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PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:PARR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US69888T2078 - Common Stock

17.61  -0.5 (-2.76%)

After market: 17.61 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to PARR. PARR was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of PARR while its profitability can be described as average. PARR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year PARR was profitable.
PARR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years PARR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
PARR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPARR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

PARR has a better Return On Assets (8.09%) than 69.42% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Return On Equity of 24.86%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PARR outperforms 82.52% of its industry peers.
PARR has a Return On Invested Capital (7.37%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.09%
ROE 24.86%
ROIC 7.37%
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)1.82%
ROE(3y)26.82%
ROE(5y)-15.88%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
PARR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPARR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

PARR has a Profit Margin of 3.74%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 66.02% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PARR has grown nicely.
PARR has a worse Operating Margin (3.15%) than 75.24% of its industry peers.
PARR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of PARR (6.04%) is worse than 77.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PARR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.15%
PM (TTM) 3.74%
GM 6.04%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y32.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y50.65%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y16.94%
PARR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPARR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

PARR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, PARR has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
PARR Yearly Shares OutstandingPARR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
PARR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPARR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.97 indicates that PARR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
PARR has a better Altman-Z score (2.97) than 75.24% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84 indicates that PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
PARR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.84. This is in the lower half of the industry: PARR underperforms 70.39% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.97
ROIC/WACC0.71
WACC10.43%
PARR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPARR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.69 indicates that PARR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.69, PARR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.48% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a Quick Ratio of 1.69. This is a bad value and indicates that PARR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.66, PARR is not doing good in the industry: 74.76% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.69
Quick Ratio 0.66
PARR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPARR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for PARR have decreased strongly by -76.85% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, PARR shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 51.46% on average per year.
PARR shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.96%.
The Revenue has been growing by 19.27% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.85%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y51.46%
EPS Q2Q%-103.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.96%
Revenue growth 3Y38.11%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%-16.88%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PARR will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -16.52% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -6.74% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-90.21%
EPS Next 2Y-47.77%
EPS Next 3Y-26.76%
EPS Next 5Y-16.51%
Revenue Next Year-4.23%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.05%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
PARR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPARR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B 8B
PARR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPARR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4 -4 6 8

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.15, which indicates a very decent valuation of PARR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of PARR to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say PARR is valued rather cheaply.
PARR is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.86.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than 75.24% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.15
Fwd PE 7.86
PARR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPARR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.87% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.76
PARR Per share dataPARR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PARR's earnings are expected to decrease with -26.76% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.16
EPS Next 2Y-47.77%
EPS Next 3Y-26.76%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PARR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC

NYSE:PARR (1/21/2025, 8:19:22 PM)

After market: 17.61 0 (0%)

17.61

-0.5 (-2.76%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-04 2024-11-04/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners96.34%
Inst Owner Change-1.67%
Ins Owners2.4%
Ins Owner Change0.06%
Market Cap985.28M
Analysts73.85
Price Target22.27 (26.46%)
Short Float %5.65%
Short Ratio3.15
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)64.06%
Min EPS beat(2)-54.22%
Max EPS beat(2)182.35%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)25.69%
Min EPS beat(4)-54.22%
Max EPS beat(4)182.35%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)21.16%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)13.5%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)9.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)8.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.32%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.32%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.2%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)8.24%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)7.47%
PT rev (1m)-4.38%
PT rev (3m)-7.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-150.33%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-64.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.31%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.15
Fwd PE 7.86
P/S 0.12
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 10.16
P/B 0.79
P/tB 0.88
EV/EBITDA 4.76
EPS(TTM)2.16
EY12.27%
EPS(NY)2.24
Fwd EY12.72%
FCF(TTM)-0.35
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.73
OCFY9.84%
SpS148.81
BVpS22.41
TBVpS19.93
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.09%
ROE 24.86%
ROCE 9.33%
ROIC 7.37%
ROICexc 7.88%
ROICexgc 8.32%
OM 3.15%
PM (TTM) 3.74%
GM 6.04%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)1.82%
ROE(3y)26.82%
ROE(5y)-15.88%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.73%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y32.78%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y32.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y50.65%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y16.94%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.69
Cap/Depr 90.54%
Cap/Sales 1.4%
Interest Coverage 3.91
Cash Conversion 24.84%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.69
Quick Ratio 0.66
Altman-Z 2.97
F-Score5
WACC10.43%
ROIC/WACC0.71
Cap/Depr(3y)51.03%
Cap/Depr(5y)64.22%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.19%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-76.85%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y51.46%
EPS Q2Q%-103.17%
EPS Next Y-90.21%
EPS Next 2Y-47.77%
EPS Next 3Y-26.76%
EPS Next 5Y-16.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.96%
Revenue growth 3Y38.11%
Revenue growth 5Y19.27%
Sales Q2Q%-16.88%
Revenue Next Year-4.23%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.05%
Revenue Next 3Y-6.74%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-57.9%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y57.46%
EBIT Next Year-54.98%
EBIT Next 3Y-13.41%
EBIT Next 5Y-3.23%
FCF growth 1Y-108.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y63.75%
OCF growth 1Y-66.19%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y44.92%