OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:OLLI • US6811161099

Current stock price

89.24 USD
-1.28 (-1.41%)
At close:
89.24 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This OLLI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. OLLI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year OLLI was profitable.
  • In the past year OLLI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years OLLI has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years OLLI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
OLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOLLI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of OLLI (8.14%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.74%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.81%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OLLI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.62%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.78%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.62%) for OLLI is below the current ROIC(8.81%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROIC 8.81%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
OLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOLLI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • OLLI has a Profit Margin of 9.08%. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.24%, OLLI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OLLI has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of OLLI (40.50%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OLLI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
OLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOLLI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 10 20 30 40

8

2. OLLI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OLLI is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for OLLI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for OLLI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
OLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingOLLI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 20M 40M 60M
OLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOLLI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.30 indicates that OLLI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of OLLI (5.30) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.01 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • OLLI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is amongst the best in the industry. OLLI outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.00, OLLI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 5.3
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC9.25%
OLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOLLI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • OLLI has a Current Ratio of 2.41. This indicates that OLLI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of OLLI (2.41) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • OLLI has a Quick Ratio of 2.41. This is a bad value and indicates that OLLI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.78, OLLI is not doing good in the industry: 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
OLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOLLI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M

6

3. OLLI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • OLLI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 18.65%, which is quite good.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 4.26% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has grown by 16.62% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • OLLI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, OLLI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.61% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.98% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.24%
Revenue Next 3Y10.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
OLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
OLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOLLI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3 4 5

3

4. OLLI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 23.00 indicates a rather expensive valuation of OLLI.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of OLLI to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.89), we can say OLLI is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.55, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of OLLI.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OLLI is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • OLLI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23
Fwd PE 19.55
OLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOLLI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • OLLI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as OLLI.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.12
EV/EBITDA 14.57
OLLI Per share dataOLLI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • OLLI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • OLLI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as OLLI's earnings are expected to grow with 15.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)5.4
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. OLLI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for OLLI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

OLLI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI

NASDAQ:OLLI (3/27/2026, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 89.24 0 (0%)

89.24

-1.28 (-1.41%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryBroadline Retail
Earnings (Last)03-12
Earnings (Next)06-01
Inst Owners109.53%
Inst Owner Change-1.68%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change0.53%
Market Cap5.47B
Revenue(TTM)2.65B
Net Income(TTM)240.60M
Analysts80.91
Price Target139.9 (56.77%)
Short Float %6.43%
Short Ratio3.45
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.73%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)0.39%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(4)3.57%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.17%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.88%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.67%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.27%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.29%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.93%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.48%
PT rev (1m)-2%
PT rev (3m)-3.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.12%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.1%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23
Fwd PE 19.55
P/S 2.07
P/FCF 28.12
P/OCF 18.46
P/B 2.9
P/tB 4.51
EV/EBITDA 14.57
EPS(TTM)3.88
EY4.35%
EPS(NY)4.57
Fwd EY5.12%
FCF(TTM)3.17
FCFY3.56%
OCF(TTM)4.84
OCFY5.42%
SpS43.2
BVpS30.79
TBVpS19.77
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)5.4
Graham Number51.84
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.14%
ROE 12.74%
ROCE 11.65%
ROIC 8.81%
ROICexc 9.97%
ROICexgc 14.22%
OM 11.24%
PM (TTM) 9.08%
GM 40.5%
FCFM 7.35%
ROA(3y)7.95%
ROA(5y)7.37%
ROE(3y)12.19%
ROE(5y)11.27%
ROIC(3y)8.62%
ROIC(5y)8.09%
ROICexc(3y)10.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.59%
ROICexgc(3y)16.23%
ROICexgc(5y)16.03%
ROCE(3y)11.41%
ROCE(5y)10.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y6.65%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.48%
ROICexc growth 3Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.54%
OM growth 3Y16.45%
OM growth 5Y-6.04%
PM growth 3Y17.3%
PM growth 5Y-7.51%
GM growth 3Y4.09%
GM growth 5Y0.25%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 184.44%
Cap/Sales 3.85%
Interest Coverage 651.35
Cash Conversion 84.03%
Profit Quality 80.91%
Current Ratio 2.41
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 5.3
F-Score8
WACC9.25%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)271.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)227.1%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.98%
Profit Quality(3y)68.71%
Profit Quality(5y)54.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)18.65%
EPS 3Y33.52%
EPS 5Y4.26%
EPS Q2Q%16.81%
EPS Next Y17.67%
EPS Next 2Y15.61%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)16.62%
Revenue growth 3Y13.19%
Revenue growth 5Y7.93%
Sales Q2Q%16.82%
Revenue Next Year13.19%
Revenue Next 2Y12.24%
Revenue Next 3Y10.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y19.3%
EBIT growth 3Y31.8%
EBIT growth 5Y1.41%
EBIT Next Year40.12%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y82.1%
FCF growth 3Y45.96%
FCF growth 5Y-10.06%
OCF growth 1Y30.37%
OCF growth 3Y37.41%
OCF growth 5Y-3.87%

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI / OLLI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to OLLI.


What is the valuation status for OLLI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) stock?

OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for OLLI stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 23 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.9.


Can you provide the financial health for OLLI stock?

The financial health rating of OLLIE'S BARGAIN OUTLET HOLDI (OLLI) is 7 / 10.