OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:OUT - US69007J3041 - REIT
23.31 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
23.31 USD
0 (0%)
OUT gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 30 industry peers in the Specialized REITs industry. OUT has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. OUT has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OUT had positive earnings in the past year.
OUT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years OUT reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
OUT had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
OUT's Return On Assets of 2.21% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OUT outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
OUT's Return On Equity of 17.42% is amongst the best of the industry. OUT outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
OUT has a better Return On Invested Capital (4.82%) than 63.33% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OUT is in line with the industry average of 4.78%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.34%) for OUT is below the current ROIC(4.82%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.21% | ||
| ROE | 17.42% | ||
| ROIC | 4.82% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
1.3 Margins
OUT has a Profit Margin (6.37%) which is in line with its industry peers.
OUT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 15.81%, OUT is not doing good in the industry: 76.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
OUT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 74.02%, OUT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
OUT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.37% | ||
| GM | 74.02% |
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
OUT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
OUT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for OUT has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, OUT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.49, we must say that OUT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of OUT (0.49) is worse than 73.33% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OUT is 12.12, which is on the high side as it means it would take OUT, 12.12 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 12.12, OUT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.90 is on the high side and indicates that OUT has dependencies on debt financing.
OUT has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.90. This is in the lower half of the industry: OUT underperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.9 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.12 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC7.78%
2.3 Liquidity
OUT has a Current Ratio of 0.79. This is a bad value and indicates that OUT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
OUT has a Current ratio (0.79) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.79 indicates that OUT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.79, OUT is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OUT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 27.61%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, OUT shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.35% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -1.48% in the past year.
OUT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.61%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.48%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%3.45%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, OUT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 25.76% on average per year.
OUT is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y56.17%
EPS Next 2Y38.98%
EPS Next 3Y25.76%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.05%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 28.78, the valuation of OUT can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OUT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: OUT is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.49. OUT is around the same levels.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.64, the valuation of OUT can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OUT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: OUT is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
OUT is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OUT is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, OUT is valued a bit cheaper than 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.29 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
OUT's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
OUT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
OUT's earnings are expected to grow with 25.76% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y38.98%
EPS Next 3Y25.76%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.15%, OUT is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.05, OUT has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
OUT's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.15% |
5.2 History
The dividend of OUT decreases each year by -3.24%.
OUT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
OUT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
181.72% of the earnings are spent on dividend by OUT. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP181.72%
EPS Next 2Y38.98%
EPS Next 3Y25.76%
23.31
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustrySpecialized REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners108.24%
Inst Owner Change1.82%
Ins Owners1.99%
Ins Owner Change-3.2%
Market Cap3.90B
Revenue(TTM)1.81B
Net Income(TTM)115.40M
Analysts80
Price Target23.46 (0.64%)
Short Float %10.48%
Short Ratio9.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.15% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
DP181.72%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.33%
Min EPS beat(2)1.2%
Max EPS beat(2)19.45%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.45%
Min EPS beat(4)-52.23%
Max EPS beat(4)19.45%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-9.16%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-16.27%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.64%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.99%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.99%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.1%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.52%
PT rev (1m)16.85%
PT rev (3m)16.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)5.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)9.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.7%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.64 | ||
| P/S | 2.15 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.29 | ||
| P/OCF | 12.41 | ||
| P/B | 5.88 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.24 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY3.47%
EPS(NY)1.19
Fwd EY5.09%
FCF(TTM)1.27
FCFY5.47%
OCF(TTM)1.88
OCFY8.06%
SpS10.83
BVpS3.96
TBVpS-11.76
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.5
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.21% | ||
| ROE | 17.42% | ||
| ROCE | 6.1% | ||
| ROIC | 4.82% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.27% | ||
| OM | 15.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.37% | ||
| GM | 74.02% | ||
| FCFM | 11.76% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)4.37%
ROICexc(5y)3.36%
ROICexgc(3y)9.75%
ROICexgc(5y)7.47%
ROCE(3y)5.52%
ROCE(5y)4.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.02%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.68%
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.9 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.12 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.73 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.49% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.57% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.04 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.68% | ||
| Profit Quality | 184.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
F-Score4
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)144.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.61%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.69%
EPS Next Y56.17%
EPS Next 2Y38.98%
EPS Next 3Y25.76%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.48%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%3.45%
Revenue Next Year-0.05%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y2.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y0%
EBIT growth 3Y19.32%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.56%
EBIT Next Year18.28%
EBIT Next 3Y10.29%
EBIT Next 5Y7.98%
FCF growth 1Y491.94%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y11.44%
OCF growth 1Y37.42%
OCF growth 3Y44.68%
OCF growth 5Y1.56%
OUTFRONT MEDIA INC / OUT FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OUT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to OUT.
What is the valuation status for OUT stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) stock?
OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) is 28.78 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.88.
Is the dividend of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 181.72%.