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NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:NOVC - CA66980W1041 - Common Stock

1.75 CAD
0 (0%)
Last: 10/22/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, NOVC scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NOVC was compared to 19 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While NOVC seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. NOVC is showing excellent growth while it is valued at reasonable prices. Keep and eye on this one!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NOVC was profitable.
  • In the past year NOVC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • NOVC had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: NOVC reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
NOVC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNOVC.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M -20M

1.2 Ratios

  • NOVC has a Return On Assets (2.32%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of NOVC (5.32%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of NOVC (7.21%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.32%
ROE 5.32%
ROIC 7.21%
ROA(3y)-8.27%
ROA(5y)-6.93%
ROE(3y)-17.5%
ROE(5y)-14.76%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NOVC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNOVC.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of NOVC (1.14%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 4.17%, NOVC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NOVC has grown nicely.
  • NOVC has a worse Gross Margin (24.83%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NOVC has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.17%
PM (TTM) 1.14%
GM 24.83%
OM growth 3Y28.41%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-10.26%
GM growth 5YN/A
NOVC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNOVC.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NOVC is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NOVC has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NOVC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
NOVC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingNOVC.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
NOVC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNOVC.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

2.2 Solvency

  • NOVC has an Altman-Z score of 2.85. This is not the best score and indicates that NOVC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • NOVC has a Altman-Z score (2.85) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • NOVC has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.15. This is a neutral value as NOVC would need 5.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NOVC (5.15) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.94 indicates that NOVC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • NOVC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.94) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.94
Debt/FCF 5.15
Altman-Z 2.85
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC7.88%
NOVC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNOVC.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M 40M

2.3 Liquidity

  • NOVC has a Current Ratio of 1.96. This is a normal value and indicates that NOVC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of NOVC (1.96) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • NOVC has a Quick Ratio of 1.07. This is a normal value and indicates that NOVC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • NOVC has a better Quick ratio (1.07) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.96
Quick Ratio 1.07
NOVC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNOVC.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M

7

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • NOVC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 155.95%, which is quite impressive.
  • NOVC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.84%.
  • NOVC shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 60.01% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)155.95%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-29.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.84%
Revenue growth 3Y60.01%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%8.05%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 45.10% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • NOVC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y-26.32%
EPS Next 2Y45.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.23%
Revenue Next 2Y10.06%
Revenue Next 3Y13.72%
Revenue Next 5Y14.38%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
NOVC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNOVC.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 200M 400M 600M
NOVC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNOVC.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.1 -0.1 0.2

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • NOVC is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 29.17.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as NOVC.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NOVC to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.60), we can say NOVC is valued inline with the index average.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.58, the valuation of NOVC can be described as reasonable.
  • 81.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NOVC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • NOVC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.17
Fwd PE 8.58
NOVC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNOVC.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NOVC is valued a bit cheaper than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NOVC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NOVC is cheaper than 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.23
EV/EBITDA 7.02
NOVC.CA Per share dataNOVC.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as NOVC's earnings are expected to grow with 45.10% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.1%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for NOVC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

NOVA CANNABIS INC / NOVC.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for NOVC stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NOVC.CA.


What is the valuation status of NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) stock?

NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the financial health of NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of NOVA CANNABIS INC (NOVC.CA) is 5 / 10.