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NORTHWESTERN ENERGY GROUP IN (NWE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:NWE - Nasdaq - US6680743050 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

53.92  +0.39 (+0.73%)

After market: 53.92 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, NWE scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NWE was compared to 25 industry peers in the Multi-Utilities industry. There are concerns on the financial health of NWE while its profitability can be described as average. NWE does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively. Finally NWE also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year NWE was profitable.
In the past year NWE had a positive cash flow from operations.
NWE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years NWE 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
NWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNWE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of NWE (2.89%) is better than 88.00% of its industry peers.
NWE's Return On Equity of 8.05% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NWE is outperformed by 72.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.70%, NWE is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NWE is in line with the industry average of 3.68%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.29%) for NWE is below the current ROIC(3.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.89%
ROE 8.05%
ROIC 3.7%
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)2.71%
ROE(3y)7.27%
ROE(5y)7.84%
ROIC(3y)3.29%
ROIC(5y)3.35%
NWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNWE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of NWE (15.15%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NWE has declined.
The Operating Margin of NWE (22.37%) is better than 72.00% of its industry peers.
NWE's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 70.77%, NWE perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.00% of the companies in the same industry.
NWE's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.37%
PM (TTM) 15.15%
GM 70.77%
OM growth 3Y2.35%
OM growth 5Y-1.11%
PM growth 3Y1.78%
PM growth 5Y-3.75%
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
NWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNWE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NWE has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
There is no outstanding debt for NWE. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
NWE Yearly Shares OutstandingNWE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M
NWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNWE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.81, we must say that NWE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
NWE has a Altman-Z score (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.95 indicates that NWE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
NWE's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.95 is amongst the best of the industry. NWE outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.81
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC6.36%
NWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNWE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

NWE has a Current Ratio of 0.45. This is a bad value and indicates that NWE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.45, NWE is doing worse than 96.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that NWE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
NWE has a worse Quick ratio (0.30) than 96.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.3
NWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNWE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

NWE shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 3.98%.
NWE shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -0.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.98%
EPS 3Y-2.34%
EPS 5Y-0.12%
EPS Q2Q%-18.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.92%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NWE will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.26% on average per year.
NWE is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.92% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.09%
EPS Next 2Y7.2%
EPS Next 3Y6.69%
EPS Next 5Y6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.14%
Revenue Next 2Y5.25%
Revenue Next 3Y3.26%
Revenue Next 5Y3.92%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
NWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNWE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B
NWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNWE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 2 3 4

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.86, NWE is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NWE is on the same level as its industry peers.
NWE's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 29.62.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.95, the valuation of NWE can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NWE is valued a bit cheaper than 64.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.70, NWE is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.86
Fwd PE 14.95
NWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNWE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NWE is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.07
NWE Per share dataNWE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NWE does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y7.2%
EPS Next 3Y6.69%

8

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.93%, NWE is a good candidate for dividend investing.
NWE's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.75.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, NWE pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.93%

5.2 History

The dividend of NWE has a limited annual growth rate of 3.06%.
NWE has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
NWE has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.06%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years19
NWE Yearly Dividends per shareNWE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

69.68% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NWE. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of NWE is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP69.68%
EPS Next 2Y7.2%
EPS Next 3Y6.69%
NWE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNWE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M -200M
NWE Dividend Payout.NWE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NWE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NORTHWESTERN ENERGY GROUP IN

NASDAQ:NWE (2/21/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 53.92 0 (0%)

53.92

+0.39 (+0.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryMulti-Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-12 2025-02-12/amc
Earnings (Next)04-23 2025-04-23
Inst Owners100.76%
Inst Owner Change-84.65%
Ins Owners0.58%
Ins Owner Change0.3%
Market Cap3.31B
Analysts81.54
Price Target61.13 (13.37%)
Short Float %2.4%
Short Ratio3.73
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.93%
Yearly Dividend2.55
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.06%
DP69.68%
Div Incr Years19
Div Non Decr Years19
Ex-Date03-14 2025-03-14 (0.66)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.74%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.4%
Max EPS beat(2)8.87%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.51%
Max EPS beat(4)16.73%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.74%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-7.27%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.37%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-5.93%
Min Revenue beat(4)-23.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.04%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.63%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.13%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.71%
PT rev (1m)2.88%
PT rev (3m)3.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.34%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.57%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.86
Fwd PE 14.95
P/S 2.21
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.14
P/B 1.17
P/tB 1.34
EV/EBITDA 11.07
EPS(TTM)3.4
EY6.31%
EPS(NY)3.61
Fwd EY6.69%
FCF(TTM)-2.51
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.63
OCFY12.29%
SpS24.41
BVpS45.94
TBVpS40.11
PEG (NY)2.61
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.89%
ROE 8.05%
ROCE 4.75%
ROIC 3.7%
ROICexc 3.71%
ROICexgc 3.9%
OM 22.37%
PM (TTM) 15.15%
GM 70.77%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.6%
ROA(5y)2.71%
ROE(3y)7.27%
ROE(5y)7.84%
ROIC(3y)3.29%
ROIC(5y)3.35%
ROICexc(3y)3.29%
ROICexc(5y)3.36%
ROICexgc(3y)3.48%
ROICexgc(5y)3.56%
ROCE(3y)4.16%
ROCE(5y)4.26%
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.43%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.64%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.3%
OM growth 3Y2.35%
OM growth 5Y-1.11%
PM growth 3Y1.78%
PM growth 5Y-3.75%
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-1.79%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.95
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.79
Cap/Depr 250.87%
Cap/Sales 37.44%
Interest Coverage 2.51
Cash Conversion 72.79%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.45
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 0.81
F-Score6
WACC6.36%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)255.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)35.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)33.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.98%
EPS 3Y-2.34%
EPS 5Y-0.12%
EPS Q2Q%-18.12%
EPS Next Y6.09%
EPS Next 2Y7.2%
EPS Next 3Y6.69%
EPS Next 5Y6.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%4.92%
Revenue Next Year3.14%
Revenue Next 2Y5.25%
Revenue Next 3Y3.26%
Revenue Next 5Y3.92%
EBIT growth 1Y19.4%
EBIT growth 3Y8.35%
EBIT growth 5Y2.44%
EBIT Next Year94.27%
EBIT Next 3Y29.89%
EBIT Next 5Y20.58%
FCF growth 1Y23.67%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y32.02%
OCF growth 3Y11.59%
OCF growth 5Y5.07%