OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
89.91 USD
-2.48 (-2.68%)
At close:
90.49 USD
+0.58 (+0.65%)
Pre-Market:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year OLLI was profitable.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- OLLI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years OLLI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of OLLI (8.14%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Return On Equity of 12.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.81%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (8.62%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 9.08%, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 11.24%, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 40.50%, OLLI is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% |
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- OLLI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 5.30. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 5.30, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- OLLI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
- OLLI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.3 |
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC9.24%
2.3 Liquidity
- OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.41. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- OLLI has a better Current ratio (2.41) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- OLLI has a Quick ratio of 0.78. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OLLI underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 18.65% over the past year.
- OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 4.26% yearly.
- OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 16.62%.
- Measured over the past years, OLLI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.61% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.17, OLLI is valued on the expensive side.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.86), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.68 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
- OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 37.39, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of OLLI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: OLLI is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)5.44
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
89.91
-2.48 (-2.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12 2026-03-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners110.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.83%
Market Cap5.48B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target140.58 (56.36%)
Short Float %6.97%
Short Ratio3.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-1.52%
PT rev (3m)-2.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.68 | ||
| P/S | 2.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.16 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.48 | ||
| P/B | 2.9 | ||
| P/tB | 4.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.59 |
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.32%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY5.08%
FCF(TTM)3.19
FCFY3.55%
OCF(TTM)4.86
OCFY5.41%
SpS43.46
BVpS30.97
TBVpS19.89
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)5.44
Graham Number52
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.65% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.97% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.22% | ||
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% | ||
| FCFM | 7.35% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 651.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.3 |
F-Score8
WACC9.24%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year41.13%
EBIT Next 3Y20.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of OLLI stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 8 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.