OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:OBE • CA6744822033

Current stock price

11.98 CAD
-0.04 (-0.33%)
Last:

This OBE.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. OBE.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • OBE had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year OBE had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • OBE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years OBE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M

1.2 Ratios

  • OBE has a worse Return On Assets (-13.16%) than 62.98% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of OBE (-16.91%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • OBE has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.33%) than 85.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.33%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

  • OBE's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of OBE (21.48%) is better than 77.40% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OBE has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 68.85%, OBE belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OBE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 -100 -200

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2

2. OBE.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • OBE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • OBE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • OBE has an Altman-Z score of 1.24. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.24, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • OBE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.11, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.24
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC8.23%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.52, OBE is doing worse than 73.56% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • OBE has a Quick ratio of 0.52. This is in the lower half of the industry: OBE underperforms 66.83% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. OBE.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for OBE have decreased strongly by -310.93% in the last year.
  • The Revenue for OBE has decreased by -23.29% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • OBE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%

3.2 Future

  • OBE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.31% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -10.00% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

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3

4. OBE.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for OBE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 44.76, the valuation of OBE can be described as expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as OBE.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.42. OBE is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 44.76
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OBE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.60% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.83
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 34.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. OBE.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for OBE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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OBE.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (3/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

11.98

-0.04 (-0.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-19
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners31.12%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners7.31%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap806.37M
Revenue(TTM)567.50M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.88 (-9.18%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)10.34%
PT rev (3m)8.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)47.22%
EPS NY rev (3m)430%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-12.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 44.76
P/S 1.26
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.58
P/B 0.57
P/tB 0.57
EV/EBITDA 2.83
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.27
Fwd EY2.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.64
OCFY38.73%
SpS9.54
BVpS20.84
TBVpS20.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.33%
ROICexc 6.33%
ROICexgc 6.33%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-25.89%
OM growth 5Y32.4%
PM growth 3Y-60.94%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.7%
GM growth 5Y2.62%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 1.24
F-Score5
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)159.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)51.58%
Cap/Sales(5y)45.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%95.22%
EPS Next Y131.01%
EPS Next 2Y44.84%
EPS Next 3Y34.31%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-23.29%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-44.2%
Revenue Next Year-23.95%
Revenue Next 2Y-22.12%
Revenue Next 3Y-10%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y-33.3%
EBIT growth 5Y52.38%
EBIT Next Year20.5%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y94.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-14.34%
OCF growth 3Y-19.33%
OCF growth 5Y24.74%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status for OBE stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is expected to grow by 131.01% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The dividend rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.