NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:NRG • US6293775085
149.11 USD
-3.52 (-2.31%)
At close: Feb 2, 2026
148 USD
-1.11 (-0.74%)
After Hours: 2/2/2026, 8:27:43 PM
Overall NRG gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated NRG against 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. NRG has an average financial health and profitability rating. NRG has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NRG was profitable.
- NRG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- NRG had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Of the past 5 years NRG 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of NRG (5.73%) is better than 86.96% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of NRG (69.75%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 11.56%, NRG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- NRG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.16%. This is significantly above the industry average of 4.57%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (11.56%) for NRG is above the 3 year average (10.16%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.73% | ||
| ROE | 69.75% | ||
| ROIC | 11.56% |
ROA(3y)2.54%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)21.93%
ROE(5y)31.38%
ROIC(3y)10.16%
ROIC(5y)11.32%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 4.61%, NRG is not doing good in the industry: 84.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NRG has declined.
- NRG has a Operating Margin of 8.13%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NRG underperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
- NRG's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- NRG has a Gross Margin of 21.15%. This is in the lower half of the industry: NRG underperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
- NRG's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.61% | ||
| GM | 21.15% |
OM growth 3Y-18.92%
OM growth 5Y-11.2%
PM growth 3Y-22.57%
PM growth 5Y-39.18%
GM growth 3Y-4.97%
GM growth 5Y-4.2%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NRG is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, NRG has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for NRG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, NRG has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- NRG has an Altman-Z score of 2.49. This is not the best score and indicates that NRG is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 2.49, NRG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of NRG is 6.99, which is on the high side as it means it would take NRG, 6.99 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- NRG's Debt to FCF ratio of 6.99 is amongst the best of the industry. NRG outperforms 86.96% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.66 is on the high side and indicates that NRG has dependencies on debt financing.
- NRG's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.66 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NRG is outperformed by 93.48% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.49 |
ROIC/WACC1.5
WACC7.7%
2.3 Liquidity
- NRG has a Current Ratio of 1.05. This is a normal value and indicates that NRG is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.05, NRG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.09% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.99 indicates that NRG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.99, NRG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.09% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.99 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for NRG have decreased strongly by -10.10% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, NRG shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 22.12% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.91% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 23.42% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.1%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y22.12%
EPS Q2Q%44.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.91%
Revenue growth 3Y1.39%
Revenue growth 5Y23.42%
Sales Q2Q%5.23%
3.2 Future
- NRG is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.67% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.44% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-11.03%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
EPS Next 5Y9.67%
Revenue Next Year-2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y6.46%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y4.44%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- NRG is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.28.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NRG is on the same level as its industry peers.
- NRG is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.41, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.26, which indicates a correct valuation of NRG.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NRG is on the same level as its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.64, NRG is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as NRG.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NRG is valued cheaper than 84.78% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.56 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.78
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- NRG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%.
- With a Dividend Yield of 1.24, NRG pays less dividend than the industry average, which is at 2.90. 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than NRG!
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, NRG is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of NRG grows each year by 75.36%, which is quite nice.
- NRG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- NRG has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)75.36%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years7
5.3 Sustainability
- 29.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NRG. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- NRG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP29.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
149.11
-3.52 (-2.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)11-06 2025-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-24 2026-02-24/amc
Inst Owners94.25%
Inst Owner Change-0.85%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change-0.62%
Market Cap28.58B
Revenue(TTM)29.78B
Net Income(TTM)1.37B
Analysts77.89
Price Target193.91 (30.04%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
Yearly Dividend1.99
Dividend Growth(5Y)75.36%
DP29.77%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date02-02 2026-02-02 (0.475)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)18.17%
Min EPS beat(2)6.61%
Max EPS beat(2)29.74%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)32.63%
Min EPS beat(4)6.61%
Max EPS beat(4)77.8%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)56.44%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-45.25%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-49.41%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.32%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.6%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.59%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)14.6%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)22.86%
PT rev (1m)0.22%
PT rev (3m)6.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-27.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-8.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.75%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.28 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.26 | ||
| P/S | 0.96 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.42 | ||
| P/B | 14.51 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.56 |
EPS(TTM)8.63
EY5.79%
EPS(NY)9.17
Fwd EY6.15%
FCF(TTM)8.91
FCFY5.97%
OCF(TTM)14.31
OCFY9.6%
SpS155.39
BVpS10.28
TBVpS-28.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.78
Graham Number44.68
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.73% | ||
| ROE | 69.75% | ||
| ROCE | 14.89% | ||
| ROIC | 11.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.11% | ||
| ROICexgc | 23.27% | ||
| OM | 8.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.61% | ||
| GM | 21.15% | ||
| FCFM | 5.73% |
ROA(3y)2.54%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)21.93%
ROE(5y)31.38%
ROIC(3y)10.16%
ROIC(5y)11.32%
ROICexc(3y)10.6%
ROICexc(5y)12.26%
ROICexgc(3y)20.56%
ROICexgc(5y)20.12%
ROCE(3y)13.08%
ROCE(5y)14.57%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-2%
ROICexgc growth 5Y16.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.76%
OM growth 3Y-18.92%
OM growth 5Y-11.2%
PM growth 3Y-22.57%
PM growth 5Y-39.18%
GM growth 3Y-4.97%
GM growth 5Y-4.2%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.99 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.24 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 101.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.48% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.69% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.24% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.05 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.99 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.49 |
F-Score7
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACC1.5
Cap/Depr(3y)43.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.77%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.1%
EPS 3Y-10.93%
EPS 5Y22.12%
EPS Q2Q%44.74%
EPS Next Y-11.03%
EPS Next 2Y0.39%
EPS Next 3Y5.34%
EPS Next 5Y9.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.91%
Revenue growth 3Y1.39%
Revenue growth 5Y23.42%
Sales Q2Q%5.23%
Revenue Next Year-2.89%
Revenue Next 2Y6.46%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y4.44%
EBIT growth 1Y205.17%
EBIT growth 3Y-17.79%
EBIT growth 5Y9.6%
EBIT Next Year75.63%
EBIT Next 3Y32.81%
EBIT Next 5Y24.08%
FCF growth 1Y169.11%
FCF growth 3Y101.55%
FCF growth 5Y10.05%
OCF growth 1Y247.42%
OCF growth 3Y67.24%
OCF growth 5Y11.07%
NRG ENERGY INC / NRG FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NRG.
Can you provide the valuation status for NRG ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to NRG ENERGY INC (NRG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NRG ENERGY INC?
NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?
The financial health rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) stock?
The dividend rating of NRG ENERGY INC (NRG) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 29.77%.