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OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:OBE - CA6744822033 - Common Stock

8.59 CAD
-0.21 (-2.39%)
Last: 11/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall OBE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated OBE against 215 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. OBE has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. OBE is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OBE had negative earnings in the past year.
OBE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years OBE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
OBE had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

OBE has a Return On Assets of -13.16%. This is in the lower half of the industry: OBE underperforms 62.79% of its industry peers.
OBE has a Return On Equity (-16.91%) which is in line with its industry peers.
OBE has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.35%. This is in the better half of the industry: OBE outperforms 78.14% of its industry peers.
OBE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.82%. This is above the industry average of 6.62%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.35%
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

With a decent Operating Margin value of 21.48%, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.35% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OBE has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 68.85%, OBE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.79% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of OBE has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OBE is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, OBE has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for OBE has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for OBE is higher compared to a year ago.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.89, we must say that OBE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 0.89, OBE is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.47% of the companies in the same industry.
OBE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
OBE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.11 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OBE outperforms 71.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.89
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC8.87%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.52, OBE is doing worse than 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
OBE has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.52, OBE is doing worse than 66.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for OBE have decreased strongly by -310.93% in the last year.
OBE shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -8.93%.
The Revenue has been growing by 13.38% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 31.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -13.77% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

OBE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 170.10, the valuation of OBE can be described as expensive.
OBE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
OBE is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 170.1
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

OBE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. OBE is cheaper than 96.28% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.14
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

OBE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 31.34% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

OBE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (11/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

8.59

-0.21 (-2.39%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Inst Owners24.63%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.16%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap575.44M
Revenue(TTM)642.40M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.07 (17.23%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.28%
PT rev (3m)1.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)109.64%
EPS NY rev (3m)109.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 170.1
P/S 0.9
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.84
P/B 0.41
P/tB 0.41
EV/EBITDA 2.14
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.05
Fwd EY0.59%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.66
OCFY54.27%
SpS9.59
BVpS20.94
TBVpS20.94
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.35%
ROICexc 6.36%
ROICexgc 6.36%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
ROICexc(3y)8.83%
ROICexc(5y)8.4%
ROICexgc(3y)8.83%
ROICexgc(5y)8.4%
ROCE(3y)11.73%
ROCE(5y)11.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 0.89
F-Score6
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)47.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)38.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y3.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year21.02%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-106.31%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-13.61%
OCF growth 3Y22.12%
OCF growth 5Y36.28%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for OBE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is expected to grow by 126.21% in the next year.