OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:OUT - US69007J3041 - REIT
23.31 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
23.31 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to OUT. OUT was compared to 30 industry peers in the Specialized REITs industry. OUT has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. OUT has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OUT had positive earnings in the past year.
OUT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years OUT reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years OUT had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of 1.92%, OUT perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 14.98%, OUT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.56%, OUT is in line with its industry, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OUT is in line with the industry average of 4.77%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.34%) for OUT is below the current ROIC(4.56%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.92% | ||
| ROE | 14.98% | ||
| ROIC | 4.56% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of OUT (5.50%) is worse than 60.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OUT has grown nicely.
OUT has a Operating Margin of 14.91%. This is in the lower half of the industry: OUT underperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
OUT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OUT has a Gross Margin (74.15%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
OUT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 74.15% |
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OUT is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OUT has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, OUT has more shares outstanding
OUT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
OUT has an Altman-Z score of 0.46. This is a bad value and indicates that OUT is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.46, OUT is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
OUT has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.83. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as OUT would need 12.83 years to pay back of all of its debts.
OUT's Debt to FCF ratio of 12.83 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OUT outperforms 63.33% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.88 is on the high side and indicates that OUT has dependencies on debt financing.
OUT has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.88) than 76.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.46 |
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC7.75%
2.3 Liquidity
OUT has a Current Ratio of 0.61. This is a bad value and indicates that OUT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
OUT's Current ratio of 0.61 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OUT outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
OUT has a Quick Ratio of 0.61. This is a bad value and indicates that OUT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
OUT's Quick ratio of 0.61 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OUT outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OUT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 27.61%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, OUT shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.35% on average per year.
OUT shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.57%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.54% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.61%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.57%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%3.45%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.93% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, OUT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.58% on average per year.
EPS Next Y42.2%
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.14%
Revenue Next 2Y0.86%
Revenue Next 3Y1.67%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.78, OUT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, OUT is valued a bit cheaper than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
OUT's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.46.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.91 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OUT.
70.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OUT, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OUT to the average of the S&P500 Index (36.10), we can say OUT is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OUT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
73.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OUT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.8 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OUT's earnings are expected to grow with 22.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OUT has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.19%, which is a nice return.
OUT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.00.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, OUT pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.19% |
5.2 History
The dividend of OUT decreases each year by -3.24%.
OUT has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
OUT has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
OUT pays out 212.06% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP212.06%
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
23.31
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustrySpecialized REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners100.87%
Inst Owner Change1.82%
Ins Owners2.01%
Ins Owner Change-1.23%
Market Cap3.90B
Revenue(TTM)1.83B
Net Income(TTM)98.70M
Analysts76.36
Price Target23.46 (0.64%)
Short Float %10.48%
Short Ratio9.3
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.19% |
Yearly Dividend1.27
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.24%
DP212.06%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-25.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-52.23%
Max EPS beat(2)1.2%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-52.23%
Max EPS beat(4)17.74%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-15.77%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-18.53%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)12.65%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.23%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.49%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.38%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.52%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.47%
PT rev (1m)16.85%
PT rev (3m)16.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.91 | ||
| P/S | 2.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.57 | ||
| P/OCF | 13.07 | ||
| P/B | 5.92 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.8 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY3.47%
EPS(NY)0.97
Fwd EY4.18%
FCF(TTM)1.19
FCFY5.11%
OCF(TTM)1.78
OCFY7.65%
SpS10.74
BVpS3.94
TBVpS-11.86
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number8.47
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.92% | ||
| ROE | 14.98% | ||
| ROCE | 5.86% | ||
| ROIC | 4.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.59% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.74% | ||
| OM | 14.91% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.5% | ||
| GM | 74.15% | ||
| FCFM | 11.09% |
ROA(3y)-0.27%
ROA(5y)-0.41%
ROE(3y)-5.86%
ROE(5y)-4.6%
ROIC(3y)4.34%
ROIC(5y)3.27%
ROICexc(3y)4.37%
ROICexc(5y)3.36%
ROICexgc(3y)9.75%
ROICexgc(5y)7.47%
ROCE(3y)5.52%
ROCE(5y)4.17%
ROICexgc growth 3Y25.02%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y22.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.68%
OM growth 3Y10.75%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y198.47%
PM growth 5Y11.93%
GM growth 3Y0.26%
GM growth 5Y1.52%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.88 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.83 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.95 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.4% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.89 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 69.52% | ||
| Profit Quality | 201.82% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.46 |
F-Score3
WACC7.75%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)144.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.43%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.61%
EPS 3Y211.13%
EPS 5Y-10.35%
EPS Q2Q%33.69%
EPS Next Y42.2%
EPS Next 2Y25.97%
EPS Next 3Y22.93%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.57%
Revenue growth 3Y7.74%
Revenue growth 5Y0.54%
Sales Q2Q%3.45%
Revenue Next Year-1.14%
Revenue Next 2Y0.86%
Revenue Next 3Y1.67%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.56%
EBIT growth 3Y19.32%
EBIT growth 5Y-1.56%
EBIT Next Year15.74%
EBIT Next 3Y8.97%
EBIT Next 5Y7.98%
FCF growth 1Y1219.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y11.44%
OCF growth 1Y23.93%
OCF growth 3Y44.68%
OCF growth 5Y1.56%
OUTFRONT MEDIA INC / OUT FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OUT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to OUT.
What is the valuation status for OUT stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) stock?
OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) is 28.78 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.92.
Is the dividend of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of OUTFRONT MEDIA INC (OUT) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 212.06%.