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OESTERREICHISCHE POST AG (O3P.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:O3P - Deutsche Boerse Ag - AT0000APOST4 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

32.75  -0.55 (-1.65%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall O3P gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated O3P against 15 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. While O3P is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. O3P is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year O3P was profitable.
In the past year O3P had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years O3P has always been profitable.
O3P had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
O3P.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFO3P.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.39%, O3P is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
O3P's Return On Equity of 21.63% is amongst the best of the industry. O3P outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
O3P has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.01%) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
O3P had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.44%. This is below the industry average of 7.10%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.39%
ROE 21.63%
ROIC 3.01%
ROA(3y)2.62%
ROA(5y)3.89%
ROE(3y)20.51%
ROE(5y)20.32%
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
O3P.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICO3P.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of O3P (4.82%) is better than 73.33% of its industry peers.
O3P's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
O3P has a Operating Margin of 6.80%. This is in the better half of the industry: O3P outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
O3P's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 70.77%, O3P belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of O3P has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.8%
PM (TTM) 4.82%
GM 70.77%
OM growth 3Y-3.03%
OM growth 5Y-8.5%
PM growth 3Y-3.62%
PM growth 5Y-7.99%
GM growth 3Y-1.51%
GM growth 5Y-2.11%
O3P.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsO3P.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

O3P has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, O3P has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
O3P has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, O3P has a worse debt to assets ratio.
O3P.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingO3P.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
O3P.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsO3P.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

O3P has an Altman-Z score of 0.93. This is a bad value and indicates that O3P is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.93, O3P is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
O3P has a debt to FCF ratio of 64.99. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as O3P would need 64.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 64.99, O3P is doing worse than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 6.10 is on the high side and indicates that O3P has dependencies on debt financing.
O3P has a Debt to Equity ratio of 6.10. This is in the lower half of the industry: O3P underperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.1
Debt/FCF 64.99
Altman-Z 0.93
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC3.48%
O3P.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFO3P.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.00 indicates that O3P may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
O3P's Current ratio of 1.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. O3P outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.99 indicates that O3P may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
O3P has a better Quick ratio (0.99) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.99
O3P.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesO3P.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.57% over the past year.
O3P shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.61% yearly.
Looking at the last year, O3P shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.47% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, O3P shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.95% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.57%
EPS 3Y3.85%
EPS 5Y-1.61%
EPS Q2Q%117.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.47%
Revenue growth 3Y7.78%
Revenue growth 5Y6.95%
Sales Q2Q%7%

3.2 Future

O3P is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.92% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.98% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.12%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.17%
Revenue Next 3Y4.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
O3P.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesO3P.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
O3P.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesO3P.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.23, which indicates a correct valuation of O3P.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of O3P indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: O3P is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of O3P to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.35), we can say O3P is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.58, which indicates a correct valuation of O3P.
O3P's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. O3P is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.23
Fwd PE 15.58
O3P.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsO3P.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, O3P is valued a bit more expensive than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 34.35
EV/EBITDA -11.49
O3P.DE Per share dataO3P.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

O3P's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.47%, O3P is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.94, O3P pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
O3P's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.33.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.47%

5.2 History

The dividend of O3P decreases each year by -2.71%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.71%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
O3P.DE Yearly Dividends per shareO3P.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

O3P pays out 86.82% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP86.82%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%
O3P.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendO3P.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M
O3P.DE Dividend Payout.O3P.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.O3P.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

OESTERREICHISCHE POST AG

FRA:O3P (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

32.75

-0.55 (-1.65%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)03-07 2025-03-07/amc
Earnings (Next)05-08 2025-05-08
Inst Owners9.19%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.21B
Analysts45
Price Target29.52 (-9.86%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.47%
Yearly Dividend1.79
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.71%
DP86.82%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.72%
Min EPS beat(2)9.28%
Max EPS beat(2)18.16%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)21.26%
Min EPS beat(4)9.28%
Max EPS beat(4)33.28%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)15.67%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)10.01%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.06%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.44%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.44%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.35%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.49%
PT rev (1m)-4.73%
PT rev (3m)-5.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.35%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.63%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.23
Fwd PE 15.58
P/S 0.74
P/FCF 34.35
P/OCF 9.74
P/B 3.3
P/tB 4.25
EV/EBITDA -11.49
EPS(TTM)2.15
EY6.56%
EPS(NY)2.1
Fwd EY6.42%
FCF(TTM)0.95
FCFY2.91%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.27%
SpS44.55
BVpS9.92
TBVpS7.7
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.39%
ROE 21.63%
ROCE 12.52%
ROIC 3.01%
ROICexc 11.72%
ROICexgc 13.21%
OM 6.8%
PM (TTM) 4.82%
GM 70.77%
FCFM 2.14%
ROA(3y)2.62%
ROA(5y)3.89%
ROE(3y)20.51%
ROE(5y)20.32%
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
ROICexc(3y)12.08%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)13.75%
ROICexgc(5y)14.29%
ROCE(3y)12.93%
ROCE(5y)13.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-5.29%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-13.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.98%
OM growth 3Y-3.03%
OM growth 5Y-8.5%
PM growth 3Y-3.62%
PM growth 5Y-7.99%
GM growth 3Y-1.51%
GM growth 5Y-2.11%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.1
Debt/FCF 64.99
Debt/EBITDA 9.87
Cap/Depr 77.63%
Cap/Sales 5.41%
Interest Coverage 5.81
Cash Conversion 54.84%
Profit Quality 44.44%
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.99
Altman-Z 0.93
F-Score8
WACC3.48%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)93.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)107.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.57%
EPS 3Y3.85%
EPS 5Y-1.61%
EPS Q2Q%117.65%
EPS Next Y11.12%
EPS Next 2Y3.56%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.47%
Revenue growth 3Y7.78%
Revenue growth 5Y6.95%
Sales Q2Q%7%
Revenue Next Year9.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.17%
Revenue Next 3Y4.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y6.51%
EBIT growth 3Y4.52%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.14%
EBIT Next Year116.75%
EBIT Next 3Y30.33%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y125.12%
FCF growth 3Y-47.92%
FCF growth 5Y-11.36%
OCF growth 1Y409.12%
OCF growth 3Y-30.64%
OCF growth 5Y-3.74%