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NIO INC - ADR (NIO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NIO - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US62914V1061 - ADR - Currency: USD

4.44  +0.07 (+1.6%)

After market: 4.4509 +0.01 (+0.25%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Overall NIO gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. We evaluated NIO against 40 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. NIO has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, NIO is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NIO had negative earnings in the past year.
NIO had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In multiple years NIO reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
NIO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNIO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -5B -10B -15B -20B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of -20.31%, NIO is not doing good in the industry: 60.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Equity value of -186.12%, NIO is not doing good in the industry: 68.42% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -20.31%
ROE -186.12%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-15.3%
ROA(5y)-26.89%
ROE(3y)-58.08%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NIO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNIO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 -100 -200 -300

1.3 Margins

NIO has a Gross Margin (8.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NIO has declined.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for NIO so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.65%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.91%
GM growth 5YN/A
NIO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNIO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

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1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NIO does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
NIO has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
NIO has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
NIO has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
NIO Yearly Shares OutstandingNIO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
NIO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNIO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.52 is on the high side and indicates that NIO has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.52, NIO is doing worse than 71.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.52
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.5%
NIO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNIO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10B -10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

NIO has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that NIO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NIO (1.04) is worse than 71.05% of its industry peers.
NIO has a Quick Ratio of 1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that NIO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NIO has a Quick ratio (0.93) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.93
NIO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNIO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.27% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 15.67% in the past year. This is quite good.
NIO shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 62.22% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.27%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.67%
Revenue growth 3Y50.68%
Revenue growth 5Y62.22%
Sales Q2Q%-2.06%

3.2 Future

NIO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.19% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 21.83% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y15.39%
EPS Next 3Y13.83%
EPS Next 5Y16.19%
Revenue Next Year21%
Revenue Next 2Y33.96%
Revenue Next 3Y29.64%
Revenue Next 5Y21.83%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
NIO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNIO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 50B 100B 150B 200B
NIO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNIO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 -10 -20 -30

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

NIO reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year NIO is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
NIO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNIO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 100 200 300 400

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
NIO Per share dataNIO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2 3 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as NIO's earnings are expected to grow with 13.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.39%
EPS Next 3Y13.83%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NIO does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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NIO INC - ADR

NYSE:NIO (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 4.4509 +0.01 (+0.25%)

4.44

+0.07 (+1.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)11-20 2024-11-20/bmo
Earnings (Next)03-11 2025-03-11/amc
Inst Owners9.72%
Inst Owner Change2.25%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.28B
Analysts73.33
Price Target6.37 (43.47%)
Short Float %8.07%
Short Ratio3.32
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)1.36%
Min EPS beat(2)1%
Max EPS beat(2)1.71%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.12%
Max EPS beat(4)1.71%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-14.23%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-12.29%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-40.41%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.88%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.05%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.13%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.83%
PT rev (1m)-5.11%
PT rev (3m)-16.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-9.15%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.65%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.07
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 5.94
P/tB 6.06
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.32
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS4.16
BVpS0.75
TBVpS0.73
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -20.31%
ROE -186.12%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 8.65%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-15.3%
ROA(5y)-26.89%
ROE(3y)-58.08%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.91%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.61
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.52
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 0.93
Altman-Z N/A
F-ScoreN/A
WACC11.5%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)302.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)237.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.07%
Cap/Sales(5y)15.99%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.27%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%6.14%
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y15.39%
EPS Next 3Y13.83%
EPS Next 5Y16.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.67%
Revenue growth 3Y50.68%
Revenue growth 5Y62.22%
Sales Q2Q%-2.06%
Revenue Next Year21%
Revenue Next 2Y33.96%
Revenue Next 3Y29.64%
Revenue Next 5Y21.83%
EBIT growth 1Y1.32%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year18.61%
EBIT Next 3Y19.37%
EBIT Next 5Y19.79%
FCF growth 1Y-45.06%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y64.26%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A