OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099

Current stock price

89.91 USD
-2.48 (-2.68%)
At close:
89.91 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. OLLI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
  • OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.14%, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OLLI has a Return On Equity of 12.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for OLLI is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.81%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (8.62%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
OLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.08%, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.24%, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 40.50%, OLLI is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
OLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 20 30 40

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7

2. OLLI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OLLI is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
  • OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
OLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingOLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M
OLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • OLLI has an Altman-Z score of 5.41. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • OLLI's Altman-Z score of 5.41 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI (0.01) is better than 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • OLLI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 5.41
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC9.05%
OLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.41 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.41, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.78, OLLI is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
OLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. OLLI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.65%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.26% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.61% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 11.93% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
OLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
OLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4 5

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4

4. OLLI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.17 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.78), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.69, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of OLLI.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.54. OLLI is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.17
Fwd PE 19.69
OLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • OLLI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. OLLI is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.33
EV/EBITDA 15.12
OLLI Per share dataOLLI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 15.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.31
PEG (5Y)5.44
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. OLLI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for OLLI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

More info and screens

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OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI

NASDAQ:OLLI (4/10/2026, 5:49:54 PM)

After market: 89.91 0 (0%)

89.91

-2.48 (-2.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)06-01
Inst Owners109.53%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.94%
Market Cap5.51B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target139.9 (55.6%)
Short Float %6.97%
Short Ratio3.35
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-2%
PT rev (3m)-3.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.17
Fwd PE 19.69
P/S 2.08
P/FCF 28.33
P/OCF 18.6
P/B 2.92
P/tB 4.55
EV/EBITDA 15.12
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.32%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY5.08%
FCF(TTM)3.17
FCFY3.53%
OCF(TTM)4.84
OCFY5.38%
SpS43.2
BVpS30.79
TBVpS19.77
PEG (NY)1.31
PEG (5Y)5.44
Graham Number51.84
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROCE 11.65%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 9.97%
ROICexgc 14.22%
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
FCFM 7.35%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 184.44%
Cap/Sales 3.85%
Interest Coverage 651.35
Cash Conversion 84.03%
Profit Quality 80.91%
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 5.41
F-Score8
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year40.12%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.


What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of OLLI stock?

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?

The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?

The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.