PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:PARR - US69888T2078 - Common Stock
37.77 USD
-0.1 (-0.26%)
37.77 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, PARR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. PARR was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of PARR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. PARR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year PARR was profitable.
PARR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: PARR reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.79%, PARR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.14% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a Return On Equity of 16.90%. This is amongst the best in the industry. PARR outperforms 82.94% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.13%, PARR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for PARR is below the industry average of 21.09%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.13%) for PARR is well below the 3 year average (16.13%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that PARR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 3.15%, PARR is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.13% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a worse Operating Margin (5.21%) than 64.45% of its industry peers.
PARR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of PARR (8.37%) is worse than 72.51% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of PARR has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), PARR is creating value.
PARR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
PARR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for PARR is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
PARR has an Altman-Z score of 2.94. This is not the best score and indicates that PARR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.94, PARR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.41% of the companies in the same industry.
PARR has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.87. This is a neutral value as PARR would need 5.87 years to pay back of all of its debts.
PARR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.87. This is in the better half of the industry: PARR outperforms 62.09% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70 indicates that PARR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
PARR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.70 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PARR is outperformed by 60.66% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.94 |
ROIC/WACC1.28
WACC8.71%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.51 indicates that PARR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.51, PARR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.48 indicates that PARR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.48, PARR is doing worse than 83.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
PARR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -11.57%.
The earnings per share for PARR have been decreasing by -30.04% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue for PARR has decreased by -10.11% in the past year. This is quite bad
PARR shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.10% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, PARR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 96.51% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.24% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y142.85%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.77 indicates a rather expensive valuation of PARR.
PARR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.39. PARR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.65, which indicates a very decent valuation of PARR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, PARR is valued cheaper than 80.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.84, PARR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than 73.93% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PARR is valued a bit cheaper than 72.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.37 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.11 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PARR's earnings are expected to grow with 142.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y142.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for PARR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
37.77
-0.1 (-0.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners102.81%
Inst Owner Change-2.02%
Ins Owners2.87%
Ins Owner Change-0.27%
Market Cap1.90B
Revenue(TTM)7.48B
Net Income(TTM)236.00M
Analysts78.57
Price Target47.94 (26.93%)
Short Float %9.8%
Short Ratio4.21
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)52.44%
Min EPS beat(2)8.44%
Max EPS beat(2)96.44%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.18%
Max EPS beat(4)96.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)25.49%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)22.54%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)16.44%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)14.31%
Min Revenue beat(2)12.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.23%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)11.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.23%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)8.32%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.17%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)8.96%
PT rev (1m)19.2%
PT rev (3m)38.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)139.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)24.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)107.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.36%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.94%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.13%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.77 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.65 | ||
| P/S | 0.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.37 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.65 | ||
| P/B | 1.36 | ||
| P/tB | 1.51 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.11 |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY5.06%
EPS(NY)4.36
Fwd EY11.56%
FCF(TTM)3.32
FCFY8.79%
OCF(TTM)6.68
OCFY17.69%
SpS148.81
BVpS27.76
TBVpS25.01
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number34.54
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.79% | ||
| ROE | 16.9% | ||
| ROCE | 14.09% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.81% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.47% | ||
| OM | 5.21% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.15% | ||
| GM | 8.37% | ||
| FCFM | 2.23% |
ROA(3y)9.7%
ROA(5y)1.35%
ROE(3y)36.09%
ROE(5y)-17.68%
ROIC(3y)16.13%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)21.09%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.42%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-26.87%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-25.45%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-23.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y33.41%
GM growth 5Y-5.53%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.84
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.87 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.83 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 118.61% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.26% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.15 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.12% | ||
| Profit Quality | 70.79% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.48 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.94 |
F-Score6
WACC8.71%
ROIC/WACC1.28
Cap/Depr(3y)74.92%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.14%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.57%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-30.04%
EPS Q2Q%2200%
EPS Next Y1420.62%
EPS Next 2Y287.95%
EPS Next 3Y142.85%
EPS Next 5Y96.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.11%
Revenue growth 3Y19.19%
Revenue growth 5Y8.1%
Sales Q2Q%-6.11%
Revenue Next Year-5.96%
Revenue Next 2Y-8.64%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.24%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y48.88%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-17.6%
EBIT Next Year353.11%
EBIT Next 3Y55.01%
EBIT Next 5Y41.19%
FCF growth 1Y-71.98%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-49.46%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-4.52%
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC / PARR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to PARR.
What is the valuation status for PARR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the financial health of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) stock?
The financial health rating of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for PARR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of PAR PACIFIC HOLDINGS INC (PARR) is expected to grow by 1420.62% in the next year.