OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:OBE • CA6744822033

Current stock price

13.18 CAD
+0.36 (+2.81%)
Last:

This OBE.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. OBE.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year OBE has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year OBE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • OBE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • OBE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • OBE has a Return On Assets of -13.16%. This is in the lower half of the industry: OBE underperforms 62.38% of its industry peers.
  • OBE has a Return On Equity (-16.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.33%, OBE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.33%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • OBE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • OBE's Operating Margin of 21.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OBE outperforms 78.10% of its industry peers.
  • OBE's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • OBE has a Gross Margin of 68.85%. This is amongst the best in the industry. OBE outperforms 85.24% of its industry peers.
  • OBE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

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2

2. OBE.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OBE is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for OBE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • OBE has an Altman-Z score of 1.36. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • OBE has a better Altman-Z score (1.36) than 62.86% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that OBE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.11, OBE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.36
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC8.2%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • OBE has a Current Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of OBE (0.52) is worse than 72.38% of its industry peers.
  • OBE has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.52, OBE is not doing good in the industry: 65.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. OBE.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for OBE have decreased strongly by -310.93% in the last year.
  • OBE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -23.29%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 13.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, OBE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 34.31% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, OBE will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -10.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

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3

4. OBE.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • OBE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • OBE is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 49.24.
  • OBE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • OBE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 49.24
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 96.19% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than OBE, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.07
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 34.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. OBE.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • OBE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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OBE.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (3/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

13.18

+0.36 (+2.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners31.12%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.31%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap887.15M
Revenue(TTM)567.50M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.88 (-17.45%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)10.34%
PT rev (3m)8.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)47.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)430%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 49.24
P/S 1.38
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.84
P/B 0.63
P/tB 0.63
EV/EBITDA 3.07
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY2.03%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.64
OCFY35.2%
SpS9.54
BVpS20.84
TBVpS20.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.33%
ROICexc 6.33%
ROICexgc 6.33%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 1.36
F-Score5
WACC8.2%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)159.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)51.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)45.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-33.3%
EBIT growth 5Y52.38%
EBIT Next Year20.5%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y94.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-14.34%
OCF growth 3Y-19.33%
OCF growth 5Y24.74%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status for OBE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is expected to grow by 131.01% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.