PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:PDCE • US69327R1014

73.85 USD
-0.2 (-0.27%)
At close: Aug 4, 2023
73.85 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 8/4/2023, 8:23:12 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

PDCE gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PDCE has an average financial health and profitability rating. PDCE may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth These ratings would make PDCE suitable for value investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • PDCE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • PDCE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
PDCE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPDCE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • PDCE's Return On Assets of 22.14% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PDCE outperforms 79.34% of its industry peers.
  • PDCE has a Return On Equity of 41.84%. This is in the better half of the industry: PDCE outperforms 76.06% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 30.10%, PDCE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PDCE is significantly below the industry average of 21.94%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (15.55%) for PDCE is below the current ROIC(30.10%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 22.14%
ROE 41.84%
ROIC 30.1%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)15.55%
ROIC(5y)11.87%
PDCE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPDCE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

  • PDCE has a Profit Margin of 43.85%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PDCE outperforms 81.22% of its industry peers.
  • PDCE has a better Operating Margin (58.61%) than 87.32% of its industry peers.
  • PDCE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 87.02%, PDCE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PDCE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 58.61%
PM (TTM) 43.85%
GM 87.02%
OM growth 3Y123.77%
OM growth 5Y34.18%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.92%
GM growth 5Y-1.85%
PDCE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPDCE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 -50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PDCE is creating value.
  • PDCE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, PDCE has an improved debt to assets ratio.
PDCE Yearly Shares OutstandingPDCE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M
PDCE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPDCE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • PDCE has an Altman-Z score of 2.66. This is not the best score and indicates that PDCE is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.66, PDCE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • PDCE has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.41. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.41 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • PDCE has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.41) than 74.65% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.34 indicates that PDCE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • PDCE has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.34) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.34
Debt/FCF 1.41
Altman-Z 2.66
ROIC/WACC3.69
WACC8.15%
PDCE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPDCE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B -1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • PDCE has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that PDCE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • PDCE has a worse Current ratio (0.49) than 87.32% of its industry peers.
  • PDCE has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that PDCE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.49, PDCE is doing worse than 83.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.49
PDCE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPDCE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 500M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for PDCE have decreased strongly by -11.96% in the last year.
  • PDCE shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 167.86% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 50.94% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • Measured over the past years, PDCE shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 33.07% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.96%
EPS 3Y167.86%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-47.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)50.94%
Revenue growth 3Y49.28%
Revenue growth 5Y33.07%
Sales Q2Q%-23.42%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.15% on average over the next years.
  • PDCE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-22.73%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.82%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.94%
Revenue Next 3Y0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PDCE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPDCE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
PDCE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPDCE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 15

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 6.01, the valuation of PDCE can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PDCE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.01% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PDCE to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.32), we can say PDCE is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 4.80, the valuation of PDCE can be described as very cheap.
  • PDCE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PDCE is cheaper than 86.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.57. PDCE is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.01
Fwd PE 4.8
PDCE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPDCE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PDCE is valued cheaper than 87.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PDCE is valued a bit cheaper than 73.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.02
EV/EBITDA 2.37
PDCE Per share dataPDCE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • PDCE has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • PDCE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.17%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • PDCE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.64.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, PDCE has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.17%

5.2 History

  • PDCE has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
PDCE Yearly Dividends per sharePDCE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • PDCE pays out 10.55% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP10.55%
EPS Next 2Y-1.16%
EPS Next 3Y7.15%
PDCE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPDCE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B
PDCE Dividend Payout.PDCE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PDCE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PDC ENERGY INC / PDCE FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PDC ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to PDCE.


What is the valuation status of PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for PDC ENERGY INC?

PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for PDCE stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE) is 6.01 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.45.


How sustainable is the dividend of PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE) stock?

The dividend rating of PDC ENERGY INC (PDCE) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 10.55%.