Fundamental Analysis of ORIGIN MATERIALS INC(NASDAQ:ORGN) stock

Fundamental Rating

Overall ORGN gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated ORGN against 84 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. ORGN scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. ORGN has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ORGN had negative earnings in the past year.

ORGN had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.

The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ORGN reported negative net income in multiple years.

ORGN had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -3.00%, ORGN is not doing good in the industry: 72.62% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.

ORGN has a worse Return On Equity (-3.31%) than 66.67% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-3%
ROE	-3.31%
ROIC	N/A

ROA(3y)9.77%

ROA(5y)N/A

ROE(3y)13.45%

ROE(5y)N/A

ROIC(3y)N/A

ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

The Gross Margin of ORGN (13.89%) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.

ORGN does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	13.89%

OM growth 3YN/A

OM growth 5YN/A

PM growth 3YN/A

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3YN/A

GM growth 5YN/A

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ORGN does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.

ORGN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.

ORGN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

ORGN has an Altman-Z score of 3.01. This indicates that ORGN is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.

The Altman-Z score of ORGN (3.01) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.

ORGN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.

With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.02, ORGN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.05% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.02
Debt/FCF	N/A
Altman-Z	3.01

ROIC/WACCN/A

WACC8.87%

2.3 Liquidity

ORGN has a Current Ratio of 13.57. This indicates that ORGN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.

The Current ratio of ORGN (13.57) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.

ORGN has a Quick Ratio of 13.48. This indicates that ORGN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.

ORGN has a better Quick ratio (13.48) than 100.00% of its industry peers.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	13.57
Quick Ratio	13.48

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

ORGN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -147.37%.

Looking at the last year, ORGN shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 296.06%.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-147.37%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-180%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)296.06%

Revenue growth 3YN/A

Revenue growth 5YN/A

Sales Q2Q%103.91%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -20.21% on average over the next years. This is quite bad

The Revenue is expected to grow by 67.78% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth

EPS Next Y-370%

EPS Next 2Y-102.48%

EPS Next 3Y-38.56%

EPS Next 5Y-20.21%

Revenue Next Year11.57%

Revenue Next 2Y75.48%

Revenue Next 3Y35.53%

Revenue Next 5Y67.78%

3.3 Evolution

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

ORGN reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

Also next year ORGN is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A

4.2 Price Multiples

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	N/A
EV/EBITDA	N/A

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as ORGN's earnings are expected to decrease with -38.56% in the coming years.

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-102.48%

EPS Next 3Y-38.56%

More info and screens

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for ORGN!.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

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ORIGIN MATERIALS INC

NASDAQ:ORGN (11/4/2024, 8:28:14 PM)

After market: 1.27 -0.03 (-2.31%)

1.3

-0.07 (-5.11%)

Chartmill FA Rating

GICS SectorMaterials

GICS IndustryGroupMaterials

GICS IndustryChemicals

Earnings (Last)

Earnings (Next)

Inst Owners

Inst Owner Change

Ins Owners

Ins Owner Change

Market Cap189.47M

Analysts

Price Target

Dividend

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	N/A

Dividend Growth(5Y)

Div Incr Years

Div Non Decr Years

Ex-Date

Surprises & Revisions

EPS beat(2)

Avg EPS beat(2)

Min EPS beat(2)

Max EPS beat(2)

EPS beat(4)

Avg EPS beat(4)

Min EPS beat(4)

Max EPS beat(4)

EPS beat(8)

Avg EPS beat(8)

EPS beat(12)

Avg EPS beat(12)

EPS beat(16)

Avg EPS beat(16)

Revenue beat(2)

Avg Revenue beat(2)

Min Revenue beat(2)

Max Revenue beat(2)

Revenue beat(4)

Avg Revenue beat(4)

Min Revenue beat(4)

Max Revenue beat(4)

Revenue beat(8)

Avg Revenue beat(8)

Revenue beat(12)

Avg Revenue beat(12)

Revenue beat(16)

Avg Revenue beat(16)

PT rev (1m)

PT rev (3m)

EPS NQ rev (1m)

EPS NQ rev (3m)

EPS NY rev (1m)

EPS NY rev (3m)

Revenue NQ rev (1m)

Revenue NQ rev (3m)

Revenue NY rev (1m)

Revenue NY rev (3m)

Valuation

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	N/A
Fwd PE	N/A
P/S
P/FCF
P/OCF
P/B
P/tB
EV/EBITDA

EPS(TTM)

EPS(NY)

Fwd EY

FCF(TTM)

FCFY

OCF(TTM)

OCFY

SpS

BVpS

TBVpS

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

Profitability

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	-3%
ROE	-3.31%
ROCE
ROIC
ROICexc
ROICexgc
OM	N/A
PM (TTM)	N/A
GM	13.89%
FCFM

ROA(3y)

ROA(5y)

ROE(3y)

ROE(5y)

ROIC(3y)

ROIC(5y)

ROICexc(3y)

ROICexc(5y)

ROICexgc(3y)

ROICexgc(5y)

ROCE(3y)

ROCE(5y)

ROICexcg growth 3Y

ROICexcg growth 5Y

ROICexc growth 3Y

ROICexc growth 5Y

OM growth 3Y

OM growth 5Y

PM growth 3Y

PM growth 5Y

GM growth 3Y

GM growth 5Y

F-Score

Asset Turnover0.08

Health

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	0.02
Debt/FCF
Debt/EBITDA
Cap/Depr
Cap/Sales
Interest Coverage
Cash Conversion
Profit Quality
Current Ratio	13.57
Quick Ratio	13.48
Altman-Z

F-Score

WACC

ROIC/WACC

Cap/Depr(3y)

Cap/Depr(5y)

Cap/Sales(3y)

Cap/Sales(5y)

Profit Quality(3y)

Profit Quality(5y)

High Growth Momentum

Growth

EPS 1Y (TTM)-147.37%

EPS 3YN/A

EPS 5Y

EPS Q2Q%

EPS Next Y-370%

EPS Next 2Y

EPS Next 3Y

EPS Next 5Y

Revenue 1Y (TTM)296.06%

Revenue growth 3YN/A

Revenue growth 5Y

Sales Q2Q%

Revenue Next Year

Revenue Next 2Y

Revenue Next 3Y

Revenue Next 5Y

EBIT growth 1Y

EBIT growth 3Y

EBIT growth 5Y

EBIT Next Year

EBIT Next 3Y

EBIT Next 5Y

FCF growth 1Y

FCF growth 3Y

FCF growth 5Y

OCF growth 1Y

OCF growth 3Y

OCF growth 5Y

ORIGIN MATERIALS INC (ORGN)

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1.2 Ratios

1.3 Margins

More info and screens

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

2.2 Solvency

2.3 Liquidity

More info and screens

3. Growth

3.1 Past

3.2 Future

3.3 Evolution

More info and screens

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

4.2 Price Multiples

4.3 Compensation for Growth

More info and screens

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

More info and screens