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CARNIVAL PLC (POH1.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:POH1 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - GB0031215220 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

23.72  -0.25 (-1.04%)

Fundamental Rating

2

POH1 gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 53 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. Both the profitability and financial health of POH1 have multiple concerns. POH1 has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year POH1 was profitable.
POH1 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years POH1 always reported negative net income.
In the past 5 years POH1 reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
POH1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPOH1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.82%, POH1 is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
POH1 has a Return On Equity of 13.27%. This is in the better half of the industry: POH1 outperforms 68.89% of its industry peers.
POH1 has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.53%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: POH1 outperforms 42.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 13.27%
ROIC 5.53%
ROA(3y)-9.92%
ROA(5y)-8.44%
ROE(3y)-55.19%
ROE(5y)-40.71%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
POH1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPOH1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

POH1 has a worse Profit Margin (3.86%) than 62.22% of its industry peers.
POH1's Operating Margin of 12.13% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. POH1 outperforms 48.89% of its industry peers.
POH1's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of POH1 (35.78%) is worse than 73.33% of its industry peers.
POH1's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.13%
PM (TTM) 3.86%
GM 35.78%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-12.45%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-3.97%
POH1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPOH1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so POH1 is destroying value.
POH1 has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
POH1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingPOH1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
POH1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPOH1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.88, we must say that POH1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
POH1's Altman-Z score of 0.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. POH1 is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
POH1 has a debt to FCF ratio of 18.41. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as POH1 would need 18.41 years to pay back of all of its debts.
POH1 has a Debt to FCF ratio of 18.41. This is in the lower half of the industry: POH1 underperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
POH1 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.99. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of POH1 (3.99) is worse than 68.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.99
Debt/FCF 18.41
Altman-Z 0.88
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC6.67%
POH1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPOH1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

POH1 has a Current Ratio of 0.28. This is a bad value and indicates that POH1 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.28, POH1 is doing worse than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.24 indicates that POH1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
POH1 has a Quick ratio of 0.24. This is amonst the worse of the industry: POH1 underperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.28
Quick Ratio 0.24
POH1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPOH1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

POH1 shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1650.56%, which is quite impressive.
POH1 shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -20.48% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1650.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%10.02%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.42% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.98% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y28.56%
EPS Next 2Y23.72%
EPS Next 3Y21.77%
EPS Next 5Y18.42%
Revenue Next Year5.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.39%
Revenue Next 3Y3.96%
Revenue Next 5Y3.98%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
POH1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPOH1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
POH1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPOH1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 2 -2 4 -4 -6

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.70, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of POH1.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, POH1 is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of POH1 to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.47), we can say POH1 is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.82, POH1 is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, POH1 is valued a bit cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 92.74, POH1 is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.7
Fwd PE 13.82
POH1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPOH1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

POH1's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
POH1's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.14
EV/EBITDA 11.32
POH1.DE Per share dataPOH1.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

POH1's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as POH1's earnings are expected to grow with 21.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.72%
EPS Next 3Y21.77%

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

POH1 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.91%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.78, POH1 pays a better dividend. On top of this POH1 pays more dividend than 91.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, POH1 pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
POH1.DE Yearly Dividends per sharePOH1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y23.72%
EPS Next 3Y21.77%
POH1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPOH1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B -4B -6B -8B -10B

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CARNIVAL PLC

FRA:POH1 (2/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

23.72

-0.25 (-1.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)12-20 2024-12-20/dmh
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners44.76%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap31.04B
Analysts78.95
Price Target24.47 (3.16%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.91%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)557.89%
Min EPS beat(2)14.87%
Max EPS beat(2)1100.9%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)292.13%
Min EPS beat(4)4.61%
Max EPS beat(4)1100.9%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)96.62%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)58.85%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)42.31%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.07%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.39%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.58%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-27.38%
PT rev (1m)14.87%
PT rev (3m)20.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.7
Fwd PE 13.82
P/S 1.37
P/FCF 20.14
P/OCF 4.89
P/B 4.71
P/tB 6.33
EV/EBITDA 11.32
EPS(TTM)1.34
EY5.65%
EPS(NY)1.72
Fwd EY7.24%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY4.96%
OCF(TTM)4.85
OCFY20.45%
SpS17.33
BVpS5.04
TBVpS3.75
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.82%
ROE 13.27%
ROCE 7.85%
ROIC 5.53%
ROICexc 5.79%
ROICexgc 6.1%
OM 12.13%
PM (TTM) 3.86%
GM 35.78%
FCFM 6.8%
ROA(3y)-9.92%
ROA(5y)-8.44%
ROE(3y)-55.19%
ROE(5y)-40.71%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-12.64%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.2%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-12.45%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-3.97%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.99
Debt/FCF 18.41
Debt/EBITDA 5.14
Cap/Depr 203.82%
Cap/Sales 21.2%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 124.23%
Profit Quality 176.22%
Current Ratio 0.28
Quick Ratio 0.24
Altman-Z 0.88
F-Score7
WACC6.67%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)172.41%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)81.62%
Cap/Sales(5y)67.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1650.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%300%
EPS Next Y28.56%
EPS Next 2Y23.72%
EPS Next 3Y21.77%
EPS Next 5Y18.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%10.02%
Revenue Next Year5.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.39%
Revenue Next 3Y3.96%
Revenue Next 5Y3.98%
EBIT growth 1Y374.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-10.07%
EBIT Next Year226.4%
EBIT Next 3Y55.12%
EBIT Next 5Y32.8%
FCF growth 1Y122.35%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-11.15%
OCF growth 1Y367.18%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-5.06%