NETFLIX INC (NFLX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:NFLX • US64110L1061
Current stock price
92.97 USD
-0.46 (-0.49%)
At close:
92.85 USD
-0.12 (-0.13%)
After Hours:
This NFLX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NFLX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NFLX was profitable.
- In the past year NFLX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years NFLX has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years NFLX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- NFLX's Return On Assets of 19.75% is amongst the best of the industry. NFLX outperforms 94.94% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of NFLX (41.26%) is better than 96.20% of its industry peers.
- NFLX has a Return On Invested Capital of 25.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NFLX outperforms 98.73% of its industry peers.
- NFLX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 20.73%. This is significantly above the industry average of 7.48%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (25.95%) for NFLX is above the 3 year average (20.73%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.75% | ||
| ROE | 41.26% | ||
| ROIC | 25.95% |
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 24.30%, NFLX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- NFLX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- NFLX has a Operating Margin of 29.49%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NFLX outperforms 97.47% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NFLX has grown nicely.
- NFLX's Gross Margin of 48.49% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NFLX outperforms 56.96% of its industry peers.
- NFLX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 29.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.3% | ||
| GM | 48.49% |
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
2. NFLX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NFLX is creating value.
- NFLX has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for NFLX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, NFLX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 10.88 indicates that NFLX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- NFLX has a better Altman-Z score (10.88) than 98.73% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of NFLX is 1.53, which is an excellent value as it means it would take NFLX, only 1.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.53, NFLX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.54% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51 indicates that NFLX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- NFLX's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NFLX outperforms 50.63% of its industry peers.
- Although NFLX's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.88 |
ROIC/WACC2.74
WACC9.46%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that NFLX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- NFLX's Current ratio of 1.19 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NFLX outperforms 55.70% of its industry peers.
- NFLX has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that NFLX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of NFLX (1.19) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- NFLX does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. NFLX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 27.43% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.92% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has grown by 15.85% in the past year. This is quite good.
- NFLX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.43%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%31.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%17.61%
3.2 Future
- NFLX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 18.40% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.43% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y27.4%
EPS Next 2Y24.37%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue Next Year13.33%
Revenue Next 2Y12.5%
Revenue Next 3Y11.79%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. NFLX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.75, NFLX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- NFLX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NFLX is cheaper than 78.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- NFLX is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 24.75, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 28.88, which means the current valuation is very expensive for NFLX.
- 75.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NFLX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- NFLX is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.88 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- NFLX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NFLX is cheaper than 75.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NFLX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.29 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of NFLX may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as NFLX's earnings are expected to grow with 22.16% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)1.12
EPS Next 2Y24.37%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
5. NFLX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for NFLX!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
NFLX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
92.97
-0.46 (-0.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)01-20 2026-01-20/amc
Earnings (Next)04-16 2026-04-16/amc
Inst Owners83.66%
Inst Owner Change754.75%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change12.24%
Market Cap392.53B
Revenue(TTM)45.18B
Net Income(TTM)10.98B
Analysts80.74
Price Target116.45 (25.26%)
Short Float %2.14%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.51%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(4)13.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.94%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.16%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.43%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.62%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.73%
PT rev (1m)0.86%
PT rev (3m)-11.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.88 | ||
| P/S | 8.69 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 38.68 | ||
| P/B | 14.75 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.29 |
EPS(TTM)2.53
EY2.72%
EPS(NY)3.22
Fwd EY3.46%
FCF(TTM)2.24
FCFY2.41%
OCF(TTM)2.4
OCFY2.59%
SpS10.7
BVpS6.3
TBVpS-1.46
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)1.12
Graham Number18.94
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.75% | ||
| ROE | 41.26% | ||
| ROCE | 29.87% | ||
| ROIC | 25.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 32.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 417.11% | ||
| OM | 29.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.3% | ||
| GM | 48.49% | ||
| FCFM | 20.94% |
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
ROICexc(3y)26.07%
ROICexc(5y)22.05%
ROICexgc(3y)685.89%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)23.87%
ROCE(5y)20.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y16.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y32.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.93%
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.53 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 4.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 18.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 33.74% | ||
| Profit Quality | 86.16% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.88 |
F-Score7
WACC9.46%
ROIC/WACC2.74
Cap/Depr(3y)3.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)3.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.35%
Profit Quality(3y)97.89%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.43%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%31.15%
EPS Next Y27.4%
EPS Next 2Y24.37%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%17.61%
Revenue Next Year13.33%
Revenue Next 2Y12.5%
Revenue Next 3Y11.79%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%
EBIT growth 1Y27.92%
EBIT growth 3Y33.25%
EBIT growth 5Y18.57%
EBIT Next Year28%
EBIT Next 3Y21.24%
EBIT Next 5Y18.31%
FCF growth 1Y36.68%
FCF growth 3Y80.14%
FCF growth 5Y37.44%
OCF growth 1Y37.87%
OCF growth 3Y71.1%
OCF growth 5Y33.13%
NETFLIX INC / NFLX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to NFLX.
What is the valuation status of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NETFLIX INC (NFLX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of NFLX stock?
NETFLIX INC (NFLX) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is NETFLIX INC?
The financial health rating of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is 9 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is expected to grow by 27.4% in the next year.