123.11 USD
-2.11 (-1.69%)
123.11 USD
0 (0%)
Overall OLLI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated OLLI against 30 industry peers in the Broadline Retail industry. OLLI has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. OLLI shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already. This makes OLLI very considerable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
In the past 5 years OLLI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of OLLI (7.61%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of OLLI (11.94%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of OLLI (8.18%) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
OLLI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.46%. This is in line with the industry average of 9.35%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (8.18%) for OLLI is above the 3 year average (7.46%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.74%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.87%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.67% of the companies in the same industry.
OLLI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of OLLI (40.74%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
OLLI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% |
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
OLLI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 6.64 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of OLLI (6.64) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
OLLI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 96.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
OLLI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00 is amongst the best of the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.64 |
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC8.66%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.63 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
OLLI has a better Current ratio (2.63) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.90 indicates that OLLI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.90, OLLI is not doing good in the industry: 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.69% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.78% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 10.14% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.04% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
3.2 Future
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.42% yearly.
OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.55% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.13%
EPS Next 2Y17.98%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.36%
Revenue Next 3Y13.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 35.17 indicates a quite expensive valuation of OLLI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.31), we can say OLLI is valued slightly more expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 27.05, which means the current valuation is very expensive for OLLI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as OLLI.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.56. OLLI is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as OLLI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 52.32 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 16.42% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.75
PEG (5Y)3.26
EPS Next 2Y17.98%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
123.11
-2.11 (-1.69%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners114.7%
Inst Owner Change-2.14%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change-0.02%
Market Cap7.55B
Revenue(TTM)2.44B
Net Income(TTM)213.31M
Analysts80
Price Target149.82 (21.7%)
Short Float %8.16%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.37%
Min EPS beat(2)3.17%
Max EPS beat(2)3.57%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.51%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.36%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-4.22%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.38%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.1%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.98%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.05%
PT rev (1m)0.51%
PT rev (3m)11.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.86%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.05 | ||
| P/S | 3.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 52.32 | ||
| P/OCF | 29.86 | ||
| P/B | 4.23 | ||
| P/tB | 6.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.62 |
EPS(TTM)3.5
EY2.84%
EPS(NY)4.55
Fwd EY3.7%
FCF(TTM)2.35
FCFY1.91%
OCF(TTM)4.12
OCFY3.35%
SpS39.81
BVpS29.13
TBVpS18.11
PEG (NY)1.75
PEG (5Y)3.26
Graham Number47.89
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.61% | ||
| ROE | 11.94% | ||
| ROCE | 10.91% | ||
| ROIC | 8.18% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.4% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.81% | ||
| OM | 10.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.74% | ||
| GM | 40.74% | ||
| FCFM | 5.91% |
ROA(3y)6.91%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)10.45%
ROE(5y)12.35%
ROIC(3y)7.46%
ROIC(5y)8.69%
ROICexc(3y)9.06%
ROICexc(5y)10.8%
ROICexgc(3y)15.28%
ROICexgc(5y)20.02%
ROCE(3y)9.95%
ROCE(5y)11.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.01%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.9%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.07%
OM growth 3Y-2.07%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-0.71%
PM growth 5Y-2.58%
GM growth 3Y1.18%
GM growth 5Y0.4%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.87
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 215.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.45% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 552.93 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 67.63% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 6.64 |
F-Score6
WACC8.66%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)270.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)217.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.55%
Profit Quality(3y)62.04%
Profit Quality(5y)65.74%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.69%
EPS 3Y11.64%
EPS 5Y10.78%
EPS Q2Q%26.92%
EPS Next Y20.13%
EPS Next 2Y17.98%
EPS Next 3Y16.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.14%
Revenue growth 3Y9.02%
Revenue growth 5Y10.04%
Sales Q2Q%17.49%
Revenue Next Year15.95%
Revenue Next 2Y14.36%
Revenue Next 3Y13.55%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y4.5%
EBIT growth 3Y6.77%
EBIT growth 5Y7.74%
EBIT Next Year40.14%
EBIT Next 3Y21.81%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1.8%
FCF growth 3Y120.29%
FCF growth 5Y30.45%
OCF growth 1Y14.86%
OCF growth 3Y71.62%
OCF growth 5Y16.65%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
Can you provide the valuation status for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is expected to grow by 20.13% in the next year.