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OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:OLLI - Nasdaq - US6811161099 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

130.9  +0.72 (+0.55%)

After market: 130.9 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall OLLI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated OLLI against 28 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. OLLI is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. OLLI is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
OLLI had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.42%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI's Return On Equity of 11.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.92%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is below the industry average of 11.59%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.92%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (7.46%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.42%
ROE 11.62%
ROIC 7.92%
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
OLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 8.59%, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OLLI has a better Operating Margin (10.65%) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OLLI has a worse Gross Margin (40.27%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.65%
PM (TTM) 8.59%
GM 40.27%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
OLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for OLLI remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
OLLI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
OLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingOLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
OLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 7.12. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of OLLI (7.12) is better than 92.86% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
OLLI's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.02 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 96.43% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
OLLI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.00) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Altman-Z 7.12
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC9.17%
OLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.87. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
OLLI's Current ratio of 2.87 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 1.11. This is a normal value and indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
OLLI's Quick ratio of 1.11 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 46.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.87
Quick Ratio 1.11
OLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

OLLI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.78%.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.78% yearly.
OLLI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 8.70%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.04% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.78%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%2.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%13.35%

3.2 Future

OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.68% yearly.
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.58%
EPS Next 2Y15.46%
EPS Next 3Y13.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.89%
Revenue Next 2Y12.69%
Revenue Next 3Y11.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
OLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
OLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 39.79 indicates a quite expensive valuation of OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.45. OLLI is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.03, OLLI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.90, OLLI is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 39.79
Fwd PE 30.03
OLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

OLLI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
60.71% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than OLLI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 84.12
EV/EBITDA 25.32
OLLI Per share dataOLLI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 13.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)3.69
EPS Next 2Y15.46%
EPS Next 3Y13.68%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for OLLI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI

NASDAQ:OLLI (7/3/2025, 7:58:07 PM)

After market: 130.9 0 (0%)

130.9

+0.72 (+0.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)06-03 2025-06-03/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-27 2025-08-27
Inst Owners114.94%
Inst Owner Change4.12%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.95%
Market Cap8.04B
Analysts80
Price Target128.53 (-1.81%)
Short Float %6.16%
Short Ratio2.82
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.61%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(2)3.57%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.94%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.74%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.9%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.75%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.2%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.43%
PT rev (1m)1.23%
PT rev (3m)1.91%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.32%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 39.79
Fwd PE 30.03
P/S 3.44
P/FCF 84.12
P/OCF 37.21
P/B 4.65
P/tB 7.62
EV/EBITDA 25.32
EPS(TTM)3.29
EY2.51%
EPS(NY)4.36
Fwd EY3.33%
FCF(TTM)1.56
FCFY1.19%
OCF(TTM)3.52
OCFY2.69%
SpS38.11
BVpS28.17
TBVpS17.17
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)3.69
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.42%
ROE 11.62%
ROCE 10.56%
ROIC 7.92%
ROICexc 9.39%
ROICexgc 14.22%
OM 10.65%
PM (TTM) 8.59%
GM 40.27%
FCFM 4.08%
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 256.3%
Cap/Sales 5.15%
Interest Coverage 521.32
Cash Conversion 72.92%
Profit Quality 47.54%
Current Ratio 2.87
Quick Ratio 1.11
Altman-Z 7.12
F-Score7
WACC9.17%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.78%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%2.74%
EPS Next Y16.58%
EPS Next 2Y15.46%
EPS Next 3Y13.68%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%13.35%
Revenue Next Year13.89%
Revenue Next 2Y12.69%
Revenue Next 3Y11.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.41%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year36.27%
EBIT Next 3Y18.55%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-20.84%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y18.86%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%