OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
95.22 USD
+3.98 (+4.36%)
At close:
95.38 USD
+0.16 (+0.17%)
After Hours:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.14%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of OLLI (12.74%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.84%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (8.62%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of OLLI (9.08%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- OLLI has a better Operating Margin (11.24%) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- OLLI has a Gross Margin of 40.50%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OLLI outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% |
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
- OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 5.50. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- OLLI's Altman-Z score of 5.50 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- OLLI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of OLLI (0.00) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.5 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC9.07%
2.3 Liquidity
- OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.41. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- OLLI has a better Current ratio (2.41) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.41. This is a bad value and indicates that OLLI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.78, OLLI is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.65%, which is quite good.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.26% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the past year. This is quite good.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
3.2 Future
- OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.61% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.98% on average per year.
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.24%
Revenue Next 3Y10.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- OLLI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.54.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as OLLI.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.60. OLLI is around the same levels.
- OLLI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.86.
- OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.84, OLLI is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.86 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as OLLI.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.61 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 15.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.39
PEG (5Y)5.77
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
95.22
+3.98 (+4.36%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12 2026-03-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners109.53%
Inst Owner Change-1.68%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.53%
Market Cap5.84B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts80.91
Price Target139.9 (46.92%)
Short Float %6.97%
Short Ratio3.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-2%
PT rev (3m)-3.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.86 | ||
| P/S | 2.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 30 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.69 | ||
| P/B | 3.09 | ||
| P/tB | 4.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.61 |
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.07%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY4.79%
FCF(TTM)3.17
FCFY3.33%
OCF(TTM)4.84
OCFY5.08%
SpS43.2
BVpS30.79
TBVpS19.77
PEG (NY)1.39
PEG (5Y)5.77
Graham Number51.84
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.65% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.97% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.22% | ||
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% | ||
| FCFM | 7.35% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 651.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.5 |
F-Score8
WACC9.07%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.24%
Revenue Next 3Y10.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year40.12%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of OLLI stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 8 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.