PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:PARR - US69888T2078 - Common Stock
37.16 USD
-0.61 (-1.62%)
37.1 USD
-0.06 (-0.16%)
Taking everything into account, PARR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PARR was compared to 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of PARR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. PARR has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PARR was profitable.
In the past year PARR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years PARR reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
PARR has a Return On Assets of 5.79%. This is in the better half of the industry: PARR outperforms 69.71% of its industry peers.
PARR's Return On Equity of 16.90% is amongst the best of the industry. PARR outperforms 83.17% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.13%, PARR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.02% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for PARR is significantly below the industry average of 21.83%.
The 3 year average ROIC (16.13%) for PARR is well above the current ROIC(11.13%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
PARR's Profit Margin of 3.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PARR outperforms 42.31% of its industry peers.
PARR has a worse Operating Margin (5.21%) than 63.94% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PARR has declined.
PARR has a worse Gross Margin (8.37%) than 72.12% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PARR has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
PARR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
PARR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
PARR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, PARR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.94 indicates that PARR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
PARR has a Altman-Z score of 2.94. This is amongst the best in the industry. PARR outperforms 81.73% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of PARR is 5.87, which is a neutral value as it means it would take PARR, 5.87 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PARR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.87. This is in the better half of the industry: PARR outperforms 61.06% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70 indicates that PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
PARR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.70 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. PARR outperforms 40.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.94 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.56%
2.3 Liquidity
PARR has a Current Ratio of 1.51. This is a normal value and indicates that PARR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
PARR has a Current ratio of 1.51. This is in the better half of the industry: PARR outperforms 67.79% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that PARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
PARR has a Quick ratio of 0.48. This is amonst the worse of the industry: PARR underperforms 83.65% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for PARR have decreased strongly by -11.57% in the last year.
The earnings per share for PARR have been decreasing by -30.04% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue for PARR has decreased by -10.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
PARR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 96.51% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
PARR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.46.
PARR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.19. PARR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.51, the valuation of PARR can be described as reasonable.
84.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PARR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.92, PARR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.51 |
4.2 Price Multiples
PARR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. PARR is cheaper than 76.44% of the companies in the same industry.
73.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than PARR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PARR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 143.32% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
PARR does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
37.16
-0.61 (-1.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners103.03%
Inst Owner Change1.12%
Ins Owners2.87%
Ins Owner Change-0.29%
Market Cap1.87B
Revenue(TTM)7.48B
Net Income(TTM)236.00M
Analysts78.57
Price Target48.52 (30.57%)
Short Float %10.84%
Short Ratio4.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.44%
Min EPS beat(2)8.44%
Max EPS beat(2)96.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(4)96.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)25.24%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)22.37%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.32%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)12.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.23%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)11.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.23%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.32%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.17%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.96%
PT rev (1m)1.22%
PT rev (3m)23.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)102.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)53.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.49%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.51 | ||
| P/S | 0.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.56 | ||
| P/B | 1.34 | ||
| P/tB | 1.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.05 |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY5.14%
EPS(NY)4.36
Fwd EY11.75%
FCF(TTM)3.32
FCFY8.94%
OCF(TTM)6.68
OCFY17.98%
SpS148.81
BVpS27.76
TBVpS25.01
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROCE | 14.09% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.47% | ||
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% | ||
| FCFM | 2.23% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 118.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.12% | ||
| Profit Quality | 70.79% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.94 |
F-Score6
WACC8.56%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y143.32%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y48.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year349.31%
EBIT Next 3Y55.16%
EBIT Next 5Y41.19%
FCF growth 1Y-71.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-49.46%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC / PARR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PARR.
Can you provide the valuation status for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for PARR stock?
The financial health rating of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is 5 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is expected to grow by 1420.62% in the next year.