NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN (NCLH)

BMG667211046 - Common Stock

26.91  +1.5 (+5.9%)

After market: 27.03 +0.12 (+0.45%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, NCLH scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NCLH was compared to 134 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. NCLH has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. NCLH is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.



4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NCLH had positive earnings in the past year.
NCLH had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: NCLH reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: NCLH reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.

1.2 Ratios

NCLH has a Return On Assets (2.78%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 48.38%, NCLH belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 95.52% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.90%, NCLH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.93% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.78%
ROE 48.38%
ROIC 7.9%
ROA(3y)-11.81%
ROA(5y)-10.33%
ROE(3y)-1139.9%
ROE(5y)-699.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A

1.3 Margins

NCLH's Profit Margin of 5.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NCLH outperforms 62.69% of its industry peers.
NCLH's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 14.70%, NCLH is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.42% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NCLH has declined.
The Gross Margin of NCLH (39.05%) is worse than 65.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NCLH has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.7%
PM (TTM) 5.87%
GM 39.05%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-11.55%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-34.21%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-4.01%

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NCLH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for NCLH has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, NCLH has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for NCLH has been reduced compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

NCLH has an Altman-Z score of 0.35. This is a bad value and indicates that NCLH is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
NCLH's Altman-Z score of 0.35 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. NCLH is outperformed by 79.10% of its industry peers.
NCLH has a debt to FCF ratio of 45.53. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as NCLH would need 45.53 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 45.53, NCLH is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.30% of the companies in the same industry.
NCLH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 10.35. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 10.35, NCLH is not doing good in the industry: 64.93% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 10.35
Debt/FCF 45.53
Altman-Z 0.35
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC7.86%

2.3 Liquidity

NCLH has a Current Ratio of 0.20. This is a bad value and indicates that NCLH is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
NCLH has a Current ratio of 0.20. This is amonst the worse of the industry: NCLH underperforms 97.76% of its industry peers.
NCLH has a Quick Ratio of 0.20. This is a bad value and indicates that NCLH is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of NCLH (0.17) is worse than 97.01% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.2
Quick Ratio 0.17

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 589.29% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, NCLH shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -34.82% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, NCLH shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 15.77% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, NCLH shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 7.14% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)589.29%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-34.82%
EPS Q2Q%30.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.77%
Revenue growth 3Y88.33%
Revenue growth 5Y7.14%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 45.59% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
NCLH is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.96% yearly.
EPS Next Y191.49%
EPS Next 2Y92.27%
EPS Next 3Y65.93%
EPS Next 5Y45.59%
Revenue Next Year11.01%
Revenue Next 2Y9.59%
Revenue Next 3Y9.57%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.64, the valuation of NCLH can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, NCLH is valued a bit cheaper than 73.88% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.73. NCLH is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.55, the valuation of NCLH can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, NCLH is valued cheaper than 87.31% of the companies in the same industry.
NCLH's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.64
Fwd PE 12.55

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, NCLH is valued a bit cheaper than 61.94% of the companies in the same industry.
NCLH's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 40.19
EV/EBITDA 10.66

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as NCLH's earnings are expected to grow with 65.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y92.27%
EPS Next 3Y65.93%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for NCLH!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

NORWEGIAN CRUISE LINE HOLDIN

NYSE:NCLH (12/20/2024, 8:26:38 PM)

After market: 27.03 +0.12 (+0.45%)

26.91

+1.5 (+5.9%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners71.66%
Inst Owner Change11.83%
Ins Owners0.35%
Ins Owner Change-1.19%
Market Cap11.83B
Analysts77.14
Price Target28.98 (7.69%)
Short Float %5.99%
Short Ratio2.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.87%
Min EPS beat(2)2.95%
Max EPS beat(2)12.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)6.04%
Min EPS beat(4)-29.42%
Max EPS beat(4)37.85%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)6.34%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.4%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.69%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.12%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.27%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.69%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.13%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.34%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.81%
PT rev (1m)18.12%
PT rev (3m)27.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)221.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.79%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.64
Fwd PE 12.55
P/S 1.26
P/FCF 40.19
P/OCF 6.2
P/B 10.42
P/tB 23.71
EV/EBITDA 10.66
EPS(TTM)1.37
EY5.09%
EPS(NY)2.14
Fwd EY7.97%
FCF(TTM)0.67
FCFY2.49%
OCF(TTM)4.34
OCFY16.14%
SpS21.28
BVpS2.58
TBVpS1.13
PEG (NY)0.1
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.78%
ROE 48.38%
ROCE 10.01%
ROIC 7.9%
ROICexc 8.1%
ROICexgc 8.5%
OM 14.7%
PM (TTM) 5.87%
GM 39.05%
FCFM 3.15%
ROA(3y)-11.81%
ROA(5y)-10.33%
ROE(3y)-1139.9%
ROE(5y)-699.51%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-9.93%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-11.55%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-34.21%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-4.01%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 10.35
Debt/FCF 45.53
Debt/EBITDA 5.03
Cap/Depr 168.23%
Cap/Sales 17.26%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 81.76%
Profit Quality 53.6%
Current Ratio 0.2
Quick Ratio 0.17
Altman-Z 0.35
F-Score8
WACC7.86%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)210.28%
Cap/Depr(5y)202.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)61.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)56.89%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)589.29%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-34.82%
EPS Q2Q%30.26%
EPS Next Y191.49%
EPS Next 2Y92.27%
EPS Next 3Y65.93%
EPS Next 5Y45.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)15.77%
Revenue growth 3Y88.33%
Revenue growth 5Y7.14%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%
Revenue Next Year11.01%
Revenue Next 2Y9.59%
Revenue Next 3Y9.57%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%
EBIT growth 1Y155.81%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-5.23%
EBIT Next Year140%
EBIT Next 3Y45.19%
EBIT Next 5Y29.25%
FCF growth 1Y113.48%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y658.03%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-0.68%