PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:PARR - US69888T2078 - Common Stock
36.9 USD
-0.26 (-0.7%)
36.75 USD
-0.15 (-0.41%)
Overall PARR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated PARR against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PARR has an average financial health and profitability rating. PARR has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PARR was profitable.
In the past year PARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PARR's Return On Assets of 5.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PARR outperforms 69.71% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 16.90%, PARR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.17% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR's Return On Invested Capital of 11.13% is amongst the best of the industry. PARR outperforms 87.02% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PARR is significantly below the industry average of 21.83%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.13%) for PARR is well above the current ROIC(11.13%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 3.15%, PARR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.31% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a worse Operating Margin (5.21%) than 63.94% of its industry peers.
PARR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of PARR (8.37%) is worse than 72.12% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PARR has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PARR is creating value.
PARR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, PARR has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
PARR has an Altman-Z score of 2.94. This is not the best score and indicates that PARR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
PARR has a better Altman-Z score (2.94) than 81.73% of its industry peers.
PARR has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.87. This is a neutral value as PARR would need 5.87 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PARR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.87) than 61.06% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70 indicates that PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
PARR has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.70) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.94 |
ROIC/WACC1.31
WACC8.49%
2.3 Liquidity
PARR has a Current Ratio of 1.51. This is a normal value and indicates that PARR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PARR has a Current ratio of 1.51. This is in the better half of the industry: PARR outperforms 67.79% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that PARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PARR's Quick ratio of 0.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 83.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for PARR have decreased strongly by -11.57% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, PARR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -30.04% on average per year.
The Revenue for PARR has decreased by -10.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
PARR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
3.2 Future
PARR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 96.51% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.32, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of PARR.
PARR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
PARR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.25.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.45, the valuation of PARR can be described as reasonable.
84.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PARR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.98. PARR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.45 |
4.2 Price Multiples
PARR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PARR is cheaper than 76.44% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PARR is cheaper than 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 143.32% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PARR does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
36.9
-0.26 (-0.7%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.03%
Inst Owner Change1.12%
Ins Owners2.87%
Ins Owner Change-0.29%
Market Cap1.86B
Revenue(TTM)7.48B
Net Income(TTM)236.00M
Analysts78.57
Price Target48.52 (31.49%)
Short Float %10.84%
Short Ratio4.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.44%
Min EPS beat(2)8.44%
Max EPS beat(2)96.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(4)96.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)25.24%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)22.37%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.32%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)12.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.23%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)11.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.23%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.32%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.17%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.96%
PT rev (1m)1.22%
PT rev (3m)23.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)102.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)53.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.49%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.32 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.45 | ||
| P/S | 0.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.52 | ||
| P/B | 1.33 | ||
| P/tB | 1.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.05 |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY5.18%
EPS(NY)4.36
Fwd EY11.83%
FCF(TTM)3.32
FCFY9%
OCF(TTM)6.68
OCFY18.11%
SpS148.81
BVpS27.76
TBVpS25.01
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROCE | 14.09% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.47% | ||
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% | ||
| FCFM | 2.23% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 118.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.12% | ||
| Profit Quality | 70.79% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.94 |
F-Score6
WACC8.49%
ROIC/WACC1.31
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y48.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year349.31%
EBIT Next 3Y55.16%
EBIT Next 5Y41.19%
FCF growth 1Y-71.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-49.46%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC / PARR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PARR.
Can you provide the valuation status for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for PARR stock?
The financial health rating of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is expected to grow by 1420.62% in the next year.