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ONTRAK INC (OTRK) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:OTRK - Nasdaq - US6833734014 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.41  -0.02 (-1.4%)

After market: 1.4186 +0.01 (+0.61%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall OTRK gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated OTRK against 106 industry peers in the Health Care Providers & Services industry. OTRK may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. OTRK is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year OTRK has reported negative net income.
OTRK had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years OTRK always reported negative net income.
OTRK had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OTRK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOTRK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 -20M -40M -60M

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -374.92%, OTRK is not doing good in the industry: 96.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
OTRK has a worse Return On Equity (-800.56%) than 86.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -374.92%
ROE -800.56%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-265.11%
ROA(5y)-172.32%
ROE(3y)-706.96%
ROE(5y)-452.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OTRK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOTRK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500 -500 -1K -1.5K

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of OTRK (62.92%) is better than 83.96% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OTRK has grown nicely.
OTRK does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 62.92%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y8.5%
OTRK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOTRK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200 -400 -600

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

OTRK does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, OTRK has more shares outstanding
OTRK has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for OTRK is higher compared to a year ago.
OTRK Yearly Shares OutstandingOTRK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1M 2M 3M 4M
OTRK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOTRK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -37.78, we must say that OTRK is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of OTRK (-37.78) is worse than 93.40% of its industry peers.
OTRK has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.84. This is a neutral value indicating OTRK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.84, OTRK is not doing good in the industry: 60.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -37.78
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.44%
OTRK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOTRK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M 60M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.09 indicates that OTRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.09, OTRK is not doing good in the industry: 70.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 1.09 indicates that OTRK should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
OTRK's Quick ratio of 1.09 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OTRK is outperformed by 63.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio 1.09
OTRK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOTRK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

OTRK shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -51.66%.
Looking at the last year, OTRK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.89% in the last year.
OTRK shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -20.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.66%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-119.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-49.48%
Revenue growth 5Y-20.93%
Sales Q2Q%-10.99%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, OTRK will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.19% on average per year.
OTRK is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 65.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y73.87%
EPS Next 2Y34.81%
EPS Next 3Y26.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.19%
Revenue Next Year48.09%
Revenue Next 2Y51.63%
Revenue Next 3Y77.36%
Revenue Next 5Y65.61%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
OTRK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOTRK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 50M 100M 150M
OTRK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOTRK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -200 -400 -600

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

OTRK reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year OTRK is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
OTRK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOTRK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
OTRK Per share dataOTRK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 -5 -10 -15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

OTRK's earnings are expected to grow with 26.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.81%
EPS Next 3Y26.1%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

OTRK does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ONTRAK INC

NASDAQ:OTRK (4/17/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 1.4186 +0.01 (+0.61%)

1.41

-0.02 (-1.4%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupHealth Care Equipment & Services
GICS IndustryHealth Care Providers & Services
Earnings (Last)04-14 2025-04-14/amc
Earnings (Next)05-12 2025-05-12
Inst Owners15.07%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap5.95M
Analysts82.86
Price Target4.08 (189.36%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio1.96
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-302.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-592.81%
Max EPS beat(2)-11.24%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-161.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-592.81%
Max EPS beat(4)43.24%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.29%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.28%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.29%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-25.03%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-19.56%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-13.24%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.55
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.6
P/tB 1.43
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-15.81
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-4.13
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-3.23
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-3.18
OCFYN/A
SpS2.57
BVpS2.34
TBVpS0.99
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -374.92%
ROE -800.56%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 62.92%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-265.11%
ROA(5y)-172.32%
ROE(3y)-706.96%
ROE(5y)-452.52%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y8.5%
F-Score1
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.84
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 15.95%
Cap/Sales 1.63%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.09
Quick Ratio 1.09
Altman-Z -37.78
F-Score1
WACC6.44%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)14.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)49.22%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.66%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-119.31%
EPS Next Y73.87%
EPS Next 2Y34.81%
EPS Next 3Y26.1%
EPS Next 5Y15.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.89%
Revenue growth 3Y-49.48%
Revenue growth 5Y-20.93%
Sales Q2Q%-10.99%
Revenue Next Year48.09%
Revenue Next 2Y51.63%
Revenue Next 3Y77.36%
Revenue Next 5Y65.61%
EBIT growth 1Y15.36%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3Y31.42%
EBIT Next 5Y30.92%
FCF growth 1Y13.76%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y13.31%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A