OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
109.25 USD
+4.38 (+4.18%)
At close:
109.25 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- OLLI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- OLLI has a Return On Assets of 7.83%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.20%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.31%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 9.12%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (7.46%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.31%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.83% | ||
| ROE | 12.2% | ||
| ROIC | 8.31% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of OLLI (8.81%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.89%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
- OLLI's Gross Margin of 40.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.81% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OLLI is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
- The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- OLLI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 5.96. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- OLLI has a better Altman-Z score (5.96) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- OLLI's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 96.67% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
- OLLI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.96 |
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC8.97%
2.3 Liquidity
- OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.50. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Current ratio value of 2.50, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.56 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of OLLI (0.56) is worse than 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.18%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.78% on average per year.
- OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.58%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.04% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.18%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.58%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.59%
3.2 Future
- OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.62% yearly.
- OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.56% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.67%
EPS Next 2Y18.16%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.34%
Revenue Next 2Y14.74%
Revenue Next 3Y13.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 29.69, the valuation of OLLI can be described as expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as OLLI.
- OLLI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.93 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as OLLI.
- OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- OLLI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 43.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.85 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.62% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.44
PEG (5Y)2.75
EPS Next 2Y18.16%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
109.25
+4.38 (+4.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)12-09 2025-12-09/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners109.53%
Inst Owner Change-1.68%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.1%
Market Cap6.70B
Revenue(TTM)2.54B
Net Income(TTM)223.60M
Analysts80.91
Price Target142.75 (30.66%)
Short Float %7.82%
Short Ratio4.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.78%
Min EPS beat(2)0.39%
Max EPS beat(2)3.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.95%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.38%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.38%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.78%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)-0.24%
PT rev (3m)-4.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.93 | ||
| P/S | 2.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 43.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 25.58 | ||
| P/B | 3.66 | ||
| P/tB | 5.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.85 |
EPS(TTM)3.68
EY3.37%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY4.18%
FCF(TTM)2.51
FCFY2.29%
OCF(TTM)4.27
OCFY3.91%
SpS41.37
BVpS29.88
TBVpS18.87
PEG (NY)1.44
PEG (5Y)2.75
Graham Number49.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.83% | ||
| ROE | 12.2% | ||
| ROCE | 11.08% | ||
| ROIC | 8.31% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.7% | ||
| OM | 10.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.81% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 6.06% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 204.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.27% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 585.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 68.72% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.96 |
F-Score6
WACC8.97%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.18%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
EPS Next Y20.67%
EPS Next 2Y18.16%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.58%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.59%
Revenue Next Year16.34%
Revenue Next 2Y14.74%
Revenue Next 3Y13.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y6.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year41.07%
EBIT Next 3Y21.71%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y18.21%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y16.85%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for OLLI stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 29.69 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.66.
Can you provide the financial health for OLLI stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.