NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:NRG • US6293775085

149.11 USD
-3.52 (-2.31%)
At close: Feb 2, 2026
148 USD
-1.11 (-0.74%)
After Hours: 2/2/2026, 8:27:43 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall NRG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated NRG against 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of NRG get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. NRG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NRG was profitable.
  • In the past year NRG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • NRG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • NRG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
NRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of NRG (5.73%) is better than 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • NRG's Return On Equity of 69.75% is amongst the best of the industry. NRG outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.56%, NRG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NRG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.16%. This is significantly above the industry average of 4.57%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.16%) for NRG is below the current ROIC(11.56%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.73%
ROE 69.75%
ROIC 11.56%
ROA(3y)2.54%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)21.93%
ROE(5y)31.38%
ROIC(3y)10.16%
ROIC(5y)11.32%
NRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 400 600

1.3 Margins

  • NRG's Profit Margin of 4.61% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NRG is outperformed by 84.78% of its industry peers.
  • NRG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • NRG has a worse Operating Margin (8.13%) than 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NRG has declined.
  • NRG has a Gross Margin of 21.15%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NRG underperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NRG has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.13%
PM (TTM) 4.61%
GM 21.15%
OM growth 3Y-18.92%
OM growth 5Y-11.2%
PM growth 3Y-22.57%
PM growth 5Y-39.18%
GM growth 3Y-4.97%
GM growth 5Y-4.2%
NRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • NRG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NRG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NRG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NRG has a worse debt to assets ratio.
NRG Yearly Shares OutstandingNRG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
NRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.51 indicates that NRG is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.51, NRG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NRG has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.99. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as NRG would need 6.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.99, NRG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NRG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.66. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • NRG has a Debt to Equity ratio of 5.66. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NRG underperforms 93.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.66
Debt/FCF 6.99
Altman-Z 2.51
ROIC/WACC1.5
WACC7.7%
NRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NRG has a Current Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that NRG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of NRG (1.05) is better than 76.09% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.99 indicates that NRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • NRG has a better Quick ratio (0.99) than 76.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.99
NRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for NRG have decreased strongly by -10.10% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, NRG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.12% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, NRG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.91% in the last year.
  • NRG shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 23.42% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.1%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y22.12%
EPS Q2Q%44.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.91%
Revenue growth 3Y1.39%
Revenue growth 5Y23.42%
Sales Q2Q%5.23%

3.2 Future

  • NRG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.67% yearly.
  • NRG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.44% yearly.
EPS Next Y-11.03%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
EPS Next 5Y9.67%
Revenue Next Year-2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y6.46%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y4.44%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B
NRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.28, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of NRG.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as NRG.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NRG to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.41), we can say NRG is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.26, NRG is valued correctly.
  • NRG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • NRG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.28
Fwd PE 16.26
NRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • NRG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NRG is valued cheaper than 84.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.74
EV/EBITDA 11.76
NRG Per share dataNRG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.78
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • NRG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 1.24, NRG pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 2.90. 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than NRG!
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, NRG is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.24%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of NRG grows each year by 75.36%, which is quite nice.
  • NRG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • NRG has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)75.36%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years7
NRG Yearly Dividends per shareNRG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • NRG pays out 29.77% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • NRG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
NRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B
NRG Dividend Payout.NRG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NRG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NRG ENERGY INC / NRG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NRG.


Can you provide the valuation status for NRG ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to NRG ENERGY INC (NRG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NRG ENERGY INC?

NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

The financial health rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

The dividend rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 29.77%.