NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - TSX:NOVC - CA66980W1041 - Common Stock
1.75 CAD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to NOVC. NOVC was compared to 15 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. The financial health of NOVC is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. NOVC is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
NOVC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year NOVC had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years NOVC reported 4 times negative net income.
In multiple years NOVC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
NOVC has a Return On Assets (2.32%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NOVC has a Return On Equity of 5.32%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NOVC outperforms 56.25% of its industry peers.
NOVC has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.21%. This is in the better half of the industry: NOVC outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.32% | ||
| ROE | 5.32% | ||
| ROIC | 7.21% |
ROA(3y)-8.27%
ROA(5y)-6.93%
ROE(3y)-17.5%
ROE(5y)-14.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
NOVC has a Profit Margin of 1.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NOVC outperforms 43.75% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.17%, NOVC is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NOVC has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 24.83%, NOVC is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NOVC has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.14% | ||
| GM | 24.83% |
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.26%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
NOVC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
NOVC has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for NOVC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, NOVC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.85 indicates that NOVC is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of NOVC (2.85) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of NOVC is 5.15, which is a neutral value as it means it would take NOVC, 5.15 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
NOVC has a Debt to FCF ratio (5.15) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.94 indicates that NOVC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
NOVC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.94 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NOVC is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.94 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC7.88%
2.3 Liquidity
NOVC has a Current Ratio of 1.96. This is a normal value and indicates that NOVC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.96, NOVC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
NOVC has a Quick Ratio of 1.07. This is a normal value and indicates that NOVC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.07, NOVC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.07 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 155.95% over the past year.
NOVC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.84%.
Measured over the past years, NOVC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 60.01% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)155.95%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-29.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.84%
Revenue growth 3Y60.01%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, NOVC will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 45.10% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, NOVC will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 14.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-26.32%
EPS Next 2Y45.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.23%
Revenue Next 2Y10.06%
Revenue Next 3Y13.72%
Revenue Next 5Y14.38%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 29.17, NOVC can be considered very expensive at the moment.
NOVC's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
NOVC is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.07, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.58, the valuation of NOVC can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NOVC indicates a rather cheap valuation: NOVC is cheaper than 81.25% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NOVC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 34.08.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
NOVC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NOVC is cheaper than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NOVC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.75% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.23 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.02 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
NOVC's earnings are expected to grow with 45.10% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
NOVC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TSX:NOVC (10/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM)
1.75
0 (0%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners8.38%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap108.64M
Revenue(TTM)268.56M
Net Income(TTM)3.06M
Analysts85
Price Target3.57 (104%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-77.12%
Min EPS beat(2)-119.61%
Max EPS beat(2)-34.64%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.08%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.2%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.04%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-3.45%
PT rev (3m)-3.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-60%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.04%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.79%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.58 | ||
| P/S | 0.4 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.23 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.3 | ||
| P/B | 1.89 | ||
| P/tB | 3.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.02 |
EPS(TTM)0.06
EY3.43%
EPS(NY)0.2
Fwd EY11.66%
FCF(TTM)0.19
FCFY10.84%
OCF(TTM)0.24
OCFY13.69%
SpS4.33
BVpS0.93
TBVpS0.54
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.32% | ||
| ROE | 5.32% | ||
| ROCE | 10.02% | ||
| ROIC | 7.21% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.01% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.56% | ||
| OM | 4.17% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.14% | ||
| GM | 24.83% | ||
| FCFM | 4.39% |
ROA(3y)-8.27%
ROA(5y)-6.93%
ROE(3y)-17.5%
ROE(5y)-14.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y75.18%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y62.97%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.26%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover2.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.94 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.15 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.4 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 27.32% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.15% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.01% | ||
| Profit Quality | 384.37% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.07 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.85 |
F-Score6
WACC7.88%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)71.34%
Cap/Depr(5y)115.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.44%
Cap/Sales(5y)14.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)155.95%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-29.05%
EPS Next Y-26.32%
EPS Next 2Y45.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.84%
Revenue growth 3Y60.01%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%8.05%
Revenue Next Year5.23%
Revenue Next 2Y10.06%
Revenue Next 3Y13.72%
Revenue Next 5Y14.38%
EBIT growth 1Y543.68%
EBIT growth 3Y105.47%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year96.36%
EBIT Next 3Y64.15%
EBIT Next 5Y46.65%
FCF growth 1Y153.12%
FCF growth 3Y38.04%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y302.91%
OCF growth 3Y1.14%
OCF growth 5YN/A
NOVA CANNABIS INC / NOVC.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NOVC.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for NOVA CANNABIS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) stock?
NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for NOVC stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) is expected to decline by -26.32% in the next year.