NETFLIX INC (NFLX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:NFLX • US64110L1061
Current stock price
93.32 USD
+1.04 (+1.13%)
At close:
93.04 USD
-0.28 (-0.3%)
Pre-Market:
This NFLX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NFLX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- NFLX had positive earnings in the past year.
- NFLX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- NFLX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years NFLX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- NFLX's Return On Assets of 19.75% is amongst the best of the industry. NFLX outperforms 94.94% of its industry peers.
- NFLX's Return On Equity of 41.26% is amongst the best of the industry. NFLX outperforms 96.20% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 25.95%, NFLX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NFLX is significantly above the industry average of 7.50%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (20.73%) for NFLX is below the current ROIC(25.95%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.75% | ||
| ROE | 41.26% | ||
| ROIC | 25.95% |
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
1.3 Margins
- NFLX has a Profit Margin of 24.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NFLX outperforms 92.41% of its industry peers.
- NFLX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 29.49%, NFLX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.47% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NFLX has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 48.49%, NFLX is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.96% of the companies in the same industry.
- NFLX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 29.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.3% | ||
| GM | 48.49% |
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
2. NFLX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- NFLX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for NFLX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- NFLX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- NFLX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- NFLX has an Altman-Z score of 10.87. This indicates that NFLX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 10.87, NFLX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of NFLX is 1.53, which is an excellent value as it means it would take NFLX, only 1.53 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- NFLX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.53) than 83.54% of its industry peers.
- NFLX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51. This is a neutral value indicating NFLX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.51, NFLX is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for NFLX, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.87 |
ROIC/WACC2.76
WACC9.39%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that NFLX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.19, NFLX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.70% of the companies in the same industry.
- NFLX has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a normal value and indicates that NFLX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.19, NFLX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.23% of the companies in the same industry.
- The current and quick ratio evaluation for NFLX is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. NFLX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 27.43% over the past year.
- NFLX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.92% yearly.
- NFLX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 15.85%.
- NFLX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.57% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.43%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%31.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%17.61%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, NFLX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 18.40% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.43% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y27.4%
EPS Next 2Y24.37%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue Next Year13.33%
Revenue Next 2Y12.5%
Revenue Next 3Y11.79%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. NFLX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 36.89 indicates a quite expensive valuation of NFLX.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NFLX is valued a bit cheaper than 77.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- NFLX is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.99, NFLX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- 75.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NFLX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.51, NFLX is valued a bit more expensive.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.99 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NFLX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NFLX is cheaper than 75.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of NFLX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NFLX is cheaper than 70.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 41.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.28 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of NFLX may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as NFLX's earnings are expected to grow with 22.16% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.35
PEG (5Y)1.12
EPS Next 2Y24.37%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
5. NFLX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for NFLX!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
NFLX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
93.32
+1.04 (+1.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)01-20 2026-01-20/amc
Earnings (Next)04-16 2026-04-16/amc
Inst Owners83.66%
Inst Owner Change754.73%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change12.24%
Market Cap394.01B
Revenue(TTM)45.18B
Net Income(TTM)10.98B
Analysts80.74
Price Target115.45 (23.71%)
Short Float %2.14%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.51%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(4)13.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.94%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.16%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.43%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.62%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.73%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-11.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.05%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.12%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.56%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.38%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 28.99 | ||
| P/S | 8.72 | ||
| P/FCF | 41.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 38.82 | ||
| P/B | 14.8 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.28 |
EPS(TTM)2.53
EY2.71%
EPS(NY)3.22
Fwd EY3.45%
FCF(TTM)2.24
FCFY2.4%
OCF(TTM)2.4
OCFY2.58%
SpS10.7
BVpS6.3
TBVpS-1.46
PEG (NY)1.35
PEG (5Y)1.12
Graham Number18.94
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.75% | ||
| ROE | 41.26% | ||
| ROCE | 29.87% | ||
| ROIC | 25.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 32.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 417.11% | ||
| OM | 29.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.3% | ||
| GM | 48.49% | ||
| FCFM | 20.94% |
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
ROICexc(3y)26.07%
ROICexc(5y)22.05%
ROICexgc(3y)685.89%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)23.87%
ROCE(5y)20.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y16.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y32.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.93%
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.53 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 4.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 18.54 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 33.74% | ||
| Profit Quality | 86.16% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.87 |
F-Score7
WACC9.39%
ROIC/WACC2.76
Cap/Depr(3y)3.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)3.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.35%
Profit Quality(3y)97.89%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.43%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%31.15%
EPS Next Y27.4%
EPS Next 2Y24.37%
EPS Next 3Y22.16%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%17.61%
Revenue Next Year13.33%
Revenue Next 2Y12.5%
Revenue Next 3Y11.79%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%
EBIT growth 1Y27.92%
EBIT growth 3Y33.25%
EBIT growth 5Y18.57%
EBIT Next Year28%
EBIT Next 3Y21.24%
EBIT Next 5Y18.31%
FCF growth 1Y36.68%
FCF growth 3Y80.14%
FCF growth 5Y37.44%
OCF growth 1Y37.87%
OCF growth 3Y71.1%
OCF growth 5Y33.13%
NETFLIX INC / NFLX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to NFLX.
What is the valuation status of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NETFLIX INC (NFLX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of NFLX stock?
NETFLIX INC (NFLX) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is NETFLIX INC?
The financial health rating of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is 9 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is expected to grow by 27.4% in the next year.