OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099

Current stock price

89.91 USD
-2.48 (-2.68%)
At close:
89.91 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. OLLI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
  • OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • OLLI has a better Return On Assets (8.14%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a better Return On Equity (12.74%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of OLLI (8.81%) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.62%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
OLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • OLLI has a Profit Margin of 9.08%. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.24%, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • OLLI has a Gross Margin (40.50%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
OLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 20 30 40

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7

2. OLLI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OLLI is destroying value.
  • OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
OLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingOLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M
OLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.41 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • OLLI has a better Altman-Z score (5.41) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI (0.01) is better than 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 5.41
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC9.07%
OLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.41 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • OLLI's Current ratio of 2.41 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of OLLI (0.78) is worse than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
OLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. OLLI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.65%, which is quite good.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.26% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the last year.
  • OLLI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%

3.2 Future

  • OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.61% yearly.
  • OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
OLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
OLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 2 3 4 5

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4

4. OLLI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.17 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
  • OLLI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.69, the valuation of OLLI can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as OLLI.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.54, OLLI is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.17
Fwd PE 19.69
OLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.33
EV/EBITDA 15.12
OLLI Per share dataOLLI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • OLLI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 15.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.31
PEG (5Y)5.44
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. OLLI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for OLLI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

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OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI

NASDAQ:OLLI (4/10/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 89.91 0 (0%)

89.91

-2.48 (-2.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)06-01
Inst Owners110.3%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap5.48B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target140.58 (56.36%)
Short Float %6.97%
Short Ratio3.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-2%
PT rev (3m)-3.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.17
Fwd PE 19.69
P/S 2.08
P/FCF 28.33
P/OCF 18.6
P/B 2.92
P/tB 4.55
EV/EBITDA 15.12
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.32%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY5.08%
FCF(TTM)3.17
FCFY3.53%
OCF(TTM)4.84
OCFY5.38%
SpS43.2
BVpS30.79
TBVpS19.77
PEG (NY)1.31
PEG (5Y)5.44
Graham Number51.84
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROCE 11.65%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 9.97%
ROICexgc 14.22%
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
FCFM 7.35%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 184.44%
Cap/Sales 3.85%
Interest Coverage 651.35
Cash Conversion 84.03%
Profit Quality 80.91%
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 5.41
F-Score8
WACC9.07%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year40.12%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.


What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of OLLI stock?

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?

The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?

The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.