PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:PKG - US6951561090 - Common Stock
203.49 USD
+2.23 (+1.11%)
203.49 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, PKG scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PKG was compared to 22 industry peers in the Containers & Packaging industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making PKG a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. PKG is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. These ratings could make PKG a good candidate for quality investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
PKG had positive earnings in the past year.
PKG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
PKG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years PKG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
PKG has a better Return On Assets (8.08%) than 95.45% of its industry peers.
PKG has a Return On Equity of 18.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PKG outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of PKG (9.72%) is better than 81.82% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PKG is significantly above the industry average of 7.62%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.08% | ||
| ROE | 18.66% | ||
| ROIC | 9.72% |
ROA(3y)10.19%
ROA(5y)9.47%
ROE(3y)21.67%
ROE(5y)20.45%
ROIC(3y)12.69%
ROIC(5y)12.31%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of PKG (10.12%) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PKG has remained more or less at the same level.
PKG has a better Operating Margin (14.49%) than 95.45% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PKG has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 21.79%, PKG perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.09% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PKG has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.12% | ||
| GM | 21.79% |
OM growth 3Y-6.17%
OM growth 5Y-2.42%
PM growth 3Y-4.05%
PM growth 5Y-0.79%
GM growth 3Y-4.25%
GM growth 5Y-2.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PKG is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PKG has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, PKG has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, PKG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
PKG has an Altman-Z score of 3.73. This indicates that PKG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
PKG has a Altman-Z score of 3.73. This is amongst the best in the industry. PKG outperforms 95.45% of its industry peers.
PKG has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.50. This is a neutral value as PKG would need 5.50 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PKG's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.50 is amongst the best of the industry. PKG outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84 indicates that PKG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
PKG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.84. This is in the better half of the industry: PKG outperforms 68.18% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.84 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.5 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.73 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC8.34%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.16 indicates that PKG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 3.16, PKG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 2.00 indicates that PKG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
PKG has a Quick ratio of 2.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. PKG outperforms 95.45% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.83% over the past year.
PKG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.40% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.30% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, PKG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.83%
EPS 3Y-1.26%
EPS 5Y3.4%
EPS Q2Q%3.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.3%
Revenue growth 3Y2.74%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%6%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 11.96% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 7.36% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y13.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.53%
EPS Next 5Y11.96%
Revenue Next Year8.61%
Revenue Next 2Y11.05%
Revenue Next 3Y8.41%
Revenue Next 5Y7.36%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.37, PKG is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PKG is valued a bit more expensive than 68.18% of the companies in the same industry.
PKG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
PKG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.33.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PKG is valued a bit more expensive than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.12, PKG is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.33 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PKG indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: PKG is more expensive than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PKG is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.33 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.68 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PKG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PKG has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.74
PEG (5Y)6
EPS Next 2Y13.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.53%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PKG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.61%.
PKG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.50.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, PKG has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.61% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of PKG grows each year by 9.64%, which is quite nice.
PKG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
PKG has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.64%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
5.3 Sustainability
50.65% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PKG. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
PKG's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP50.65%
EPS Next 2Y13.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.53%
203.49
+2.23 (+1.11%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners93.63%
Inst Owner Change6.88%
Ins Owners1.58%
Ins Owner Change-1.65%
Market Cap18.31B
Revenue(TTM)8.77B
Net Income(TTM)887.30M
Analysts72.5
Price Target229.58 (12.82%)
Short Float %3.03%
Short Ratio3.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.61% |
Yearly Dividend5
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.64%
DP50.65%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.83%
Max EPS beat(2)0.77%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.83%
Max EPS beat(4)3.62%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.54%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.75%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)5.99%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.56%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.88%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.19%
PT rev (1m)4.34%
PT rev (3m)6.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.22%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.11%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.38%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.92%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.33 | ||
| P/S | 2.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.33 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.75 | ||
| P/B | 3.85 | ||
| P/tB | 6.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.68 |
EPS(TTM)9.99
EY4.91%
EPS(NY)11.74
Fwd EY5.77%
FCF(TTM)8.04
FCFY3.95%
OCF(TTM)15.96
OCFY7.84%
SpS97.49
BVpS52.85
TBVpS31.84
PEG (NY)1.74
PEG (5Y)6
Graham Number108.99
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.08% | ||
| ROE | 18.66% | ||
| ROCE | 12.87% | ||
| ROIC | 9.72% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.5% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.23% | ||
| OM | 14.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 10.12% | ||
| GM | 21.79% | ||
| FCFM | 8.24% |
ROA(3y)10.19%
ROA(5y)9.47%
ROE(3y)21.67%
ROE(5y)20.45%
ROIC(3y)12.69%
ROIC(5y)12.31%
ROICexc(3y)14.1%
ROICexc(5y)13.85%
ROICexgc(3y)17.07%
ROICexgc(5y)16.99%
ROCE(3y)16.8%
ROCE(5y)16.3%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-8.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.79%
OM growth 3Y-6.17%
OM growth 5Y-2.42%
PM growth 3Y-4.05%
PM growth 5Y-0.79%
GM growth 3Y-4.25%
GM growth 5Y-2.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.84 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.5 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.16 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 125.76% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.13% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 13.66 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 81.48% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.16 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.73 |
F-Score5
WACC8.34%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)133.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.63%
Profit Quality(3y)80.36%
Profit Quality(5y)86.35%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.83%
EPS 3Y-1.26%
EPS 5Y3.4%
EPS Q2Q%3.02%
EPS Next Y11.68%
EPS Next 2Y13.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.53%
EPS Next 5Y11.96%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.3%
Revenue growth 3Y2.74%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%6%
Revenue Next Year8.61%
Revenue Next 2Y11.05%
Revenue Next 3Y8.41%
Revenue Next 5Y7.36%
EBIT growth 1Y14.88%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.6%
EBIT growth 5Y1.26%
EBIT Next Year64.72%
EBIT Next 3Y24.72%
EBIT Next 5Y18.55%
FCF growth 1Y-11.97%
FCF growth 3Y2.17%
FCF growth 5Y-8.36%
OCF growth 1Y2.6%
OCF growth 3Y2.87%
OCF growth 5Y-0.27%
PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA / PKG FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for PKG stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PKG.
What is the valuation status of PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of PKG stock?
PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PKG stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) is expected to grow by 11.68% in the next year.
Is the dividend of PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA sustainable?
The dividend rating of PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 50.65%.