NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:NOC • US6668071029
Current stock price
678.59 USD
-1.54 (-0.23%)
At close:
678.59 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This NOC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NOC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NOC was profitable.
- NOC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years NOC has always been profitable.
- NOC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of NOC (8.14%) is better than 85.00% of its industry peers.
- NOC has a Return On Equity of 25.08%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NOC outperforms 88.75% of its industry peers.
- NOC has a Return On Invested Capital of 9.46%. This is in the better half of the industry: NOC outperforms 78.75% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NOC is in line with the industry average of 9.30%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (9.46%) for NOC is above the 3 year average (8.60%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 25.08% | ||
| ROIC | 9.46% |
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)9.73%
ROE(3y)22.09%
ROE(5y)30.49%
ROIC(3y)8.6%
ROIC(5y)8.86%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.97%, NOC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- NOC's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- NOC has a Operating Margin of 10.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: NOC outperforms 67.50% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NOC has declined.
- NOC has a Gross Margin of 19.81%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NOC outperforms 41.25% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NOC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.97% | ||
| GM | 19.81% |
OM growth 3Y1.22%
OM growth 5Y-1.58%
PM growth 3Y-9.34%
PM growth 5Y2.84%
GM growth 3Y-1%
GM growth 5Y-0.5%
2. NOC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- NOC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, NOC has less shares outstanding
- NOC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, NOC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- NOC has an Altman-Z score of 3.25. This indicates that NOC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.25, NOC is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.50% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of NOC is 4.75, which is a neutral value as it means it would take NOC, 4.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- NOC has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.75) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91 indicates that NOC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- NOC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NOC is outperformed by 68.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.25 |
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC10.05%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.10 indicates that NOC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.10, NOC is doing worse than 85.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- NOC has a Quick Ratio of 1.01. This is a normal value and indicates that NOC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- NOC has a worse Quick ratio (1.01) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. NOC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.67% over the past year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, NOC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 3.21% on average per year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.24% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, NOC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.67%
EPS 3Y2.74%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%13.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y4.65%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.6%
3.2 Future
- NOC is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.60% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, NOC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.68%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.15%
EPS Next 5Y5.6%
Revenue Next Year4.79%
Revenue Next 2Y5.42%
Revenue Next 3Y5.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.34%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. NOC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.17, NOC is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NOC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. NOC is around the same levels.
- NOC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.01.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NOC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.20. NOC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.01 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- NOC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NOC is cheaper than 76.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- NOC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NOC is cheaper than 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 29.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.76 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- NOC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)35.51
PEG (5Y)7.53
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.15%
5. NOC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- NOC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.34%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- NOC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.35. NOC pays more dividend than 91.25% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, NOC is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of NOC grows each year by 9.61%, which is quite nice.
- NOC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- NOC has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.61%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- NOC pays out 30.92% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of NOC is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP30.92%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.15%
NOC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
678.59
-1.54 (-0.23%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)01-27 2026-01-27/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/bmo
Inst Owners82.95%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.2%
Ins Owner Change0.14%
Market Cap96.38B
Revenue(TTM)41.95B
Net Income(TTM)4.18B
Analysts75.17
Price Target750.92 (10.66%)
Short Float %1.34%
Short Ratio2.23
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
Yearly Dividend9.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.61%
DP30.92%
Div Incr Years22
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-23 2026-02-23 (2.31)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.2%
Min EPS beat(2)2.76%
Max EPS beat(2)17.64%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(4)17.64%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.95%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)5.51%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.97%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.8%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.58%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.79%
PT rev (1m)0.85%
PT rev (3m)10.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.81%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.01 | ||
| P/S | 2.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 29.14 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.26 | ||
| P/B | 5.78 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.76 |
EPS(TTM)28.07
EY4.14%
EPS(NY)28.26
Fwd EY4.16%
FCF(TTM)23.28
FCFY3.43%
OCF(TTM)33.49
OCFY4.94%
SpS295.39
BVpS117.4
TBVpS-6.84
PEG (NY)35.51
PEG (5Y)7.53
Graham Number272.297 (-59.87%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 25.08% | ||
| ROCE | 11.41% | ||
| ROIC | 9.46% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.72% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.96% | ||
| OM | 10.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.97% | ||
| GM | 19.81% | ||
| FCFM | 7.88% |
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)9.73%
ROE(3y)22.09%
ROE(5y)30.49%
ROIC(3y)8.6%
ROIC(5y)8.86%
ROICexc(3y)9.71%
ROICexc(5y)9.9%
ROICexgc(3y)21.99%
ROICexgc(5y)23.62%
ROCE(3y)10.38%
ROCE(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.47%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.94%
OM growth 3Y1.22%
OM growth 5Y-1.58%
PM growth 3Y-9.34%
PM growth 5Y2.84%
GM growth 3Y-1%
GM growth 5Y-0.5%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 79.08% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.25 |
F-Score6
WACC10.05%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)120.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.03%
Profit Quality(3y)81.34%
Profit Quality(5y)60.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.67%
EPS 3Y2.74%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%13.15%
EPS Next Y0.68%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.15%
EPS Next 5Y5.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y4.65%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.6%
Revenue Next Year4.79%
Revenue Next 2Y5.42%
Revenue Next 3Y5.41%
Revenue Next 5Y5.34%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.06%
EBIT growth 3Y5.93%
EBIT growth 5Y1.04%
EBIT Next Year38.98%
EBIT Next 3Y15.99%
EBIT Next 5Y10.71%
FCF growth 1Y26.17%
FCF growth 3Y31.15%
FCF growth 5Y2.77%
OCF growth 1Y8.41%
OCF growth 3Y17.92%
OCF growth 5Y2.02%
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP / NOC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for NOC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NOC.
What is the valuation status of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of NOC stock?
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) is 24.17 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.78.
What is the financial health of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
The financial health rating of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) is 5 / 10.