NETFLIX INC (NFLX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:NFLX • US64110L1061
Current stock price
95.31 USD
+1 (+1.06%)
At close:
94.9607 USD
-0.35 (-0.37%)
After Hours:
This NFLX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. NFLX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year NFLX was profitable.
- In the past year NFLX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- NFLX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years NFLX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- NFLX has a Return On Assets of 19.75%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NFLX outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of NFLX (41.26%) is better than 97.50% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of NFLX (25.95%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NFLX is significantly above the industry average of 7.34%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (20.73%) for NFLX is below the current ROIC(25.95%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.75% | ||
| ROE | 41.26% | ||
| ROIC | 25.95% |
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
1.3 Margins
- NFLX has a Profit Margin of 24.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NFLX outperforms 93.75% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NFLX has grown nicely.
- NFLX's Operating Margin of 29.49% is amongst the best of the industry. NFLX outperforms 97.50% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NFLX has grown nicely.
- NFLX has a Gross Margin (48.49%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NFLX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 29.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.3% | ||
| GM | 48.49% |
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
2. NFLX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), NFLX is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for NFLX has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for NFLX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for NFLX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- NFLX has an Altman-Z score of 10.96. This indicates that NFLX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- NFLX's Altman-Z score of 10.96 is amongst the best of the industry. NFLX outperforms 98.75% of its industry peers.
- NFLX has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.53. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.53, NFLX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.75% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.51 indicates that NFLX is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- NFLX's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NFLX outperforms 48.75% of its industry peers.
- Although NFLX's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.53 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.96 |
ROIC/WACC2.53
WACC10.25%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that NFLX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 1.19, NFLX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.19 indicates that NFLX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- NFLX's Quick ratio of 1.19 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NFLX outperforms 57.50% of its industry peers.
- The current and quick ratio evaluation for NFLX is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. NFLX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- NFLX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 27.43%, which is quite impressive.
- NFLX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 32.92% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, NFLX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.85% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 12.57% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.43%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%31.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%17.61%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.40% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- Based on estimates for the next years, NFLX will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.43% on average per year.
EPS Next Y27.48%
EPS Next 2Y24.11%
EPS Next 3Y22.01%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue Next Year13.45%
Revenue Next 2Y12.52%
Revenue Next 3Y11.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%
3.3 Evolution
- The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. NFLX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 37.67 indicates a quite expensive valuation of NFLX.
- NFLX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NFLX is cheaper than 78.75% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of NFLX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.70), we can say NFLX is valued slightly more expensively.
- NFLX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.59.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NFLX is valued a bit cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- NFLX is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NFLX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NFLX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 42.53 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.42 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- NFLX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- NFLX's earnings are expected to grow with 22.01% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)1.14
EPS Next 2Y24.11%
EPS Next 3Y22.01%
5. NFLX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for NFLX!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
NFLX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
95.31
+1 (+1.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)01-20 2026-01-20/amc
Earnings (Next)04-15 2026-04-15/amc
Inst Owners83.66%
Inst Owner Change754.7%
Ins Owners0.03%
Ins Owner Change12.24%
Market Cap402.41B
Revenue(TTM)45.18B
Net Income(TTM)10.98B
Analysts80.74
Price Target115.45 (21.13%)
Short Float %1.98%
Short Ratio1.66
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-8.95%
Min EPS beat(2)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.51%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.21%
Min EPS beat(4)-17.39%
Max EPS beat(4)13.44%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.94%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.16%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.64%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.43%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.62%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.73%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-16.44%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.42%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.48%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 37.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 29.59 | ||
| P/S | 8.91 | ||
| P/FCF | 42.53 | ||
| P/OCF | 39.65 | ||
| P/B | 15.12 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.42 |
EPS(TTM)2.53
EY2.65%
EPS(NY)3.22
Fwd EY3.38%
FCF(TTM)2.24
FCFY2.35%
OCF(TTM)2.4
OCFY2.52%
SpS10.7
BVpS6.3
TBVpS-1.46
PEG (NY)1.37
PEG (5Y)1.14
Graham Number18.94
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 19.75% | ||
| ROE | 41.26% | ||
| ROCE | 29.87% | ||
| ROIC | 25.95% | ||
| ROICexc | 32.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 417.11% | ||
| OM | 29.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.3% | ||
| GM | 48.49% | ||
| FCFM | 20.94% |
ROA(3y)15.7%
ROA(5y)13.56%
ROE(3y)34.24%
ROE(5y)31.33%
ROIC(3y)20.73%
ROIC(5y)17.83%
ROICexc(3y)26.07%
ROICexc(5y)22.05%
ROICexgc(3y)685.89%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)23.87%
ROCE(5y)20.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y16.79%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y32.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.93%
OM growth 3Y18.3%
OM growth 5Y5.33%
PM growth 3Y19.6%
PM growth 5Y17.08%
GM growth 3Y7.19%
GM growth 5Y2.29%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.53 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.45 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 4.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 33.74% | ||
| Profit Quality | 86.16% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.96 |
F-Score7
WACC10.25%
ROIC/WACC2.53
Cap/Depr(3y)3.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)3.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.35%
Profit Quality(3y)97.89%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.43%
EPS 3Y36.44%
EPS 5Y32.92%
EPS Q2Q%31.15%
EPS Next Y27.48%
EPS Next 2Y24.11%
EPS Next 3Y22.01%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.85%
Revenue growth 3Y12.64%
Revenue growth 5Y12.57%
Sales Q2Q%17.61%
Revenue Next Year13.45%
Revenue Next 2Y12.52%
Revenue Next 3Y11.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.43%
EBIT growth 1Y27.92%
EBIT growth 3Y33.25%
EBIT growth 5Y18.57%
EBIT Next Year28%
EBIT Next 3Y21.24%
EBIT Next 5Y18.31%
FCF growth 1Y36.68%
FCF growth 3Y80.14%
FCF growth 5Y37.44%
OCF growth 1Y37.87%
OCF growth 3Y71.1%
OCF growth 5Y33.13%
NETFLIX INC / NFLX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to NFLX.
What is the valuation status of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to NETFLIX INC (NFLX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of NFLX stock?
NETFLIX INC (NFLX) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
How financially healthy is NETFLIX INC?
The financial health rating of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is 9 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for NETFLIX INC (NFLX) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NETFLIX INC (NFLX) is expected to grow by 27.48% in the next year.