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OESTERREICHISCHE POST AG (O3P.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:O3P - Deutsche Boerse Ag - AT0000APOST4 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

29.15  -0.4 (-1.35%)

Fundamental Rating

4

O3P gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 13 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. There are concerns on the financial health of O3P while its profitability can be described as average. O3P is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

O3P had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year O3P had a positive cash flow from operations.
O3P had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years O3P 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
O3P.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFO3P.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.39%, O3P is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
O3P has a Return On Equity of 21.63%. This is amongst the best in the industry. O3P outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
O3P's Return On Invested Capital of 3.01% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. O3P is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for O3P is below the industry average of 7.26%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.39%
ROE 21.63%
ROIC 3.01%
ROA(3y)2.62%
ROA(5y)3.89%
ROE(3y)20.51%
ROE(5y)20.32%
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
O3P.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICO3P.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

O3P's Profit Margin of 4.82% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. O3P outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of O3P has declined.
O3P has a Operating Margin of 6.80%. This is in the better half of the industry: O3P outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of O3P has declined.
O3P has a Gross Margin of 70.77%. This is amongst the best in the industry. O3P outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of O3P has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.8%
PM (TTM) 4.82%
GM 70.77%
OM growth 3Y-3.03%
OM growth 5Y-8.5%
PM growth 3Y-3.62%
PM growth 5Y-7.99%
GM growth 3Y-1.51%
GM growth 5Y-2.11%
O3P.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsO3P.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), O3P is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, O3P has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, O3P has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 1 year ago, O3P has a worse debt to assets ratio.
O3P.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingO3P.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
O3P.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsO3P.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

O3P has an Altman-Z score of 0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that O3P is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.91, O3P perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
O3P has a debt to FCF ratio of 64.99. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as O3P would need 64.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 64.99, O3P is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
O3P has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.10. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
O3P has a Debt to Equity ratio of 6.10. This is amonst the worse of the industry: O3P underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.1
Debt/FCF 64.99
Altman-Z 0.91
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC3.1%
O3P.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFO3P.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

O3P has a Current Ratio of 1.00. This is a bad value and indicates that O3P is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
O3P's Current ratio of 1.00 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. O3P outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.99 indicates that O3P may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.99, O3P is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.99
O3P.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesO3P.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 12.57% over the past year.
O3P shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.61% yearly.
Looking at the last year, O3P shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.47% in the last year.
O3P shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.95% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.57%
EPS 3Y3.85%
EPS 5Y-1.61%
EPS Q2Q%117.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.47%
Revenue growth 3Y7.78%
Revenue growth 5Y6.95%
Sales Q2Q%7%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, O3P will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 3.92% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, O3P will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.73%
EPS Next 2Y3.62%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.91%
Revenue Next 2Y5.91%
Revenue Next 3Y4.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
O3P.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesO3P.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
O3P.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesO3P.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.56, which indicates a correct valuation of O3P.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as O3P.
O3P's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.47.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.85 indicates a correct valuation of O3P.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of O3P is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. O3P is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.56
Fwd PE 13.85
O3P.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsO3P.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

O3P's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. O3P is more expensive than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 30.58
EV/EBITDA -12.08
O3P.DE Per share dataO3P.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.62%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

O3P has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.47%, which is a nice return.
O3P's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.02. O3P pays more dividend than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, O3P pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.47%

5.2 History

The dividend of O3P decreases each year by -2.71%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.71%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
O3P.DE Yearly Dividends per shareO3P.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

86.82% of the earnings are spent on dividend by O3P. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP86.82%
EPS Next 2Y3.62%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%
O3P.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendO3P.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M
O3P.DE Dividend Payout.O3P.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.O3P.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

OESTERREICHISCHE POST AG

FRA:O3P (2/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

29.15

-0.4 (-1.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)11-12 2024-11-12
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners9.12%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.97B
Analysts45
Price Target30.99 (6.31%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.47%
Yearly Dividend1.79
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.71%
DP86.82%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.72%
Min EPS beat(2)9.28%
Max EPS beat(2)18.16%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)21.26%
Min EPS beat(4)9.28%
Max EPS beat(4)33.28%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)15.67%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)10.01%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.06%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)3.6%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.76%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.44%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.44%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.35%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.08%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.49%
PT rev (1m)0.34%
PT rev (3m)-0.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.79%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.66%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.03%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.56
Fwd PE 13.85
P/S 0.65
P/FCF 30.58
P/OCF 8.67
P/B 2.94
P/tB 3.78
EV/EBITDA -12.08
EPS(TTM)2.15
EY7.38%
EPS(NY)2.1
Fwd EY7.22%
FCF(TTM)0.95
FCFY3.27%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY11.54%
SpS44.55
BVpS9.92
TBVpS7.7
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.39%
ROE 21.63%
ROCE 12.52%
ROIC 3.01%
ROICexc 11.72%
ROICexgc 13.21%
OM 6.8%
PM (TTM) 4.82%
GM 70.77%
FCFM 2.14%
ROA(3y)2.62%
ROA(5y)3.89%
ROE(3y)20.51%
ROE(5y)20.32%
ROIC(3y)3.44%
ROIC(5y)5.66%
ROICexc(3y)12.08%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)13.75%
ROICexgc(5y)14.29%
ROCE(3y)12.93%
ROCE(5y)13.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-5.29%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-13.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.98%
OM growth 3Y-3.03%
OM growth 5Y-8.5%
PM growth 3Y-3.62%
PM growth 5Y-7.99%
GM growth 3Y-1.51%
GM growth 5Y-2.11%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.1
Debt/FCF 64.99
Debt/EBITDA 9.87
Cap/Depr 77.63%
Cap/Sales 5.41%
Interest Coverage 5.81
Cash Conversion 54.84%
Profit Quality 44.44%
Current Ratio 1
Quick Ratio 0.99
Altman-Z 0.91
F-Score8
WACC3.1%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)93.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)107.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)12.57%
EPS 3Y3.85%
EPS 5Y-1.61%
EPS Q2Q%117.65%
EPS Next Y10.73%
EPS Next 2Y3.62%
EPS Next 3Y3.92%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.47%
Revenue growth 3Y7.78%
Revenue growth 5Y6.95%
Sales Q2Q%7%
Revenue Next Year9.91%
Revenue Next 2Y5.91%
Revenue Next 3Y4.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y6.51%
EBIT growth 3Y4.52%
EBIT growth 5Y-2.14%
EBIT Next Year116.75%
EBIT Next 3Y30.33%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y125.12%
FCF growth 3Y-47.92%
FCF growth 5Y-11.36%
OCF growth 1Y409.12%
OCF growth 3Y-30.64%
OCF growth 5Y-3.74%