ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:NLY • US0357108390
Current stock price
22.14 USD
+0.04 (+0.18%)
At close:
22.14 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This NLY fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NLY Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NLY was profitable.
- NLY had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years NLY 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years NLY always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- NLY has a better Return On Assets (1.38%) than 89.71% of its industry peers.
- NLY has a better Return On Equity (11.62%) than 82.35% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of NLY (1.22%) is better than 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 11.62% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% |
ROA(3y)0.09%
ROA(5y)1.05%
ROE(3y)0.83%
ROE(5y)6.83%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- NLY has a Profit Margin of 26.22%. This is in the better half of the industry: NLY outperforms 76.47% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NLY has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 28.69%, NLY is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NLY has declined.
- With a Gross Margin value of 31.49%, NLY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NLY has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 28.69% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.22% | ||
| GM | 31.49% |
OM growth 3Y-19.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.07%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. NLY Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NLY is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for NLY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- NLY has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for NLY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- NLY has an Altman-Z score of -0.70. This is a bad value and indicates that NLY is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of -0.70, NLY is not doing good in the industry: 73.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.22 is on the high side and indicates that NLY has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of NLY (7.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.7 |
ROIC/WACC0.29
WACC4.22%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.03 indicates that NLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.03, NLY is not doing good in the industry: 85.29% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.03 indicates that NLY may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- NLY has a worse Quick ratio (0.03) than 85.29% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 |
3. NLY Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 8.15% over the past year.
- NLY shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.87% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 22.06% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- NLY shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 82.65% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.15%
EPS 3Y-11.9%
EPS 5Y-7.87%
EPS Q2Q%2.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.06%
Revenue growth 3Y29.74%
Revenue growth 5Y82.65%
Sales Q2Q%79.44%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.98% on average over the next years.
- NLY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 14.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year20.28%
Revenue Next 2Y10.98%
Revenue Next 3Y14.58%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. NLY Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- NLY is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.58.
- NLY's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NLY is cheaper than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- NLY's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.78.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.26, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of NLY.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NLY is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.54. NLY is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NLY indicates a rather cheap valuation: NLY is cheaper than 95.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- NLY has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
5. NLY Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.67%, NLY is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- NLY's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 13.08.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, NLY pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.67% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of NLY decreases each year by -6.82%.
- NLY has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- NLY has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.82%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 100.69% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NLY. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP100.69%
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
NLY Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
22.14
+0.04 (+0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)01-28 2026-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2026-04-21/amc
Inst Owners60.58%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner Change1.54%
Market Cap15.91B
Revenue(TTM)7.13B
Net Income(TTM)1.87B
Analysts78.82
Price Target24.58 (11.02%)
Short Float %2.03%
Short Ratio1.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.67% |
Yearly Dividend2.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.82%
DP100.69%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date03-31 2026-03-31 (0.7)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)0.18%
Min EPS beat(2)0.16%
Max EPS beat(2)0.2%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)0.82%
Min EPS beat(4)0.16%
Max EPS beat(4)2.14%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.21%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)0.79%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.32%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)35.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)61.67%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)19.82%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.08%
Max Revenue beat(4)61.67%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)13.24%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)9.08%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)26.14%
PT rev (1m)-1.23%
PT rev (3m)8.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)12.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)11.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.26 | ||
| P/S | 2.23 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 22.95 | ||
| P/B | 0.99 | ||
| P/tB | 0.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 22.16 |
EPS(TTM)2.92
EY13.19%
EPS(NY)3.05
Fwd EY13.77%
FCF(TTM)-0.26
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.96
OCFY4.36%
SpS9.92
BVpS22.4
TBVpS22.39
PEG (NY)1.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number38.36
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.38% | ||
| ROE | 11.62% | ||
| ROCE | 4.2% | ||
| ROIC | 1.22% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.24% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.24% | ||
| OM | 28.69% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 26.22% | ||
| GM | 31.49% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)0.09%
ROA(5y)1.05%
ROE(3y)0.83%
ROE(5y)6.83%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.19%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-19.76%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-19.07%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-19.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.22 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 55.89 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 2593.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.38% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.59 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 33.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.7 |
F-Score4
WACC4.22%
ROIC/WACC0.29
Cap/Depr(3y)2345.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)2748.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)14.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.06%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.15%
EPS 3Y-11.9%
EPS 5Y-7.87%
EPS Q2Q%2.78%
EPS Next Y4.43%
EPS Next 2Y1.11%
EPS Next 3Y0.98%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.06%
Revenue growth 3Y29.74%
Revenue growth 5Y82.65%
Sales Q2Q%79.44%
Revenue Next Year20.28%
Revenue Next 2Y10.98%
Revenue Next 3Y14.58%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y99.1%
EBIT growth 3Y4.11%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-107.76%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-79.07%
OCF growth 3Y-49.47%
OCF growth 5Y5.59%
ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN / NLY Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to NLY.
What is the valuation status of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of NLY stock?
ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) is expected to grow by 4.43% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) stock?
The dividend rating of ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT IN (NLY) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 100.69%.