NCR CORPORATION (NCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:NCR - US62886E1082 - Common Stock
27.08 USD
+0.85 (+3.24%)
27.12 USD
+0.04 (+0.15%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to NCR. NCR was compared to 278 industry peers in the Software industry. While NCR is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on NCR.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
NCR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year NCR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: NCR reported negative net income in multiple years.
NCR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of NCR (0.58%) is better than 75.27% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.55%, NCR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.21% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of NCR (6.51%) is better than 84.95% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NCR is significantly below the industry average of 10.78%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.51%) for NCR is above the 3 year average (4.72%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.58% | ||
| ROE | 3.55% | ||
| ROIC | 6.51% |
ROA(3y)-0.08%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)-0.18%
ROE(5y)3.77%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)5.87%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 0.83%, NCR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.27% of the companies in the same industry.
NCR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 9.04%, NCR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.08% of the companies in the same industry.
NCR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
NCR has a Gross Margin of 25.20%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NCR underperforms 84.23% of its industry peers.
NCR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.83% | ||
| GM | 25.2% |
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y-55.96%
PM growth 5Y-21.55%
GM growth 3Y-5.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.61%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NCR is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for NCR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
NCR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.31, we must say that NCR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.31, NCR is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.52% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of NCR is 12.32, which is on the high side as it means it would take NCR, 12.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of NCR (12.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.90 is on the high side and indicates that NCR has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of NCR (2.90) is worse than 84.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.9 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC8.89%
2.3 Liquidity
NCR has a Current Ratio of 1.11. This is a normal value and indicates that NCR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NCR has a Current ratio of 1.11. This is in the lower half of the industry: NCR underperforms 72.04% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.84 indicates that NCR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
NCR has a worse Quick ratio (0.84) than 81.72% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NCR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.10%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, NCR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -3.91% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, NCR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.77% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.78% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.1%
EPS 3Y-2.3%
EPS 5Y-3.91%
EPS Q2Q%32.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.77%
Revenue growth 3Y4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, NCR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 21.06% on average per year.
NCR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.29% yearly.
EPS Next Y33.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.97%
Revenue Next 3Y3.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.76, which indicates a very decent valuation of NCR.
94.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NCR, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.57. NCR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.98, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of NCR.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NCR to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.04), we can say NCR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.98 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.55 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
NCR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as NCR's earnings are expected to grow with 21.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
NCR does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
27.08
+0.85 (+3.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners105.83%
Inst Owner Change2.57%
Ins Owners3.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.82B
Revenue(TTM)7.86B
Net Income(TTM)65.00M
Analysts78.18
Price Target33.66 (24.3%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP23.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.44%
Min EPS beat(2)13.62%
Max EPS beat(2)39.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.93%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.6%
Max EPS beat(4)39.26%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.67%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.87%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.98 | ||
| P/S | 0.49 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.67 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.5 | ||
| P/B | 2.09 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.55 |
EPS(TTM)3.09
EY11.41%
EPS(NY)3.88
Fwd EY14.33%
FCF(TTM)3.12
FCFY11.53%
OCF(TTM)6.01
OCFY22.2%
SpS55.77
BVpS12.99
TBVpS-26.81
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.58% | ||
| ROE | 3.55% | ||
| ROCE | 8.23% | ||
| ROIC | 6.51% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 22.74% | ||
| OM | 9.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.83% | ||
| GM | 25.2% | ||
| FCFM | 5.6% |
ROA(3y)-0.08%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)-0.18%
ROE(5y)3.77%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)5.87%
ROICexc(3y)4.99%
ROICexc(5y)6.3%
ROICexgc(3y)14.88%
ROICexgc(5y)17.62%
ROCE(3y)5.97%
ROCE(5y)7.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.74%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.55%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y-55.96%
PM growth 5Y-21.55%
GM growth 3Y-5.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.61%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 2.9 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 12.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 65.96% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.18% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 63.83% | ||
| Profit Quality | 676.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
F-Score7
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)67.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)79%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.1%
EPS 3Y-2.3%
EPS 5Y-3.91%
EPS Q2Q%32.39%
EPS Next Y33.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.77%
Revenue growth 3Y4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.97%
Revenue Next 3Y3.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y41.43%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.61%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.11%
EBIT Next Year66.78%
EBIT Next 3Y15.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y25%
FCF growth 3Y-43.35%
FCF growth 5Y-35.65%
OCF growth 1Y37.72%
OCF growth 3Y-10.92%
OCF growth 5Y-10.58%
NCR CORPORATION / NCR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for NCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NCR.
What is the valuation status for NCR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to NCR CORPORATION (NCR). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of NCR stock?
NCR CORPORATION (NCR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) stock?
The financial health rating of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) is 1 / 10.
Is the dividend of NCR CORPORATION sustainable?
The dividend rating of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 23.08%.