OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
86.51 USD
+1.11 (+1.3%)
At close:
86.51 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years OLLI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- OLLI's Return On Assets of 8.14% is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a better Return On Equity (12.74%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.83%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (8.62%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
1.3 Margins
- OLLI's Profit Margin of 9.08% is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- OLLI has a Operating Margin of 11.24%. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
- OLLI's Gross Margin of 40.50% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% |
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OLLI is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- OLLI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 5.15. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 5.15, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.01, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- OLLI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.15 |
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC9.28%
2.3 Liquidity
- OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.41. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- OLLI has a better Current ratio (2.41) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- OLLI has a Quick ratio of 0.78. This is amonst the worse of the industry: OLLI underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 18.65% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.26% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.62% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.30, the valuation of OLLI can be described as rather expensive.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.77. OLLI is around the same levels.
- OLLI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.93.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
- OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 21.75.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.81 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- OLLI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.62% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.25
PEG (5Y)5.24
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
86.51
+1.11 (+1.3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Industry Strength52.8
Industry Growth50.93
Earnings (Last)03-12 2026-03-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners110.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.21%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.8%
Market Cap5.27B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target140.58 (62.5%)
Short Float %6.42%
Short Ratio2.81
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-1.52%
PT rev (3m)-1.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.03%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.3 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.93 | ||
| P/S | 1.99 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.09 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.78 | ||
| P/B | 2.79 | ||
| P/tB | 4.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.81 |
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.49%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY5.28%
FCF(TTM)3.19
FCFY3.69%
OCF(TTM)4.86
OCFY5.62%
SpS43.46
BVpS30.97
TBVpS19.89
PEG (NY)1.25
PEG (5Y)5.24
Graham Number51.9989 (-39.89%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.65% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.97% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.22% | ||
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% | ||
| FCFM | 7.35% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 651.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.15 |
F-Score8
WACC9.28%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.62%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year41.13%
EBIT Next 3Y20.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of OLLI stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.