NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:NXST • US65336K1034

Current stock price

223.05 USD
-5.96 (-2.6%)
At close:
230 USD
+6.95 (+3.12%)
After Hours:

This NXST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. NXST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NXST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year NXST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years NXST has always been profitable.
  • NXST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NXST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNXST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • NXST's Return On Assets of 0.85% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NXST outperforms 76.09% of its industry peers.
  • NXST has a Return On Equity of 4.46%. This is in the better half of the industry: NXST outperforms 77.17% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of NXST (5.39%) is better than 73.91% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NXST is in line with the industry average of 6.77%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.85%
ROE 4.46%
ROIC 5.39%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)4.79%
ROE(3y)17.17%
ROE(5y)23.24%
ROIC(3y)5.76%
ROIC(5y)6.22%
NXST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNXST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of NXST (1.86%) is better than 76.09% of its industry peers.
  • NXST's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 17.45%, NXST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.04% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NXST has declined.
  • NXST has a better Gross Margin (55.37%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NXST has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.45%
PM (TTM) 1.86%
GM 55.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.33%
OM growth 5Y-10.37%
PM growth 3Y-53.62%
PM growth 5Y-36.51%
GM growth 3Y-3.72%
GM growth 5Y-2.33%
NXST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNXST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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5

2. NXST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NXST is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NXST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NXST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NXST has a worse debt to assets ratio.
NXST Yearly Shares OutstandingNXST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
NXST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNXST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.73, we must say that NXST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.73, NXST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NXST is 8.78, which is on the high side as it means it would take NXST, 8.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.78, NXST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NXST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.01, NXST is not doing good in the industry: 72.83% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF 8.78
Altman-Z 1.73
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC6.59%
NXST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNXST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.07 indicates that NXST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • NXST has a better Current ratio (2.07) than 77.17% of its industry peers.
  • NXST has a Quick Ratio of 2.07. This indicates that NXST is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of NXST (2.07) is better than 79.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.07
Quick Ratio 2.07
NXST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNXST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. NXST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • NXST shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.31%.
  • NXST shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.00% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -8.44% in the past year.
  • NXST shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.91% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.31%
EPS 3Y-13.46%
EPS 5Y-2%
EPS Q2Q%-12.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.7%
Revenue growth 5Y1.91%
Sales Q2Q%-13.37%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.34% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NXST will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y64.53%
EPS Next 2Y7.6%
EPS Next 3Y25.6%
EPS Next 5Y13.34%
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.87%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.68%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NXST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNXST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
NXST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNXST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10 20 30

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7

4. NXST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • NXST is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.25.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NXST indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NXST is cheaper than 77.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.73. NXST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.66, which indicates a very decent valuation of NXST.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NXST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • NXST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.72.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.25
Fwd PE 8.66
NXST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNXST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NXST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.17% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 71.74% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NXST, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.38
EV/EBITDA 7.88
NXST Per share dataNXST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 -100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • NXST's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • NXST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as NXST's earnings are expected to grow with 25.60% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.6%
EPS Next 3Y25.6%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. NXST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NXST has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.11%.
  • NXST's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.17. NXST pays more dividend than 85.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, NXST pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.11%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NXST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 26.72%!
  • NXST has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • NXST has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.72%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
NXST Yearly Dividends per shareNXST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • NXST pays out 245.65% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of NXST is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP245.65%
EPS Next 2Y7.6%
EPS Next 3Y25.6%
NXST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNXST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B
NXST Dividend Payout.NXST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NXST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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NXST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:NXST (3/19/2026, 7:38:00 PM)

After market: 230 +6.95 (+3.12%)

223.05

-5.96 (-2.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners103.01%
Inst Owner Change-3.43%
Ins Owners6.63%
Ins Owner Change7.92%
Market Cap6.77B
Revenue(TTM)4.95B
Net Income(TTM)92.00M
Analysts81.43
Price Target237.69 (6.56%)
Short Float %6.39%
Short Ratio5.26
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.11%
Yearly Dividend7.42
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.72%
DP245.65%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)28.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.63%
Max EPS beat(2)74.59%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)21.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.63%
Max EPS beat(4)74.59%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.61%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.21%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.84%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.2%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.8%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.2%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.02%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.72%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.93%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.89%
PT rev (1m)1.36%
PT rev (3m)1.64%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.88%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.45%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.25
Fwd PE 8.66
P/S 1.37
P/FCF 9.38
P/OCF 7.59
P/B 3.28
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.88
EPS(TTM)15.65
EY7.02%
EPS(NY)25.75
Fwd EY11.54%
FCF(TTM)23.77
FCFY10.66%
OCF(TTM)29.38
OCFY13.17%
SpS163.2
BVpS68.05
TBVpS-177.45
PEG (NY)0.22
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number154.8
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.85%
ROE 4.46%
ROCE 8.52%
ROIC 5.39%
ROICexc 5.55%
ROICexgc 22.69%
OM 17.45%
PM (TTM) 1.86%
GM 55.37%
FCFM 14.57%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)4.79%
ROE(3y)17.17%
ROE(5y)23.24%
ROIC(3y)5.76%
ROIC(5y)6.22%
ROICexc(3y)5.86%
ROICexc(5y)6.33%
ROICexgc(3y)22.4%
ROICexgc(5y)23.21%
ROCE(3y)9.1%
ROCE(5y)9.83%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.54%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.18%
OM growth 3Y-14.33%
OM growth 5Y-10.37%
PM growth 3Y-53.62%
PM growth 5Y-36.51%
GM growth 3Y-3.72%
GM growth 5Y-2.33%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF 8.78
Debt/EBITDA 3.77
Cap/Depr 21.66%
Cap/Sales 3.43%
Interest Coverage 2.32
Cash Conversion 54.03%
Profit Quality 783.7%
Current Ratio 2.07
Quick Ratio 2.07
Altman-Z 1.73
F-Score5
WACC6.59%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)19.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)26.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.83%
Profit Quality(3y)390.48%
Profit Quality(5y)282.12%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.31%
EPS 3Y-13.46%
EPS 5Y-2%
EPS Q2Q%-12.3%
EPS Next Y64.53%
EPS Next 2Y7.6%
EPS Next 3Y25.6%
EPS Next 5Y13.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.7%
Revenue growth 5Y1.91%
Sales Q2Q%-13.37%
Revenue Next Year10.33%
Revenue Next 2Y1.42%
Revenue Next 3Y3.87%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.68%
EBIT growth 1Y-33.08%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.79%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.66%
EBIT Next Year141.73%
EBIT Next 3Y34.34%
EBIT Next 5Y16.8%
FCF growth 1Y-34.75%
FCF growth 3Y-16.66%
FCF growth 5Y2.07%
OCF growth 1Y-28.72%
OCF growth 3Y-14.04%
OCF growth 5Y-6.61%

NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC / NXST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NXST.


Can you provide the valuation status for NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC?

NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


How financially healthy is NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC?

The financial health rating of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for NXST stock?

The dividend rating of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 245.65%.