PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:PARR - US69888T2078 - Common Stock
44.67 USD
-1.43 (-3.1%)
44.68 USD
+0.01 (+0.02%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to PARR. PARR was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PARR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. PARR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
PARR had positive earnings in the past year.
PARR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PARR's Return On Assets of 5.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PARR outperforms 68.90% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 16.90%, PARR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.34% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.13%, PARR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.65% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.13%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.47%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.13%) for PARR is well below the 3 year average (16.13%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PARR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.15%, PARR is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.11% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a worse Operating Margin (5.21%) than 65.07% of its industry peers.
PARR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
PARR has a worse Gross Margin (8.37%) than 72.25% of its industry peers.
PARR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
PARR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for PARR has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
PARR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
PARR has an Altman-Z score of 3.04. This indicates that PARR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 3.04, PARR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PARR is 5.87, which is a neutral value as it means it would take PARR, 5.87 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PARR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.87) than 61.72% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70. This is a neutral value indicating PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of PARR (0.70) is worse than 61.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.04 |
ROIC/WACC1.28
WACC8.7%
2.3 Liquidity
PARR has a Current Ratio of 1.51. This is a normal value and indicates that PARR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PARR's Current ratio of 1.51 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. PARR outperforms 67.46% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that PARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PARR's Quick ratio of 0.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 85.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PARR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.57%.
PARR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -30.04% yearly.
The Revenue for PARR has decreased by -10.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
PARR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, PARR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 96.51% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, PARR will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -2.25% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1120.48%
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue Next Year-7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.25%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.39 indicates a rather expensive valuation of PARR.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as PARR.
PARR is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.15, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.79, the valuation of PARR can be described as reasonable.
68.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PARR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PARR to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.22), we can say PARR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PARR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PARR is cheaper than 68.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of PARR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PARR is cheaper than 64.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 145.87% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for PARR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
44.67
-1.43 (-3.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.1%
Inst Owner Change-1.97%
Ins Owners2.91%
Ins Owner Change-0.27%
Market Cap2.25B
Revenue(TTM)7.48B
Net Income(TTM)236.00M
Analysts75.71
Price Target47.94 (7.32%)
Short Float %8.76%
Short Ratio3.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.44%
Min EPS beat(2)8.44%
Max EPS beat(2)96.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(4)96.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)25.49%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)22.54%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.44%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)12.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.23%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)11.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.23%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.32%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.17%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.96%
PT rev (1m)22.08%
PT rev (3m)45.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)31%
EPS NQ rev (3m)211.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)13.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)66.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.79 | ||
| P/S | 0.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.45 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.68 | ||
| P/B | 1.61 | ||
| P/tB | 1.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.9 |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY4.28%
EPS(NY)4.14
Fwd EY9.27%
FCF(TTM)3.32
FCFY7.44%
OCF(TTM)6.68
OCFY14.96%
SpS148.81
BVpS27.76
TBVpS25.01
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROCE | 14.09% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.47% | ||
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% | ||
| FCFM | 2.23% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 118.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.12% | ||
| Profit Quality | 70.79% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.04 |
F-Score6
WACC8.7%
ROIC/WACC1.28
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
EPS Next Y1120.48%
EPS Next 2Y277.84%
EPS Next 3Y145.87%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
Revenue Next Year-7.75%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.25%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y48.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year210.91%
EBIT Next 3Y55.7%
EBIT Next 5Y41.19%
FCF growth 1Y-71.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-49.46%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC / PARR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PARR.
What is the valuation status for PARR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the financial health of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
The financial health rating of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PARR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is expected to grow by 1120.48% in the next year.