CARNIVAL PLC (POH1.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
FRA:POH1 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - GB0031215220 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
POH1 gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 55 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of POH1 while its profitability can be described as average. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on POH1.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
POH1 had positive earnings in the past year.
POH1 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years POH1 reported 4 times negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: POH1 reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.91%, POH1 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 20.71%, POH1 belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
POH1 has a Return On Invested Capital (6.72%) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.91% | ||
| ROE | 20.71% | ||
| ROIC | 6.72% |
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.66%, POH1 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
POH1's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
POH1 has a better Operating Margin (14.29%) than 74.55% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of POH1 has declined.
POH1 has a Gross Margin (37.50%) which is in line with its industry peers.
POH1's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.29% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.66% | ||
| GM | 37.5% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), POH1 is creating some value.
POH1 has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, POH1 has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, POH1 has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.98, we must say that POH1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.98, POH1 perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.82% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of POH1 is 21.18, which is on the high side as it means it would take POH1, 21.18 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 21.18, POH1 is not doing good in the industry: 63.64% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.80 is on the high side and indicates that POH1 has dependencies on debt financing.
POH1 has a Debt to Equity ratio (2.80) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.8 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
ROIC/WACC1.06
WACC6.36%
2.3 Liquidity
POH1 has a Current Ratio of 0.29. This is a bad value and indicates that POH1 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
POH1 has a Current ratio of 0.29. This is amonst the worse of the industry: POH1 underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.25 indicates that POH1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
POH1 has a Quick ratio of 0.25. This is amonst the worse of the industry: POH1 underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1650.56% over the past year.
The earnings per share for POH1 have been decreasing by -20.48% on average. This is quite bad
POH1 shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 15.88%.
Measured over the past years, POH1 shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1650.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%300%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.88%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%10.02%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.42% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.98% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y31.06%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y22.67%
EPS Next 5Y18.42%
Revenue Next Year4.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.39%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y3.98%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 13.62, the valuation of POH1 can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of POH1 indicates a rather cheap valuation: POH1 is cheaper than 89.09% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.35, POH1 is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.39, the valuation of POH1 can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of POH1 indicates a rather cheap valuation: POH1 is cheaper than 89.09% of the companies listed in the same industry.
POH1's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.39 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of POH1 indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: POH1 is cheaper than 69.09% of the companies listed in the same industry.
POH1's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as POH1's earnings are expected to grow with 22.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y22.67%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
POH1 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.91%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of POH1 dropped by -23.59% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.93, POH1 pays a better dividend. On top of this POH1 pays more dividend than 89.09% of the companies listed in the same industry.
POH1's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.33.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.91% |
5.2 History
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y22.67%
FRA:POH1 (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
17.3
-0.95 (-5.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners46.68%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.6%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.64B
Analysts78.95
Price Target25.16 (45.43%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.91% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)31.08%
Min EPS beat(2)5.33%
Max EPS beat(2)56.83%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)294.48%
Min EPS beat(4)5.33%
Max EPS beat(4)1100.9%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)157.1%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)66.9%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)46.76%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.1%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.4%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-6.18%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-15.79%
PT rev (1m)2.8%
PT rev (3m)18.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.53%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.39 | ||
| P/S | 0.98 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.95 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.15 | ||
| P/B | 2.66 | ||
| P/tB | 3.27 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.29 |
EPS(TTM)1.27
EY7.34%
EPS(NY)1.67
Fwd EY9.63%
FCF(TTM)0.91
FCFY5.28%
OCF(TTM)4.17
OCFY24.09%
SpS17.61
BVpS6.51
TBVpS5.28
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.91% | ||
| ROE | 20.71% | ||
| ROCE | 9.55% | ||
| ROIC | 6.72% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.3% | ||
| OM | 14.29% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.66% | ||
| GM | 37.5% | ||
| FCFM | 5.18% |
ROA(3y)-2.68%
ROA(5y)-8.99%
ROE(3y)-22.21%
ROE(5y)-38.93%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.03%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.43%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-1.91%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-11.81%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.8 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 21.18 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.23 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 180.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 18.49% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 96.59% | ||
| Profit Quality | 67.69% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.29 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.25 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.98 |
F-Score7
WACC6.36%
ROIC/WACC1.06
Cap/Depr(3y)178.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)171.94%
Cap/Sales(3y)24.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)65.61%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1650.56%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.48%
EPS Q2Q%300%
EPS Next Y31.06%
EPS Next 2Y25.48%
EPS Next 3Y22.67%
EPS Next 5Y18.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.88%
Revenue growth 3Y135.82%
Revenue growth 5Y3.74%
Sales Q2Q%10.02%
Revenue Next Year4.76%
Revenue Next 2Y4.39%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y3.98%
EBIT growth 1Y82.77%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y1.76%
EBIT Next Year88.54%
EBIT Next 3Y26.73%
EBIT Next 5Y18.09%
FCF growth 1Y30.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y94.16%
OCF growth 1Y38.36%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y1.58%