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PAGERDUTY INC (PD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:PD - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US69553P1003 - Common Stock

18.3  -0.36 (-1.93%)

After market: 18.3 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, PD scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PD was compared to 285 industry peers in the Software industry. PD may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, PD is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

PD had positive earnings in the past year.
PD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years PD always reported negative net income.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: PD reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
PD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

PD has a Return On Assets of -8.59%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PD outperforms 42.29% of its industry peers.
PD has a worse Return On Equity (-66.75%) than 73.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -8.59%
ROE -66.75%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-12.62%
ROA(5y)-11.62%
ROE(3y)-47.06%
ROE(5y)-35.26%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

PD has a better Gross Margin (82.49%) than 88.53% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PD has remained more or less at the same level.
PD does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 82.49%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.83%
PD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PD does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
PD has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for PD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PD is higher compared to a year ago.
PD Yearly Shares OutstandingPD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
PD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.05, we must say that PD is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
PD's Altman-Z score of 1.05 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PD is outperformed by 66.31% of its industry peers.
PD has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.53. This is a neutral value as PD would need 4.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PD has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.53. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: PD outperforms 58.06% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.52 is on the high side and indicates that PD has dependencies on debt financing.
PD has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.52) than 85.66% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.52
Debt/FCF 4.53
Altman-Z 1.05
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.21%
PD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.97 indicates that PD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of PD (1.97) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.97 indicates that PD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
PD has a Quick ratio (1.97) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 1.97
PD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

PD shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.94%, which is quite good.
Looking at the last year, PD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.72% in the last year.
PD shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 29.60% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.94%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.72%
Revenue growth 3Y26.34%
Revenue growth 5Y29.6%
Sales Q2Q%9.41%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PD will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.05% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, PD will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.59% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.61%
EPS Next 2Y8.13%
EPS Next 3Y11.05%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.34%
Revenue Next 2Y9.15%
Revenue Next 3Y9.59%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
PD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
PD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

PD is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.88.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PD is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.93% of the companies are valued more expensively.
PD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.94.
PD is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.07.
79.57% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.11, PD is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.88
Fwd PE 20.07
PD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PD is valued cheaper than 88.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.59
EV/EBITDA N/A
PD Per share dataPD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)6.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.13%
EPS Next 3Y11.05%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for PD!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PAGERDUTY INC

NYSE:PD (1/17/2025, 8:20:22 PM)

After market: 18.3 0 (0%)

18.3

-0.36 (-1.93%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)11-26 2024-11-26/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners95.74%
Inst Owner Change0.06%
Ins Owners6.68%
Ins Owner Change-3.69%
Market Cap1.65B
Analysts76.36
Price Target23.32 (27.43%)
Short Float %12.43%
Short Ratio9.15
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)33.9%
Min EPS beat(2)21.72%
Max EPS beat(2)46.08%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)27.03%
Min EPS beat(4)9.3%
Max EPS beat(4)46.08%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)74.19%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)77.86%
EPS beat(16)16
Avg EPS beat(16)64.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.89%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.89%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.33%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.04%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)11.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.18%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.88
Fwd PE 20.07
P/S 3.61
P/FCF 16.59
P/OCF 15.19
P/B 14.78
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)0.8
EY4.37%
EPS(NY)0.91
Fwd EY4.98%
FCF(TTM)1.1
FCFY6.03%
OCF(TTM)1.21
OCFY6.58%
SpS5.07
BVpS1.24
TBVpS-0.55
PEG (NY)6.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -8.59%
ROE -66.75%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 82.49%
FCFM 21.75%
ROA(3y)-12.62%
ROA(5y)-11.62%
ROE(3y)-47.06%
ROE(5y)-35.26%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.46%
GM growth 5Y-0.83%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.52
Debt/FCF 4.53
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 44.56%
Cap/Sales 2.01%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.97
Quick Ratio 1.97
Altman-Z 1.05
F-Score6
WACC10.21%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)59.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.22%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.47%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.94%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%19.05%
EPS Next Y3.61%
EPS Next 2Y8.13%
EPS Next 3Y11.05%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.72%
Revenue growth 3Y26.34%
Revenue growth 5Y29.6%
Sales Q2Q%9.41%
Revenue Next Year8.34%
Revenue Next 2Y9.15%
Revenue Next 3Y9.59%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y16.85%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year74.75%
EBIT Next 3Y30.47%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y1065.4%
FCF growth 3Y130.66%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y14195.3%
OCF growth 3Y92.44%
OCF growth 5YN/A