OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:OBE • CA6744822033

Current stock price

11.68 CAD
-0.02 (-0.17%)
Last:

This OBE.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. OBE.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • OBE had negative earnings in the past year.
  • OBE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • OBE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years OBE had a positive operating cash flow.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of OBE (-13.16%) is worse than 61.24% of its industry peers.
  • OBE has a Return On Equity of -16.91%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: OBE outperforms 44.02% of its industry peers.
  • OBE has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.33%. This is amongst the best in the industry. OBE outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.33%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OBE has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.48%, OBE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.03% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OBE has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 68.85%, OBE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OBE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

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2

2. OBE.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • OBE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • OBE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.21, we must say that OBE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • OBE has a better Altman-Z score (1.21) than 64.11% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that OBE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • OBE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11. This is in the better half of the industry: OBE outperforms 71.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.21
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC8.32%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • OBE has a worse Current ratio (0.52) than 71.29% of its industry peers.
  • OBE has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • OBE's Quick ratio of 0.52 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OBE is outperformed by 64.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. OBE.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for OBE have decreased strongly by -310.93% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, OBE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.29% in the last year.
  • OBE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 34.31% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, OBE will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -10.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

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3

4. OBE.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for OBE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 43.64, which means the current valuation is very expensive for OBE.
  • OBE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • OBE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 43.64
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • OBE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. OBE is cheaper than 97.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.77
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • OBE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 34.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. OBE.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • OBE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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OBE.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (3/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

11.68

-0.02 (-0.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners31.12%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.31%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap786.18M
Revenue(TTM)567.50M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.88 (-6.85%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)10.34%
PT rev (3m)8.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)47.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)430%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-12.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 43.64
P/S 1.22
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.52
P/B 0.56
P/tB 0.56
EV/EBITDA 2.77
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY2.29%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.64
OCFY39.72%
SpS9.54
BVpS20.84
TBVpS20.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.33%
ROICexc 6.33%
ROICexgc 6.33%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 1.21
F-Score5
WACC8.32%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)159.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)51.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)45.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-33.3%
EBIT growth 5Y52.38%
EBIT Next Year20.5%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y94.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-14.34%
OCF growth 3Y-19.33%
OCF growth 5Y24.74%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status for OBE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is expected to grow by 131.01% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.