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NORTHLAND POWER INC - NPICN 3.2 PERP (NPI-PR-A.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:NPI-PR-A - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA6665113081 - Currency: CAD

18.94  +0.04 (+0.21%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall NPI-PR-A gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated NPI-PR-A against 39 industry peers in the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers industry. NPI-PR-A has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. NPI-PR-A has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year NPI-PR-A has reported negative net income.
NPI-PR-A had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years NPI-PR-A reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years NPI-PR-A 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

NPI-PR-A has a Return On Assets (-1.08%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NPI-PR-A has a Return On Equity of -3.61%. This is in the better half of the industry: NPI-PR-A outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of NPI-PR-A (5.14%) is better than 69.23% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NPI-PR-A is in line with the industry average of 4.67%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.08%
ROE -3.61%
ROIC 5.14%
ROA(3y)1.93%
ROA(5y)2.36%
ROE(3y)6.92%
ROE(5y)14.4%
ROIC(3y)5.32%
ROIC(5y)5.72%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20

1.3 Margins

NPI-PR-A has a Operating Margin of 35.39%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NPI-PR-A outperforms 92.31% of its industry peers.
NPI-PR-A's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
NPI-PR-A has a better Gross Margin (91.30%) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
NPI-PR-A's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 35.39%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 91.3%
OM growth 3Y-7.11%
OM growth 5Y-6.18%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40 60 80

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NPI-PR-A is still creating some value.
NPI-PR-A has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

NPI-PR-A has an Altman-Z score of 0.58. This is a bad value and indicates that NPI-PR-A is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 0.58, NPI-PR-A is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
NPI-PR-A has a debt to FCF ratio of 52.94. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NPI-PR-A would need 52.94 years to pay back of all of its debts.
NPI-PR-A has a better Debt to FCF ratio (52.94) than 80.77% of its industry peers.
NPI-PR-A has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.62. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
NPI-PR-A has a better Debt to Equity ratio (1.62) than 69.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.62
Debt/FCF 52.94
Altman-Z 0.58
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC5.18%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.17 indicates that NPI-PR-A should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NPI-PR-A (1.17) is better than 80.77% of its industry peers.
NPI-PR-A has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that NPI-PR-A is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NPI-PR-A has a Quick ratio of 1.17. This is amongst the best in the industry. NPI-PR-A outperforms 80.77% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 1.17
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for NPI-PR-A have decreased strongly by -138.31% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.80% in the past year.
NPI-PR-A shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.50% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-138.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-600%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y2.71%
Revenue growth 5Y7.5%
Sales Q2Q%-4.44%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, NPI-PR-A will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.40% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, NPI-PR-A will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.46% on average per year.
EPS Next Y239.41%
EPS Next 2Y95.71%
EPS Next 3Y68.55%
EPS Next 5Y29.4%
Revenue Next Year7.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.52%
Revenue Next 3Y6.68%
Revenue Next 5Y4.46%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

NPI-PR-A reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.57, the valuation of NPI-PR-A can be described as correct.
NPI-PR-A's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NPI-PR-A is cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.68. NPI-PR-A is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 14.57
NPI-PR-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNPI-PR-A.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NPI-PR-A is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NPI-PR-A is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 35.03
EV/EBITDA 7.68
NPI-PR-A.CA Per share dataNPI-PR-A.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as NPI-PR-A's earnings are expected to grow with 68.55% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y95.71%
EPS Next 3Y68.55%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.79%, NPI-PR-A is a good candidate for dividend investing.
NPI-PR-A's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.45. NPI-PR-A pays more dividend than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, NPI-PR-A pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.79%

5.2 History

The dividend of NPI-PR-A decreases each year by -3.26%.
NPI-PR-A has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
NPI-PR-A has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of NPI-PR-A are negative and hence is the payout ratio. NPI-PR-A will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-141.05%
EPS Next 2Y95.71%
EPS Next 3Y68.55%
NPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNPI-PR-A.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B -1B -1.5B

NORTHLAND POWER INC - NPICN 3.2 PERP

TSX:NPI-PR-A (2/20/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

18.94

+0.04 (+0.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)11-13 2024-11-13/amc
Earnings (Next)02-26 2025-02-26/amc
Inst Owners45.22%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.92B
Analysts77.5
Price Target31.51 (66.37%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.79%
Yearly Dividend0.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.26%
DP-141.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-93.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-654.46%
Max EPS beat(2)466.62%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-151.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-654.46%
Max EPS beat(4)466.62%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-72.8%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)31.26%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.47%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.25%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.11%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.09%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)7.02%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.76%
PT rev (1m)5.29%
PT rev (3m)18.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-40.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)-40.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 14.57
P/S 2.05
P/FCF 35.03
P/OCF 6.11
P/B 1.2
P/tB 1.6
EV/EBITDA 7.68
EPS(TTM)-0.59
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.3
Fwd EY6.86%
FCF(TTM)0.54
FCFY2.85%
OCF(TTM)3.1
OCFY16.35%
SpS9.23
BVpS15.79
TBVpS11.85
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.08%
ROE -3.61%
ROCE 6.79%
ROIC 5.14%
ROICexc 5.4%
ROICexgc 5.91%
OM 35.39%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 91.3%
FCFM 5.86%
ROA(3y)1.93%
ROA(5y)2.36%
ROE(3y)6.92%
ROE(5y)14.4%
ROIC(3y)5.32%
ROIC(5y)5.72%
ROICexc(3y)5.8%
ROICexc(5y)6.1%
ROICexgc(3y)6.5%
ROICexgc(5y)6.83%
ROCE(3y)7.02%
ROCE(5y)7.55%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.91%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.81%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.77%
OM growth 3Y-7.11%
OM growth 5Y-6.18%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.62
Debt/FCF 52.94
Debt/EBITDA 4.34
Cap/Depr 97.55%
Cap/Sales 27.69%
Interest Coverage 2.36
Cash Conversion 52.59%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.17
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 0.58
F-Score5
WACC5.18%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)73.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)84.82%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)23.85%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-138.31%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-600%
EPS Next Y239.41%
EPS Next 2Y95.71%
EPS Next 3Y68.55%
EPS Next 5Y29.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.8%
Revenue growth 3Y2.71%
Revenue growth 5Y7.5%
Sales Q2Q%-4.44%
Revenue Next Year7.47%
Revenue Next 2Y3.52%
Revenue Next 3Y6.68%
Revenue Next 5Y4.46%
EBIT growth 1Y8.87%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.6%
EBIT growth 5Y0.85%
EBIT Next Year61.87%
EBIT Next 3Y18.86%
EBIT Next 5Y16.58%
FCF growth 1Y-89.41%
FCF growth 3Y-32.08%
FCF growth 5Y-14.18%
OCF growth 1Y-56.28%
OCF growth 3Y-15.93%
OCF growth 5Y-7.09%