NCR CORPORATION (NCR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:NCR • US62886E1082

Current stock price

27.08 USD
+0.85 (+3.24%)
At close:
27.12 USD
+0.04 (+0.15%)
After Hours:

This NCR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. NCR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • NCR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year NCR had a positive cash flow from operations.
NCR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNCR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • NCR has a better Return On Assets (0.58%) than 75.27% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.55%, NCR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.51%, NCR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NCR is significantly below the industry average of 10.91%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (4.72%) for NCR is below the current ROIC(6.51%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.58%
ROE 3.55%
ROIC 6.51%
ROA(3y)-0.08%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)-0.18%
ROE(5y)3.77%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)5.87%
NCR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNCR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • NCR's Profit Margin of 0.83% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCR outperforms 75.27% of its industry peers.
  • NCR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 9.04%, NCR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NCR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.20%, NCR is doing worse than 84.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NCR has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.04%
PM (TTM) 0.83%
GM 25.2%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y-55.96%
PM growth 5Y-21.55%
GM growth 3Y-5.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.61%
NCR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNCR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 20

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1

2. NCR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NCR is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for NCR has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, NCR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
NCR Yearly Shares OutstandingNCR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
NCR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNCR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.31, we must say that NCR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.31, NCR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NCR has a debt to FCF ratio of 12.32. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NCR would need 12.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • NCR has a Debt to FCF ratio (12.32) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • NCR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.90. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.90, NCR is not doing good in the industry: 84.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.9
Debt/FCF 12.32
Altman-Z 1.31
ROIC/WACC0.73
WACC8.89%
NCR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNCR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • NCR has a Current Ratio of 1.11. This is a normal value and indicates that NCR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • NCR has a worse Current ratio (1.11) than 72.04% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.84 indicates that NCR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • NCR's Quick ratio of 0.84 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NCR is outperformed by 81.72% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.11
Quick Ratio 0.84
NCR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNCR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. NCR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • NCR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 24.10%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -3.91% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.77% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, NCR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.78% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.1%
EPS 3Y-2.3%
EPS 5Y-3.91%
EPS Q2Q%32.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.77%
Revenue growth 3Y4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 21.06% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.29% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y33.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.97%
Revenue Next 3Y3.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
NCR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNCR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B
NCR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNCR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3 4

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9

4. NCR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 8.76, the valuation of NCR can be described as reasonable.
  • 94.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NCR, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.66, NCR is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.98, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of NCR.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NCR is valued cheaper than 94.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • NCR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.00, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.76
Fwd PE 6.98
NCR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNCR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NCR is valued cheaper than 96.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 95.34% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NCR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.67
EV/EBITDA 6.55
NCR Per share dataNCR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • NCR's earnings are expected to grow with 21.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. NCR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • NCR does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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NCR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

NCR CORPORATION

NYSE:NCR (10/16/2023, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 27.12 +0.04 (+0.15%)

27.08

+0.85 (+3.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)10-23
Earnings (Next)02-05
Inst Owners105.83%
Inst Owner Change-1.21%
Ins Owners3.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.82B
Revenue(TTM)7.86B
Net Income(TTM)65.00M
Analysts78.18
Price Target33.66 (24.3%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP23.08%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.44%
Min EPS beat(2)13.62%
Max EPS beat(2)39.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.93%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.6%
Max EPS beat(4)39.26%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.5%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.67%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.67%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.87%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.76
Fwd PE 6.98
P/S 0.49
P/FCF 8.67
P/OCF 4.5
P/B 2.09
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.55
EPS(TTM)3.09
EY11.41%
EPS(NY)3.88
Fwd EY14.33%
FCF(TTM)3.12
FCFY11.53%
OCF(TTM)6.01
OCFY22.2%
SpS55.77
BVpS12.99
TBVpS-26.81
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.58%
ROE 3.55%
ROCE 8.23%
ROIC 6.51%
ROICexc 6.95%
ROICexgc 22.74%
OM 9.04%
PM (TTM) 0.83%
GM 25.2%
FCFM 5.6%
ROA(3y)-0.08%
ROA(5y)0.61%
ROE(3y)-0.18%
ROE(5y)3.77%
ROIC(3y)4.72%
ROIC(5y)5.87%
ROICexc(3y)4.99%
ROICexc(5y)6.3%
ROICexgc(3y)14.88%
ROICexgc(5y)17.62%
ROCE(3y)5.97%
ROCE(5y)7.43%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.9%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-9.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.74%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.55%
OM growth 3Y-7.58%
OM growth 5Y-7.6%
PM growth 3Y-55.96%
PM growth 5Y-21.55%
GM growth 3Y-5.17%
GM growth 5Y-3.61%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.7
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.9
Debt/FCF 12.32
Debt/EBITDA 4.01
Cap/Depr 65.96%
Cap/Sales 5.18%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 63.83%
Profit Quality 676.92%
Current Ratio 1.11
Quick Ratio 0.84
Altman-Z 1.31
F-Score7
WACC8.89%
ROIC/WACC0.73
Cap/Depr(3y)67.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)79%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.71%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)24.1%
EPS 3Y-2.3%
EPS 5Y-3.91%
EPS Q2Q%32.39%
EPS Next Y33.26%
EPS Next 2Y21.45%
EPS Next 3Y21.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.77%
Revenue growth 3Y4.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.78%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
Revenue Next Year1.74%
Revenue Next 2Y2.97%
Revenue Next 3Y3.29%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y41.43%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.61%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.11%
EBIT Next Year66.78%
EBIT Next 3Y15.86%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y25%
FCF growth 3Y-43.35%
FCF growth 5Y-35.65%
OCF growth 1Y37.72%
OCF growth 3Y-10.92%
OCF growth 5Y-10.58%

NCR CORPORATION / NCR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for NCR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to NCR.


What is the valuation status of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to NCR CORPORATION (NCR). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is NCR CORPORATION (NCR) stock?

NCR CORPORATION (NCR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is NCR CORPORATION?

The financial health rating of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) is 1 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for NCR CORPORATION (NCR) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of NCR CORPORATION (NCR) is expected to grow by 33.26% in the next year.