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PULTEGROUP INC (PHM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:PHM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US7458671010 - Common Stock

115.81  -1.22 (-1.04%)

After market: 115.198 -0.61 (-0.53%)

Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to PHM. PHM was compared to 67 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. PHM scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. PHM scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. These ratings would make PHM suitable for value and quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PHM was profitable.
PHM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years PHM has been profitable.
PHM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
PHM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPHM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 16.98%, PHM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 24.89%, PHM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.69% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 19.79%, PHM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PHM is significantly above the industry average of 11.99%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (19.79%) for PHM is above the 3 year average (18.34%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.98%
ROE 24.89%
ROIC 19.79%
ROA(3y)16.05%
ROA(5y)13.79%
ROE(3y)26.64%
ROE(5y)23.91%
ROIC(3y)18.34%
ROIC(5y)15.59%
PHM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPHM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of PHM (16.62%) is better than 93.85% of its industry peers.
PHM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.28%, PHM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.85% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PHM has grown nicely.
PHM's Gross Margin of 29.54% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PHM outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
PHM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.28%
PM (TTM) 16.62%
GM 29.54%
OM growth 3Y10.22%
OM growth 5Y9.91%
PM growth 3Y8.52%
PM growth 5Y10.22%
GM growth 3Y5.44%
GM growth 5Y4.84%
PHM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPHM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PHM is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PHM has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for PHM has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PHM has an improved debt to assets ratio.
PHM Yearly Shares OutstandingPHM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
PHM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPHM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

PHM has an Altman-Z score of 5.81. This indicates that PHM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 5.81, PHM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PHM is 1.67, which is an excellent value as it means it would take PHM, only 1.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.67, PHM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
PHM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.19. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.19, PHM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 1.67
Altman-Z 5.81
ROIC/WACC2.33
WACC8.48%
PHM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPHM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.17 indicates that PHM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
PHM has a better Current ratio (4.17) than 72.31% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.42 indicates that PHM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PHM has a worse Quick ratio (0.42) than 90.77% of its industry peers.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for PHM is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.17
Quick Ratio 0.42
PHM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPHM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.36% over the past year.
PHM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 25.08% yearly.
PHM shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.24%.
Measured over the past years, PHM shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.36%
EPS 3Y33.5%
EPS 5Y25.08%
EPS Q2Q%15.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y13.32%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%11.82%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PHM will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.14% on average per year.
PHM is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.77% yearly.
EPS Next Y18.5%
EPS Next 2Y8.51%
EPS Next 3Y9.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.46%
Revenue Next 3Y6.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
PHM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPHM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B
PHM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPHM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

PHM is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.67.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of PHM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PHM is cheaper than 76.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.29. PHM is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.52, the valuation of PHM can be described as very reasonable.
PHM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PHM is cheaper than 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.44, PHM is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.67
Fwd PE 8.52
PHM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPHM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PHM indicates a rather cheap valuation: PHM is cheaper than 83.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
63.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PHM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.51
EV/EBITDA 6.36
PHM Per share dataPHM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PHM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PHM has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.47
PEG (5Y)0.35
EPS Next 2Y8.51%
EPS Next 3Y9.14%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PHM has a yearly dividend return of 0.75%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.90, PHM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.75, PHM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.75%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of PHM grows each year by 12.00%, which is quite nice.
PHM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
PHM has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years11
PHM Yearly Dividends per sharePHM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

5.60% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PHM. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of PHM is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP5.6%
EPS Next 2Y8.51%
EPS Next 3Y9.14%
PHM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPHM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
PHM Dividend Payout.PHM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PHM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PULTEGROUP INC

NYSE:PHM (1/21/2025, 8:20:30 PM)

After market: 115.198 -0.61 (-0.53%)

115.81

-1.22 (-1.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)10-22 2024-10-22/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-30 2025-01-30/amc
Inst Owners93.14%
Inst Owner Change-0.26%
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner Change-3.38%
Market Cap23.75B
Analysts74.55
Price Target150.35 (29.82%)
Short Float %2.36%
Short Ratio2.65
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.75%
Yearly Dividend0.65
Dividend Growth(5Y)12%
DP5.6%
Div Incr Years7
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.47%
Min EPS beat(2)6.7%
Max EPS beat(2)14.24%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.44%
Min EPS beat(4)0.8%
Max EPS beat(4)24.01%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.55%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)10.62%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)9.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.63%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.91%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.35%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.18%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.94%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)8.63%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.64%
PT rev (1m)-2.51%
PT rev (3m)2.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.69%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.67
Fwd PE 8.52
P/S 1.37
P/FCF 18.51
P/OCF 16.95
P/B 2.05
P/tB 2.07
EV/EBITDA 6.36
EPS(TTM)13.36
EY11.54%
EPS(NY)13.59
Fwd EY11.73%
FCF(TTM)6.26
FCFY5.4%
OCF(TTM)6.83
OCFY5.9%
SpS84.45
BVpS56.39
TBVpS55.81
PEG (NY)0.47
PEG (5Y)0.35
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 16.98%
ROE 24.89%
ROCE 27.12%
ROIC 19.79%
ROICexc 21.96%
ROICexgc 25.92%
OM 21.28%
PM (TTM) 16.62%
GM 29.54%
FCFM 7.41%
ROA(3y)16.05%
ROA(5y)13.79%
ROE(3y)26.64%
ROE(5y)23.91%
ROIC(3y)18.34%
ROIC(5y)15.59%
ROICexc(3y)20.83%
ROICexc(5y)18.16%
ROICexgc(3y)22.2%
ROICexgc(5y)19.33%
ROCE(3y)25.36%
ROCE(5y)21.5%
ROICexcg growth 3Y8.79%
ROICexcg growth 5Y11.18%
ROICexc growth 3Y8.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.62%
OM growth 3Y10.22%
OM growth 5Y9.91%
PM growth 3Y8.52%
PM growth 5Y10.22%
GM growth 3Y5.44%
GM growth 5Y4.84%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.19
Debt/FCF 1.67
Debt/EBITDA 0.57
Cap/Depr 137.98%
Cap/Sales 0.69%
Interest Coverage 185.38
Cash Conversion 37.16%
Profit Quality 44.57%
Current Ratio 4.17
Quick Ratio 0.42
Altman-Z 5.81
F-Score6
WACC8.48%
ROIC/WACC2.33
Cap/Depr(3y)125.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)114.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.6%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.58%
Profit Quality(3y)50.26%
Profit Quality(5y)75.16%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.36%
EPS 3Y33.5%
EPS 5Y25.08%
EPS Q2Q%15.12%
EPS Next Y18.5%
EPS Next 2Y8.51%
EPS Next 3Y9.14%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y13.32%
Revenue growth 5Y9.53%
Sales Q2Q%11.82%
Revenue Next Year8.81%
Revenue Next 2Y6.46%
Revenue Next 3Y6.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y2.05%
EBIT growth 3Y24.91%
EBIT growth 5Y20.38%
EBIT Next Year11.02%
EBIT Next 3Y4.46%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y2908.74%
FCF growth 3Y6.84%
FCF growth 5Y8.66%
OCF growth 1Y822.89%
OCF growth 3Y7.18%
OCF growth 5Y8.69%