PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:PDCE - Nasdaq - US69327R1014 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to PDCE. PDCE was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PDCE scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. PDCE is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! These ratings would make PDCE suitable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PDCE was profitable.
In the past year PDCE had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years PDCE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years PDCE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of PDCE (22.14%) is better than 79.34% of its industry peers.
PDCE has a better Return On Equity (41.84%) than 76.06% of its industry peers.
PDCE has a Return On Invested Capital of 30.10%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PDCE outperforms 85.92% of its industry peers.
PDCE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 15.55%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.74%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (30.10%) for PDCE is above the 3 year average (15.55%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.14% | ||
| ROE | 41.84% | ||
| ROIC | 30.1% |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)15.55%
ROIC(5y)11.87%
1.3 Margins
PDCE has a Profit Margin of 43.85%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PDCE outperforms 81.22% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of PDCE (58.61%) is better than 87.32% of its industry peers.
PDCE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
PDCE has a better Gross Margin (87.02%) than 90.14% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PDCE has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 58.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 43.85% | ||
| GM | 87.02% |
OM growth 3Y123.77%
OM growth 5Y34.18%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.92%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PDCE is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PDCE has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, PDCE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.66 indicates that PDCE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.66, PDCE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.73% of the companies in the same industry.
PDCE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.41. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.41 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PDCE (1.41) is better than 74.65% of its industry peers.
PDCE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
PDCE has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.34) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.66 |
ROIC/WACC3.69
WACC8.15%
2.3 Liquidity
PDCE has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that PDCE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PDCE's Current ratio of 0.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PDCE is outperformed by 87.32% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.49 indicates that PDCE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of PDCE (0.49) is worse than 83.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for PDCE have decreased strongly by -11.96% in the last year.
PDCE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 167.86% yearly.
PDCE shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 50.94%.
PDCE shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 33.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.96%
EPS 3Y167.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-47.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)50.94%
Revenue growth 3Y49.28%
Revenue growth 5Y33.07%
Sales Q2Q%-23.42%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, PDCE will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.15% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, PDCE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.61% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-22.73%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.94%
Revenue Next 3Y0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.01, the valuation of PDCE can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PDCE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.01% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PDCE to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.62), we can say PDCE is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.80, the valuation of PDCE can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PDCE is valued cheaper than 86.85% of the companies in the same industry.
PDCE is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PDCE is valued cheaper than 87.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PDCE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PDCE is cheaper than 73.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.37 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of PDCE may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PDCE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.17%.
PDCE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.67.
PDCE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
5.2 History
PDCE has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
10.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PDCE. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP10.55%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
73.85
-0.2 (-0.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change-8.56%
Ins Owners0.65%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap6.43B
Analysts74.44
Price Target83.27 (12.76%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
Yearly Dividend1.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP10.55%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.76%
Max EPS beat(2)-8.89%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-12.24%
Max EPS beat(4)2.6%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)22.47%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)18.86%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.78%
Max Revenue beat(4)45.32%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-3.34%
PT rev (3m)-10.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)-12.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.87%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.6%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 4.8 | ||
| P/S | 1.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.02 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.69 | ||
| P/B | 1.45 | ||
| P/tB | 1.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.37 |
EPS(TTM)12.29
EY16.64%
EPS(NY)15.39
Fwd EY20.85%
FCF(TTM)12.27
FCFY16.61%
OCF(TTM)27.49
OCFY37.23%
SpS48.51
BVpS50.83
TBVpS50.83
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.14% | ||
| ROE | 41.84% | ||
| ROCE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 30.1% | ||
| ROICexc | 30.14% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.14% | ||
| OM | 58.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 43.85% | ||
| GM | 87.02% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)15.55%
ROIC(5y)11.87%
ROICexc(3y)15.59%
ROICexc(5y)11.9%
ROICexgc(3y)15.59%
ROICexgc(5y)11.9%
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y185.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y60.29%
ROICexc growth 3Y185.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y60.29%
OM growth 3Y123.77%
OM growth 5Y34.18%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.92%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.34 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.41 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 152.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 57.67% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.66 |
F-Score9
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC3.69
Cap/Depr(3y)116.7%
Cap/Depr(5y)138.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.96%
EPS 3Y167.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-47.36%
EPS Next Y-22.73%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)50.94%
Revenue growth 3Y49.28%
Revenue growth 5Y33.07%
Sales Q2Q%-23.42%
Revenue Next Year-13.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.94%
Revenue Next 3Y0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y79.24%
EBIT growth 3Y234.04%
EBIT growth 5Y78.55%
EBIT Next Year12.77%
EBIT Next 3Y11.65%
EBIT Next 5Y6.45%
FCF growth 1Y58.13%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y121.86%
OCF growth 3Y47.83%
OCF growth 5Y35.91%