POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:POST - US7374461041 - Common Stock
107.2 USD
+1.33 (+1.26%)
107.2 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, POST scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. POST was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of POST get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. POST has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POST had positive earnings in the past year.
POST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years POST has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years POST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of POST (2.74%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 9.17%, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.11% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Return On Invested Capital of 5.17% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. POST outperforms 59.77% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for POST is significantly below the industry average of 28.37%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.25%) for POST is below the current ROIC(5.17%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.74% | ||
| ROE | 9.17% | ||
| ROIC | 5.17% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)2.7%
ROE(3y)13.35%
ROE(5y)9.23%
ROIC(3y)4.25%
ROIC(5y)3.95%
1.3 Margins
POST has a Profit Margin of 4.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
POST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
POST has a better Operating Margin (10.50%) than 77.01% of its industry peers.
POST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 29.20%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.82% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of POST has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.5% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.62% | ||
| GM | 29.2% |
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3Y11.41%
PM growth 5Y16.66%
GM growth 3Y0.49%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
POST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, POST has less shares outstanding
POST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
POST has an Altman-Z score of 1.53. This is a bad value and indicates that POST is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
POST has a Altman-Z score of 1.53. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 41.38% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 16.98, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 16.98 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST (16.98) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.84 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
POST has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.84) than 86.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.84 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.98 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.53 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC6.51%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.60 indicates that POST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.60, POST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.16% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that POST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.84, POST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.6 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.18% over the past year.
POST shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.76% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.80% in the past year.
POST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.88% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.18%
EPS 3Y38.11%
EPS 5Y4.76%
EPS Q2Q%31.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y6.88%
Sales Q2Q%1.88%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.46% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.72% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y13.69%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y12.77%
EPS Next 5Y2.46%
Revenue Next Year3.56%
Revenue Next 2Y5.21%
Revenue Next 3Y3.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.72%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.00, which indicates a correct valuation of POST.
POST's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 64.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.51, POST is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.53, POST is valued correctly.
POST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 73.56% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.98. POST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
POST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.08 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
POST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as POST's earnings are expected to grow with 12.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)3.36
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y12.77%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
107.2
+1.33 (+1.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.18%
Inst Owner Change-2.3%
Ins Owners2.48%
Ins Owner Change7.6%
Market Cap5.82B
Revenue(TTM)7.92B
Net Income(TTM)366.30M
Analysts81.25
Price Target128.19 (19.58%)
Short Float %8.19%
Short Ratio6.17
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)17.95%
Min EPS beat(2)15.09%
Max EPS beat(2)20.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.43%
Min EPS beat(4)12.12%
Max EPS beat(4)21.7%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)21.95%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)28.56%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)30.45%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.3%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.02%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.04%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.54%
PT rev (1m)-0.21%
PT rev (3m)-0.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.53 | ||
| P/S | 0.74 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.25 | ||
| P/B | 1.46 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.08 |
EPS(TTM)6.7
EY6.25%
EPS(NY)7.92
Fwd EY7.39%
FCF(TTM)7.97
FCFY7.43%
OCF(TTM)17.16
OCFY16.01%
SpS145.82
BVpS73.57
TBVpS-70.07
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)3.36
Graham Number105.31
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.74% | ||
| ROE | 9.17% | ||
| ROCE | 6.73% | ||
| ROIC | 5.17% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.65% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.28% | ||
| OM | 10.5% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.62% | ||
| GM | 29.2% | ||
| FCFM | 5.46% |
ROA(3y)4.04%
ROA(5y)2.7%
ROE(3y)13.35%
ROE(5y)9.23%
ROIC(3y)4.25%
ROIC(5y)3.95%
ROICexc(3y)4.5%
ROICexc(5y)4.24%
ROICexgc(3y)16.24%
ROICexgc(5y)15.92%
ROCE(3y)5.53%
ROCE(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc growth 3Y12.41%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.92%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.02%
OM growth 3Y1.07%
OM growth 5Y-4.6%
PM growth 3Y11.41%
PM growth 5Y16.66%
GM growth 3Y0.49%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.84 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 16.98 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.51 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.31% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.91% | ||
| Profit Quality | 118.13% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.6 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.53 |
F-Score6
WACC6.51%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)77.21%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)100.74%
Profit Quality(5y)9882.92%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.18%
EPS 3Y38.11%
EPS 5Y4.76%
EPS Q2Q%31.82%
EPS Next Y13.69%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y12.77%
EPS Next 5Y2.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.8%
Revenue growth 3Y16.73%
Revenue growth 5Y6.88%
Sales Q2Q%1.88%
Revenue Next Year3.56%
Revenue Next 2Y5.21%
Revenue Next 3Y3.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.72%
EBIT growth 1Y3.13%
EBIT growth 3Y17.98%
EBIT growth 5Y1.97%
EBIT Next Year81.72%
EBIT Next 3Y24.76%
EBIT Next 5Y6.4%
FCF growth 1Y21.85%
FCF growth 3Y8.27%
FCF growth 5Y3.93%
OCF growth 1Y44.56%
OCF growth 3Y16.57%
OCF growth 5Y6.25%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
Can you provide the valuation status for POST HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for POST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.46.
What is the expected EPS growth for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to grow by 13.69% in the next year.