OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:OBE • CA6744822033

Current stock price

12.78 CAD
+0.43 (+3.48%)
Last:

This OBE.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. OBE.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year OBE has reported negative net income.
  • In the past year OBE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years OBE 4 years were profitable.
  • OBE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of -13.16%, OBE is not doing good in the industry: 62.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • OBE has a Return On Equity (-16.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • OBE has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.33%) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.33%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of OBE has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 21.48%, OBE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OBE has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of OBE (68.85%) is better than 85.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OBE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

2

2. OBE.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OBE is destroying value.
  • OBE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.32, we must say that OBE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of OBE (1.32) is better than 63.33% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that OBE is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • OBE has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.11) than 72.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.32
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC8.21%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • OBE has a Current ratio of 0.52. This is in the lower half of the industry: OBE underperforms 72.38% of its industry peers.
  • OBE has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • OBE's Quick ratio of 0.52 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OBE is outperformed by 65.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

3

3. OBE.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • OBE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -310.93%.
  • Looking at the last year, OBE shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -23.29% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 13.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%

3.2 Future

  • OBE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.31% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, OBE will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -10.00% on average per year.
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

3

4. OBE.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • OBE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 47.75, the valuation of OBE can be described as expensive.
  • OBE's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • OBE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.84.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 47.75
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OBE is valued cheaper than 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.99
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 34.31% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%

0

5. OBE.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for OBE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

OBE.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (4/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

12.78

+0.43 (+3.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners31.12%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.31%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap860.22M
Revenue(TTM)567.50M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.88 (-14.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)10.34%
PT rev (3m)8.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)47.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)430%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 47.75
P/S 1.34
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.75
P/B 0.61
P/tB 0.61
EV/EBITDA 2.99
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY2.09%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.64
OCFY36.3%
SpS9.54
BVpS20.84
TBVpS20.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.33%
ROICexc 6.33%
ROICexgc 6.33%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 1.32
F-Score5
WACC8.21%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)159.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)51.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)45.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-33.3%
EBIT growth 5Y52.38%
EBIT Next Year20.5%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y94.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-14.34%
OCF growth 3Y-19.33%
OCF growth 5Y24.74%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status for OBE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of OBE stock?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 2 / 10.