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OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:OBE - CA6744822033 - Common Stock

8.46 CAD
+0.16 (+1.93%)
Last: 12/30/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to OBE. OBE was compared to 201 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of OBE while its profitability can be described as average. OBE is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OBE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year OBE had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: OBE reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years OBE had a positive operating cash flow.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

OBE's Return On Assets of -13.16% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OBE is outperformed by 63.18% of its industry peers.
OBE's Return On Equity of -16.91% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. OBE is outperformed by 60.20% of its industry peers.
OBE's Return On Invested Capital of 6.35% is amongst the best of the industry. OBE outperforms 80.10% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for OBE is above the industry average of 6.51%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.35%
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

OBE has a better Operating Margin (21.48%) than 76.12% of its industry peers.
OBE's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
OBE's Gross Margin of 68.85% is amongst the best of the industry. OBE outperforms 83.08% of its industry peers.
OBE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), OBE is destroying value.
OBE has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for OBE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for OBE is higher compared to a year ago.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.86, we must say that OBE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 0.86, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.20% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11 indicates that OBE is not too dependend on debt financing.
OBE has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11. This is in the better half of the industry: OBE outperforms 68.66% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.86
ROIC/WACC0.71
WACC8.89%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.52, OBE is not doing good in the industry: 72.14% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of OBE (0.52) is worse than 66.17% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

OBE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -310.93%.
The Revenue has decreased by -8.93% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, OBE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 31.34% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -13.77% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

OBE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 167.52, OBE can be considered very expensive at the moment.
OBE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
OBE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 167.52
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

OBE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. OBE is cheaper than 97.01% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.09
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

OBE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 31.34% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for OBE!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (12/30/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

8.46

+0.16 (+1.93%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Inst Owners24.63%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.16%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap567.84M
Revenue(TTM)642.40M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.07 (19.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)1.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)109.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 167.52
P/S 0.88
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.82
P/B 0.4
P/tB 0.4
EV/EBITDA 2.09
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.05
Fwd EY0.6%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.65
OCFY55%
SpS9.57
BVpS20.9
TBVpS20.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.35%
ROICexc 6.36%
ROICexgc 6.36%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
ROICexc(3y)8.83%
ROICexc(5y)8.4%
ROICexgc(3y)8.83%
ROICexgc(5y)8.4%
ROCE(3y)11.73%
ROCE(5y)11.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 0.86
F-Score6
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC0.71
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)47.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)38.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y3.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year13.22%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-106.31%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-13.61%
OCF growth 3Y22.12%
OCF growth 5Y36.28%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for OBE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is expected to grow by 126.21% in the next year.