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NORTHLAND POWER INC - NPICN 3.2 PERP (NPI-PR-A.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:NPI-PR-A - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA6665113081 - Currency: CAD

19.02  +0.02 (+0.11%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, NPI-PR-A scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NPI-PR-A was compared to 39 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. While NPI-PR-A belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. NPI-PR-A has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NPI-PR-A had positive earnings in the past year.
NPI-PR-A had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NPI-PR-A had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years NPI-PR-A had a positive operating cash flow.
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 1.95%, NPI-PR-A belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.05% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 6.35%, NPI-PR-A is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.49% of the companies in the same industry.
NPI-PR-A has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.54%. This is in the better half of the industry: NPI-PR-A outperforms 79.49% of its industry peers.
NPI-PR-A had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.68%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.15%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.95%
ROE 6.35%
ROIC 4.54%
ROA(3y)2.12%
ROA(5y)2.16%
ROE(3y)6.87%
ROE(5y)9.86%
ROIC(3y)4.68%
ROIC(5y)4.77%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

NPI-PR-A's Profit Margin of 11.32% is amongst the best of the industry. NPI-PR-A outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
NPI-PR-A's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 36.07%, NPI-PR-A belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.87% of the companies in the same industry.
NPI-PR-A's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
NPI-PR-A has a Gross Margin of 91.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NPI-PR-A outperforms 92.31% of its industry peers.
NPI-PR-A's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 36.07%
PM (TTM) 11.32%
GM 91.66%
OM growth 3Y-0.41%
OM growth 5Y-4.87%
PM growth 3Y9.7%
PM growth 5Y-9.55%
GM growth 3Y0.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60 80

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NPI-PR-A has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for NPI-PR-A has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, NPI-PR-A has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for NPI-PR-A has remained at the same level compared to a year ago.
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.58, we must say that NPI-PR-A is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.58, NPI-PR-A is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.36% of the companies in the same industry.
NPI-PR-A has a debt to FCF ratio of 15.48. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NPI-PR-A would need 15.48 years to pay back of all of its debts.
NPI-PR-A has a better Debt to FCF ratio (15.48) than 92.31% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.55 is on the high side and indicates that NPI-PR-A has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of NPI-PR-A (1.55) is better than 76.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.55
Debt/FCF 15.48
Altman-Z 0.58
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC4.92%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.05 indicates that NPI-PR-A should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NPI-PR-A (1.05) is better than 74.36% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.05 indicates that NPI-PR-A should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of NPI-PR-A (1.05) is better than 76.92% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 245.07% over the past year.
NPI-PR-A shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.41% yearly.
Looking at the last year, NPI-PR-A shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.08% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, NPI-PR-A shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.27% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)245.07%
EPS 3Y25.16%
EPS 5Y-7.41%
EPS Q2Q%143.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.08%
Revenue growth 3Y4.03%
Revenue growth 5Y7.27%
Sales Q2Q%-8.68%

3.2 Future

NPI-PR-A is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.02% yearly.
NPI-PR-A is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.41% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.91%
EPS Next 2Y10.64%
EPS Next 3Y1.16%
EPS Next 5Y18.02%
Revenue Next Year0%
Revenue Next 2Y6.55%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.41%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.47 indicates a rather expensive valuation of NPI-PR-A.
NPI-PR-A's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NPI-PR-A is cheaper than 82.05% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NPI-PR-A to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.64), we can say NPI-PR-A is valued slightly cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.71 indicates a correct valuation of NPI-PR-A.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NPI-PR-A indicates a rather cheap valuation: NPI-PR-A is cheaper than 87.18% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.44, NPI-PR-A is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.47
Fwd PE 13.71
NPI-PR-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNPI-PR-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100 150 200 250

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NPI-PR-A is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NPI-PR-A is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.43
EV/EBITDA 7.71
NPI-PR-A.CA Per share dataNPI-PR-A.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

NPI-PR-A has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.64%
EPS Next 3Y1.16%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NPI-PR-A has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.51%, which is a nice return.
NPI-PR-A's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.78. NPI-PR-A pays more dividend than 87.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.52, NPI-PR-A pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.51%

5.2 History

The dividend of NPI-PR-A decreases each year by -8.73%.
NPI-PR-A has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
NPI-PR-A has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.73%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

77.79% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NPI-PR-A. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP77.79%
EPS Next 2Y10.64%
EPS Next 3Y1.16%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B -1.5B
NPI-PR-A.CA Dividend Payout.NPI-PR-A.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NPI-PR-A.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NORTHLAND POWER INC - NPICN 3.2 PERP

TSX:NPI-PR-A (4/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

19.02

+0.02 (+0.11%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)02-26 2025-02-26/amc
Earnings (Next)05-13 2025-05-13/amc
Inst Owners45.22%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.97B
Analysts77.65
Price Target27.92 (46.79%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.51%
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)-8.73%
DP77.79%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-20 2025-03-20 (0.2001)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-270.91%
Min EPS beat(2)-555.97%
Max EPS beat(2)14.15%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-30.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-555.97%
Max EPS beat(4)466.62%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-77.86%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)39.32%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)10.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.9%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.5%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.11%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.01%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.53%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.21%
PT rev (1m)-11.41%
PT rev (3m)-6.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.74%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)17.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.47
Fwd PE 13.71
P/S 2.12
P/FCF 10.43
P/OCF 4.83
P/B 1.19
P/tB 1.57
EV/EBITDA 7.71
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY5.42%
EPS(NY)1.39
Fwd EY7.29%
FCF(TTM)1.82
FCFY9.59%
OCF(TTM)3.93
OCFY20.69%
SpS8.97
BVpS16.01
TBVpS12.14
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.95%
ROE 6.35%
ROCE 6.9%
ROIC 4.54%
ROICexc 4.78%
ROICexgc 5.23%
OM 36.07%
PM (TTM) 11.32%
GM 91.66%
FCFM 20.32%
ROA(3y)2.12%
ROA(5y)2.16%
ROE(3y)6.87%
ROE(5y)9.86%
ROIC(3y)4.68%
ROIC(5y)4.77%
ROICexc(3y)5.08%
ROICexc(5y)5.11%
ROICexgc(3y)5.64%
ROICexgc(5y)5.73%
ROCE(3y)7.11%
ROCE(5y)7.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-0.15%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.44%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.94%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.53%
OM growth 3Y-0.41%
OM growth 5Y-4.87%
PM growth 3Y9.7%
PM growth 5Y-9.55%
GM growth 3Y0.7%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.55
Debt/FCF 15.48
Debt/EBITDA 4.27
Cap/Depr 81.96%
Cap/Sales 23.54%
Interest Coverage 2.45
Cash Conversion 67.69%
Profit Quality 179.46%
Current Ratio 1.05
Quick Ratio 1.05
Altman-Z 0.58
F-Score7
WACC4.92%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)75.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)19.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)245.07%
EPS 3Y25.16%
EPS 5Y-7.41%
EPS Q2Q%143.36%
EPS Next Y-6.91%
EPS Next 2Y10.64%
EPS Next 3Y1.16%
EPS Next 5Y18.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.08%
Revenue growth 3Y4.03%
Revenue growth 5Y7.27%
Sales Q2Q%-8.68%
Revenue Next Year0%
Revenue Next 2Y6.55%
Revenue Next 3Y3.86%
Revenue Next 5Y3.41%
EBIT growth 1Y15.84%
EBIT growth 3Y3.6%
EBIT growth 5Y2.05%
EBIT Next Year58.3%
EBIT Next 3Y26.93%
EBIT Next 5Y16.83%
FCF growth 1Y38.97%
FCF growth 3Y-25.21%
FCF growth 5Y0.79%
OCF growth 1Y31.04%
OCF growth 3Y-13.85%
OCF growth 5Y-3.42%