NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:NHI - US63633D1046 - REIT
76.37 USD
-1.21 (-1.56%)
76.37 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to NHI. NHI was compared to 127 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. NHI has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. NHI is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
NHI had positive earnings in the past year.
NHI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years NHI has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years NHI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
NHI's Return On Assets of 5.47% is amongst the best of the industry. NHI outperforms 96.85% of its industry peers.
NHI has a Return On Equity of 9.93%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NHI outperforms 84.25% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 5.68%, NHI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.64% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NHI is above the industry average of 3.06%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.45%) for NHI is below the current ROIC(5.68%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.47% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROIC | 5.68% |
ROA(3y)4.46%
ROA(5y)4.65%
ROE(3y)8.71%
ROE(5y)9.16%
ROIC(3y)5.45%
ROIC(5y)5.5%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 41.36%, NHI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.13% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NHI has declined.
NHI has a Operating Margin of 52.85%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NHI outperforms 93.70% of its industry peers.
NHI's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 83.26%, NHI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.46% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NHI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 52.85% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 41.36% | ||
| GM | 83.26% |
OM growth 3Y-3.37%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y3.19%
PM growth 5Y-4%
GM growth 3Y-4.37%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
NHI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for NHI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, NHI has more shares outstanding
NHI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
NHI has an Altman-Z score of 2.03. This is not the best score and indicates that NHI is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of NHI (2.03) is better than 95.28% of its industry peers.
NHI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75. This is a neutral value indicating NHI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.75, NHI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC7.6%
2.3 Liquidity
NHI has a Current Ratio of 2.12. This indicates that NHI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of NHI (2.12) is better than 83.46% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 2.12 indicates that NHI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
NHI has a better Quick ratio (2.12) than 83.46% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.12 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NHI shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 4.12%.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.49% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, NHI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.11% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, NHI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.05% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.12%
EPS 3Y6.89%
EPS 5Y-4.49%
EPS Q2Q%6.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.11%
Revenue growth 3Y3.92%
Revenue growth 5Y1.05%
Sales Q2Q%8.32%
3.2 Future
NHI is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.81% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, NHI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 11.22% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y5.4%
EPS Next 3Y4.81%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.07%
Revenue Next 2Y11.42%
Revenue Next 3Y10.38%
Revenue Next 5Y11.22%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 25.20 indicates a quite expensive valuation of NHI.
NHI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NHI is cheaper than 71.65% of the companies in the same industry.
NHI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.07 indicates a rather expensive valuation of NHI.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NHI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
NHI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NHI is valued a bit more expensive than 75.59% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.77 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NHI does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of NHI may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)7.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y5.4%
EPS Next 3Y4.81%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, NHI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
NHI's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.43.
NHI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of NHI decreases each year by -3.12%.
NHI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
NHI has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.12%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
NHI pays out 112.27% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP112.27%
EPS Next 2Y5.4%
EPS Next 3Y4.81%
76.37
-1.21 (-1.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners75.02%
Inst Owner Change-1.12%
Ins Owners0.77%
Ins Owner Change0.75%
Market Cap3.64B
Revenue(TTM)355.56M
Net Income(TTM)147.08M
Analysts78.18
Price Target87.98 (15.2%)
Short Float %4.24%
Short Ratio9.8
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
Yearly Dividend3.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)-3.12%
DP112.27%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.3%
Max EPS beat(2)4.29%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)0.64%
Min EPS beat(4)-8.3%
Max EPS beat(4)6.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)1.38%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-5.57%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-16.14%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.52%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)5.78%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)4.22%
Min Revenue beat(4)3.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)5.78%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.2%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.41%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.43%
PT rev (1m)2.53%
PT rev (3m)5.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.42%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.67%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.19%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.2 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.07 | ||
| P/S | 10.23 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 16.07 | ||
| P/B | 2.46 | ||
| P/tB | 2.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.77 |
EPS(TTM)3.03
EY3.97%
EPS(NY)3.31
Fwd EY4.33%
FCF(TTM)-0.91
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.75
OCFY6.22%
SpS7.46
BVpS31.09
TBVpS31.09
PEG (NY)7.67
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number46.04
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.47% | ||
| ROE | 9.93% | ||
| ROCE | 7.2% | ||
| ROIC | 5.68% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.87% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.9% | ||
| OM | 52.85% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 41.36% | ||
| GM | 83.26% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)4.46%
ROA(5y)4.65%
ROE(3y)8.71%
ROE(5y)9.16%
ROIC(3y)5.45%
ROIC(5y)5.5%
ROICexc(3y)5.5%
ROICexc(5y)5.56%
ROICexgc(3y)5.53%
ROICexgc(5y)5.6%
ROCE(3y)6.9%
ROCE(5y)6.97%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.22%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.15%
OM growth 3Y-3.37%
OM growth 5Y-4.05%
PM growth 3Y3.19%
PM growth 5Y-4%
GM growth 3Y-4.37%
GM growth 5Y-3.06%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.13
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.17 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 345.79% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 75.83% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.47 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 2.12 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.03 |
F-Score6
WACC7.6%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)100.3%
Cap/Depr(5y)96.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)21.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)22.31%
Profit Quality(3y)135.02%
Profit Quality(5y)124.31%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)4.12%
EPS 3Y6.89%
EPS 5Y-4.49%
EPS Q2Q%6.15%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y5.4%
EPS Next 3Y4.81%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.11%
Revenue growth 3Y3.92%
Revenue growth 5Y1.05%
Sales Q2Q%8.32%
Revenue Next Year11.07%
Revenue Next 2Y11.42%
Revenue Next 3Y10.38%
Revenue Next 5Y11.22%
EBIT growth 1Y1.36%
EBIT growth 3Y0.41%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.04%
EBIT Next Year55.44%
EBIT Next 3Y22.24%
EBIT Next 5Y16.68%
FCF growth 1Y-131.82%
FCF growth 3Y-32.77%
FCF growth 5Y17.98%
OCF growth 1Y27.55%
OCF growth 3Y-0.5%
OCF growth 5Y-2.92%
NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC / NHI FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to NHI.
What is the valuation status of NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC?
NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) stock?
The financial health rating of NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) is 5 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) stock?
The dividend rating of NATL HEALTH INVESTORS INC (NHI) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 112.27%.