NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:NTR - CA67077M1086 - Common Stock
59 USD
+0.34 (+0.58%)
59 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, NTR scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NTR was compared to 82 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While NTR is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. NTR has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year NTR was profitable.
NTR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NTR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years NTR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
NTR has a better Return On Assets (3.49%) than 70.73% of its industry peers.
NTR has a better Return On Equity (7.20%) than 73.17% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 4.86%, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NTR is above the industry average of 6.05%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.49% | ||
| ROE | 7.2% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% |
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
1.3 Margins
NTR has a Profit Margin of 6.79%. This is in the better half of the industry: NTR outperforms 73.17% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NTR has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.63%, NTR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NTR has grown nicely.
NTR has a Gross Margin of 30.20%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NTR outperforms 54.88% of its industry peers.
NTR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 30.2% |
OM growth 3Y-13.46%
OM growth 5Y2.09%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NTR is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, NTR has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for NTR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for NTR is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.78, we must say that NTR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
NTR has a Altman-Z score (1.78) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NTR has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.46. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as NTR would need 6.46 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of NTR (6.46) is better than 73.17% of its industry peers.
NTR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.53. This is a neutral value indicating NTR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
NTR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.53) than 65.85% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
ROIC/WACC0.66
WACC7.33%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.41 indicates that NTR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
NTR has a Current ratio of 1.41. This is in the lower half of the industry: NTR underperforms 74.39% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that NTR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.89, NTR is doing worse than 69.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NTR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.48%, which is quite good.
Measured over the past years, NTR shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.65% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.25% in the past year.
NTR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.28% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.48%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%148.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%12.78%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.73% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.62% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y36.22%
EPS Next 2Y16.77%
EPS Next 3Y8.54%
EPS Next 5Y2.73%
Revenue Next Year2.75%
Revenue Next 2Y2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y1.62%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 14.60, which indicates a correct valuation of NTR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NTR is valued a bit cheaper than 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.59, NTR is valued a bit cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.36, which indicates a correct valuation of NTR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NTR is valued a bit cheaper than 67.07% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.80. NTR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.36 |
4.2 Price Multiples
NTR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NTR is cheaper than 79.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NTR is valued a bit cheaper than 79.27% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.83 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
NTR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)1.37
EPS Next 2Y16.77%
EPS Next 3Y8.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
NTR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.71%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.98, NTR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, NTR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.71% |
5.2 History
The dividend of NTR has a limited annual growth rate of 2.94%.
NTR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
The dividend of NTR decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
58.76% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NTR. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of NTR is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP58.76%
EPS Next 2Y16.77%
EPS Next 3Y8.54%
59
+0.34 (+0.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners74.01%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap28.52B
Revenue(TTM)26.62B
Net Income(TTM)1.81B
Analysts72.59
Price Target48.16 (-18.37%)
Short Float %0.93%
Short Ratio1.69
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.71% |
Yearly Dividend2.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.94%
DP58.76%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.24%
Min EPS beat(2)0.97%
Max EPS beat(2)9.5%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-16.43%
Min EPS beat(4)-64.42%
Max EPS beat(4)9.5%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-12.86%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-17.39%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-15.21%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.29%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.29%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.94%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.47%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.55%
PT rev (1m)-0.67%
PT rev (3m)-0.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)10.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.71%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.55%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.36 | ||
| P/S | 1.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 13 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.87 | ||
| P/B | 1.14 | ||
| P/tB | 2.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.83 |
EPS(TTM)4.04
EY6.85%
EPS(NY)4.77
Fwd EY8.09%
FCF(TTM)4.54
FCFY7.69%
OCF(TTM)8.59
OCFY14.56%
SpS55.08
BVpS51.97
TBVpS23.36
PEG (NY)0.4
PEG (5Y)1.37
Graham Number68.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.49% | ||
| ROE | 7.2% | ||
| ROCE | 8.09% | ||
| ROIC | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.93% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.23% | ||
| OM | 12.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.79% | ||
| GM | 30.2% | ||
| FCFM | 8.24% |
ROA(3y)5.91%
ROA(5y)5%
ROE(3y)12.48%
ROE(5y)10.56%
ROIC(3y)8.34%
ROIC(5y)7.09%
ROICexc(3y)8.53%
ROICexc(5y)7.25%
ROICexgc(3y)13.18%
ROICexgc(5y)11.36%
ROCE(3y)13.73%
ROCE(5y)11.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.99%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.12%
OM growth 3Y-13.46%
OM growth 5Y2.09%
PM growth 3Y-38.9%
PM growth 5Y-12.08%
GM growth 3Y-4.64%
GM growth 5Y1.41%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.51
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.53 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.46 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.31 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 81.9% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.36% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 72.18% | ||
| Profit Quality | 121.28% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.78 |
F-Score8
WACC7.33%
ROIC/WACC0.66
Cap/Depr(3y)112.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)101.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.97%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.55%
Profit Quality(3y)156.44%
Profit Quality(5y)184.5%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.48%
EPS 3Y-17.44%
EPS 5Y10.65%
EPS Q2Q%148.72%
EPS Next Y36.22%
EPS Next 2Y16.77%
EPS Next 3Y8.54%
EPS Next 5Y2.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-2.14%
Revenue growth 5Y5.28%
Sales Q2Q%12.78%
Revenue Next Year2.75%
Revenue Next 2Y2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y1.62%
EBIT growth 1Y19.73%
EBIT growth 3Y-15.31%
EBIT growth 5Y7.48%
EBIT Next Year100.65%
EBIT Next 3Y24.5%
EBIT Next 5Y13.49%
FCF growth 1Y-22.69%
FCF growth 3Y-13.08%
FCF growth 5Y-4.89%
OCF growth 1Y-26.52%
OCF growth 3Y-3.11%
OCF growth 5Y-0.72%
NUTRIEN LTD / NTR FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NTR.
What is the valuation status of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to NUTRIEN LTD (NTR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) is 14.6 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.14.
Is the dividend of NUTRIEN LTD sustainable?
The dividend rating of NUTRIEN LTD (NTR) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 58.76%.