NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:NRG • US6293775085

Current stock price

149.01 USD
-5.8 (-3.75%)
At close:
150.5 USD
+1.49 (+1%)
Pre-Market:

This NRG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. NRG Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NRG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year NRG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years NRG 4 years were profitable.
  • NRG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
NRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • NRG has a Return On Assets of 2.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NRG outperforms 53.19% of its industry peers.
  • NRG has a better Return On Equity (47.41%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of NRG (8.39%) is better than 95.74% of its industry peers.
  • NRG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.33%. This is above the industry average of 4.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.74%
ROE 47.41%
ROIC 8.39%
ROA(3y)2.05%
ROA(5y)3.96%
ROE(3y)27.1%
ROE(5y)34.79%
ROIC(3y)9.33%
ROIC(5y)11.48%
NRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200 400 600

1.3 Margins

  • NRG has a Profit Margin of 2.59%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NRG underperforms 89.36% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NRG has declined.
  • NRG has a Operating Margin of 7.50%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NRG underperforms 87.23% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NRG has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 20.55%, NRG is doing worse than 70.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NRG has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.5%
PM (TTM) 2.59%
GM 20.55%
OM growth 3Y2.06%
OM growth 5Y-10.61%
PM growth 3Y-12.48%
PM growth 5Y-14.29%
GM growth 3Y16.51%
GM growth 5Y-6.06%
NRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. NRG Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NRG is still creating some value.
  • NRG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, NRG has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NRG has a worse debt to assets ratio.
NRG Yearly Shares OutstandingNRG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M
NRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.31 indicates that NRG is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NRG has a better Altman-Z score (2.31) than 93.62% of its industry peers.
  • NRG has a debt to FCF ratio of 21.47. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NRG would need 21.47 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NRG (21.47) is better than 85.11% of its industry peers.
  • NRG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.76. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of NRG (9.76) is worse than 93.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.76
Debt/FCF 21.47
Altman-Z 2.31
ROIC/WACC1.15
WACC7.31%
NRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NRG has a Current Ratio of 1.64. This is a normal value and indicates that NRG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • NRG's Current ratio of 1.64 is amongst the best of the industry. NRG outperforms 87.23% of its industry peers.
  • NRG has a Quick Ratio of 1.58. This is a normal value and indicates that NRG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of NRG (1.58) is better than 87.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 1.58
NRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. NRG Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • NRG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.55%.
  • Measured over the past years, NRG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.00% on average per year.
  • NRG shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.18%.
  • Measured over the past years, NRG shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 27.56% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.55%
EPS 3Y16.34%
EPS 5Y31%
EPS Q2Q%-32.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.88%
Revenue growth 5Y27.56%
Sales Q2Q%13.7%

3.2 Future

  • NRG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 17.33% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NRG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.75%
EPS Next 2Y16.67%
EPS Next 3Y16.34%
EPS Next 5Y17.33%
Revenue Next Year17%
Revenue Next 2Y9.84%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5Y6.85%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B
NRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15 20 25

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4

4. NRG Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.31, the valuation of NRG can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as NRG.
  • NRG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.54.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.38, NRG is valued correctly.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as NRG.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.68, NRG is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.31
Fwd PE 16.38
NRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NRG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.09% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • NRG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NRG is cheaper than 82.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 41.31
EV/EBITDA 13.57
NRG Per share dataNRG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • NRG's earnings are expected to grow with 16.34% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.56
PEG (5Y)0.59
EPS Next 2Y16.67%
EPS Next 3Y16.34%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. NRG Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NRG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.23%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.83, NRG's dividend is way lower than its industry peers. On top of this 82.98% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than NRG!
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, NRG is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.23%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of NRG grows each year by 12.04%, which is quite nice.
  • NRG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • As NRG did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.04%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years8
NRG Yearly Dividends per shareNRG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • NRG pays out 51.57% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • NRG's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP51.57%
EPS Next 2Y16.67%
EPS Next 3Y16.34%
NRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B
NRG Dividend Payout.NRG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NRG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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NRG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NRG ENERGY INC

NYSE:NRG (4/29/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 150.5 +1.49 (+1%)

149.01

-5.8 (-3.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Industry Strength52.17
Industry Growth22.98
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners85.93%
Inst Owner Change0.34%
Ins Owners0.28%
Ins Owner Change-0.98%
Market Cap31.65B
Revenue(TTM)30.71B
Net Income(TTM)797.00M
Analysts80.95
Price Target198.31 (33.09%)
Short Float %2.47%
Short Ratio1.72
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.23%
Yearly Dividend2.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.04%
DP51.57%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date02-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.14%
Min EPS beat(2)6.55%
Max EPS beat(2)29.74%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)30.17%
Min EPS beat(4)6.55%
Max EPS beat(4)77.8%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)61.45%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-25.5%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)43.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Max Revenue beat(2)21.01%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Max Revenue beat(4)21.01%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.63%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.71%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)17.92%
PT rev (1m)2.27%
PT rev (3m)2.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)14.44%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.71%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.31
Fwd PE 16.38
P/S 1.03
P/FCF 41.31
P/OCF 16.54
P/B 18.83
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.57
EPS(TTM)8.14
EY5.46%
EPS(NY)9.1
Fwd EY6.1%
FCF(TTM)3.61
FCFY2.42%
OCF(TTM)9.01
OCFY6.04%
SpS144.61
BVpS7.92
TBVpS-26.58
PEG (NY)1.56
PEG (5Y)0.59
Graham Number38.0742 (-74.45%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.74%
ROE 47.41%
ROCE 10.9%
ROIC 8.39%
ROICexc 10.8%
ROICexgc 19.51%
OM 7.5%
PM (TTM) 2.59%
GM 20.55%
FCFM 2.49%
ROA(3y)2.05%
ROA(5y)3.96%
ROE(3y)27.1%
ROE(5y)34.79%
ROIC(3y)9.33%
ROIC(5y)11.48%
ROICexc(3y)10.47%
ROICexc(5y)12.28%
ROICexgc(3y)22.09%
ROICexgc(5y)21.48%
ROCE(3y)12.12%
ROCE(5y)14.91%
ROICexgc growth 3Y10.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.24%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.31%
OM growth 3Y2.06%
OM growth 5Y-10.61%
PM growth 3Y-12.48%
PM growth 5Y-14.29%
GM growth 3Y16.51%
GM growth 5Y-6.06%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.76
Debt/FCF 21.47
Debt/EBITDA 5.13
Cap/Depr 128.01%
Cap/Sales 3.73%
Interest Coverage 4.02
Cash Conversion 59.82%
Profit Quality 96.11%
Current Ratio 1.64
Quick Ratio 1.58
Altman-Z 2.31
F-Score6
WACC7.31%
ROIC/WACC1.15
Cap/Depr(3y)71.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)57.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.5%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.93%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.55%
EPS 3Y16.34%
EPS 5Y31%
EPS Q2Q%-32.24%
EPS Next Y11.75%
EPS Next 2Y16.67%
EPS Next 3Y16.34%
EPS Next 5Y17.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.88%
Revenue growth 5Y27.56%
Sales Q2Q%13.7%
Revenue Next Year17%
Revenue Next 2Y9.84%
Revenue Next 3Y7.24%
Revenue Next 5Y6.85%
EBIT growth 1Y30.94%
EBIT growth 3Y1.16%
EBIT growth 5Y14.03%
EBIT Next Year138.03%
EBIT Next 3Y39.92%
EBIT Next 5Y26.06%
FCF growth 1Y-58.23%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-13.77%
OCF growth 1Y-17.04%
OCF growth 3Y74.5%
OCF growth 5Y0.81%

NRG ENERGY INC / NRG Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NRG.


What is the valuation status of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to NRG ENERGY INC (NRG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of NRG stock?

NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


How financially healthy is NRG ENERGY INC?

The financial health rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 6 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for NRG ENERGY INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is expected to grow by 11.75% in the next year.