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NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:NS - US67058H1023

21.96 USD
-0.41 (-1.83%)
Last: 5/2/2024, 8:10:13 PM
22 USD
+0.04 (+0.18%)
After Hours: 5/2/2024, 8:10:13 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, NS scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NS was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While NS is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. NS is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NS had positive earnings in the past year.
NS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: NS reported negative net income in multiple years.
NS had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of NS (0.71%) is worse than 77.67% of its industry peers.
NS has a Return On Equity of 3.38%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NS underperforms 74.42% of its industry peers.
NS has a Return On Invested Capital (7.74%) which is in line with its industry peers.
NS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.42%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.09%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.42%) for NS is below the current ROIC(7.74%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 3.38%
ROIC 7.74%
ROA(3y)0.14%
ROA(5y)-1.9%
ROE(3y)1.41%
ROE(5y)-5.01%
ROIC(3y)7.42%
ROIC(5y)6.81%
NS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

NS's Profit Margin of 2.11% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NS is outperformed by 73.02% of its industry peers.
NS has a Operating Margin of 27.84%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NS outperforms 56.28% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NS has grown nicely.
NS has a Gross Margin of 36.89%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NS outperforms 43.72% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NS has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 27.84%
PM (TTM) 2.11%
GM 36.89%
OM growth 3Y-0.68%
OM growth 5Y5.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y4.79%
NS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), NS is creating some value.
NS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
NS has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
NS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
NS Yearly Shares OutstandingNS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
NS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

NS has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.32. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NS would need 10.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
NS's Debt to FCF ratio of 10.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NS outperforms 41.40% of its industry peers.
NS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.33. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
NS has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (3.33) than 87.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.33
Debt/FCF 10.32
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.06
WACC7.28%
NS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

NS has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that NS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NS (0.81) is worse than 72.09% of its industry peers.
NS has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that NS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of NS (0.73) is worse than 67.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
NS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for NS have decreased by -1.22% in the last year.
NS shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -4.28% yearly.
Looking at the last year, NS shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -2.17% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.46% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-4.28%
EPS Q2Q%-37.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
Revenue growth 3Y3.32%
Revenue growth 5Y1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.78%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.67% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.91% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y53.78%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
NS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B
NS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 27.11, the valuation of NS can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NS indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: NS is more expensive than 75.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.57.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.56, the valuation of NS can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as NS.
NS's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.04.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.11
Fwd PE 13.56
NS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

NS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. NS is more expensive than 60.93% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.30% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.44
EV/EBITDA 8.68
NS Per share dataNS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
NS's earnings are expected to grow with 21.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.29%, which is a nice return.
NS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.95.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, NS pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%

5.2 History

The dividend of NS decreases each year by -8.34%.
NS has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of NS decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.34%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
NS Yearly Dividends per shareNS Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

861.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NS. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP861.28%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
NS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNS Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M
NS Dividend Payout.NS Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NS Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NUSTAR ENERGY LP

NYSE:NS (5/2/2024, 8:10:13 PM)

After market: 22 +0.04 (+0.18%)

21.96

-0.41 (-1.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-02 2024-05-02/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-01 2024-08-01/bmo
Inst Owners0.18%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.18%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.78B
Revenue(TTM)1.63B
Net Income(TTM)34.45M
Analysts46.67
Price Target23.46 (6.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.29%
Yearly Dividend2.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.34%
DP861.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.88%
Min EPS beat(2)-51.46%
Max EPS beat(2)31.7%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-29.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-66.85%
Max EPS beat(4)31.7%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-34.12%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-78.1%
EPS beat(16)2
Avg EPS beat(16)-118.28%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.12%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.85%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.69%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.7%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.56%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.82%
PT rev (1m)0.73%
PT rev (3m)21.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.96%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.81%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.11
Fwd PE 13.56
P/S 1.7
P/FCF 8.44
P/OCF 5.68
P/B 2.73
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.68
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY3.69%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)2.6
FCFY11.85%
OCF(TTM)3.87
OCFY17.61%
SpS12.89
BVpS8.05
TBVpS-1.42
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.71%
ROE 3.38%
ROCE 9.8%
ROIC 7.74%
ROICexc 7.75%
ROICexgc 10.46%
OM 27.84%
PM (TTM) 2.11%
GM 36.89%
FCFM 20.19%
ROA(3y)0.14%
ROA(5y)-1.9%
ROE(3y)1.41%
ROE(5y)-5.01%
ROIC(3y)7.42%
ROIC(5y)6.81%
ROICexc(3y)7.43%
ROICexc(5y)6.85%
ROICexgc(3y)10.05%
ROICexgc(5y)9.37%
ROCE(3y)9.39%
ROCE(5y)8.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y8.07%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.61%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.97%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.68%
OM growth 5Y5.39%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y4.79%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.34
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.33
Debt/FCF 10.32
Debt/EBITDA 4.77
Cap/Depr 62.33%
Cap/Sales 9.81%
Interest Coverage 1.93
Cash Conversion 68.84%
Profit Quality 955.94%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACC7.28%
ROIC/WACC1.06
Cap/Depr(3y)59.31%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.39%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.51%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-1.22%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-4.28%
EPS Q2Q%-37.5%
EPS Next Y53.78%
EPS Next 2Y34.12%
EPS Next 3Y21.67%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.17%
Revenue growth 3Y3.32%
Revenue growth 5Y1.46%
Sales Q2Q%-0.78%
Revenue Next Year6.8%
Revenue Next 2Y3.96%
Revenue Next 3Y0.91%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3.23%
EBIT growth 3Y2.62%
EBIT growth 5Y6.92%
EBIT Next Year30.44%
EBIT Next 3Y10.81%
EBIT Next 5Y7.72%
FCF growth 1Y0.35%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5Y33.44%
OCF growth 1Y-2.43%
OCF growth 3Y-0.75%
OCF growth 5Y-1.13%

NUSTAR ENERGY LP / NS FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for NUSTAR ENERGY LP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to NS.


Can you provide the valuation status for NUSTAR ENERGY LP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of NS stock?

NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


How financially healthy is NUSTAR ENERGY LP?

The financial health rating of NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) is 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for NUSTAR ENERGY LP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NUSTAR ENERGY LP (NS) is expected to grow by 53.78% in the next year.