POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:POST • US7374461041

98.3025 USD
-3.33 (-3.27%)
Last: Mar 12, 2026, 03:22 PM

This POST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall POST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated POST against 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While POST is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. POST has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. POST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year POST was profitable.
  • In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years POST has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years POST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
POST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPOST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 2.46%, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 9.23%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • POST has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.54%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • POST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.97%. This is below the industry average of 7.13%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.54%) for POST is above the 3 year average (4.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.46%
ROE 9.23%
ROIC 5.54%
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
POST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPOST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • POST's Profit Margin of 3.82% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 65.91% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.33%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.51%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of POST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.33%
PM (TTM) 3.82%
GM 28.51%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
POST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPOST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

3

2. POST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), POST is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for POST is higher compared to a year ago.
POST Yearly Shares OutstandingPOST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
POST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPOST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • POST has an Altman-Z score of 1.50. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.50, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • POST has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.11. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as POST would need 17.11 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • POST has a Debt to FCF ratio of 17.11. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 56.82% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.16 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.16, POST is doing worse than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.16
Debt/FCF 17.11
Altman-Z 1.5
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC6.84%
POST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPOST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

  • POST has a Current Ratio of 1.90. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • POST has a Current ratio of 1.90. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.02 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of POST (1.02) is better than 61.36% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.9
Quick Ratio 1.02
POST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPOST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. POST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • POST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.39%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 21.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • POST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.38%.
  • Measured over the past years, POST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.56% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, POST will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.65%
EPS Next 2Y7.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.33%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year2.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
POST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPOST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
POST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPOST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8

6

4. POST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.83, which indicates a correct valuation of POST.
  • POST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 69.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.15. POST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.61, which indicates a very decent valuation of POST.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of POST indicates a rather cheap valuation: POST is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • POST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.27, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.83
Fwd PE 11.61
POST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPOST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 67.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • POST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 82.95% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.81
EV/EBITDA 8.49
POST Per share dataPOST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 -50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates POST does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • POST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.52
PEG (5Y)0.6
EPS Next 2Y7.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.33%

0

5. POST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for POST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

POST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

POST HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:POST (3/12/2026, 3:22:57 PM)

98.3025

-3.33 (-3.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners101.3%
Inst Owner Change-2.97%
Ins Owners3.93%
Ins Owner Change4.82%
Market Cap4.71B
Revenue(TTM)8.36B
Net Income(TTM)319.20M
Analysts82.67
Price Target131 (33.26%)
Short Float %13.04%
Short Ratio6.42
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.37%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)23.35%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.16%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)23.35%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)17.36%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)25.02%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)37.18%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.3%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.29%
PT rev (1m)3.53%
PT rev (3m)4.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.83
Fwd PE 11.61
P/S 0.56
P/FCF 10.81
P/OCF 5.1
P/B 1.36
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.49
EPS(TTM)7.66
EY7.79%
EPS(NY)8.46
Fwd EY8.61%
FCF(TTM)9.09
FCFY9.25%
OCF(TTM)19.26
OCFY19.59%
SpS174.27
BVpS72.09
TBVpS-90.74
PEG (NY)3.52
PEG (5Y)0.6
Graham Number111.46
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.46%
ROE 9.23%
ROCE 7.23%
ROIC 5.54%
ROICexc 5.67%
ROICexgc 17.15%
OM 10.33%
PM (TTM) 3.82%
GM 28.51%
FCFM 5.22%
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.16
Debt/FCF 17.11
Debt/EBITDA 5.25
Cap/Depr 87.62%
Cap/Sales 5.83%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.07%
Profit Quality 136.59%
Current Ratio 1.9
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z 1.5
F-Score5
WACC6.84%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.39%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%23.12%
EPS Next Y3.65%
EPS Next 2Y7.97%
EPS Next 3Y9.33%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.38%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%10.12%
Revenue Next Year2.88%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.23%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y8%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year70.57%
EBIT Next 3Y21.31%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-11.9%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y11.76%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%

POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.


What is the valuation status for POST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?

POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of POST HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 12.83 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.36.


What is the earnings growth outlook for POST HOLDINGS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to grow by 3.65% in the next year.