PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:PKG • US6951561090

Current stock price

204.46 USD
-6.81 (-3.22%)
At close:
204.46 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This PKG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. PKG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PKG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year PKG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years PKG has been profitable.
  • PKG had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
PKG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPKG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.17%, PKG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PKG's Return On Equity of 16.72% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PKG outperforms 77.27% of its industry peers.
  • PKG's Return On Invested Capital of 9.55% is amongst the best of the industry. PKG outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
  • PKG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.66%. This is above the industry average of 7.18%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 16.72%
ROIC 9.55%
ROA(3y)8.32%
ROA(5y)9.68%
ROE(3y)17.95%
ROE(5y)20.97%
ROIC(3y)10.66%
ROIC(5y)12.3%
PKG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPKG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • PKG's Profit Margin of 8.55% is amongst the best of the industry. PKG outperforms 86.36% of its industry peers.
  • PKG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 13.67%, PKG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.45% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PKG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • PKG has a Gross Margin of 21.02%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PKG outperforms 59.09% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PKG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.67%
PM (TTM) 8.55%
GM 21.02%
OM growth 3Y-7.66%
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3Y-10.8%
PM growth 5Y4.48%
GM growth 3Y-5.18%
GM growth 5Y0.19%
PKG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPKG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

7

2. PKG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PKG is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for PKG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, PKG has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for PKG is higher compared to a year ago.
PKG Yearly Shares OutstandingPKG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
PKG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPKG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • PKG has an Altman-Z score of 3.76. This indicates that PKG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.76, PKG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PKG is 5.47, which is a neutral value as it means it would take PKG, 5.47 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of PKG (5.47) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • PKG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.86. This is a neutral value indicating PKG is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.86, PKG is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 5.47
Altman-Z 3.76
ROIC/WACC1.2
WACC7.99%
PKG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPKG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.17 indicates that PKG has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • PKG has a Current ratio of 3.17. This is amongst the best in the industry. PKG outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
  • PKG has a Quick Ratio of 1.94. This is a normal value and indicates that PKG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PKG's Quick ratio of 1.94 is amongst the best of the industry. PKG outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.17
Quick Ratio 1.94
PKG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPKG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. PKG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • PKG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.85%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 11.23% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • PKG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.23%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.19% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.85%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5Y11.23%
EPS Q2Q%-6.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.23%
Revenue growth 3Y1.97%
Revenue growth 5Y6.19%
Sales Q2Q%10.13%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.35% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.08% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.24%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.7%
EPS Next 5Y10.35%
Revenue Next Year12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.1%
Revenue Next 3Y6%
Revenue Next 5Y6.08%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
PKG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPKG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
PKG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPKG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

2

4. PKG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 20.78, the valuation of PKG can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PKG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.18% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.60. PKG is around the same levels.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.68, the valuation of PKG can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PKG is valued a bit more expensive than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PKG to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.84), we can say PKG is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.78
Fwd PE 18.68
PKG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPKG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • PKG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. PKG is more expensive than 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PKG's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.12
EV/EBITDA 11.38
PKG Per share dataPKG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates PKG does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • PKG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.85
PEG (5Y)1.85
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.7%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. PKG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • PKG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.36%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • PKG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 2.58.
  • PKG's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.36%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of PKG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.70%!
  • PKG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • PKG has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
PKG Yearly Dividends per sharePKG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 58.48% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PKG. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • PKG's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP58.48%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.7%
PKG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPKG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
PKG Dividend Payout.PKG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PKG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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PKG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA

NYSE:PKG (4/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 204.46 0 (0%)

204.46

-6.81 (-3.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryContainers & Packaging
Earnings (Last)01-27
Earnings (Next)04-22
Inst Owners98.32%
Inst Owner Change0.47%
Ins Owners1.54%
Ins Owner Change2.45%
Market Cap18.24B
Revenue(TTM)8.99B
Net Income(TTM)768.80M
Analysts74.67
Price Target234.75 (14.81%)
Short Float %6.03%
Short Ratio4.48
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.36%
Yearly Dividend5.02
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.7%
DP58.48%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date03-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.17%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.51%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.83%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.99%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.51%
Max EPS beat(4)3.62%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.7%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.56%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.18%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.87%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.84%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.56%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.98%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.78
Fwd PE 18.68
P/S 2.03
P/FCF 25.12
P/OCF 11.71
P/B 3.97
P/tB 6.95
EV/EBITDA 11.38
EPS(TTM)9.84
EY4.81%
EPS(NY)10.95
Fwd EY5.35%
FCF(TTM)8.14
FCFY3.98%
OCF(TTM)17.46
OCFY8.54%
SpS100.77
BVpS51.54
TBVpS29.41
PEG (NY)1.85
PEG (5Y)1.85
Graham Number106.82
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.17%
ROE 16.72%
ROCE 12.65%
ROIC 9.55%
ROICexc 10.34%
ROICexgc 13.25%
OM 13.67%
PM (TTM) 8.55%
GM 21.02%
FCFM 8.08%
ROA(3y)8.32%
ROA(5y)9.68%
ROE(3y)17.95%
ROE(5y)20.97%
ROIC(3y)10.66%
ROIC(5y)12.3%
ROICexc(3y)11.98%
ROICexc(5y)13.59%
ROICexgc(3y)14.69%
ROICexgc(5y)16.7%
ROCE(3y)14.13%
ROCE(5y)16.3%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-13.5%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y-14.91%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.24%
OM growth 3Y-7.66%
OM growth 5Y1.58%
PM growth 3Y-10.8%
PM growth 5Y4.48%
GM growth 3Y-5.18%
GM growth 5Y0.19%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.86
Debt/FCF 5.47
Debt/EBITDA 2.11
Cap/Depr 127.34%
Cap/Sales 9.25%
Interest Coverage 12.21
Cash Conversion 82.79%
Profit Quality 94.46%
Current Ratio 3.17
Quick Ratio 1.94
Altman-Z 3.76
F-Score4
WACC7.99%
ROIC/WACC1.2
Cap/Depr(3y)115.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)134.7%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.19%
Profit Quality(3y)90.16%
Profit Quality(5y)78.78%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.85%
EPS 3Y-4.02%
EPS 5Y11.23%
EPS Q2Q%-6.07%
EPS Next Y11.24%
EPS Next 2Y11.96%
EPS Next 3Y11.7%
EPS Next 5Y10.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.23%
Revenue growth 3Y1.97%
Revenue growth 5Y6.19%
Sales Q2Q%10.13%
Revenue Next Year12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.1%
Revenue Next 3Y6%
Revenue Next 5Y6.08%
EBIT growth 1Y6.86%
EBIT growth 3Y-5.84%
EBIT growth 5Y7.86%
EBIT Next Year70.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.46%
EBIT Next 5Y16.07%
FCF growth 1Y39.76%
FCF growth 3Y3%
FCF growth 5Y3.71%
OCF growth 1Y30.75%
OCF growth 3Y1.37%
OCF growth 5Y8.56%

PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA / PKG Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for PKG stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PKG.


What is the valuation status for PKG stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) stock?

PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) is expected to grow by 11.24% in the next year.


Is the dividend of PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA sustainable?

The dividend rating of PACKAGING CORP OF AMERICA (PKG) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 58.48%.