NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NS • US67058H1023

21.96 USD
-0.41 (-1.83%)
At close: May 2, 2024
22 USD
+0.04 (+0.18%)
After Hours: 5/2/2024, 8:10:13 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, NS scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NS was compared to 206 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. NS has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. NS has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NS had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year NS had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years NS reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years NS had a positive operating cash flow.
NS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.71%, NS is doing worse than 77.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NS has a worse Return On Equity (3.38%) than 74.42% of its industry peers.
  • NS has a Return On Invested Capital (7.74%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NS is significantly below the industry average of 21.98%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.74%) for NS is above the 3 year average (7.42%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 3.38%
ROIC 7.74%
ROA(3y)0.14%
ROA(5y)-1.9%
ROE(3y)1.41%
ROE(5y)-5.01%
ROIC(3y)7.42%
ROIC(5y)6.81%
NS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • NS has a Profit Margin of 2.11%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NS underperforms 73.02% of its industry peers.
  • NS's Operating Margin of 27.84% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NS outperforms 56.28% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NS has grown nicely.
  • NS's Gross Margin of 36.89% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NS outperforms 43.72% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NS has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.84%
PM (TTM) 2.11%
GM 36.89%
OM growth 3Y-0.68%
OM growth 5Y5.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y4.79%
NS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), NS is creating some value.
  • NS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • NS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
NS Yearly Shares OutstandingNS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
NS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NS is 10.32, which is on the high side as it means it would take NS, 10.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • NS's Debt to FCF ratio of 10.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NS outperforms 41.40% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.33 is on the high side and indicates that NS has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.33, NS is doing worse than 87.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.33
Debt/FCF 10.32
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.06
WACC7.28%
NS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that NS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.81, NS is not doing good in the industry: 72.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • NS has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that NS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.73, NS is not doing good in the industry: 67.91% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
NS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for NS have decreased by -1.22% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.28% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, NS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.17% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, NS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.46% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-4.28%
EPS Q2Q%-37.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
Revenue growth 3Y3.32%
Revenue growth 5Y1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.78%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.67% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.91% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y53.78%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
NS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.11 indicates a quite expensive valuation of NS.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NS is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.81% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.16. NS is around the same levels.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.56, which indicates a correct valuation of NS.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as NS.
  • NS is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.11
Fwd PE 13.56
NS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NS is valued a bit more expensive than 60.93% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 69.30% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NS, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.44
EV/EBITDA 8.68
NS Per share dataNS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • NS's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as NS's earnings are expected to grow with 21.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • NS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.29%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.57, NS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, NS pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NS decreases each year by -8.34%.
  • NS has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of NS decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
NS Yearly Dividends per shareNS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

  • 861.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP861.28%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
NS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M
NS Dividend Payout.NS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NUSTAR ENERGY LP

NYSE:NS (5/2/2024, 8:10:13 PM)

After market: 22 +0.04 (+0.18%)

21.96

-0.41 (-1.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-02
Earnings (Next)08-01
Inst Owners0.18%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.78B
Revenue(TTM)1.63B
Net Income(TTM)34.45M
Analysts46.67
Price Target23.46 (6.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%
Yearly Dividend2.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.34%
DP861.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)31.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-66.85%
Max EPS beat(4)31.7%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-34.12%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-78.1%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-118.28%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.12%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.7%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.56%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.82%
PT rev (1m)0.73%
PT rev (3m)21.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.11
Fwd PE 13.56
P/S 1.7
P/FCF 8.44
P/OCF 5.68
P/B 2.73
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.68
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY3.69%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY11.85%
OCF(TTM)3.87
OCFY17.61%
SpS12.89
BVpS8.05
TBVpS-1.42
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 3.38%
ROCE 9.8%
ROIC 7.74%
ROICexc 7.75%
ROICexgc 10.46%
OM 27.84%
PM (TTM) 2.11%
GM 36.89%
FCFM 20.19%
ROA(3y)0.14%
ROA(5y)-1.9%
ROE(3y)1.41%
ROE(5y)-5.01%
ROIC(3y)7.42%
ROIC(5y)6.81%
ROICexc(3y)7.43%
ROICexc(5y)6.85%
ROICexgc(3y)10.05%
ROICexgc(5y)9.37%
ROCE(3y)9.39%
ROCE(5y)8.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.07%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.97%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.68%
OM growth 5Y5.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y4.79%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.33
Debt/FCF 10.32
Debt/EBITDA 4.77
Cap/Depr 62.33%
Cap/Sales 9.81%
Interest Coverage 1.93
Cash Conversion 68.84%
Profit Quality 955.94%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACC7.28%
ROIC/WACC1.06
Cap/Depr(3y)59.31%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.51%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-4.28%
EPS Q2Q%-37.5%
EPS Next Y53.78%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
Revenue growth 3Y3.32%
Revenue growth 5Y1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.78%
Revenue Next Year6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y2.62%
EBIT growth 5Y6.92%
EBIT Next Year30.44%
EBIT Next 3Y10.81%
EBIT Next 5Y7.72%
FCF growth 1Y0.35%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5Y33.44%
OCF growth 1Y-2.43%
OCF growth 3Y-0.75%
OCF growth 5Y-1.13%

NUSTAR ENERGY LP / NS FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for NUSTAR ENERGY LP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to NS.


What is the valuation status of NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NUSTAR ENERGY LP?

NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the financial health of NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) stock?

The financial health rating of NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for NS stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) is expected to grow by 53.78% in the next year.