POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:POST - US7374461041 - Common Stock
101 USD
+0.17 (+0.17%)
101 USD
0 (0%)
POST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. POST has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. POST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year POST was profitable.
In the past year POST had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years POST has been profitable.
In the past 5 years POST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.48%, POST is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.72% of the companies in the same industry.
POST has a Return On Equity of 8.94%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 73.56% of its industry peers.
POST has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.22%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 60.92% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for POST is significantly below the industry average of 28.50%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.22%) for POST is above the 3 year average (4.97%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
1.3 Margins
POST has a better Profit Margin (4.11%) than 70.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of POST has grown nicely.
POST has a Operating Margin of 10.28%. This is in the better half of the industry: POST outperforms 77.01% of its industry peers.
POST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 28.68%, POST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.82% of the companies in the same industry.
POST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% |
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POST is destroying value.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
POST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, POST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.42, we must say that POST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.42, POST is doing worse than 60.92% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POST is 15.21, which is on the high side as it means it would take POST, 15.21 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
POST has a Debt to FCF ratio of 15.21. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POST outperforms 57.47% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.98 is on the high side and indicates that POST has dependencies on debt financing.
POST's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.98 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. POST is outperformed by 85.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC6.83%
2.3 Liquidity
POST has a Current Ratio of 1.67. This is a normal value and indicates that POST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.67, POST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.17% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.95 indicates that POST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
POST has a Quick ratio (0.95) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
POST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.79%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 21.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.97% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, POST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
3.2 Future
POST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.56% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, POST will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -6.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-2.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue Next Year3.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
POST is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.91.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.97% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.61. POST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
POST is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.26.
POST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. POST is cheaper than 70.11% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.01, POST is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, POST is valued a bit cheaper than 64.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, POST is valued cheaper than 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.17 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of POST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.65
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for POST!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
101
+0.17 (+0.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.56%
Inst Owner Change-2.32%
Ins Owners3.21%
Ins Owner Change5.2%
Market Cap5.27B
Revenue(TTM)8.16B
Net Income(TTM)335.70M
Analysts81.25
Price Target125.22 (23.98%)
Short Float %9.08%
Short Ratio5.41
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)15.09%
Min EPS beat(2)9.38%
Max EPS beat(2)20.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)14.35%
Min EPS beat(4)9.38%
Max EPS beat(4)20.81%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)20.74%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)27.69%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)34.42%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.04%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.16%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.42%
PT rev (1m)-2.31%
PT rev (3m)-2.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-10.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)-10.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.33%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.26 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.79 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.28 | ||
| P/B | 1.4 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.17 |
EPS(TTM)7.26
EY7.19%
EPS(NY)7.08
Fwd EY7.01%
FCF(TTM)9.36
FCFY9.27%
OCF(TTM)19.14
OCFY18.95%
SpS156.44
BVpS71.97
TBVpS-78.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.65
Graham Number108.43
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.48% | ||
| ROE | 8.94% | ||
| ROCE | 6.81% | ||
| ROIC | 5.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.29% | ||
| ROICexgc | 15.02% | ||
| OM | 10.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.11% | ||
| GM | 28.68% | ||
| FCFM | 5.98% |
ROA(3y)2.64%
ROA(5y)3.19%
ROE(3y)8.58%
ROE(5y)11.02%
ROIC(3y)4.97%
ROIC(5y)4.25%
ROICexc(3y)5.13%
ROICexc(5y)4.46%
ROICexgc(3y)16.78%
ROICexgc(5y)15.37%
ROCE(3y)6.48%
ROCE(5y)5.54%
ROICexgc growth 3Y4.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.01%
OM growth 3Y13.11%
OM growth 5Y-2.17%
PM growth 3Y-31.73%
PM growth 5Y199.83%
GM growth 3Y4.57%
GM growth 5Y-1.4%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.6
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.98 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 15.21 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 97.31% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.27 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 73.25% | ||
| Profit Quality | 145.4% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.67 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.42 |
F-Score4
WACC6.83%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)87.27%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.95%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.34%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.85%
Profit Quality(3y)143.6%
Profit Quality(5y)137%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.79%
EPS 3Y51.93%
EPS 5Y21.52%
EPS Q2Q%36.6%
EPS Next Y-2.43%
EPS Next 2Y7.68%
EPS Next 3Y9.29%
EPS Next 5Y0.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.97%
Revenue growth 3Y11.72%
Revenue growth 5Y11.61%
Sales Q2Q%11.79%
Revenue Next Year3.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.72%
Revenue Next 3Y1.31%
Revenue Next 5Y-6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y4.46%
EBIT growth 3Y26.36%
EBIT growth 5Y9.19%
EBIT Next Year66.61%
EBIT Next 3Y20.79%
EBIT Next 5Y4.46%
FCF growth 1Y-2.81%
FCF growth 3Y56.52%
FCF growth 5Y4.54%
OCF growth 1Y7.15%
OCF growth 3Y37.67%
OCF growth 5Y9.8%
POST HOLDINGS INC / POST FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for POST stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to POST.
Can you provide the valuation status for POST HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to POST HOLDINGS INC (POST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for POST stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is 13.91 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.4.
What is the expected EPS growth for POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of POST HOLDINGS INC (POST) is expected to decline by -2.43% in the next year.