POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:POST - US7374461041 - Common Stock
99.09 USD
+0.66 (+0.67%)
99.09 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, POST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. POST was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. There are concerns on the financial health of POST while its profitability can be described as average. POST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
POST had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years POST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
POST has a Return On Assets (2.48%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of POST (8.94%) is better than 73.56% of its industry peers.
POST's Return On Invested Capital of 5.22% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 60.92% of its industry peers.
POST had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.97%. This is significantly below the industry average of 27.89%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.97%) for POST is below the current ROIC(5.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
1.3 Margins
POST has a Profit Margin of 4.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
POST's Operating Margin of 10.28% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 75.86% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POST has declined.
POST's Gross Margin of 28.68% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
POST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% |
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
POST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for POST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
POST has an Altman-Z score of 1.42. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
POST has a Altman-Z score of 1.42. This is in the lower half of the industry: POST underperforms 60.92% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 15.21, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 15.21 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POST has a Debt to FCF ratio (15.21) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
POST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.98. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.98, POST is doing worse than 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC6.72%
2.3 Liquidity
POST has a Current Ratio of 1.67. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POST has a Current ratio of 1.67. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 57.47% of its industry peers.
POST has a Quick Ratio of 1.67. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POST has a Quick ratio (0.95) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
POST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.79%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 21.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
POST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.97%.
POST shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.61% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
3.2 Future
POST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.56% yearly.
POST is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -6.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y-2.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year3.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
POST is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.65.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.19, POST is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.99, POST is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.92. POST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 64.37% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.11 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
POST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
POST does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
99.09
+0.66 (+0.67%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.77%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners3.65%
Ins Owner Change5.33%
Market Cap5.17B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)335.70M
Analysts81.25
Price Target125.22 (26.37%)
Short Float %10.01%
Short Ratio5.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.09%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)20.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.35%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)20.81%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)20.74%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)27.69%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)34.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.04%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.99 | ||
| P/S | 0.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.59 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.18 | ||
| P/B | 1.38 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.11 |
EPS(TTM)7.26
EY7.33%
EPS(NY)7.08
Fwd EY7.15%
FCF(TTM)9.36
FCFY9.45%
OCF(TTM)19.14
OCFY19.32%
SpS156.44
BVpS71.97
TBVpS-78.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
Graham Number108.43
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROCE | 6.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.02% | ||
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% | ||
| FCFM | 5.98% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.31% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.27 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
F-Score4
WACC6.72%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
EPS Next Y-2.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
Revenue Next Year3.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y4.46%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year66.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.79%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-2.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y7.15%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
What is the valuation status for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of POST HOLDINGS INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.65 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.38.
What is the earnings growth outlook for POST HOLDINGS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to decline by -2.43% in the next year.