NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:NOC • US6668071029
Current stock price
702.5 USD
+5.5 (+0.79%)
At close:
702.75 USD
+0.25 (+0.04%)
After Hours:
This NOC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NOC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NOC was profitable.
- NOC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- NOC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- NOC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.14%, NOC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.08% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 25.08%, NOC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.61% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 9.46%, NOC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NOC is in line with the industry average of 9.20%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (8.60%) for NOC is below the current ROIC(9.46%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 25.08% | ||
| ROIC | 9.46% |
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)9.73%
ROE(3y)22.09%
ROE(5y)30.49%
ROIC(3y)8.6%
ROIC(5y)8.86%
1.3 Margins
- NOC has a better Profit Margin (9.97%) than 79.75% of its industry peers.
- NOC's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- NOC has a Operating Margin of 10.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: NOC outperforms 67.09% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NOC has declined.
- NOC's Gross Margin of 19.81% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NOC outperforms 41.77% of its industry peers.
- NOC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.97% | ||
| GM | 19.81% |
OM growth 3Y1.22%
OM growth 5Y-1.58%
PM growth 3Y-9.34%
PM growth 5Y2.84%
GM growth 3Y-1%
GM growth 5Y-0.5%
2. NOC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- NOC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- NOC has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, NOC has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, NOC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.29 indicates that NOC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of NOC (3.29) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of NOC is 4.75, which is a neutral value as it means it would take NOC, 4.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- NOC's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.75 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NOC outperforms 74.68% of its industry peers.
- NOC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.91. This is a neutral value indicating NOC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- NOC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.91 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NOC is outperformed by 65.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.29 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC9.59%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.10 indicates that NOC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- NOC's Current ratio of 1.10 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NOC is outperformed by 81.01% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.01 indicates that NOC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.01, NOC is doing worse than 70.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 |
3. NOC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.67% over the past year.
- NOC shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 3.21% yearly.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.24% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.67%
EPS 3Y2.74%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%13.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y4.65%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.6%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.60% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.34% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y0.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
EPS Next 5Y5.6%
Revenue Next Year4.77%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.36%
Revenue Next 5Y5.34%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. NOC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 25.03, which means the current valuation is very expensive for NOC.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NOC is valued cheaper than 81.01% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.60. NOC is around the same levels.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.85, the valuation of NOC can be described as rather expensive.
- 79.75% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NOC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.84, NOC is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 72.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NOC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NOC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- NOC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)35.93
PEG (5Y)7.8
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
5. NOC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- NOC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.34%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.36, NOC pays a better dividend. On top of this NOC pays more dividend than 91.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- NOC's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.88.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of NOC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.61%!
- NOC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- NOC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.61%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years34
5.3 Sustainability
- NOC pays out 30.92% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- NOC's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP30.92%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
NOC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
702.5
+5.5 (+0.79%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)01-27 2026-01-27/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/bmo
Inst Owners82.93%
Inst Owner Change-1.5%
Ins Owners0.2%
Ins Owner Change0.14%
Market Cap99.70B
Revenue(TTM)41.95B
Net Income(TTM)4.18B
Analysts75
Price Target744.59 (5.99%)
Short Float %1.52%
Short Ratio2.37
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.34% |
Yearly Dividend9.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.61%
DP30.92%
Div Incr Years21
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-23 2026-02-23 (2.31)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.2%
Min EPS beat(2)2.76%
Max EPS beat(2)17.64%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.88%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.03%
Max EPS beat(4)17.64%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)5.95%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)5.51%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)4.97%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.26%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.8%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.33%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.58%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.79%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.03 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.85 | ||
| P/S | 2.38 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.96 | ||
| P/B | 5.98 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.16 |
EPS(TTM)28.07
EY4%
EPS(NY)28.27
Fwd EY4.02%
FCF(TTM)23.3
FCFY3.32%
OCF(TTM)33.52
OCFY4.77%
SpS295.62
BVpS117.49
TBVpS-6.84
PEG (NY)35.93
PEG (5Y)7.8
Graham Number272.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.14% | ||
| ROE | 25.08% | ||
| ROCE | 11.41% | ||
| ROIC | 9.46% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.72% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.96% | ||
| OM | 10.2% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.97% | ||
| GM | 19.81% | ||
| FCFM | 7.88% |
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)9.73%
ROE(3y)22.09%
ROE(5y)30.49%
ROIC(3y)8.6%
ROIC(5y)8.86%
ROICexc(3y)9.71%
ROICexc(5y)9.9%
ROICexgc(3y)21.99%
ROICexgc(5y)23.62%
ROCE(3y)10.38%
ROCE(5y)10.69%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-3.47%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.94%
OM growth 3Y1.22%
OM growth 5Y-1.58%
PM growth 3Y-9.34%
PM growth 5Y2.84%
GM growth 3Y-1%
GM growth 5Y-0.5%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.82
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.91 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.64 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 98.51% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.46% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 82.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 79.08% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.1 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.29 |
F-Score6
WACC9.59%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)120.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)116.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.09%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.03%
Profit Quality(3y)81.34%
Profit Quality(5y)60.93%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.67%
EPS 3Y2.74%
EPS 5Y3.21%
EPS Q2Q%13.15%
EPS Next Y0.7%
EPS Next 2Y3.79%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
EPS Next 5Y5.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.24%
Revenue growth 3Y4.65%
Revenue growth 5Y2.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.6%
Revenue Next Year4.77%
Revenue Next 2Y5.41%
Revenue Next 3Y5.36%
Revenue Next 5Y5.34%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.06%
EBIT growth 3Y5.93%
EBIT growth 5Y1.04%
EBIT Next Year38.96%
EBIT Next 3Y15.99%
EBIT Next 5Y10.71%
FCF growth 1Y26.17%
FCF growth 3Y31.15%
FCF growth 5Y2.77%
OCF growth 1Y8.41%
OCF growth 3Y17.92%
OCF growth 5Y2.02%
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP / NOC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for NOC stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NOC.
What is the valuation status of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of NOC stock?
NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) is 25.03 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 5.98.
What is the financial health of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) stock?
The financial health rating of NORTHROP GRUMMAN CORP (NOC) is 5 / 10.