PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:PARR - US69888T2078 - Common Stock
35.01 USD
-0.5 (-1.41%)
35.69 USD
+0.68 (+1.94%)
PARR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. PARR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. PARR is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PARR was profitable.
In the past year PARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years PARR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PARR has a better Return On Assets (5.79%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of PARR (16.90%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Return On Invested Capital of 11.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PARR outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PARR is significantly below the industry average of 21.18%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.13%) for PARR is well below the 3 year average (16.13%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PARR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 3.15%, PARR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR's Operating Margin of 5.21% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 64.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PARR has declined.
PARR has a Gross Margin of 8.37%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 72.38% of its industry peers.
PARR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PARR is creating value.
PARR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
PARR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PARR is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.91 indicates that PARR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
PARR has a better Altman-Z score (2.91) than 81.90% of its industry peers.
PARR has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.87. This is a neutral value as PARR would need 5.87 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PARR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.87. This is in the better half of the industry: PARR outperforms 61.43% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70 indicates that PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.70, PARR is not doing good in the industry: 60.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.91 |
ROIC/WACC1.28
WACC8.71%
2.3 Liquidity
PARR has a Current Ratio of 1.51. This is a normal value and indicates that PARR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.51, PARR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.10% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that PARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PARR has a Quick ratio of 0.48. This is amonst the worse of the industry: PARR underperforms 83.81% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PARR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.57%.
Measured over the past years, PARR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -30.04% on average per year.
The Revenue for PARR has decreased by -10.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 8.10% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
3.2 Future
PARR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 96.51% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.33 indicates a rather expensive valuation of PARR.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as PARR.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PARR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.92), we can say PARR is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.02, the valuation of PARR can be described as very reasonable.
PARR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. PARR is cheaper than 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PARR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.46), we can say PARR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.02 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.85 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 143.32% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for PARR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
35.01
-0.5 (-1.41%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.81%
Inst Owner Change-2.02%
Ins Owners2.87%
Ins Owner Change-0.27%
Market Cap1.76B
Revenue(TTM)7.48B
Net Income(TTM)236.00M
Analysts78.57
Price Target48.52 (38.59%)
Short Float %9.8%
Short Ratio4.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.44%
Min EPS beat(2)8.44%
Max EPS beat(2)96.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(4)96.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)25.24%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)22.37%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.32%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)12.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.23%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)11.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.23%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.32%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.17%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.96%
PT rev (1m)1.22%
PT rev (3m)40.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)129.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)24.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)53.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.13%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.33 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.02 | ||
| P/S | 0.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.24 | ||
| P/B | 1.26 | ||
| P/tB | 1.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.85 |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY5.46%
EPS(NY)4.36
Fwd EY12.47%
FCF(TTM)3.32
FCFY9.49%
OCF(TTM)6.68
OCFY19.09%
SpS148.81
BVpS27.76
TBVpS25.01
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROCE | 14.09% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.47% | ||
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% | ||
| FCFM | 2.23% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 118.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.12% | ||
| Profit Quality | 70.79% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.91 |
F-Score6
WACC8.71%
ROIC/WACC1.28
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y48.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year349.31%
EBIT Next 3Y55.16%
EBIT Next 5Y41.19%
FCF growth 1Y-71.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-49.46%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC / PARR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PARR.
What is the valuation status for PARR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the financial health of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
The financial health rating of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PARR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is expected to grow by 1420.62% in the next year.