OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099
Current stock price
91.69 USD
+1.78 (+1.98%)
At close:
91.69 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. OLLI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- OLLI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years OLLI has always been profitable.
- OLLI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.14%, OLLI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI's Return On Equity of 12.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Return On Invested Capital of 8.81% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OLLI outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
- OLLI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.62%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.75%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (8.62%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
1.3 Margins
- OLLI has a Profit Margin of 9.08%. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
- OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.24%, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
- With a Gross Margin value of 40.50%, OLLI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% |
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
2. OLLI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OLLI is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, OLLI has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 5.36 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- OLLI has a Altman-Z score of 5.36. This is in the better half of the industry: OLLI outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of OLLI is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take OLLI, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- OLLI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.01) than 93.33% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that OLLI is not too dependend on debt financing.
- OLLI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.36 |
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC9.24%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.41 indicates that OLLI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Current ratio value of 2.41, OLLI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.41. This is a bad value and indicates that OLLI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- OLLI has a worse Quick ratio (0.78) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 |
3. OLLI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.65%, which is quite good.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.26% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, OLLI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.93% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
3.2 Future
- OLLI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 14.61% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. OLLI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 23.63, OLLI is valued on the expensive side.
- OLLI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- OLLI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.18.
- OLLI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.07.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as OLLI.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.96), we can say OLLI is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OLLI is valued a bit cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 28.71 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.9 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of OLLI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.33
PEG (5Y)5.55
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
5. OLLI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- OLLI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
91.69
+1.78 (+1.98%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12 2026-03-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)06-01 2026-06-01
Inst Owners110.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.29%
Ins Owner Change0.83%
Market Cap5.59B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts81.82
Price Target140.58 (53.32%)
Short Float %6.97%
Short Ratio3.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-1.52%
PT rev (3m)-2.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 23.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.07 | ||
| P/S | 2.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 28.71 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.85 | ||
| P/B | 2.96 | ||
| P/tB | 4.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.9 |
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.23%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY4.98%
FCF(TTM)3.19
FCFY3.48%
OCF(TTM)4.86
OCFY5.31%
SpS43.46
BVpS30.97
TBVpS19.89
PEG (NY)1.33
PEG (5Y)5.55
Graham Number52
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 12.74% | ||
| ROCE | 11.65% | ||
| ROIC | 8.81% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.97% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.22% | ||
| OM | 11.24% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.08% | ||
| GM | 40.5% | ||
| FCFM | 7.35% |
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.01 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 651.35 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 84.03% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.91% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.78 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.36 |
F-Score8
WACC9.24%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.77%
EPS Next 2Y16.04%
EPS Next 3Y14.61%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.26%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year41.13%
EBIT Next 3Y20.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to OLLI.
What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of OLLI stock?
OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?
The dividend rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.