current Ratio 1.9
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z 1.49
F-Score5
WACC6.98%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
EPS Next Y3.59%
EPS Next 2Y7.05%
EPS Next 3Y9.28%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%
Revenue Next Year2.99%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y8%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year71.43%
EBIT Next 3Y21.31%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-11.9%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y11.76%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%

POST HOLDINGS INC / POST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to POST.


What is the valuation status for POST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for POST HOLDINGS INC?

POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.26 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.41.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for POST stock?

The dividend rating of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.