NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:NTRS • US6658591044
Current stock price
159.16 USD
+2.39 (+1.52%)
At close:
159.21 USD
+0.05 (+0.03%)
After Hours:
This NTRS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NTRS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NTRS was profitable.
- NTRS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years NTRS has been profitable.
- Of the past 5 years NTRS 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a Return On Assets value of 0.95%, NTRS is not doing good in the industry: 62.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- NTRS has a Return On Equity of 12.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: NTRS outperforms 69.17% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of NTRS (1.00%) is worse than 67.92% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NTRS is significantly below the industry average of 7.19%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.95% | ||
| ROE | 12.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1% |
ROA(3y)0.97%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)12.41%
ROE(5y)12.21%
ROIC(3y)1.07%
ROIC(5y)1%
1.3 Margins
- NTRS's Profit Margin of 12.34% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NTRS outperforms 45.00% of its industry peers.
- NTRS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Operating Margin value of 17.19%, NTRS is not doing good in the industry: 61.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- NTRS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a decent Gross Margin value of 59.43%, NTRS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- NTRS's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.34% | ||
| GM | 59.43% |
OM growth 3Y-10.54%
OM growth 5Y-8.12%
PM growth 3Y-10.35%
PM growth 5Y-7.81%
GM growth 3Y-13.01%
GM growth 5Y-9.72%
2. NTRS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- Compared to 1 year ago, NTRS has less shares outstanding
- NTRS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- NTRS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- NTRS has an Altman-Z score of -0.64. This is a bad value and indicates that NTRS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of -0.64, NTRS is not doing good in the industry: 83.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- NTRS has a debt to FCF ratio of 33.46. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NTRS would need 33.46 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 33.46, NTRS is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 12.29 is on the high side and indicates that NTRS has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 12.29, NTRS is doing worse than 90.83% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 12.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.64 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.04 indicates that NTRS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.04, NTRS is not doing good in the industry: 94.17% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- NTRS has a Quick Ratio of 0.04. This is a bad value and indicates that NTRS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- NTRS has a worse Quick ratio (0.04) than 94.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.04 |
3. NTRS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- NTRS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.01%, which is quite good.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 8.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- NTRS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -9.98%.
- Measured over the past years, NTRS shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 17.19% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.01%
EPS 3Y13.64%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%19.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.98%
Revenue growth 3Y22.03%
Revenue growth 5Y17.19%
Sales Q2Q%8.99%
3.2 Future
- NTRS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.60% yearly.
- NTRS is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.83% yearly.
EPS Next Y15.03%
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y11.6%
Revenue Next Year7.88%
Revenue Next 2Y5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y5.45%
Revenue Next 5Y4.83%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. NTRS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.66, the valuation of NTRS can be described as rather expensive.
- NTRS's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.87. NTRS is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.36, which indicates a correct valuation of NTRS.
- NTRS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- NTRS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NTRS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NTRS is valued cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as NTRS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.18
PEG (5Y)2.07
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
5. NTRS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- NTRS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.10%.
- NTRS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.64.
- NTRS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of NTRS has a limited annual growth rate of 1.90%.
- NTRS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- NTRS has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.9%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years26
5.3 Sustainability
- NTRS pays out 37.72% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of NTRS is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP37.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
NTRS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
159.16
+2.39 (+1.52%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)01-22 2026-01-22/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/bmo
Inst Owners85.65%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.77%
Ins Owner Change7.84%
Market Cap29.50B
Revenue(TTM)13.61B
Net Income(TTM)1.68B
Analysts56.36
Price Target160.91 (1.1%)
Short Float %1.21%
Short Ratio2.03
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
Yearly Dividend3.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.9%
DP37.72%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years26
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (0.8)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.03%
Max EPS beat(2)11.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.03%
Max EPS beat(4)11.46%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.09%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.99%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.79%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.75%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.75%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.41%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.51%
PT rev (1m)-1.2%
PT rev (3m)17.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.53%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.13%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.49%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.66 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.36 | ||
| P/S | 2.17 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.33 | ||
| P/B | 2.28 | ||
| P/tB | 3 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.82 |
EPS(TTM)9.01
EY5.66%
EPS(NY)10.36
Fwd EY6.51%
FCF(TTM)25.68
FCFY16.14%
OCF(TTM)29.86
OCFY18.76%
SpS73.43
BVpS69.92
TBVpS53.06
PEG (NY)1.18
PEG (5Y)2.07
Graham Number119.058 (-25.2%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.95% | ||
| ROE | 12.96% | ||
| ROCE | 9.7% | ||
| ROIC | 1% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.11% | ||
| OM | 17.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.34% | ||
| GM | 59.43% | ||
| FCFM | 34.98% |
ROA(3y)0.97%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)12.41%
ROE(5y)12.21%
ROIC(3y)1.07%
ROIC(5y)1%
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)1.03%
ROICexgc(3y)1.2%
ROICexgc(5y)1.12%
ROCE(3y)10.44%
ROCE(5y)10.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.17%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.34%
OM growth 3Y-10.54%
OM growth 5Y-8.12%
PM growth 3Y-10.35%
PM growth 5Y-7.81%
GM growth 3Y-13.01%
GM growth 5Y-9.72%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 12.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.46 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 51.06 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 177.44% | ||
| Profit Quality | 283.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.64 |
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)103.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)108.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.01%
EPS 3Y13.64%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%19.03%
EPS Next Y15.03%
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y11.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.98%
Revenue growth 3Y22.03%
Revenue growth 5Y17.19%
Sales Q2Q%8.99%
Revenue Next Year7.88%
Revenue Next 2Y5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y5.45%
Revenue Next 5Y4.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.53%
EBIT growth 3Y9.17%
EBIT growth 5Y7.67%
EBIT Next Year14.68%
EBIT Next 3Y8.33%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y486.46%
FCF growth 3Y41.81%
FCF growth 5Y28.92%
OCF growth 1Y1238.58%
OCF growth 3Y32.25%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
NORTHERN TRUST CORP / NTRS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to NTRS.
What is the valuation status for NTRS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NORTHERN TRUST CORP?
NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for NORTHERN TRUST CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) is expected to grow by 15.03% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for NTRS stock?
The dividend rating of NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.72%.