OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
104.09 USD
-2.55 (-2.39%)
At close:
104.6 USD
+0.51 (+0.49%)
Pre-Market:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years OLLI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 7.83%, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.20%, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.31%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 9.15%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (7.46%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.31%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.83% | ||
| ROE | 12.2% | ||
| ROIC | 8.31% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
- OLLI has a better Profit Margin (8.81%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OLLI has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.89%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 40.74%, OLLI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.81% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- OLLI has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 5.93. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- OLLI's Altman-Z score of 5.93 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- OLLI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.01) than 96.67% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of OLLI (0.00) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.93 |
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC8.95%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.50 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- OLLI's Current ratio of 2.50 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.56 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- OLLI's Quick ratio of 0.56 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.18%, which is quite good.
- Measured over the past years, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.78% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.58% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.04% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.18%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.58%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.59%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.62% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.56% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y20.67%
EPS Next 2Y18.16%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year16.34%
Revenue Next 2Y14.74%
Revenue Next 3Y13.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.29 indicates a quite expensive valuation of OLLI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.11), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.80 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.12), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.7 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.62% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)2.62
EPS Next 2Y18.16%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
104.09
-2.55 (-2.39%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)12-09 2025-12-09/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners109.53%
Inst Owner Change-1.68%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.1%
Market Cap6.38B
Revenue(TTM)2.54B
Net Income(TTM)223.60M
Analysts80.91
Price Target142.75 (37.14%)
Short Float %6.43%
Short Ratio3.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.78%
Min EPS beat(2)0.39%
Max EPS beat(2)3.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.95%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.38%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.38%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.78%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)-0.24%
PT rev (3m)-4.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.37%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.8 | ||
| P/S | 2.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.55 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.37 | ||
| P/B | 3.48 | ||
| P/tB | 5.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.7 |
EPS(TTM)3.68
EY3.54%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY4.39%
FCF(TTM)2.51
FCFY2.41%
OCF(TTM)4.27
OCFY4.1%
SpS41.37
BVpS29.88
TBVpS18.87
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)2.62
Graham Number49.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.83% | ||
| ROE | 12.2% | ||
| ROCE | 11.08% | ||
| ROIC | 8.31% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.7% | ||
| OM | 10.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.81% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 6.06% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 204.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.27% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 585.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 68.72% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.93 |
F-Score6
WACC8.95%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.18%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
EPS Next Y20.67%
EPS Next 2Y18.16%
EPS Next 3Y16.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.58%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.59%
Revenue Next Year16.34%
Revenue Next 2Y14.74%
Revenue Next 3Y13.56%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y6.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year41.07%
EBIT Next 3Y21.71%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y18.21%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y16.85%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for OLLI stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 28.29 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.48.
Can you provide the financial health for OLLI stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.