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POSTNL NV (PNL.AS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

AMS:PNL - Euronext Amsterdam - NL0009739416 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

0.987  +0 (+0.3%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, PNL scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PNL was compared to 13 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. PNL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. PNL is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PNL was profitable.
PNL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years PNL 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years PNL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
PNL.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPNL.AS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of PNL (0.80%) is worse than 91.67% of its industry peers.
PNL has a Return On Equity of 12.75%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PNL underperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
PNL has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.68%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PNL underperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
PNL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.02%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.26%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (2.68%) for PNL is well below the 3 year average (8.02%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PNL had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.8%
ROE 12.75%
ROIC 2.68%
ROA(3y)-10.61%
ROA(5y)-4.4%
ROE(3y)-157.64%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.02%
ROIC(5y)9.1%
PNL.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPNL.AS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200 -200 400 -400

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.59%, PNL is doing worse than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
PNL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of PNL (1.40%) is worse than 91.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PNL has declined.
The Gross Margin of PNL (45.83%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PNL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.4%
PM (TTM) 0.59%
GM 45.83%
OM growth 3Y-27.81%
OM growth 5Y-16.4%
PM growth 3Y-35.72%
PM growth 5Y7.86%
GM growth 3Y-2.95%
GM growth 5Y-1.34%
PNL.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPNL.AS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PNL is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for PNL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, PNL has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for PNL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
PNL.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingPNL.AS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
PNL.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPNL.AS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

PNL has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as PNL would need 13.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 13.19, PNL is doing worse than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
PNL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.52. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.52, PNL is doing worse than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.52
Debt/FCF 13.19
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.78
WACC3.41%
PNL.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPNL.AS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

PNL has a Current Ratio of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that PNL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of PNL (0.95) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
PNL has a Quick Ratio of 0.95. This is a bad value and indicates that PNL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of PNL (0.94) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.95
Quick Ratio 0.94
PNL.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPNL.AS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

PNL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 326.92%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for PNL have been decreasing by -23.07% on average. This is quite bad
PNL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.46%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.69% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)326.92%
EPS 3Y-30.45%
EPS 5Y-23.07%
EPS Q2Q%-110%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.46%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y2.69%
Sales Q2Q%4.71%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PNL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.02% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, PNL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.58% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-36.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.84%
EPS Next 5Y16.02%
Revenue Next Year0.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y2%
Revenue Next 5Y3.58%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
PNL.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPNL.AS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B
PNL.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPNL.AS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.97 indicates a reasonable valuation of PNL.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PNL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
PNL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.33, which indicates a very decent valuation of PNL.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PNL indicates a rather cheap valuation: PNL is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
PNL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 92.74.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.97
Fwd PE 8.33
PNL.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPNL.AS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

PNL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PNL is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
83.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PNL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.16
EV/EBITDA 4.57
PNL.AS Per share dataPNL.AS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.84%

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.09%, PNL is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.02, PNL pays a better dividend. On top of this PNL pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, PNL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.09%

5.2 History

The dividend of PNL decreases each year by -15.43%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.43%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
PNL.AS Yearly Dividends per sharePNL.AS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

115.79% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PNL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP115.79%
EPS Next 2Y3.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.84%
PNL.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPNL.AS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M -600M -800M
PNL.AS Dividend Payout.PNL.AS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PNL.AS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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POSTNL NV

AMS:PNL (2/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

0.987

+0 (+0.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)11-04 2024-11-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-24 2025-02-24/amc
Inst Owners49.71%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.11%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap495.58M
Analysts49.33
Price Target1.14 (15.5%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.09%
Yearly Dividend0.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.43%
DP115.79%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-29.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.4%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.57%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.57%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.91%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.26%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.78%
PT rev (1m)-2.35%
PT rev (3m)-7.31%
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.42%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-24.79%
EPS NY rev (3m)-24.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.97
Fwd PE 8.33
P/S 0.15
P/FCF 5.16
P/OCF 2.42
P/B 3.33
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.57
EPS(TTM)0.11
EY11.14%
EPS(NY)0.12
Fwd EY12.01%
FCF(TTM)0.19
FCFY19.37%
OCF(TTM)0.41
OCFY41.37%
SpS6.38
BVpS0.3
TBVpS-0.53
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.8%
ROE 12.75%
ROCE 3.87%
ROIC 2.68%
ROICexc 6.71%
ROICexgc 61.09%
OM 1.4%
PM (TTM) 0.59%
GM 45.83%
FCFM 3%
ROA(3y)-10.61%
ROA(5y)-4.4%
ROE(3y)-157.64%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.02%
ROIC(5y)9.1%
ROICexc(3y)17.59%
ROICexc(5y)18.44%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.59%
ROCE(5y)13.14%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.71%
OM growth 3Y-27.81%
OM growth 5Y-16.4%
PM growth 3Y-35.72%
PM growth 5Y7.86%
GM growth 3Y-2.95%
GM growth 5Y-1.34%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.52
Debt/FCF 13.19
Debt/EBITDA 3.55
Cap/Depr 58.29%
Cap/Sales 3.4%
Interest Coverage 1.5
Cash Conversion 88.36%
Profit Quality 505.26%
Current Ratio 0.95
Quick Ratio 0.94
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC3.41%
ROIC/WACC0.78
Cap/Depr(3y)84.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)67.58%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.15%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.42%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)326.92%
EPS 3Y-30.45%
EPS 5Y-23.07%
EPS Q2Q%-110%
EPS Next Y-36.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.35%
EPS Next 3Y8.84%
EPS Next 5Y16.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.46%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.93%
Revenue growth 5Y2.69%
Sales Q2Q%4.71%
Revenue Next Year0.93%
Revenue Next 2Y1.78%
Revenue Next 3Y2%
Revenue Next 5Y3.58%
EBIT growth 1Y103.47%
EBIT growth 3Y-28.48%
EBIT growth 5Y-14.15%
EBIT Next Year171.33%
EBIT Next 3Y49.13%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y10.34%
FCF growth 3Y2.56%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-13.5%
OCF growth 3Y10.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A