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OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:OBE - CA6744822033 - Common Stock

8.18 CAD
+0.06 (+0.74%)
Last: 12/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

OBE gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. OBE has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. OBE does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

OBE had negative earnings in the past year.
OBE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: OBE reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years OBE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
OBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -13.16%, OBE is doing worse than 62.74% of the companies in the same industry.
OBE has a Return On Equity (-16.91%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of OBE (6.35%) is better than 79.25% of its industry peers.
OBE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.82%. This is above the industry average of 6.57%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROIC 6.35%
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
OBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICOBE.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100 -150 -200

1.3 Margins

OBE's Operating Margin of 21.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. OBE outperforms 76.89% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of OBE has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 68.85%, OBE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.49% of the companies in the same industry.
OBE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
OBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsOBE.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 -100 -200

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so OBE is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for OBE has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
OBE has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
OBE has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
OBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingOBE.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
OBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsOBE.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.85, we must say that OBE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.85, OBE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.91% of the companies in the same industry.
OBE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.11. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.11, OBE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.85
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC8.87%
OBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFOBE.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.52 indicates that OBE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.52, OBE is not doing good in the industry: 71.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
OBE has a Quick Ratio of 0.52. This is a bad value and indicates that OBE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of OBE (0.52) is worse than 64.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
OBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesOBE.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

OBE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -310.93%.
OBE shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -8.93%.
OBE shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 13.38% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, OBE will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 31.34% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, OBE will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -13.77% on average per year.
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
OBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
OBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesOBE.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 -50 -100 -150

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

OBE reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 161.98 indicates a quite expensive valuation of OBE.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of OBE is on the same level as its industry peers.
OBE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.03.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 161.98
OBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsOBE.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 50 100 150

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, OBE is valued cheaper than 96.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.07
OBE.CA Per share dataOBE.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

OBE's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
OBE's earnings are expected to grow with 31.34% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

OBE does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD

TSX:OBE (12/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

8.18

+0.06 (+0.74%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)10-30 2025-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-19 2026-02-19/bmo
Inst Owners24.63%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.16%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap549.04M
Revenue(TTM)642.40M
Net Income(TTM)-237.30M
Analysts74.29
Price Target10.07 (23.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)1.28%
PT rev (3m)1.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)109.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 161.98
P/S 0.85
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.76
P/B 0.39
P/tB 0.39
EV/EBITDA 2.07
EPS(TTM)-2.74
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.05
Fwd EY0.62%
FCF(TTM)-0.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.65
OCFY56.88%
SpS9.57
BVpS20.9
TBVpS20.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -13.16%
ROE -16.91%
ROCE 8.45%
ROIC 6.35%
ROICexc 6.36%
ROICexgc 6.36%
OM 21.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 68.85%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)10.66%
ROA(5y)-3.82%
ROE(3y)14.48%
ROE(5y)-28.26%
ROIC(3y)8.82%
ROIC(5y)8.37%
ROICexc(3y)8.83%
ROICexc(5y)8.4%
ROICexgc(3y)8.83%
ROICexgc(5y)8.4%
ROCE(3y)11.73%
ROCE(5y)11.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.98%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-12.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y2.34%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.36
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.11
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 158.64%
Cap/Sales 49.32%
Interest Coverage 5.13
Cash Conversion 92.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.52
Quick Ratio 0.52
Altman-Z 0.85
F-Score6
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)47.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)38.88%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-310.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.4%
EPS Next Y126.21%
EPS Next 2Y42.07%
EPS Next 3Y31.34%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.93%
Revenue growth 3Y17.6%
Revenue growth 5Y13.38%
Sales Q2Q%-41.35%
Revenue Next Year-23%
Revenue Next 2Y-16.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-13.77%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-21.1%
EBIT growth 3Y3.18%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year13.22%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-106.31%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-13.61%
OCF growth 3Y22.12%
OCF growth 5Y36.28%

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD / OBE.CA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to OBE.CA.


What is the valuation status of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD?

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is 2 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for OBE stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD (OBE.CA) is expected to grow by 126.21% in the next year.