NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:NTRS • US6658591044
Current stock price
166.34 USD
+1.51 (+0.92%)
At close:
166.343 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This NTRS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NTRS Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NTRS was profitable.
- NTRS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years NTRS has been profitable.
- Of the past 5 years NTRS 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of NTRS (0.95%) is worse than 63.18% of its industry peers.
- NTRS has a Return On Equity of 12.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: NTRS outperforms 68.62% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of NTRS (1.00%) is worse than 71.13% of its industry peers.
- NTRS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.07%. This is significantly below the industry average of 7.31%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.95% | ||
| ROE | 12.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1% |
ROA(3y)0.97%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)12.41%
ROE(5y)12.21%
ROIC(3y)1.07%
ROIC(5y)1%
1.3 Margins
- NTRS has a Profit Margin (12.34%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- NTRS's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- NTRS has a Operating Margin of 17.19%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NTRS underperforms 61.92% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NTRS has declined.
- NTRS has a better Gross Margin (59.43%) than 66.11% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NTRS has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.34% | ||
| GM | 59.43% |
OM growth 3Y-10.54%
OM growth 5Y-8.12%
PM growth 3Y-10.35%
PM growth 5Y-7.81%
GM growth 3Y-13.01%
GM growth 5Y-9.72%
2. NTRS Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The number of shares outstanding for NTRS has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- NTRS has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for NTRS is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.63, we must say that NTRS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of NTRS (-0.63) is worse than 83.68% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of NTRS is 33.46, which is on the high side as it means it would take NTRS, 33.46 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- NTRS has a Debt to FCF ratio (33.46) which is in line with its industry peers.
- NTRS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 12.29. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 12.29, NTRS is not doing good in the industry: 90.79% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 12.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.63 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.04 indicates that NTRS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of NTRS (0.04) is worse than 94.14% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.04 indicates that NTRS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- NTRS has a Quick ratio of 0.04. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NTRS underperforms 94.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.04 |
3. NTRS Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 24.15% over the past year.
- NTRS shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 8.54% yearly.
- NTRS shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -17.27%.
- NTRS shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 17.19% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.15%
EPS 3Y13.64%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%42.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y22.03%
Revenue growth 5Y17.19%
Sales Q2Q%13.73%
3.2 Future
- NTRS is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.60% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, NTRS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.83% on average per year.
EPS Next Y15.03%
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y11.6%
Revenue Next Year7.08%
Revenue Next 2Y5.59%
Revenue Next 3Y5.34%
Revenue Next 5Y4.83%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. NTRS Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.94, NTRS is valued correctly.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as NTRS.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.77. NTRS is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.57 indicates a correct valuation of NTRS.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as NTRS.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NTRS to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.75), we can say NTRS is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NTRS is valued cheaper than 84.10% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NTRS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.01% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- NTRS's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as NTRS's earnings are expected to grow with 12.13% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.13
PEG (5Y)1.98
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
5. NTRS Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- NTRS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.94%.
- NTRS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.53.
- NTRS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.94% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of NTRS has a limited annual growth rate of 1.90%.
- NTRS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- NTRS has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.9%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years26
5.3 Sustainability
- NTRS pays out 37.72% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of NTRS is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP37.72%
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
NTRS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
166.34
+1.51 (+0.92%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Industry Strength30.43
Industry Growth54.66
Earnings (Last)04-21 2026-04-21/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-22 2026-07-22/bmo
Inst Owners85.65%
Inst Owner Change0.56%
Ins Owners0.77%
Ins Owner Change8.67%
Market Cap30.83B
Revenue(TTM)12.47B
Net Income(TTM)1.68B
Analysts56.36
Price Target176.92 (6.36%)
Short Float %1.41%
Short Ratio2.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.94% |
Yearly Dividend3.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.9%
DP37.72%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years26
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (0.8)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)5.71%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.03%
Max EPS beat(2)11.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.03%
Max EPS beat(4)11.46%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.13%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.09%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.99%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.79%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.75%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.75%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.41%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.51%
PT rev (1m)-1.83%
PT rev (3m)9.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.64%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.23%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.94 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.57 | ||
| P/S | 2.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.57 | ||
| P/B | 2.38 | ||
| P/tB | 3.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.39 |
EPS(TTM)9.82
EY5.9%
EPS(NY)11.41
Fwd EY6.86%
FCF(TTM)25.68
FCFY15.44%
OCF(TTM)29.86
OCFY17.95%
SpS73.43
BVpS69.92
TBVpS53.06
PEG (NY)1.13
PEG (5Y)1.98
Graham Number124.295 (-25.28%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.95% | ||
| ROE | 12.96% | ||
| ROCE | 9.7% | ||
| ROIC | 1% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.11% | ||
| OM | 17.19% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.34% | ||
| GM | 59.43% | ||
| FCFM | 34.98% |
ROA(3y)0.97%
ROA(5y)0.91%
ROE(3y)12.41%
ROE(5y)12.21%
ROIC(3y)1.07%
ROIC(5y)1%
ROICexc(3y)1.1%
ROICexc(5y)1.03%
ROICexgc(3y)1.2%
ROICexgc(5y)1.12%
ROCE(3y)10.44%
ROCE(5y)10.16%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.7%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.17%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.34%
OM growth 3Y-10.54%
OM growth 5Y-8.12%
PM growth 3Y-10.35%
PM growth 5Y-7.81%
GM growth 3Y-13.01%
GM growth 5Y-9.72%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 12.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 33.46 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 51.06 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 99.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.38 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 177.44% | ||
| Profit Quality | 283.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.04 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.63 |
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)103.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)108.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.87%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.15%
EPS 3Y13.64%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%42.63%
EPS Next Y15.03%
EPS Next 2Y12.55%
EPS Next 3Y12.13%
EPS Next 5Y11.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-17.27%
Revenue growth 3Y22.03%
Revenue growth 5Y17.19%
Sales Q2Q%13.73%
Revenue Next Year7.08%
Revenue Next 2Y5.59%
Revenue Next 3Y5.34%
Revenue Next 5Y4.83%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.53%
EBIT growth 3Y9.17%
EBIT growth 5Y7.67%
EBIT Next Year14.68%
EBIT Next 3Y8.33%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y486.46%
FCF growth 3Y41.81%
FCF growth 5Y28.92%
OCF growth 1Y1238.58%
OCF growth 3Y32.25%
OCF growth 5Y23.88%
NORTHERN TRUST CORP / NTRS Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to NTRS.
What is the valuation status for NTRS stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NORTHERN TRUST CORP?
NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for NORTHERN TRUST CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) is expected to grow by 15.03% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for NTRS stock?
The dividend rating of NORTHERN TRUST CORP (NTRS) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 37.72%.