NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:NRG • US6293775085

152.18 USD
+3.07 (+2.06%)
At close: Feb 3, 2026
152.18 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

NRG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of NRG get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. NRG has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NRG had positive earnings in the past year.
  • NRG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • NRG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • NRG had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
NRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • NRG's Return On Assets of 5.73% is amongst the best of the industry. NRG outperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of NRG (69.75%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of NRG (11.56%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NRG is significantly above the industry average of 4.57%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.16%) for NRG is below the current ROIC(11.56%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.73%
ROE 69.75%
ROIC 11.56%
ROA(3y)2.54%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)21.93%
ROE(5y)31.38%
ROIC(3y)10.16%
ROIC(5y)11.32%
NRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 400 600

1.3 Margins

  • NRG has a worse Profit Margin (4.61%) than 84.78% of its industry peers.
  • NRG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 8.13%, NRG is doing worse than 86.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NRG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 21.15%, NRG is doing worse than 69.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NRG has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.13%
PM (TTM) 4.61%
GM 21.15%
OM growth 3Y-18.92%
OM growth 5Y-11.2%
PM growth 3Y-22.57%
PM growth 5Y-39.18%
GM growth 3Y-4.97%
GM growth 5Y-4.2%
NRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • NRG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • NRG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • NRG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for NRG is higher compared to a year ago.
NRG Yearly Shares OutstandingNRG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
NRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • NRG has an Altman-Z score of 2.49. This is not the best score and indicates that NRG is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.49, NRG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NRG has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.99. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as NRG would need 6.99 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NRG (6.99) is better than 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.66 is on the high side and indicates that NRG has dependencies on debt financing.
  • NRG has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.66) than 93.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.66
Debt/FCF 6.99
Altman-Z 2.49
ROIC/WACC1.49
WACC7.74%
NRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NRG has a Current Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that NRG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.05, NRG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.09% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NRG has a Quick Ratio of 1.05. This is a bad value and indicates that NRG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.99, NRG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.09% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.99
NRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • NRG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.10%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 22.12% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • NRG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.91%.
  • Measured over the past years, NRG shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 23.42% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.1%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y22.12%
EPS Q2Q%44.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.91%
Revenue growth 3Y1.39%
Revenue growth 5Y23.42%
Sales Q2Q%5.23%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.67% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • NRG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.44% yearly.
EPS Next Y-11.03%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
EPS Next 5Y9.67%
Revenue Next Year-2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y6.46%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y4.44%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
NRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B
NRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10 15

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.63 indicates a rather expensive valuation of NRG.
  • NRG's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • NRG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • NRG is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.59.
  • NRG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.51, NRG is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.63
Fwd PE 16.59
NRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • NRG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NRG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 84.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.08
EV/EBITDA 11.56
NRG Per share dataNRG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • NRG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 1.24, NRG pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 2.90. 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than NRG!
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, NRG is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.24%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NRG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 75.36%!
  • NRG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • As NRG did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)75.36%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years7
NRG Yearly Dividends per shareNRG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 29.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NRG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • NRG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
NRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B
NRG Dividend Payout.NRG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NRG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NRG ENERGY INC

NYSE:NRG (2/3/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 152.18 0 (0%)

152.18

+3.07 (+2.06%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)11-06
Earnings (Next)02-24
Inst Owners94.25%
Inst Owner Change-0.85%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change-0.62%
Market Cap29.16B
Revenue(TTM)29.78B
Net Income(TTM)1.37B
Analysts77.89
Price Target193.91 (27.42%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.24%
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)75.36%
DP29.77%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date02-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.17%
Min EPS beat(2)6.61%
Max EPS beat(2)29.74%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)32.63%
Min EPS beat(4)6.61%
Max EPS beat(4)77.8%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)56.44%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-45.25%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-49.41%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.6%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.59%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)14.6%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.86%
PT rev (1m)0.22%
PT rev (3m)6.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.63
Fwd PE 16.59
P/S 0.98
P/FCF 17.08
P/OCF 10.64
P/B 14.8
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.56
EPS(TTM)8.63
EY5.67%
EPS(NY)9.17
Fwd EY6.03%
FCF(TTM)8.91
FCFY5.85%
OCF(TTM)14.31
OCFY9.4%
SpS155.39
BVpS10.28
TBVpS-28.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
Graham Number44.68
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.73%
ROE 69.75%
ROCE 14.89%
ROIC 11.56%
ROICexc 12.11%
ROICexgc 23.27%
OM 8.13%
PM (TTM) 4.61%
GM 21.15%
FCFM 5.73%
ROA(3y)2.54%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)21.93%
ROE(5y)31.38%
ROIC(3y)10.16%
ROIC(5y)11.32%
ROICexc(3y)10.6%
ROICexc(5y)12.26%
ROICexgc(3y)20.56%
ROICexgc(5y)20.12%
ROCE(3y)13.08%
ROCE(5y)14.57%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.76%
OM growth 3Y-18.92%
OM growth 5Y-11.2%
PM growth 3Y-22.57%
PM growth 5Y-39.18%
GM growth 3Y-4.97%
GM growth 5Y-4.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.66
Debt/FCF 6.99
Debt/EBITDA 3.24
Cap/Depr 101.37%
Cap/Sales 3.48%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 79.69%
Profit Quality 124.24%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.99
Altman-Z 2.49
F-Score7
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC1.49
Cap/Depr(3y)43.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.1%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y22.12%
EPS Q2Q%44.74%
EPS Next Y-11.03%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
EPS Next 5Y9.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.91%
Revenue growth 3Y1.39%
Revenue growth 5Y23.42%
Sales Q2Q%5.23%
Revenue Next Year-2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y6.46%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y4.44%
EBIT growth 1Y205.17%
EBIT growth 3Y-17.79%
EBIT growth 5Y9.6%
EBIT Next Year75.63%
EBIT Next 3Y32.81%
EBIT Next 5Y24.08%
FCF growth 1Y169.11%
FCF growth 3Y101.55%
FCF growth 5Y10.05%
OCF growth 1Y247.42%
OCF growth 3Y67.24%
OCF growth 5Y11.07%

NRG ENERGY INC / NRG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NRG.


Can you provide the valuation status for NRG ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to NRG ENERGY INC (NRG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NRG ENERGY INC?

NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

The financial health rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

The dividend rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 29.77%.