NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NRG • US6293775085

178.96 USD
-2.38 (-1.31%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
178.96 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:23:11 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to NRG. NRG was compared to 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. NRG has an average financial health and profitability rating. NRG has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NRG was profitable.
  • In the past year NRG had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In multiple years NRG reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: NRG reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
NRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNRG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • NRG has a Return On Assets of 5.73%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NRG outperforms 91.30% of its industry peers.
  • NRG has a better Return On Equity (69.75%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.56%, NRG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NRG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.16%. This is significantly above the industry average of 4.55%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (10.16%) for NRG is below the current ROIC(11.56%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.73%
ROE 69.75%
ROIC 11.56%
ROA(3y)2.54%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)21.93%
ROE(5y)31.38%
ROIC(3y)10.16%
ROIC(5y)11.32%
NRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNRG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 400 600

1.3 Margins

  • NRG has a worse Profit Margin (4.61%) than 84.78% of its industry peers.
  • NRG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • NRG has a worse Operating Margin (8.13%) than 86.96% of its industry peers.
  • NRG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • NRG has a Gross Margin of 21.15%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NRG underperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NRG has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.13%
PM (TTM) 4.61%
GM 21.15%
OM growth 3Y-18.92%
OM growth 5Y-11.2%
PM growth 3Y-22.57%
PM growth 5Y-39.18%
GM growth 3Y-4.97%
GM growth 5Y-4.2%
NRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNRG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NRG is still creating some value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for NRG. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
NRG Yearly Shares OutstandingNRG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
NRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNRG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • NRG has an Altman-Z score of 2.66. This is not the best score and indicates that NRG is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NRG has a better Altman-Z score (2.66) than 95.65% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NRG is 6.99, which is on the high side as it means it would take NRG, 6.99 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.99, NRG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.66 is on the high side and indicates that NRG has dependencies on debt financing.
  • NRG has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.66) than 93.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.66
Debt/FCF 6.99
Altman-Z 2.66
ROIC/WACC1.52
WACC7.63%
NRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNRG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.05 indicates that NRG should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of NRG (1.05) is better than 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.99 indicates that NRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of NRG (0.99) is better than 76.09% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.99
NRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNRG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • NRG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.55%.
  • NRG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 31.00% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.55%
EPS 3Y16.34%
EPS 5Y31%
EPS Q2Q%-32.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%13.7%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, NRG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.66% on average per year.
  • NRG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.84% yearly.
EPS Next Y12.81%
EPS Next 2Y14.06%
EPS Next 3Y17.42%
EPS Next 5Y12.66%
Revenue Next Year18.12%
Revenue Next 2Y11.4%
Revenue Next 3Y16.88%
Revenue Next 5Y5.84%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
NRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNRG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B
NRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNRG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 10

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.99, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of NRG.
  • 65.22% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than NRG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NRG to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.10), we can say NRG is valued inline with the index average.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.49, the valuation of NRG can be described as rather expensive.
  • NRG's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • NRG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.99
Fwd PE 19.49
NRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNRG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NRG is valued a bit more expensive than 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NRG is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.09
EV/EBITDA 13.35
NRG Per share dataNRG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • NRG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • NRG's earnings are expected to grow with 17.42% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.72
PEG (5Y)0.71
EPS Next 2Y14.06%
EPS Next 3Y17.42%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • NRG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.05%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.16, NRG's dividend is way lower than its industry peers. On top of this 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than NRG!
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, NRG's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.05%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of NRG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 75.36%!
  • NRG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • NRG has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)75.36%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years7
NRG Yearly Dividends per shareNRG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • NRG pays out 29.77% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of NRG is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.77%
EPS Next 2Y14.06%
EPS Next 3Y17.42%
NRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNRG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B
NRG Dividend Payout.NRG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NRG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NRG ENERGY INC

NYSE:NRG (2/27/2026, 8:23:11 PM)

After market: 178.96 0 (0%)

178.96

-2.38 (-1.31%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners94.25%
Inst Owner Change1.65%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change-1.05%
Market Cap34.30B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)1.37B
Analysts77.89
Price Target193.91 (8.35%)
Short Float %2.56%
Short Ratio2.19
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.05%
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)75.36%
DP29.77%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date02-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.17%
Min EPS beat(2)6.61%
Max EPS beat(2)29.74%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)32.63%
Min EPS beat(4)6.61%
Max EPS beat(4)77.8%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)56.44%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-45.25%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-49.41%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.6%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.59%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)14.6%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.86%
PT rev (1m)-0.57%
PT rev (3m)1.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-17.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.19%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-20.59%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.99
Fwd PE 19.49
P/S 1.15
P/FCF 20.09
P/OCF 12.51
P/B 17.41
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.35
EPS(TTM)8.14
EY4.55%
EPS(NY)9.18
Fwd EY5.13%
FCF(TTM)8.91
FCFY4.98%
OCF(TTM)14.31
OCFY8%
SpS155.39
BVpS10.28
TBVpS-28.57
PEG (NY)1.72
PEG (5Y)0.71
Graham Number43.39
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.73%
ROE 69.75%
ROCE 14.89%
ROIC 11.56%
ROICexc 12.11%
ROICexgc 23.27%
OM 8.13%
PM (TTM) 4.61%
GM 21.15%
FCFM 5.73%
ROA(3y)2.54%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)21.93%
ROE(5y)31.38%
ROIC(3y)10.16%
ROIC(5y)11.32%
ROICexc(3y)10.6%
ROICexc(5y)12.26%
ROICexgc(3y)20.56%
ROICexgc(5y)20.12%
ROCE(3y)13.08%
ROCE(5y)14.57%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.76%
OM growth 3Y-18.92%
OM growth 5Y-11.2%
PM growth 3Y-22.57%
PM growth 5Y-39.18%
GM growth 3Y-4.97%
GM growth 5Y-4.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.66
Debt/FCF 6.99
Debt/EBITDA 3.24
Cap/Depr 101.37%
Cap/Sales 3.48%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 79.69%
Profit Quality 124.24%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 0.99
Altman-Z 2.66
F-Score7
WACC7.63%
ROIC/WACC1.52
Cap/Depr(3y)43.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.55%
EPS 3Y16.34%
EPS 5Y31%
EPS Q2Q%-32.24%
EPS Next Y12.81%
EPS Next 2Y14.06%
EPS Next 3Y17.42%
EPS Next 5Y12.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%13.7%
Revenue Next Year18.12%
Revenue Next 2Y11.4%
Revenue Next 3Y16.88%
Revenue Next 5Y5.84%
EBIT growth 1Y205.17%
EBIT growth 3Y-17.79%
EBIT growth 5Y9.6%
EBIT Next Year74.98%
EBIT Next 3Y35.24%
EBIT Next 5Y23.78%
FCF growth 1Y169.11%
FCF growth 3Y101.55%
FCF growth 5Y10.05%
OCF growth 1Y247.42%
OCF growth 3Y67.24%
OCF growth 5Y11.07%

NRG ENERGY INC / NRG FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NRG.


Can you provide the valuation status for NRG ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NRG ENERGY INC (NRG). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for NRG ENERGY INC?

NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

The financial health rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?

The dividend rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 29.77%.