OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:OUT - US69007J3041 - REIT
17.99 USD
+0.1 (+0.56%)
17.99 USD
0 (0%)
OUT gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 30 industry peers in the Specialized REITs industry. OUT has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. OUT is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OUT had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year OUT had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years OUT reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years OUT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 1.92%, OUT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
OUT has a better Return On Equity (14.98%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
OUT has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.56%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OUT outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OUT is in line with the industry average of 4.79%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.34%) for OUT is below the current ROIC(4.56%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.92% | ||
| ROE | 14.98% | ||
| ROIC | 4.56% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
1.3 Margins
OUT has a Profit Margin (5.50%) which is in line with its industry peers.
OUT's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of OUT (14.91%) is worse than 76.67% of its industry peers.
OUT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OUT has a Gross Margin (74.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OUT has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 74.15% |
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OUT is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OUT has more shares outstanding
OUT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, OUT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.34, we must say that OUT is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.34, OUT is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
OUT has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.83. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as OUT would need 12.83 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 12.83, OUT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.88 is on the high side and indicates that OUT has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.88, OUT is doing worse than 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC7.72%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.61 indicates that OUT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of OUT (0.61) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.61 indicates that OUT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OUT has a Quick ratio of 0.61. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OUT outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OUT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 46.34%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for OUT have been decreasing by -10.35% on average. This is quite bad
Looking at the last year, OUT shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.49% in the last year.
OUT shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 0.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.34%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%30.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%-3.58%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, OUT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 22.93% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.10% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y42.2%
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.03%
Revenue Next 2Y0.86%
Revenue Next 3Y1.67%
Revenue Next 5Y2.1%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.64, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of OUT.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, OUT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OUT to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.83), we can say OUT is valued inline with the index average.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.45, OUT is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, OUT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.82. OUT is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.45 |
4.2 Price Multiples
OUT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. OUT is cheaper than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, OUT is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
OUT's earnings are expected to grow with 22.93% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OUT has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.39%, which is a nice return.
OUT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 5.76.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, OUT pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.39% |
5.2 History
The dividend of OUT decreases each year by -3.24%.
OUT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
OUT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
OUT pays out 212.06% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP212.06%
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
17.99
+0.1 (+0.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustrySpecialized REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.87%
Inst Owner Change-0.48%
Ins Owners2.01%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap3.01B
Revenue(TTM)1.80B
Net Income(TTM)98.70M
Analysts76.36
Price Target20.08 (11.62%)
Short Float %11.92%
Short Ratio11.63
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.39% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
DP212.06%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-25.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-52.23%
Max EPS beat(2)1.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-52.23%
Max EPS beat(4)17.74%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.77%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-18.53%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)12.65%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.38%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.47%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)6.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.87%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.22%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.45 | ||
| P/S | 1.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.1 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.08 | ||
| P/B | 4.57 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.7 |
EPS(TTM)0.73
EY4.06%
EPS(NY)0.97
Fwd EY5.42%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY6.62%
OCF(TTM)1.78
OCFY9.92%
SpS10.74
BVpS3.94
TBVpS-11.86
PEG (NY)0.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.04
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.92% | ||
| ROE | 14.98% | ||
| ROCE | 5.86% | ||
| ROIC | 4.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.59% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.74% | ||
| OM | 14.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 74.15% | ||
| FCFM | 11.09% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)4.37%
ROICexc(5y)3.36%
ROICexgc(3y)9.75%
ROICexgc(5y)7.47%
ROCE(3y)5.52%
ROCE(5y)4.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.02%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.68%
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.83 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.95 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.4% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.52% | ||
| Profit Quality | 201.82% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.34 |
F-Score3
WACC7.72%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)144.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.34%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%30.72%
EPS Next Y42.2%
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.49%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%-3.58%
Revenue Next Year-1.03%
Revenue Next 2Y0.86%
Revenue Next 3Y1.67%
Revenue Next 5Y2.1%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.56%
EBIT growth 3Y19.32%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.56%
EBIT Next Year15.74%
EBIT Next 3Y8.97%
EBIT Next 5Y6.68%
FCF growth 1Y1219.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y11.44%
OCF growth 1Y23.93%
OCF growth 3Y44.68%
OCF growth 5Y1.56%
OUTFRONT MEDIA INC / OUT FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OUT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to OUT.
What is the valuation status for OUT stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) stock?
OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) is 24.64 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 4.57.
Is the dividend of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 212.06%.