PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:PARR - US69888T2078 - Common Stock
41.15 USD
+0.4 (+0.98%)
41.15 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to PARR. PARR was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PARR has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on PARR.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
PARR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year PARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PARR's Return On Assets of -0.49% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
PARR has a worse Return On Equity (-1.67%) than 69.05% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of PARR (2.02%) is worse than 69.52% of its industry peers.
PARR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.78%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.13%) for PARR is well above the current ROIC(2.02%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.49% | ||
| ROE | -1.67% | ||
| ROIC | 2.02% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
PARR has a Operating Margin of 0.90%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 74.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PARR has declined.
PARR has a Gross Margin of 3.92%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 74.76% of its industry peers.
PARR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 3.92% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
PARR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for PARR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for PARR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PARR is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.72 indicates that PARR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.72, PARR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PARR is 37.36, which is on the high side as it means it would take PARR, 37.36 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PARR has a Debt to FCF ratio (37.36) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.97 indicates that PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.97, PARR is doing worse than 67.14% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.97 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
ROIC/WACC0.24
WACC8.57%
2.3 Liquidity
PARR has a Current Ratio of 1.42. This is a normal value and indicates that PARR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PARR has a better Current ratio (1.42) than 63.81% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Quick Ratio of 1.42. This is a bad value and indicates that PARR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PARR has a Quick ratio of 0.56. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 79.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 166.67% over the past year.
PARR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -30.04% yearly.
PARR shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.13%.
PARR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)166.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%6050%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.13%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, PARR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 96.51% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -2.25% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y1120.48%
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue Next Year-7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.25%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
PARR is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.14.
89.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PARR, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
PARR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.06.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.94, the valuation of PARR can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 32.73, PARR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PARR is valued a bit more expensive than 63.81% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as PARR.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 69.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.74 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PARR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 145.87% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PARR does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
41.15
+0.4 (+0.98%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.1%
Inst Owner Change-0.62%
Ins Owners2.91%
Ins Owner Change-0.08%
Market Cap2.09B
Revenue(TTM)7.97B
Net Income(TTM)-19.15M
Analysts75.71
Price Target40.22 (-2.26%)
Short Float %7.23%
Short Ratio2.47
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)35.13%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(2)96.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)9.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-54.22%
Max EPS beat(4)96.44%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)24.35%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)25.25%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)17.08%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)12.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.23%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)10.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.23%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.12%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.72%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.73%
PT rev (1m)2.41%
PT rev (3m)25.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)22.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)93.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)22.88%
EPS NY rev (3m)131.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.24%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.14 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.94 | ||
| P/S | 0.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 69.39 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.71 | ||
| P/B | 1.82 | ||
| P/tB | 2.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.74 |
EPS(TTM)5.76
EY14%
EPS(NY)4.14
Fwd EY10.06%
FCF(TTM)0.59
FCFY1.44%
OCF(TTM)3.84
OCFY9.34%
SpS149.86
BVpS22.6
TBVpS19.88
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number54.12
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.49% | ||
| ROE | -1.67% | ||
| ROCE | 2.55% | ||
| ROIC | 2.02% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.28% | ||
| OM | 0.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 3.92% | ||
| FCFM | 0.4% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.95
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.97 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 37.36 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.41 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 119.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.17% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 94.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.42 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
F-Score3
WACC8.57%
ROIC/WACC0.24
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)166.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%6050%
EPS Next Y1120.48%
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.13%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
Revenue Next Year-7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.25%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-83.74%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year210.91%
EBIT Next 3Y55.7%
EBIT Next 5Y41.19%
FCF growth 1Y-95.58%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-73.52%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC / PARR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to PARR.
What is the valuation status for PARR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
The financial health rating of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PARR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is expected to grow by 1120.48% in the next year.