POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:POST - US7374461041 - Common Stock
96.97 USD
-0.2 (-0.21%)
96.97 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to POST. POST was compared to 86 industry peers in the Food Products industry. POST has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. POST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POST had positive earnings in the past year.
POST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years POST has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years POST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
POST has a Return On Assets of 2.48%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 51.16% of its industry peers.
POST's Return On Equity of 8.94% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 72.09% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.22%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.47% of the companies in the same industry.
POST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.77%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.97%) for POST is below the current ROIC(5.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
1.3 Margins
POST's Profit Margin of 4.11% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 68.60% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
POST has a Operating Margin of 10.28%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 75.58% of its industry peers.
POST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 28.68%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.12% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of POST has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% |
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POST is destroying value.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
POST has an Altman-Z score of 1.41. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
POST's Altman-Z score of 1.41 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 40.70% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 15.21, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 15.21 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST (15.21) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.98. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
POST has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.98) than 86.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC6.88%
2.3 Liquidity
POST has a Current Ratio of 1.67. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POST has a Current ratio (1.67) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POST has a Quick Ratio of 1.67. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POST has a Quick ratio (0.95) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.79% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 21.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
POST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.97%.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.61% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.56% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, POST will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-2.64%
EPS Next 2Y7.62%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
POST is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.36.
POST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 70.93% of the companies in the same industry.
POST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.72, POST is valued correctly.
74.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than POST, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
POST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.52, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 67.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POST is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.21% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.03 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
POST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.62
EPS Next 2Y7.62%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
96.97
-0.2 (-0.21%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.56%
Inst Owner Change-2.32%
Ins Owners3.21%
Ins Owner Change5.22%
Market Cap5.06B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)335.70M
Analysts81.25
Price Target125.22 (29.13%)
Short Float %8.25%
Short Ratio5.58
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.09%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)20.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.35%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)20.81%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)20.74%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)27.69%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)34.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.04%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)-2.31%
PT rev (3m)-2.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.47%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.72 | ||
| P/S | 0.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.36 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.07 | ||
| P/B | 1.35 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.03 |
EPS(TTM)7.26
EY7.49%
EPS(NY)7.07
Fwd EY7.29%
FCF(TTM)9.36
FCFY9.65%
OCF(TTM)19.14
OCFY19.74%
SpS156.44
BVpS71.97
TBVpS-78.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.62
Graham Number108.43
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROCE | 6.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.02% | ||
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% | ||
| FCFM | 5.98% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.31% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.27 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.41 |
F-Score4
WACC6.88%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
EPS Next Y-2.64%
EPS Next 2Y7.62%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
Revenue Next Year3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y1.64%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y4.46%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year66.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.79%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-2.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y7.15%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
Can you provide the valuation status for POST HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for POST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.35.
What is the expected EPS growth for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to decline by -2.64% in the next year.