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PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP-CL A (PAGP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:PAGP - Nasdaq - US72651A2078 - Currency: USD

21.68  -0.16 (-0.73%)

After market: 21.68 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall PAGP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated PAGP against 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of PAGP have multiple concerns. PAGP has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

PAGP had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year PAGP had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: PAGP reported negative net income in multiple years.
PAGP had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
PAGP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFPAGP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 0.59%, PAGP is not doing good in the industry: 73.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Equity value of 11.35%, PAGP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.98% of the companies in the same industry.
PAGP has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.53%. This is in the lower half of the industry: PAGP underperforms 61.27% of its industry peers.
PAGP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.26%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.75%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.26%) for PAGP is below the current ROIC(5.53%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.59%
ROE 11.35%
ROIC 5.53%
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)0.08%
ROE(3y)9.24%
ROE(5y)0.86%
ROIC(3y)5.26%
ROIC(5y)5.19%
PAGP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICPAGP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.33%, PAGP is doing worse than 74.02% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of PAGP has declined.
PAGP's Operating Margin of 2.99% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PAGP is outperformed by 75.98% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of PAGP has declined.
PAGP's Gross Margin of 8.89% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. PAGP is outperformed by 73.53% of its industry peers.
PAGP's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.99%
PM (TTM) 0.33%
GM 8.89%
OM growth 3Y-8.83%
OM growth 5Y-15.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.15%
GM growth 3Y-11.24%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
PAGP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsPAGP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 10

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so PAGP is destroying value.
There is no outstanding debt for PAGP. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
PAGP Yearly Shares OutstandingPAGP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
PAGP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsPAGP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of PAGP is 3.69, which is a good value as it means it would take PAGP, 3.69 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
PAGP has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.69) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.93 is on the high side and indicates that PAGP has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of PAGP (4.93) is worse than 93.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.93
Debt/FCF 3.69
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC7.9%
PAGP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFPAGP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.01 indicates that PAGP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.01, PAGP is doing worse than 62.75% of the companies in the same industry.
PAGP has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a bad value and indicates that PAGP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of PAGP (0.92) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 0.92
PAGP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesPAGP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for PAGP have decreased strongly by -80.94% in the last year.
The earnings per share for PAGP have been decreasing by -23.92% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80.94%
EPS 3Y18.32%
EPS 5Y-23.92%
EPS Q2Q%-118.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-2.33%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, PAGP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.60% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, PAGP will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -5.80% on average per year.
EPS Next Y237.86%
EPS Next 2Y81.87%
EPS Next 3Y53.95%
EPS Next 5Y29.6%
Revenue Next Year15.3%
Revenue Next 2Y6.38%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.09%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.8%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
PAGP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesPAGP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B
PAGP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesPAGP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 1 -1 2 -2 -3

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 40.91, which means the current valuation is very expensive for PAGP.
70.10% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than PAGP, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.63. PAGP is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.11, the valuation of PAGP can be described as correct.
PAGP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of PAGP to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.68), we can say PAGP is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 40.91
Fwd PE 12.11
PAGP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsPAGP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of PAGP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: PAGP is cheaper than 71.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, PAGP is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.06% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.98
EV/EBITDA 4.56
PAGP Per share dataPAGP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150 200 250

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PAGP's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PAGP's earnings are expected to grow with 53.95% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y81.87%
EPS Next 3Y53.95%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

PAGP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.96%, which is a nice return.
PAGP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.67.
PAGP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.96%

5.2 History

The dividend of PAGP has a limited annual growth rate of 2.67%.
PAGP has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
PAGP has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.67%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
PAGP Yearly Dividends per sharePAGP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

145.18% of the earnings are spent on dividend by PAGP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of PAGP is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP145.18%
EPS Next 2Y81.87%
EPS Next 3Y53.95%
PAGP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendPAGP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B
PAGP Dividend Payout.PAGP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.PAGP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

PLAINS GP HOLDINGS LP-CL A

NASDAQ:PAGP (2/21/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 21.68 0 (0%)

21.68

-0.16 (-0.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-07 2025-02-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-01 2025-05-01/bmo
Inst Owners80.04%
Inst Owner Change-87.43%
Ins Owners2.67%
Ins Owner Change-0.08%
Market Cap4.28B
Analysts76
Price Target22.4 (3.32%)
Short Float %4.75%
Short Ratio5.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.96%
Yearly Dividend0.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.67%
DP145.18%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date01-31 2025-01-31 (0.38)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-37.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-42.79%
Max EPS beat(2)-31.8%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-42.79%
Max EPS beat(4)-15.5%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)38.94%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)40.4%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.51%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.18%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-8.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.56%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.82%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.96%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.63%
PT rev (1m)6.48%
PT rev (3m)6.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.52%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.5%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.82%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 40.91
Fwd PE 12.11
P/S 0.08
P/FCF 1.98
P/OCF 1.55
P/B 2.93
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.56
EPS(TTM)0.53
EY2.44%
EPS(NY)1.79
Fwd EY8.26%
FCF(TTM)10.94
FCFY50.45%
OCF(TTM)14.02
OCFY64.66%
SpS255.07
BVpS7.4
TBVpS-1.07
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.59%
ROE 11.35%
ROCE 6.47%
ROIC 5.53%
ROICexc 5.69%
ROICexgc 6.14%
OM 2.99%
PM (TTM) 0.33%
GM 8.89%
FCFM 4.29%
ROA(3y)0.49%
ROA(5y)0.08%
ROE(3y)9.24%
ROE(5y)0.86%
ROIC(3y)5.26%
ROIC(5y)5.19%
ROICexc(3y)5.33%
ROICexc(5y)5.24%
ROICexgc(3y)5.83%
ROICexgc(5y)5.77%
ROCE(3y)6.16%
ROCE(5y)6.08%
ROICexcg growth 3Y15.06%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.21%
OM growth 3Y-8.83%
OM growth 5Y-15.27%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-16.15%
GM growth 3Y-11.24%
GM growth 5Y-7.27%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.78
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.93
Debt/FCF 3.69
Debt/EBITDA 2.83
Cap/Depr 58.35%
Cap/Sales 1.21%
Interest Coverage 4.08
Cash Conversion 108.72%
Profit Quality 1301.2%
Current Ratio 1.01
Quick Ratio 0.92
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score6
WACC7.9%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)47.81%
Cap/Depr(5y)93.17%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.94%
Profit Quality(3y)1670.29%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-80.94%
EPS 3Y18.32%
EPS 5Y-23.92%
EPS Q2Q%-118.52%
EPS Next Y237.86%
EPS Next 2Y81.87%
EPS Next 3Y53.95%
EPS Next 5Y29.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-2.33%
Revenue Next Year15.3%
Revenue Next 2Y6.38%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.09%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 1Y24.4%
EBIT growth 3Y16.6%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.99%
EBIT Next Year82.79%
EBIT Next 3Y22.54%
EBIT Next 5Y14.24%
FCF growth 1Y-6.57%
FCF growth 3Y41.84%
FCF growth 5Y18.52%
OCF growth 1Y2.4%
OCF growth 3Y21.7%
OCF growth 5Y0.89%