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PENUMBRA INC (PEN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:PEN - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US70975L1070 - Common Stock

274.26  +6.06 (+2.26%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall PEN gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated PEN against 191 industry peers in the Health Care Equipment & Supplies industry. While PEN has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. PEN is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one! These ratings would make PEN suitable for growth investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

PEN had positive earnings in the past year.
PEN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years PEN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: PEN reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
PEN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPEN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

PEN's Return On Assets of 2.34% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PEN outperforms 74.21% of its industry peers.
PEN has a Return On Equity of 3.13%. This is in the better half of the industry: PEN outperforms 75.26% of its industry peers.
PEN has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.66%) than 83.68% of its industry peers.
PEN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.28%. This is significantly below the industry average of 8.08%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.66%) for PEN is above the 3 year average (2.28%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.34%
ROE 3.13%
ROIC 6.66%
ROA(3y)2.04%
ROA(5y)2.3%
ROE(3y)2.69%
ROE(5y)3.12%
ROIC(3y)2.28%
ROIC(5y)N/A
PEN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPEN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2 -2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

PEN has a Profit Margin of 2.97%. This is in the better half of the industry: PEN outperforms 73.68% of its industry peers.
PEN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
PEN has a Operating Margin of 9.61%. This is in the better half of the industry: PEN outperforms 78.42% of its industry peers.
PEN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of PEN (65.70%) is better than 69.47% of its industry peers.
PEN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.61%
PM (TTM) 2.97%
GM 65.7%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y5.22%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y42.09%
GM growth 3Y2.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.38%
PEN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPEN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PEN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PEN has more shares outstanding
PEN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PEN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
PEN Yearly Shares OutstandingPEN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M
PEN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPEN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 18.14 indicates that PEN is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
PEN has a better Altman-Z score (18.14) than 93.16% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PEN is 0.18, which is an excellent value as it means it would take PEN, only 0.18 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PEN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.18. This is amongst the best in the industry. PEN outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
PEN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
PEN has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.02) than 64.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Altman-Z 18.14
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC9.24%
PEN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPEN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

PEN has a Current Ratio of 5.82. This indicates that PEN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 5.82, PEN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.11% of the companies in the same industry.
PEN has a Quick Ratio of 3.25. This indicates that PEN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
PEN has a better Quick ratio (3.25) than 68.42% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.82
Quick Ratio 3.25
PEN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPEN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 78.52% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, PEN shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.59% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, PEN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.96% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, PEN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)78.52%
EPS 3Y126.44%
EPS 5Y32.59%
EPS Q2Q%26.87%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.96%
Revenue growth 3Y23.61%
Revenue growth 5Y18.93%
Sales Q2Q%11.11%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.72% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
PEN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.32% yearly.
EPS Next Y35.07%
EPS Next 2Y35.75%
EPS Next 3Y33.99%
EPS Next 5Y29.72%
Revenue Next Year12.23%
Revenue Next 2Y13.35%
Revenue Next 3Y13.67%
Revenue Next 5Y13.32%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
PEN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPEN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
PEN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPEN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 103.11 indicates a quite expensive valuation of PEN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PEN is valued a bit cheaper than 65.26% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PEN to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say PEN is valued expensively.
PEN is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 71.21.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PEN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PEN is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.44. PEN is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 103.11
Fwd PE 71.21
PEN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPEN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

PEN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PEN is cheaper than 64.74% of the companies in the same industry.
PEN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PEN is cheaper than 70.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 78.45
EV/EBITDA 72.49
PEN Per share dataPEN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as PEN's earnings are expected to grow with 33.99% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)3.16
EPS Next 2Y35.75%
EPS Next 3Y33.99%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for PEN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

PENUMBRA INC

NYSE:PEN (1/22/2025, 11:30:59 AM)

274.26

+6.06 (+2.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Equipment & Supplies
Earnings (Last)10-30 2024-10-30/amc
Earnings (Next)02-20 2025-02-20/amc
Inst Owners93.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners3.8%
Ins Owner Change0.68%
Market Cap10.53B
Analysts80.87
Price Target264.18 (-3.68%)
Short Float %4.98%
Short Ratio4.92
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.03%
Min EPS beat(2)13.6%
Max EPS beat(2)22.45%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)12.73%
Min EPS beat(4)7.31%
Max EPS beat(4)22.45%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)33.42%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)20.39%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)68.98%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.64%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.22%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.64%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.37%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.81%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.12%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.67%
PT rev (1m)9.98%
PT rev (3m)26.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.17%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 103.11
Fwd PE 71.21
P/S 9.04
P/FCF 78.45
P/OCF 68.51
P/B 9.53
P/tB 11.31
EV/EBITDA 72.49
EPS(TTM)2.66
EY0.97%
EPS(NY)3.85
Fwd EY1.4%
FCF(TTM)3.5
FCFY1.27%
OCF(TTM)4
OCFY1.46%
SpS30.32
BVpS28.77
TBVpS24.26
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)3.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.34%
ROE 3.13%
ROCE 8.43%
ROIC 6.66%
ROICexc 8.54%
ROICexgc 10.25%
OM 9.61%
PM (TTM) 2.97%
GM 65.7%
FCFM 11.53%
ROA(3y)2.04%
ROA(5y)2.3%
ROE(3y)2.69%
ROE(5y)3.12%
ROIC(3y)2.28%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)2.88%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.74%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)2.89%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-5.74%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.37%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y5.22%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y42.09%
GM growth 3Y2.24%
GM growth 5Y-0.38%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.79
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Debt/EBITDA 0.16
Cap/Depr 73.83%
Cap/Sales 1.67%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 111.18%
Profit Quality 388.4%
Current Ratio 5.82
Quick Ratio 3.25
Altman-Z 18.14
F-Score7
WACC9.24%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)88.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.86%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.18%
Cap/Sales(5y)3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)78.52%
EPS 3Y126.44%
EPS 5Y32.59%
EPS Q2Q%26.87%
EPS Next Y35.07%
EPS Next 2Y35.75%
EPS Next 3Y33.99%
EPS Next 5Y29.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.96%
Revenue growth 3Y23.61%
Revenue growth 5Y18.93%
Sales Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue Next Year12.23%
Revenue Next 2Y13.35%
Revenue Next 3Y13.67%
Revenue Next 5Y13.32%
EBIT growth 1Y81.85%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y25.14%
EBIT Next Year85.52%
EBIT Next 3Y43.29%
EBIT Next 5Y32.8%
FCF growth 1Y248.93%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y33.72%
OCF growth 1Y331.83%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y27.57%