POTLATCHDELTIC CORP(NASDAQ:PCH) stock Fundamental Analysis

Fundamental Rating

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to PCH. PCH was compared to 29 industry peers in the Specialized REITs industry. PCH scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. PCH is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PCH was profitable.

In the past year PCH had a positive cash flow from operations.

Each year in the past 5 years PCH has been profitable.

Each year in the past 5 years PCH had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

PCH has a worse Return On Assets (0.66%) than 78.57% of its industry peers.

PCH's Return On Equity of 1.07% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PCH is outperformed by 67.86% of its industry peers.

The Return On Invested Capital of PCH (0.84%) is worse than 92.86% of its industry peers.

The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PCH is in line with the industry average of 5.33%.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	0.66%
ROE	1.07%
ROIC	0.84%

ROA(3y)3.96%

ROA(5y)7.12%

ROE(3y)6.23%

ROE(5y)11.85%

ROIC(3y)4.14%

ROIC(5y)8.06%

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of PCH (2.06%) is worse than 78.57% of its industry peers.

PCH's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 3.13%, PCH is doing worse than 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.

In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PCH has declined.

PCH has a worse Gross Margin (10.96%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.

In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PCH has declined.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	3.13%
PM (TTM)	2.06%
GM	10.96%

OM growth 3Y-57.6%

OM growth 5Y-21.57%

PM growth 3Y-59.79%

PM growth 5Y-21.1%

GM growth 3Y-38.22%

GM growth 5Y-8.97%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PCH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.

The number of shares outstanding for PCH has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.

PCH has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.

Compared to 1 year ago, PCH has a worse debt to assets ratio.

2.2 Solvency

PCH has an Altman-Z score of 1.95. This is not the best score and indicates that PCH is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.

PCH has a Altman-Z score of 1.95. This is amongst the best in the industry. PCH outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.

The Debt to FCF ratio of PCH is 10.37, which is on the high side as it means it would take PCH, 10.37 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.

PCH has a better Debt to FCF ratio (10.37) than 67.86% of its industry peers.

PCH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.

Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.46, PCH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.46
Debt/FCF	10.37
Altman-Z	1.95

ROIC/WACC0.11

WACC7.99%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that PCH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.

The Current ratio of PCH (1.49) is better than 85.71% of its industry peers.

PCH has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that PCH is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.

PCH has a better Quick ratio (1.08) than 67.86% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	1.49
Quick Ratio	1.08

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for PCH have decreased strongly by -51.56% in the last year.

Measured over the past years, PCH shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -21.34% on average per year.

PCH shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.71%.

PCH shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.13% yearly.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.56%

EPS 3Y-64.41%

EPS 5Y-21.34%

EPS Q2Q%3600%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%

Revenue growth 3Y-7.4%

Revenue growth 5Y5.13%

Sales Q2Q%1.43%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 63.65% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth

The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.15% on average over the next years.

EPS Next Y199.91%

EPS Next 2Y111.83%

EPS Next 3Y63.65%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year2.07%

Revenue Next 2Y4.47%

Revenue Next 3Y2.15%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 169.07, PCH can be considered very expensive at the moment.

PCH's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. PCH is more expensive than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.

Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.75, PCH is valued quite expensively.

With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 56.37, PCH can be considered very expensive at the moment.

PCH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. PCH is more expensive than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.

PCH is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	169.07
Fwd PE	56.37

4.2 Price Multiples

PCH's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. PCH is more expensive than 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PCH indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: PCH is more expensive than 67.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	37.32
EV/EBITDA	31.5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.

A more expensive valuation may be justified as PCH's earnings are expected to grow with 63.65% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)0.85

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y111.83%

EPS Next 3Y63.65%

More info and screens

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.90%, PCH has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.

Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.49, PCH is paying slightly less dividend.

Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, PCH pays a better dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.9%

5.2 History

The dividend of PCH has a limited annual growth rate of 2.43%.

PCH has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.

Dividend Growth(5Y)2.43%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

650.71% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PCH. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.

The dividend of PCH is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.

DP650.71%

EPS Next 2Y111.83%

EPS Next 3Y63.65%

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POTLATCHDELTIC CORP

NASDAQ:PCH (3/3/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 47.34 0 (0%)

47.34

+0.91 (+1.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorReal Estate

GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

GICS IndustrySpecialized REITs

Earnings (Last)01-27 2025-01-27/amc

Earnings (Next)04-28 2025-04-28/amc

Inst Owners90.8%

Inst Owner Change-1.95%

Ins Owners2.53%

Ins Owner Change5.33%

Market Cap3.72B

Analysts81.67

Price Target51.38 (8.53%)

Short Float %1.51%

Short Ratio2.51

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.9%

Yearly Dividend1.8

Dividend Growth(5Y)2.43%

DP650.71%

Div Incr Years0

Div Non Decr Years0

Ex-Date03-07 2025-03-07 (0.45)

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)2

Avg EPS beat(2)246.67%

Min EPS beat(2)161.24%

Max EPS beat(2)332.11%

EPS beat(4)3

Avg EPS beat(4)100.46%

Min EPS beat(4)-100%

Max EPS beat(4)332.11%

EPS beat(8)5

Avg EPS beat(8)45.56%

EPS beat(12)7

Avg EPS beat(12)26.31%

EPS beat(16)9

Avg EPS beat(16)19.96%

Revenue beat(2)2

Avg Revenue beat(2)4.23%

Min Revenue beat(2)3.68%

Max Revenue beat(2)4.79%

Revenue beat(4)3

Avg Revenue beat(4)2.76%

Min Revenue beat(4)-1.6%

Max Revenue beat(4)4.79%

Revenue beat(8)6

Avg Revenue beat(8)2.65%

Revenue beat(12)9

Avg Revenue beat(12)2.97%

Revenue beat(16)11

Avg Revenue beat(16)2.22%

PT rev (1m)2.28%

PT rev (3m)-1.5%

EPS NQ rev (1m)32.22%

EPS NQ rev (3m)11.56%

EPS NY rev (1m)2.39%

EPS NY rev (3m)4.71%

Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.09%

Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.21%

Revenue NY rev (1m)1.31%

Revenue NY rev (3m)1.31%

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	169.07
Fwd PE	56.37
P/S	3.51
P/FCF	37.32
P/OCF	19.76
P/B	1.83
P/tB	1.84
EV/EBITDA	31.5

EPS(TTM)0.28

EY0.59%

EPS(NY)0.84

Fwd EY1.77%

FCF(TTM)1.27

FCFY2.68%

OCF(TTM)2.4

OCFY5.06%

SpS13.5

BVpS25.9

TBVpS25.72

PEG (NY)0.85

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	0.66%
ROE	1.07%
ROCE	1.07%
ROIC	0.84%
ROICexc	0.89%
ROICexgc	0.89%
OM	3.13%
PM (TTM)	2.06%
GM	10.96%
FCFM	9.4%

ROA(3y)3.96%

ROA(5y)7.12%

ROE(3y)6.23%

ROE(5y)11.85%

ROIC(3y)4.14%

ROIC(5y)8.06%

ROICexc(3y)4.57%

ROICexc(5y)9.07%

ROICexgc(3y)4.61%

ROICexgc(5y)9.16%

ROCE(3y)5.24%

ROCE(5y)10.2%

ROICexcg growth 3Y-64.95%

ROICexcg growth 5Y-23.54%

ROICexc growth 3Y-64.88%

ROICexc growth 5Y-23.44%

OM growth 3Y-57.6%

OM growth 5Y-21.57%

PM growth 3Y-59.79%

PM growth 5Y-21.1%

GM growth 3Y-38.22%

GM growth 5Y-8.97%

F-Score6

Asset Turnover0.32

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.46
Debt/FCF	10.37
Debt/EBITDA	6.39
Cap/Depr	78.39%
Cap/Sales	8.35%
Interest Coverage	250
Cash Conversion	128.83%
Profit Quality	456.28%
Current Ratio	1.49
Quick Ratio	1.08
Altman-Z	1.95

F-Score6

WACC7.99%

ROIC/WACC0.11

Cap/Depr(3y)84.43%

Cap/Depr(5y)74.94%

Cap/Sales(3y)8.55%

Cap/Sales(5y)6.71%

Profit Quality(3y)214.85%

Profit Quality(5y)185.66%

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.56%

EPS 3Y-64.41%

EPS 5Y-21.34%

EPS Q2Q%3600%

EPS Next Y199.91%

EPS Next 2Y111.83%

EPS Next 3Y63.65%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.71%

Revenue growth 3Y-7.4%

Revenue growth 5Y5.13%

Sales Q2Q%1.43%

Revenue Next Year2.07%

Revenue Next 2Y4.47%

Revenue Next 3Y2.15%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

EBIT growth 1Y-31.94%

EBIT growth 3Y-60.73%

EBIT growth 5Y-17.55%

EBIT Next Year896.67%

EBIT Next 3Y128.63%

EBIT Next 5YN/A

FCF growth 1Y153.78%

FCF growth 3Y-39.45%

FCF growth 5Y3.93%

OCF growth 1Y18.45%

OCF growth 3Y-28%

OCF growth 5Y6.26%

POTLATCHDELTIC CORP (PCH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

5.2 History

5.3 Sustainability

More info and screens