OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
88.25 USD
-1.09 (-1.22%)
At close:
88.25 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- OLLI's Return On Assets of 8.14% is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of OLLI (12.74%) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.81%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (8.62%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.08%, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OLLI has declined.
- The Operating Margin of OLLI (11.24%) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- OLLI has a Gross Margin (40.50%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% |
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 5.25 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- OLLI has a better Altman-Z score (5.25) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- OLLI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.01) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- OLLI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.25 |
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC9.27%
2.3 Liquidity
- OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.41. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 2.41, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- OLLI's Quick ratio of 0.78 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.65%, which is quite good.
- OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.26% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.61% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.74 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
- 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OLLI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- OLLI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- OLLI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.31.
- OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- OLLI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.62, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.31 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- OLLI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)5.34
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
88.25
-1.09 (-1.22%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12 2026-03-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners110.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.78%
Market Cap5.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target140.58 (59.3%)
Short Float %7.3%
Short Ratio3.4
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-1.52%
PT rev (3m)-1.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.31 | ||
| P/S | 2.03 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.64 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.14 | ||
| P/B | 2.85 | ||
| P/tB | 4.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.31 |
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.4%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY5.18%
FCF(TTM)3.19
FCFY3.62%
OCF(TTM)4.86
OCFY5.51%
SpS43.46
BVpS30.97
TBVpS19.89
PEG (NY)1.28
PEG (5Y)5.34
Graham Number51.9989 (-41.08%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.65% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.97% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.22% | ||
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% | ||
| FCFM | 7.35% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 651.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.25 |
F-Score8
WACC9.27%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year41.13%
EBIT Next 3Y20.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of OLLI stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.