ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:NLY • US0357108390
Current stock price
22.75 USD
+0.32 (+1.43%)
At close:
22.7988 USD
+0.05 (+0.21%)
After Hours:
This NLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NLY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NLY was profitable.
- NLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- NLY had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years NLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of NLY (1.38%) is better than 89.71% of its industry peers.
- NLY has a better Return On Equity (11.62%) than 82.35% of its industry peers.
- NLY's Return On Invested Capital of 1.22% is amongst the best of the industry. NLY outperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 11.62% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% |
ROA(3y)0.09%
ROA(5y)1.05%
ROE(3y)0.83%
ROE(5y)6.83%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- NLY's Profit Margin of 26.22% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NLY outperforms 76.47% of its industry peers.
- NLY's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 28.69%, NLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- NLY's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- NLY has a Gross Margin of 31.49%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NLY outperforms 42.65% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NLY has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 28.69% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.22% | ||
| GM | 31.49% |
OM growth 3Y-19.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.07%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. NLY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NLY is destroying value.
- NLY has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- NLY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- NLY has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- NLY has an Altman-Z score of -0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that NLY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- NLY has a Altman-Z score of -0.70. This is in the lower half of the industry: NLY underperforms 73.53% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.22 is on the high side and indicates that NLY has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of NLY (7.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.7 |
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC4.23%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.03 indicates that NLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- NLY's Current ratio of 0.03 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NLY is outperformed by 85.29% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.03 indicates that NLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of NLY (0.03) is worse than 85.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 |
3. NLY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- NLY shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 6.47%.
- Measured over the past years, NLY shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.87% on average per year.
- NLY shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 35.11%.
- Measured over the past years, NLY shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 82.65% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.47%
EPS 3Y-11.9%
EPS 5Y-7.87%
EPS Q2Q%5.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)35.11%
Revenue growth 3Y29.74%
Revenue growth 5Y82.65%
Sales Q2Q%-65.63%
3.2 Future
- NLY is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.98% yearly.
- NLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year20.28%
Revenue Next 2Y10.98%
Revenue Next 3Y14.58%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. NLY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- NLY is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.69.
- NLY's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NLY is cheaper than 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NLY to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say NLY is valued rather cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.62, the valuation of NLY can be described as very cheap.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NLY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.94% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- NLY is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.24, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.62 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- NLY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NLY is cheaper than 95.59% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.26 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of NLY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
5. NLY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- NLY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.48%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.54, NLY has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- NLY's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.48% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of NLY decreases each year by -6.82%.
- NLY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- NLY has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.82%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- NLY pays out 100.69% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP100.69%
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
NLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
22.75
+0.32 (+1.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)04-21 2026-04-21/amc
Earnings (Next)07-21 2026-07-21/amc
Inst Owners60.58%
Inst Owner Change-0.06%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change1.54%
Market Cap16.34B
Revenue(TTM)7.46B
Net Income(TTM)1.87B
Analysts78.82
Price Target24.58 (8.04%)
Short Float %3.02%
Short Ratio2.61
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.48% |
Yearly Dividend2.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.82%
DP100.69%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.7)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.18%
Min EPS beat(2)0.16%
Max EPS beat(2)0.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.82%
Min EPS beat(4)0.16%
Max EPS beat(4)2.14%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.21%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)0.79%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.32%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)35.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)61.67%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)19.82%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)61.67%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)13.24%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.08%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)26.14%
PT rev (1m)-1.23%
PT rev (3m)5.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.83%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)12.18%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.69 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.62 | ||
| P/S | 2.29 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 23.59 | ||
| P/B | 1.02 | ||
| P/tB | 1.02 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.26 |
EPS(TTM)2.96
EY13.01%
EPS(NY)2.99
Fwd EY13.12%
FCF(TTM)-0.26
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.96
OCFY4.24%
SpS9.92
BVpS22.4
TBVpS22.39
PEG (NY)1.73
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.6229 (69.77%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 11.62% | ||
| ROCE | 4.2% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.24% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.24% | ||
| OM | 28.69% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.22% | ||
| GM | 31.49% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.09%
ROA(5y)1.05%
ROE(3y)0.83%
ROE(5y)6.83%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.19%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-19.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.07%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 55.89 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 2593.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.38% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.59 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 33.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.7 |
F-Score4
WACC4.23%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)2345.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)2748.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)6.47%
EPS 3Y-11.9%
EPS 5Y-7.87%
EPS Q2Q%5.56%
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)35.11%
Revenue growth 3Y29.74%
Revenue growth 5Y82.65%
Sales Q2Q%-65.63%
Revenue Next Year20.28%
Revenue Next 2Y10.98%
Revenue Next 3Y14.58%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y99.1%
EBIT growth 3Y4.11%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-107.76%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-79.07%
OCF growth 3Y-49.47%
OCF growth 5Y5.59%
ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN / NLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NLY.
What is the valuation status of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of NLY stock?
ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) is expected to grow by 4.43% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
The dividend rating of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 100.69%.