111.19 USD
+2.29 (+2.1%)
111.19 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, OLLI scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. OLLI was compared to 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. OLLI has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. OLLI is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating. These ratings would make OLLI suitable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year OLLI was profitable.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
In the past 5 years OLLI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
OLLI's Return On Assets of 7.83% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a better Return On Equity (12.20%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.31%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
OLLI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.46%. This is in line with the industry average of 9.38%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.31%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (7.46%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.83% | ||
| ROE | 12.2% | ||
| ROIC | 8.31% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.81%, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OLLI has declined.
OLLI has a better Operating Margin (10.89%) than 76.67% of its industry peers.
OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OLLI has a Gross Margin of 40.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OLLI outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.81% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OLLI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.10 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
OLLI has a Altman-Z score of 6.10. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.01, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of OLLI (0.00) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.1 |
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC8.82%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.50 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of OLLI (2.50) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.50. This is a bad value and indicates that OLLI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of OLLI (0.56) is worse than 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 11.18%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.78% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.58% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.04% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.18%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.58%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.59%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 16.32% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 13.47% on average per year.
EPS Next Y19.92%
EPS Next 2Y17.81%
EPS Next 3Y16.32%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.91%
Revenue Next 2Y14.32%
Revenue Next 3Y13.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
OLLI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.21.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.59), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.50 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
OLLI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 24.03.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
OLLI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
OLLI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 44.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.32% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)2.8
EPS Next 2Y17.81%
EPS Next 3Y16.32%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for OLLI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
111.19
+2.29 (+2.1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.28%
Inst Owner Change-2.13%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change-0.05%
Market Cap6.82B
Revenue(TTM)2.54B
Net Income(TTM)223.60M
Analysts80
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %7.54%
Short Ratio4.29
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.78%
Min EPS beat(2)0.39%
Max EPS beat(2)3.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.95%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.38%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.38%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.24%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.78%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.6%
PT rev (1m)-0.13%
PT rev (3m)0.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.17%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.74%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.5 | ||
| P/S | 2.69 | ||
| P/FCF | 44.36 | ||
| P/OCF | 26.03 | ||
| P/B | 3.72 | ||
| P/tB | 5.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.59 |
EPS(TTM)3.68
EY3.31%
EPS(NY)4.54
Fwd EY4.08%
FCF(TTM)2.51
FCFY2.25%
OCF(TTM)4.27
OCFY3.84%
SpS41.38
BVpS29.89
TBVpS18.87
PEG (NY)1.52
PEG (5Y)2.8
Graham Number49.75
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.83% | ||
| ROE | 12.2% | ||
| ROCE | 11.08% | ||
| ROIC | 8.31% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.7% | ||
| OM | 10.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.81% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 6.06% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 204.29% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.27% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 585.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.54% | ||
| Profit Quality | 68.72% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.5 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.1 |
F-Score6
WACC8.82%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.18%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%31.58%
EPS Next Y19.92%
EPS Next 2Y17.81%
EPS Next 3Y16.32%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.58%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%18.59%
Revenue Next Year15.91%
Revenue Next 2Y14.32%
Revenue Next 3Y13.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y6.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year40.26%
EBIT Next 3Y21.57%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y18.21%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y16.85%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
Can you provide the valuation status for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is expected to grow by 19.92% in the next year.