OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:OLLI - US6811161099 - Common Stock
120.81 USD
-0.63 (-0.52%)
120.81 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, OLLI scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. OLLI was compared to 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. While OLLI has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. OLLI is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating. This makes OLLI very considerable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year OLLI was profitable.
In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
OLLI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.61%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of OLLI (11.94%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.18%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OLLI outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
OLLI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.46%. This is below the industry average of 10.45%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.46%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.18%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
OLLI's Profit Margin of 8.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OLLI's Operating Margin of 10.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of OLLI (40.74%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
OLLI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
OLLI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.58 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of OLLI (6.58) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.01, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.00, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.58 |
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC8.75%
2.3 Liquidity
OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.63. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.63, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.63. This is a bad value and indicates that OLLI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of OLLI (0.90) is worse than 73.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.69% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.78% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 10.14% in the past year. This is quite good.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.04% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 16.39% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 13.52% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.34%
Revenue Next 3Y13.52%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 34.52, OLLI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.10, OLLI is valued a bit more expensive.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.58, OLLI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.52), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 51.35 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
OLLI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.39% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)3.2
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
120.81
-0.63 (-0.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.7%
Inst Owner Change0.18%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap7.41B
Revenue(TTM)2.44B
Net Income(TTM)213.31M
Analysts80
Price Target149.06 (23.38%)
Short Float %7.83%
Short Ratio4.18
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.37%
Min EPS beat(2)3.17%
Max EPS beat(2)3.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.22%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.98%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.05%
PT rev (1m)0.41%
PT rev (3m)15.3%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.7%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.81%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 26.58 | ||
| P/S | 3.03 | ||
| P/FCF | 51.35 | ||
| P/OCF | 29.3 | ||
| P/B | 4.15 | ||
| P/tB | 6.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.3 |
EPS(TTM)3.5
EY2.9%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY3.76%
FCF(TTM)2.35
FCFY1.95%
OCF(TTM)4.12
OCFY3.41%
SpS39.81
BVpS29.13
TBVpS18.11
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)3.2
Graham Number47.89
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROCE | 10.91% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.81% | ||
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 5.91% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 215.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.45% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 552.93 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 67.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.58 |
F-Score6
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
EPS Next Y19.98%
EPS Next 2Y17.9%
EPS Next 3Y16.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.34%
Revenue Next 3Y13.52%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y4.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year40.14%
EBIT Next 3Y21.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1.8%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y14.86%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
Can you provide the valuation status for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is expected to grow by 19.98% in the next year.