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PONY AI INC (PONY) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:PONY - Nasdaq - US7329081084 - ADR - Currency: USD

4.16  -0.02 (-0.48%)

Premarket: 4.43 +0.27 (+6.49%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to PONY. PONY was compared to 285 industry peers in the Software industry. PONY scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. PONY is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PONY has reported negative net income.
In the past year PONY has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
PONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPONY Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50M -100M -150M -200M -250M

1.2 Ratios

PONY has a Return On Assets of -33.09%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PONY underperforms 76.14% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of PONY (-35.95%) is worse than 63.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -33.09%
ROE -35.95%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPONY Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2021 2022 2023 2024 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of PONY (20.15%) is worse than 82.11% of its industry peers.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for PONY so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.15%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
PONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPONY Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K -2.5K

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6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PONY does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for PONY remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
PONY has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
PONY Yearly Shares OutstandingPONY Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
PONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPONY Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 14.21 indicates that PONY is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
PONY's Altman-Z score of 14.21 is amongst the best of the industry. PONY outperforms 91.23% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that PONY is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, PONY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 14.21
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC9.51%
PONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPONY Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 13.45 indicates that PONY has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 13.45, PONY belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.84% of the companies in the same industry.
PONY has a Quick Ratio of 13.45. This indicates that PONY is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
PONY's Quick ratio of 13.45 is amongst the best of the industry. PONY outperforms 96.84% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 13.45
Quick Ratio 13.45
PONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPONY Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for PONY have decreased strongly by -47.10% in the last year.
PONY shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -28.45%.
PONY shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 109.86% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-47.1%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-44.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.45%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-50.6%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 1.74% on average over the next years.
PONY is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 35.06% yearly.
EPS Next Y24.06%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y1.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year20.39%
Revenue Next 2Y47.29%
Revenue Next 3Y35.06%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
PONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPONY Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 50M 100M 150M
PONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPONY Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2024 2025 2026 2027 -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

PONY reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year PONY is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
PONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPONY Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
PONY Per share dataPONY EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y1.74%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for PONY!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PONY AI INC

NASDAQ:PONY (4/22/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

Premarket: 4.43 +0.27 (+6.49%)

4.16

-0.02 (-0.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)03-25 2025-03-25/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners22.64%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.45B
Analysts86
Price Target22.19 (433.41%)
Short Float %1.28%
Short Ratio1.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-9%
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-26.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 15.02
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.27
P/tB 2.27
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.82
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.41
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.33
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.32
OCFYN/A
SpS0.28
BVpS1.83
TBVpS1.83
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -33.09%
ROE -35.95%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.15%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-20.66%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)-22.68%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 45.63%
Cap/Sales 5.26%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 13.45
Quick Ratio 13.45
Altman-Z 14.21
F-Score3
WACC9.51%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-47.1%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-44.96%
EPS Next Y24.06%
EPS Next 2Y12.36%
EPS Next 3Y1.74%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.45%
Revenue growth 3Y109.86%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-50.6%
Revenue Next Year20.39%
Revenue Next 2Y47.29%
Revenue Next 3Y35.06%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-99.33%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year9.14%
EBIT Next 3Y0.09%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A