ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL INC (ORC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:ORC - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US68571X3017 - REIT - Currency: USD
ORC gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of ORC while its profitability can be described as average. ORC is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ORC had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year ORC had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ORC reported negative net income in multiple years.
ORC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.00%, ORC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of ORC (9.03%) is better than 73.44% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.79%, ORC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.63% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROIC | 0.79% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
ORC has a better Profit Margin (19.72%) than 73.44% of its industry peers.
ORC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 19.72%, ORC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
ORC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ORC has a Gross Margin of 22.15%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ORC underperforms 67.19% of its industry peers.
ORC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.72% | ||
| GM | 22.15% |
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-48.38%
GM growth 5Y-5.32%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ORC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ORC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ORC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ORC has an Altman-Z score of -0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that ORC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -0.91, ORC is not doing good in the industry: 89.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ORC is 602.70, which is on the high side as it means it would take ORC, 602.70 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ORC has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (602.70) than 65.63% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.97 is on the high side and indicates that ORC has dependencies on debt financing.
ORC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 7.97. This is in the lower half of the industry: ORC underperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.97 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 602.7 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
ORC has a Current Ratio of 0.07. This is a bad value and indicates that ORC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ORC has a worse Current ratio (0.07) than 76.56% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.07 indicates that ORC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ORC's Quick ratio of 0.07 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ORC is outperformed by 76.56% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.07 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ORC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -166.67%.
ORC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.17% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 60.40% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
The Revenue has been growing by 19.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-166.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%-95.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)60.4%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%392.28%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 104.24% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
ORC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3855.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y320.52%
EPS Next 2Y104.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year166302%
Revenue Next 2Y3855.69%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ORC reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.23 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ORC.
ORC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. ORC is more expensive than 70.31% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ORC to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.68), we can say ORC is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.23 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ORC is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.63% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 86.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
ORC's earnings are expected to grow with 104.24% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y104.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ORC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 16.23%, which is a nice return.
ORC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 12.96. ORC pays more dividend than 84.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, ORC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.23% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ORC decreases each year by -20.67%.
ORC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-20.67%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
ORC pays out 143.51% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP143.51%
EPS Next 2Y104.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
8.92
+0.05 (+0.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners30.54%
Inst Owner Change-89.96%
Ins Owners0.22%
Ins Owner Change0.5%
Market Cap754.72M
Analysts75
Price Target9.69 (8.63%)
Short Float %6.71%
Short Ratio2.5
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.23% |
Yearly Dividend1.83
Dividend Growth(5Y)-20.67%
DP143.51%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)10.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.25%
Max EPS beat(2)29.28%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)135.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.01%
Max EPS beat(4)553.37%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-275.6%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-189.72%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-168.16%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)100.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)76.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)123.99%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)74.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)23.6%
Max Revenue beat(4)123.99%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)38.22%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-78.27%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-78.65%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)90.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)90.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)20.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)103.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)415.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)415.4%
Revenue NY rev (1m)19.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)97.56%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.23 | ||
| P/S | 2.51 | ||
| P/FCF | 86.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 86.96 | ||
| P/B | 1.15 | ||
| P/tB | 1.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)-0.2
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.44
Fwd EY4.94%
FCF(TTM)0.1
FCFY1.15%
OCF(TTM)0.1
OCFY1.15%
SpS3.55
BVpS7.75
TBVpS7.75
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1% | ||
| ROE | 9.03% | ||
| ROCE | 9% | ||
| ROIC | 0.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.85% | ||
| OM | 19.72% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.72% | ||
| GM | 22.15% | ||
| FCFM | 2.89% |
ROA(3y)-2.32%
ROA(5y)-1.56%
ROE(3y)-20.54%
ROE(5y)-13.91%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.12%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.19%
OM growth 3Y-56.07%
OM growth 5Y-8.8%
PM growth 3Y-56.07%
PM growth 5Y-8.8%
GM growth 3Y-48.38%
GM growth 5Y-5.32%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.97 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 602.7 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.26 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 14.65% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-166.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-23.17%
EPS Q2Q%-95.69%
EPS Next Y320.52%
EPS Next 2Y104.24%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)60.4%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y19.7%
Sales Q2Q%392.28%
Revenue Next Year166302%
Revenue Next 2Y3855.69%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y288.56%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y9.16%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-81.73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-81.73%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A