NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:NXST • US65336K1034

Current stock price

204.8 USD
+1.02 (+0.5%)
At close:
204.8 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This NXST fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. NXST Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NXST had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year NXST had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years NXST has been profitable.
  • NXST had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NXST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNXST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.85%, NXST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NXST has a better Return On Equity (4.46%) than 76.92% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.39%, NXST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NXST is below the industry average of 7.76%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.85%
ROE 4.46%
ROIC 5.39%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)4.79%
ROE(3y)17.17%
ROE(5y)23.24%
ROIC(3y)5.76%
ROIC(5y)6.22%
NXST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNXST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • NXST's Profit Margin of 1.86% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NXST outperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
  • NXST's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • NXST's Operating Margin of 17.45% is amongst the best of the industry. NXST outperforms 87.91% of its industry peers.
  • NXST's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 55.37%, NXST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NXST's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.45%
PM (TTM) 1.86%
GM 55.37%
OM growth 3Y-14.33%
OM growth 5Y-10.37%
PM growth 3Y-53.62%
PM growth 5Y-36.51%
GM growth 3Y-3.72%
GM growth 5Y-2.33%
NXST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNXST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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5

2. NXST Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • NXST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NXST has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, NXST has less shares outstanding
  • NXST has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
NXST Yearly Shares OutstandingNXST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
NXST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNXST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.68, we must say that NXST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • NXST has a better Altman-Z score (1.68) than 67.03% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NXST is 8.78, which is on the high side as it means it would take NXST, 8.78 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.78, NXST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01 is on the high side and indicates that NXST has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.01, NXST is not doing good in the industry: 72.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF 8.78
Altman-Z 1.68
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC7.47%
NXST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNXST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B -5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.07 indicates that NXST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • NXST has a Current ratio of 2.07. This is in the better half of the industry: NXST outperforms 74.73% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.07 indicates that NXST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • NXST has a Quick ratio of 2.07. This is in the better half of the industry: NXST outperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.07
Quick Ratio 2.07
NXST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNXST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. NXST Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for NXST have decreased strongly by -27.31% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.00% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, NXST shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -8.44% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, NXST shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.91% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.31%
EPS 3Y-13.46%
EPS 5Y-2%
EPS Q2Q%-12.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.7%
Revenue growth 5Y1.91%
Sales Q2Q%-13.37%

3.2 Future

  • NXST is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.34% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.68% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y67.52%
EPS Next 2Y6.58%
EPS Next 3Y24.52%
EPS Next 5Y13.34%
Revenue Next Year10.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.16%
Revenue Next 3Y3.72%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.68%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NXST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNXST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
NXST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNXST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10 20 30

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9

4. NXST Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.09 indicates a correct valuation of NXST.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NXST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • NXST's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.15.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.81 indicates a rather cheap valuation of NXST.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NXST is valued cheaper than 80.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.12. NXST is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.09
Fwd PE 7.81
NXST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNXST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NXST indicates a rather cheap valuation: NXST is cheaper than 81.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NXST is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.32% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.62
EV/EBITDA 7.44
NXST Per share dataNXST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 100 -100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • NXST's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • NXST has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as NXST's earnings are expected to grow with 24.52% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.58%
EPS Next 3Y24.52%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. NXST Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NXST has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.63%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.07, NXST pays a better dividend. On top of this NXST pays more dividend than 87.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, NXST pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.63%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of NXST grows each year by 26.72%, which is quite nice.
  • NXST has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • NXST has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.72%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
NXST Yearly Dividends per shareNXST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

  • NXST pays out 245.65% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of NXST is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP245.65%
EPS Next 2Y6.58%
EPS Next 3Y24.52%
NXST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNXST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B
NXST Dividend Payout.NXST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NXST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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NXST Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC

NASDAQ:NXST (4/27/2026, 8:08:06 PM)

After market: 204.8 0 (0%)

204.8

+1.02 (+0.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners103.23%
Inst Owner Change0.13%
Ins Owners6.96%
Ins Owner Change8.41%
Market Cap6.21B
Revenue(TTM)4.95B
Net Income(TTM)92.00M
Analysts81.43
Price Target270.41 (32.04%)
Short Float %5.05%
Short Ratio3.4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.63%
Yearly Dividend7.42
Dividend Growth(5Y)26.72%
DP245.65%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date02-13
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)28.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.63%
Max EPS beat(2)74.59%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)21.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.63%
Max EPS beat(4)74.59%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.61%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)3.21%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.84%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.2%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.02%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.8%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.2%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.02%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.72%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.93%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.89%
PT rev (1m)13.77%
PT rev (3m)15.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.82%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.85%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.43%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.09
Fwd PE 7.81
P/S 1.25
P/FCF 8.62
P/OCF 6.97
P/B 3.01
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.44
EPS(TTM)15.65
EY7.64%
EPS(NY)26.22
Fwd EY12.8%
FCF(TTM)23.77
FCFY11.61%
OCF(TTM)29.38
OCFY14.34%
SpS163.2
BVpS68.05
TBVpS-177.45
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number154.799 (-24.41%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.85%
ROE 4.46%
ROCE 8.52%
ROIC 5.39%
ROICexc 5.55%
ROICexgc 22.69%
OM 17.45%
PM (TTM) 1.86%
GM 55.37%
FCFM 14.57%
ROA(3y)3.34%
ROA(5y)4.79%
ROE(3y)17.17%
ROE(5y)23.24%
ROIC(3y)5.76%
ROIC(5y)6.22%
ROICexc(3y)5.86%
ROICexc(5y)6.33%
ROICexgc(3y)22.4%
ROICexgc(5y)23.21%
ROCE(3y)9.1%
ROCE(5y)9.83%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.54%
ROICexc growth 3Y-11.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.18%
OM growth 3Y-14.33%
OM growth 5Y-10.37%
PM growth 3Y-53.62%
PM growth 5Y-36.51%
GM growth 3Y-3.72%
GM growth 5Y-2.33%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF 8.78
Debt/EBITDA 3.77
Cap/Depr 21.66%
Cap/Sales 3.43%
Interest Coverage 2.32
Cash Conversion 54.03%
Profit Quality 783.7%
Current Ratio 2.07
Quick Ratio 2.07
Altman-Z 1.68
F-Score5
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)19.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)26.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.83%
Profit Quality(3y)390.48%
Profit Quality(5y)282.12%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.31%
EPS 3Y-13.46%
EPS 5Y-2%
EPS Q2Q%-12.3%
EPS Next Y67.52%
EPS Next 2Y6.58%
EPS Next 3Y24.52%
EPS Next 5Y13.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.7%
Revenue growth 5Y1.91%
Sales Q2Q%-13.37%
Revenue Next Year10.15%
Revenue Next 2Y1.16%
Revenue Next 3Y3.72%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.68%
EBIT growth 1Y-33.08%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.79%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.66%
EBIT Next Year139.83%
EBIT Next 3Y33.97%
EBIT Next 5Y16.8%
FCF growth 1Y-34.75%
FCF growth 3Y-16.66%
FCF growth 5Y2.07%
OCF growth 1Y-28.72%
OCF growth 3Y-14.04%
OCF growth 5Y-6.61%

NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC / NXST Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NXST.


What is the valuation status of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) stock?

NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) stock?

The financial health rating of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for NXST stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP INC (NXST) is expected to grow by 67.52% in the next year.