OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI)
US6811161099 - Common Stock
OLLI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 32 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. OLLI has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. OLLI is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating. These ratings could make OLLI a good candidate for growth investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
OLLI's Return On Assets of 8.41% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 71.88% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 12.84%, OLLI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of OLLI (9.13%) is better than 68.75% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is below the industry average of 11.71%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (9.13%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (7.78%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.41% | ||
| ROE | 12.84% | ||
| ROIC | 9.13% |
ROA(3y)6.97%
ROA(5y)8.37%
ROE(3y)10.6%
ROE(5y)12.66%
ROIC(3y)7.78%
ROIC(5y)8.95%
1.3 Margins
OLLI has a Profit Margin of 9.22%. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OLLI's Operating Margin of 11.51% is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 81.25% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OLLI's Gross Margin of 40.20% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 46.88% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.51% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.22% | ||
| GM | 40.2% |
OM growth 3Y-10.95%
OM growth 5Y-3.67%
PM growth 3Y-13.68%
PM growth 5Y-4.52%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y-0.25%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
OLLI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 7.37 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 7.37, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.02, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.02 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.02, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.88% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.37 |
ROIC/WACC1
WACC9.16%
2.3 Liquidity
OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.91. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.91, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
OLLI's Quick ratio of 1.00 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 46.88% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.27%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.53% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.48% in the last year.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.27%
EPS 3Y-2.72%
EPS 5Y9.53%
EPS Q2Q%13.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.48%
Revenue growth 3Y5.15%
Revenue growth 5Y11.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.79%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.27% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.31% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y14.99%
EPS Next 3Y14.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.44%
Revenue Next 2Y10.24%
Revenue Next 3Y10.31%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 35.52, which means the current valuation is very expensive for OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.20. OLLI is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.75, the valuation of OLLI can be described as expensive.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.73. OLLI is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
62.50% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than OLLI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 85.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.27% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.27
PEG (5Y)3.73
EPS Next 2Y14.99%
EPS Next 3Y14.27%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI
NASDAQ:OLLI (12/20/2024, 8:00:01 PM)
Premarket: 119.99 +2.08 (+1.76%)117.91
+0.28 (+0.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.65%
Inst Owner Change3.31%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner Change-0.31%
Market Cap7.23B
Analysts79.05
Price Target106.59 (-9.6%)
Short Float %6.81%
Short Ratio3.67
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1%
Min EPS beat(2)-2%
Max EPS beat(2)0%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-2%
Max EPS beat(4)10.8%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)4.77%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.37%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.55%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.45%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.65%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.67%
PT rev (1m)1.11%
PT rev (3m)3.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.29%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.75 | ||
| P/S | 3.21 | ||
| P/FCF | 85.88 | ||
| P/OCF | 32.35 | ||
| P/B | 4.47 | ||
| P/tB | 7.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.46 |
EPS(TTM)3.32
EY2.82%
EPS(NY)3.83
Fwd EY3.25%
FCF(TTM)1.37
FCFY1.16%
OCF(TTM)3.64
OCFY3.09%
SpS36.77
BVpS26.39
TBVpS15.36
PEG (NY)2.27
PEG (5Y)3.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.41% | ||
| ROE | 12.84% | ||
| ROCE | 12.05% | ||
| ROIC | 9.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.63% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.74% | ||
| OM | 11.51% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.22% | ||
| GM | 40.2% | ||
| FCFM | 3.73% |
ROA(3y)6.97%
ROA(5y)8.37%
ROE(3y)10.6%
ROE(5y)12.66%
ROIC(3y)7.78%
ROIC(5y)8.95%
ROICexc(3y)9.25%
ROICexc(5y)10.81%
ROICexgc(3y)16.56%
ROICexgc(5y)20.94%
ROCE(3y)10.26%
ROCE(5y)11.8%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-19.7%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-16.23%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.65%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.74%
OM growth 3Y-10.95%
OM growth 5Y-3.67%
PM growth 3Y-13.68%
PM growth 5Y-4.52%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y-0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.91
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 338.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.18% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 597.77 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 74.32% | ||
| Profit Quality | 40.51% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.37 |
F-Score8
WACC9.16%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)225.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)250.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.58%
Profit Quality(3y)46.31%
Profit Quality(5y)59.05%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.27%
EPS 3Y-2.72%
EPS 5Y9.53%
EPS Q2Q%13.73%
EPS Next Y15.63%
EPS Next 2Y14.99%
EPS Next 3Y14.27%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.48%
Revenue growth 3Y5.15%
Revenue growth 5Y11.11%
Sales Q2Q%7.79%
Revenue Next Year8.44%
Revenue Next 2Y10.24%
Revenue Next 3Y10.31%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y31.18%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.37%
EBIT growth 5Y7.04%
EBIT Next Year35.25%
EBIT Next 3Y18.21%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8513.1%
FCF growth 3Y-26.73%
FCF growth 5Y20.18%
OCF growth 1Y415.77%
OCF growth 3Y-11.02%
OCF growth 5Y15.08%