NETFLIX INC (NFLX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:NFLX • US64110L1061

Current stock price

96.905 USD
-10.89 (-10.1%)
Last:

This NFLX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. NFLX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year NFLX was profitable.
  • NFLX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years NFLX has always been profitable.
  • NFLX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
NFLX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNFLX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • NFLX has a better Return On Assets (19.75%) than 96.20% of its industry peers.
  • NFLX's Return On Equity of 41.26% is amongst the best of the industry. NFLX outperforms 96.20% of its industry peers.
  • NFLX has a Return On Invested Capital of 25.95%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NFLX outperforms 97.47% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NFLX is significantly below the industry average of 159.10%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (20.73%) for NFLX is below the current ROIC(25.95%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.75%
ROE 41.26%
ROIC 25.95%
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
NFLX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNFLX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • NFLX's Profit Margin of 24.30% is amongst the best of the industry. NFLX outperforms 93.67% of its industry peers.
  • NFLX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 29.49%, NFLX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NFLX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 48.49%, NFLX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NFLX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.49%
PM (TTM) 24.3%
GM 48.49%
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
NFLX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNFLX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

9

2. NFLX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), NFLX is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NFLX has less shares outstanding
  • NFLX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for NFLX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
NFLX Yearly Shares OutstandingNFLX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
NFLX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNFLX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • NFLX has an Altman-Z score of 12.13. This indicates that NFLX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 12.13, NFLX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of NFLX is 1.53, which is an excellent value as it means it would take NFLX, only 1.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.53, NFLX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51 indicates that NFLX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • NFLX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.51. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: NFLX outperforms 48.10% of its industry peers.
  • Although NFLX's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF 1.53
Altman-Z 12.13
ROIC/WACC2.9
WACC8.94%
NFLX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNFLX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NFLX has a Current Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that NFLX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.19, NFLX is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NFLX has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that NFLX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 1.19, NFLX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The current and quick ratio evaluation for NFLX is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 1.19
NFLX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNFLX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

7

3. NFLX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 46.31% over the past year.
  • NFLX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.92% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, NFLX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.85% in the last year.
  • NFLX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.31%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%86.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%16.19%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.40% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, NFLX will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y28.18%
EPS Next 2Y24.81%
EPS Next 3Y22.64%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue Next Year13.98%
Revenue Next 2Y12.85%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
NFLX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNFLX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B
NFLX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNFLX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2 4 6 8

6

4. NFLX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 31.26, which means the current valuation is very expensive for NFLX.
  • NFLX's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. NFLX is cheaper than 82.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.53. NFLX is around the same levels.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.62, NFLX is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NFLX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NFLX is cheaper than 77.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NFLX to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.95), we can say NFLX is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.26
Fwd PE 24.62
NFLX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNFLX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NFLX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.68% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 68.35% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NFLX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 43.25
EV/EBITDA 15.31
NFLX Per share dataNFLX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of NFLX may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • NFLX's earnings are expected to grow with 22.64% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.11
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y24.81%
EPS Next 3Y22.64%

0

5. NFLX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NFLX does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

NFLX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NETFLIX INC

NASDAQ:NFLX (4/17/2026, 2:09:10 PM)

96.905

-10.89 (-10.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)04-16
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners83.79%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change12.24%
Market Cap409.15B
Revenue(TTM)45.18B
Net Income(TTM)10.98B
Analysts80.68
Price Target117.02 (20.76%)
Short Float %1.91%
Short Ratio1.76
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.51%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(4)13.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.94%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.16%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.43%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.62%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.73%
PT rev (1m)1.43%
PT rev (3m)-10.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.55%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.26
Fwd PE 24.62
P/S 9.06
P/FCF 43.25
P/OCF 40.31
P/B 15.37
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 15.31
EPS(TTM)3.1
EY3.2%
EPS(NY)3.94
Fwd EY4.06%
FCF(TTM)2.24
FCFY2.31%
OCF(TTM)2.4
OCFY2.48%
SpS10.7
BVpS6.3
TBVpS-1.46
PEG (NY)1.11
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number20.9687 (-78.36%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 19.75%
ROE 41.26%
ROCE 29.87%
ROIC 25.95%
ROICexc 32.56%
ROICexgc 417.11%
OM 29.49%
PM (TTM) 24.3%
GM 48.49%
FCFM 20.94%
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
ROICexc(3y)26.07%
ROICexc(5y)22.05%
ROICexgc(3y)685.89%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)23.87%
ROCE(5y)20.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y16.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y32.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.93%
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.51
Debt/FCF 1.53
Debt/EBITDA 0.45
Cap/Depr 4.11%
Cap/Sales 1.52%
Interest Coverage 18.54
Cash Conversion 33.74%
Profit Quality 86.16%
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 1.19
Altman-Z 12.13
F-Score7
WACC8.94%
ROIC/WACC2.9
Cap/Depr(3y)3.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)3.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.35%
Profit Quality(3y)97.89%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.31%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%86.08%
EPS Next Y28.18%
EPS Next 2Y24.81%
EPS Next 3Y22.64%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%16.19%
Revenue Next Year13.98%
Revenue Next 2Y12.85%
Revenue Next 3Y11.93%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%
EBIT growth 1Y27.92%
EBIT growth 3Y33.25%
EBIT growth 5Y18.57%
EBIT Next Year28.05%
EBIT Next 3Y21.23%
EBIT Next 5Y18.31%
FCF growth 1Y36.68%
FCF growth 3Y80.14%
FCF growth 5Y37.44%
OCF growth 1Y37.87%
OCF growth 3Y71.1%
OCF growth 5Y33.13%

NETFLIX INC / NFLX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to NFLX.


What is the valuation status of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NETFLIX INC (NFLX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?

NETFLIX INC (NFLX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is 31.26 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.37.


What is the earnings growth outlook for NETFLIX INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is expected to grow by 28.18% in the next year.