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NCR CORPORATION (NCR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NYSE:NCR - US62886E1082 - Common Stock

27.08 USD
+0.85 (+3.24%)
Last: 10/16/2023, 8:04:00 PM
27.12 USD
+0.04 (+0.15%)
After Hours: 10/16/2023, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, NCR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NCR was compared to 281 industry peers in the Software industry. There are concerns on the financial health of NCR while its profitability can be described as average. NCR may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NCR had positive earnings in the past year.
NCR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: NCR reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years NCR had a positive operating cash flow.
NCR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNCR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.58%, NCR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.27% of the companies in the same industry.
NCR has a Return On Equity of 3.55%. This is in the better half of the industry: NCR outperforms 79.21% of its industry peers.
NCR has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.51%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NCR outperforms 84.95% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NCR is significantly below the industry average of 11.92%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.72%) for NCR is below the current ROIC(6.51%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.58%
ROE 3.55%
ROIC 6.51%
ROA(3y)-0.08%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)-0.18%
ROE(5y)3.77%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)5.87%
NCR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNCR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

NCR's Profit Margin of 0.83% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCR outperforms 75.27% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NCR has declined.
The Operating Margin of NCR (9.04%) is better than 82.08% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NCR has declined.
NCR's Gross Margin of 25.20% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NCR is outperformed by 84.23% of its industry peers.
NCR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.04%
PM (TTM) 0.83%
GM 25.2%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y-55.96%
PM growth 5Y-21.55%
GM growth 3Y-5.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.61%
NCR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNCR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), NCR is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for NCR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, NCR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
NCR Yearly Shares OutstandingNCR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
NCR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNCR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

NCR has an Altman-Z score of 1.31. This is a bad value and indicates that NCR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of NCR (1.31) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of NCR is 12.32, which is on the high side as it means it would take NCR, 12.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 12.32, NCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.91% of the companies in the same industry.
NCR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.90. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.90, NCR is not doing good in the industry: 84.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.9
Debt/FCF 12.32
Altman-Z 1.31
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC8.89%
NCR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNCR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.11 indicates that NCR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
NCR has a Current ratio of 1.11. This is in the lower half of the industry: NCR underperforms 72.04% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.84 indicates that NCR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.84, NCR is not doing good in the industry: 81.72% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.11
Quick Ratio 0.84
NCR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNCR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

NCR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.10%, which is quite impressive.
NCR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -3.91% yearly.
NCR shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.77%.
Measured over the past years, NCR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.1%
EPS 3Y-2.3%
EPS 5Y-3.91%
EPS Q2Q%32.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.77%
Revenue growth 3Y4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%

3.2 Future

NCR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.06% yearly.
NCR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.29% yearly.
EPS Next Y33.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.97%
Revenue Next 3Y3.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
NCR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNCR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B
NCR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNCR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4

9

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

NCR is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.76.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NCR indicates a rather cheap valuation: NCR is cheaper than 94.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NCR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.89.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.98, the valuation of NCR can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NCR indicates a rather cheap valuation: NCR is cheaper than 94.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
NCR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.76
Fwd PE 6.98
NCR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNCR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NCR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 95.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.67
EV/EBITDA 6.55
NCR Per share dataNCR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

NCR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as NCR's earnings are expected to grow with 21.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NCR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

NCR CORPORATION

NYSE:NCR (10/16/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 27.12 +0.04 (+0.15%)

27.08

+0.85 (+3.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)10-23 2023-10-23/amc
Earnings (Next)02-05 2024-02-05/amc
Inst Owners105.83%
Inst Owner Change-0.13%
Ins Owners3.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.82B
Revenue(TTM)7.86B
Net Income(TTM)65.00M
Analysts78.18
Price Target33.66 (24.3%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP23.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.44%
Min EPS beat(2)13.62%
Max EPS beat(2)39.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.93%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.6%
Max EPS beat(4)39.26%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.67%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.87%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.76
Fwd PE 6.98
P/S 0.49
P/FCF 8.67
P/OCF 4.5
P/B 2.09
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.55
EPS(TTM)3.09
EY11.41%
EPS(NY)3.88
Fwd EY14.33%
FCF(TTM)3.12
FCFY11.53%
OCF(TTM)6.01
OCFY22.2%
SpS55.77
BVpS12.99
TBVpS-26.81
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.58%
ROE 3.55%
ROCE 8.23%
ROIC 6.51%
ROICexc 6.95%
ROICexgc 22.74%
OM 9.04%
PM (TTM) 0.83%
GM 25.2%
FCFM 5.6%
ROA(3y)-0.08%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)-0.18%
ROE(5y)3.77%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)5.87%
ROICexc(3y)4.99%
ROICexc(5y)6.3%
ROICexgc(3y)14.88%
ROICexgc(5y)17.62%
ROCE(3y)5.97%
ROCE(5y)7.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.74%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.55%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y-55.96%
PM growth 5Y-21.55%
GM growth 3Y-5.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.61%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.9
Debt/FCF 12.32
Debt/EBITDA 4.01
Cap/Depr 65.96%
Cap/Sales 5.18%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 63.83%
Profit Quality 676.92%
Current Ratio 1.11
Quick Ratio 0.84
Altman-Z 1.31
F-Score7
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)67.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)79%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.1%
EPS 3Y-2.3%
EPS 5Y-3.91%
EPS Q2Q%32.39%
EPS Next Y33.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.77%
Revenue growth 3Y4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.97%
Revenue Next 3Y3.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y41.43%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.61%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.11%
EBIT Next Year66.78%
EBIT Next 3Y15.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y25%
FCF growth 3Y-43.35%
FCF growth 5Y-35.65%
OCF growth 1Y37.72%
OCF growth 3Y-10.92%
OCF growth 5Y-10.58%

NCR CORPORATION / NCR FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for NCR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NCR.


What is the valuation status for NCR stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to NCR CORPORATION (NCR). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of NCR stock?

NCR CORPORATION (NCR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) stock?

The financial health rating of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) is 1 / 10.


Is the dividend of NCR CORPORATION sustainable?

The dividend rating of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 23.08%.