NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:NS • US67058H1023

Current stock price

21.96 USD
-0.41 (-1.83%)
At close:
22 USD
+0.04 (+0.18%)
After Hours:

This NS fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. NS Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NS was profitable.
  • In the past year NS had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: NS reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years NS always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
NS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.71%, NS is not doing good in the industry: 77.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • NS's Return On Equity of 3.38% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NS is outperformed by 74.42% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of NS (7.74%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NS is significantly below the industry average of 22.60%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.42%) for NS is below the current ROIC(7.74%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 3.38%
ROIC 7.74%
ROA(3y)0.14%
ROA(5y)-1.9%
ROE(3y)1.41%
ROE(5y)-5.01%
ROIC(3y)7.42%
ROIC(5y)6.81%
NS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.11%, NS is doing worse than 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NS has a Operating Margin (27.84%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • NS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 36.89%, NS is in line with its industry, outperforming 43.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NS's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.84%
PM (TTM) 2.11%
GM 36.89%
OM growth 3Y-0.68%
OM growth 5Y5.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y4.79%
NS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

1

2. NS Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • NS has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • NS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • NS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
NS Yearly Shares OutstandingNS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
NS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NS is 10.32, which is on the high side as it means it would take NS, 10.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • NS has a Debt to FCF ratio (10.32) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • NS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • NS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.33) than 87.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.33
Debt/FCF 10.32
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.06
WACC7.28%
NS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that NS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.81, NS is doing worse than 72.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NS has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that NS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • NS's Quick ratio of 0.73 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NS is outperformed by 67.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
NS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

3

3. NS Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for NS have decreased by -1.22% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, NS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -4.28% on average per year.
  • NS shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.17%.
  • NS shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.46% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-4.28%
EPS Q2Q%-37.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
Revenue growth 3Y3.32%
Revenue growth 5Y1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.78%

3.2 Future

  • NS is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.67% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.91% on average per year.
EPS Next Y53.78%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
NS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
NS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2

4

4. NS Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 27.11, which means the current valuation is very expensive for NS.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NS is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.81% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.87, NS is valued at the same level.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.56, the valuation of NS can be described as correct.
  • NS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • NS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.11
Fwd PE 13.56
NS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NS is valued a bit more expensive than 60.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.44
EV/EBITDA 8.68
NS Per share dataNS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • NS's earnings are expected to grow with 21.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%

5

5. NS Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.29%, NS is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • NS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.26.
  • NS's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NS decreases each year by -8.34%.
  • NS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • NS has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
NS Yearly Dividends per shareNS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 861.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP861.28%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
NS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M
NS Dividend Payout.NS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NS Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NUSTAR ENERGY LP

NYSE:NS (5/2/2024, 8:10:13 PM)

After market: 22 +0.04 (+0.18%)

21.96

-0.41 (-1.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-02
Earnings (Next)08-01
Inst Owners0.18%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.78B
Revenue(TTM)1.63B
Net Income(TTM)34.45M
Analysts46.67
Price Target23.46 (6.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%
Yearly Dividend2.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.34%
DP861.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)31.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-66.85%
Max EPS beat(4)31.7%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-34.12%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-78.1%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-118.28%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.12%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.7%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.56%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.82%
PT rev (1m)0.73%
PT rev (3m)21.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.11
Fwd PE 13.56
P/S 1.7
P/FCF 8.44
P/OCF 5.68
P/B 2.73
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.68
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY3.69%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY11.85%
OCF(TTM)3.87
OCFY17.61%
SpS12.89
BVpS8.05
TBVpS-1.42
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 3.38%
ROCE 9.8%
ROIC 7.74%
ROICexc 7.75%
ROICexgc 10.46%
OM 27.84%
PM (TTM) 2.11%
GM 36.89%
FCFM 20.19%
ROA(3y)0.14%
ROA(5y)-1.9%
ROE(3y)1.41%
ROE(5y)-5.01%
ROIC(3y)7.42%
ROIC(5y)6.81%
ROICexc(3y)7.43%
ROICexc(5y)6.85%
ROICexgc(3y)10.05%
ROICexgc(5y)9.37%
ROCE(3y)9.39%
ROCE(5y)8.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.07%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.97%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.68%
OM growth 5Y5.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y4.79%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.33
Debt/FCF 10.32
Debt/EBITDA 4.77
Cap/Depr 62.33%
Cap/Sales 9.81%
Interest Coverage 1.93
Cash Conversion 68.84%
Profit Quality 955.94%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACC7.28%
ROIC/WACC1.06
Cap/Depr(3y)59.31%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.51%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-4.28%
EPS Q2Q%-37.5%
EPS Next Y53.78%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
Revenue growth 3Y3.32%
Revenue growth 5Y1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.78%
Revenue Next Year6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y2.62%
EBIT growth 5Y6.92%
EBIT Next Year30.44%
EBIT Next 3Y10.81%
EBIT Next 5Y7.72%
FCF growth 1Y0.35%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5Y33.44%
OCF growth 1Y-2.43%
OCF growth 3Y-0.75%
OCF growth 5Y-1.13%

NUSTAR ENERGY LP / NS Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for NUSTAR ENERGY LP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to NS.


What is the valuation status for NS stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) stock?

NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of NUSTAR ENERGY LP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) is 27.11 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.73.


What is the expected EPS growth for NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) is expected to grow by 53.78% in the next year.