OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:OUT - US69007J3041 - REIT
18.74 USD
0 (0%)
18.74 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to OUT. OUT was compared to 29 industry peers in the Specialized REITs industry. OUT has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. OUT is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OUT had positive earnings in the past year.
OUT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: OUT reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years OUT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
OUT has a Return On Assets (1.92%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
OUT's Return On Equity of 14.98% is amongst the best of the industry. OUT outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.56%, OUT is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OUT is in line with the industry average of 4.79%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.56%) for OUT is above the 3 year average (4.34%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.92% | ||
| ROE | 14.98% | ||
| ROIC | 4.56% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
1.3 Margins
OUT has a Profit Margin of 5.50%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OUT outperforms 41.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OUT has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 14.91%, OUT is not doing good in the industry: 79.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
OUT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OUT's Gross Margin of 74.15% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OUT outperforms 58.62% of its industry peers.
OUT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 74.15% |
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OUT is destroying value.
OUT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
OUT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
OUT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
OUT has an Altman-Z score of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that OUT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of OUT (0.36) is worse than 82.76% of its industry peers.
OUT has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.83. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as OUT would need 12.83 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OUT (12.83) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
OUT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.88. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
OUT's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.88 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OUT is outperformed by 79.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.36 |
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC7.75%
2.3 Liquidity
OUT has a Current Ratio of 0.61. This is a bad value and indicates that OUT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
OUT has a Current ratio (0.61) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
OUT has a Quick Ratio of 0.61. This is a bad value and indicates that OUT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.61, OUT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 46.34% over the past year.
OUT shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.35% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -2.49% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.54% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.34%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%30.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%-3.58%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, OUT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 22.93% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y36.99%
EPS Next 2Y25.23%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.03%
Revenue Next 2Y0.86%
Revenue Next 3Y1.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.1%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 25.67, the valuation of OUT can be described as expensive.
OUT's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. OUT is cheaper than 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.20. OUT is around the same levels.
OUT is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.45.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, OUT is valued cheaper than 86.21% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.70. OUT is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.45 |
4.2 Price Multiples
OUT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. OUT is cheaper than 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, OUT is valued cheaper than 89.66% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.03 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
OUT's earnings are expected to grow with 22.93% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.23%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OUT has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.41%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.99, OUT pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, OUT pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.41% |
5.2 History
The dividend of OUT decreases each year by -3.24%.
OUT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
OUT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
212.06% of the earnings are spent on dividend by OUT. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP212.06%
EPS Next 2Y25.23%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
18.74
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustrySpecialized REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.7%
Inst Owner Change-0.97%
Ins Owners2.01%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap3.13B
Analysts76.36
Price Target20.08 (7.15%)
Short Float %11.24%
Short Ratio10.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.41% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
DP212.06%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-25.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-52.23%
Max EPS beat(2)1.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-52.23%
Max EPS beat(4)17.74%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.77%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-18.53%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)12.65%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.38%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.47%
PT rev (1m)2.07%
PT rev (3m)6.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)11.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.96%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.22%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.45 | ||
| P/S | 1.74 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.51 | ||
| P/B | 4.76 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.03 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY3.9%
EPS(NY)0.96
Fwd EY5.14%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY6.36%
OCF(TTM)1.78
OCFY9.52%
SpS10.74
BVpS3.94
TBVpS-11.86
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.92% | ||
| ROE | 14.98% | ||
| ROCE | 5.86% | ||
| ROIC | 4.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.59% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.74% | ||
| OM | 14.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 74.15% | ||
| FCFM | 11.09% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)4.37%
ROICexc(5y)3.36%
ROICexgc(3y)9.75%
ROICexgc(5y)7.47%
ROCE(3y)5.52%
ROCE(5y)4.17%
ROICexcg growth 3Y25.02%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.68%
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.83 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.95 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.4% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.52% | ||
| Profit Quality | 201.82% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.36 |
F-Score3
WACC7.75%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)144.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.34%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%30.72%
EPS Next Y36.99%
EPS Next 2Y25.23%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%-3.58%
Revenue Next Year-1.03%
Revenue Next 2Y0.86%
Revenue Next 3Y1.84%
Revenue Next 5Y2.1%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.56%
EBIT growth 3Y19.32%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.56%
EBIT Next Year15.31%
EBIT Next 3Y8.9%
EBIT Next 5Y6.68%
FCF growth 1Y1219.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y11.44%
OCF growth 1Y23.93%
OCF growth 3Y44.68%
OCF growth 5Y1.56%