NATURES SUNSHINE PRODS INC (NATR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:NATR - Nasdaq - US6390271012 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, NATR scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NATR was compared to 37 industry peers in the Personal Care Products industry. NATR is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. NATR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
NATR had positive earnings in the past year.
NATR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
NATR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years NATR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of NATR (6.92%) is better than 72.22% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of NATR (10.85%) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
NATR has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.38%) than 72.22% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for NATR is below the industry average of 13.42%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.92% | ||
| ROE | 10.85% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% |
ROA(3y)5.67%
ROA(5y)5.75%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)10.54%
ROIC(5y)10.14%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 3.81%, NATR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.89% of the companies in the same industry.
NATR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
NATR has a Operating Margin (4.75%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
NATR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
NATR has a Gross Margin of 71.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: NATR outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
NATR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.81% | ||
| GM | 71.43% |
OM growth 3Y-1.75%
OM growth 5Y29.97%
PM growth 3Y-15.09%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.72%
GM growth 5Y-0.45%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so NATR is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, NATR has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, NATR has less shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for NATR. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 4.64 indicates that NATR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
NATR has a better Altman-Z score (4.64) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for NATR. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.64 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC9.21%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.44 indicates that NATR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
NATR has a better Current ratio (2.44) than 61.11% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.51 indicates that NATR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.51, NATR is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
NATR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 45.00%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for NATR have been decreasing by -10.21% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.36% in the past year.
NATR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.07% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)45%
EPS 3Y-10.21%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.36%
Revenue growth 3Y4.95%
Revenue growth 5Y4.07%
Sales Q2Q%3.07%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, NATR will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.77% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, NATR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-31.28%
EPS Next 2Y-6.66%
EPS Next 3Y-0.77%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-0.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.04%
Revenue Next 3Y1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 15.67, which indicates a correct valuation of NATR.
NATR's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NATR is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.63, NATR is valued a bit cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.47, NATR is valued correctly.
72.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NATR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
NATR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.47 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NATR indicates a rather cheap valuation: NATR is cheaper than 88.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NATR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.2 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
NATR has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-6.66%
EPS Next 3Y-0.77%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for NATR!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
13.63
-0.3 (-2.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupHousehold & Personal Products
GICS IndustryPersonal Care Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners65.91%
Inst Owner Change0.49%
Ins Owners5.35%
Ins Owner Change0.22%
Market Cap251.88M
Analysts82.5
Price Target22.44 (64.64%)
Short Float %0.5%
Short Ratio2.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.74%
Min EPS beat(2)-72.55%
Max EPS beat(2)61.06%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)37.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-72.55%
Max EPS beat(4)194.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)393.63%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)305.9%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.15%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.15%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.04%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.91%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)12.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15.67 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.47 | ||
| P/S | 0.57 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.85 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.09 | ||
| P/B | 1.61 | ||
| P/tB | 1.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.2 |
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY6.38%
EPS(NY)0.83
Fwd EY6.07%
FCF(TTM)0.69
FCFY5.04%
OCF(TTM)1.23
OCFY9.02%
SpS24.09
BVpS8.47
TBVpS8.47
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.92% | ||
| ROE | 10.85% | ||
| ROCE | 11.87% | ||
| ROIC | 9.38% | ||
| ROICexc | 16.8% | ||
| ROICexgc | 16.8% | ||
| OM | 4.75% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.81% | ||
| GM | 71.43% | ||
| FCFM | 2.85% |
ROA(3y)5.67%
ROA(5y)5.75%
ROE(3y)9.25%
ROE(5y)9.34%
ROIC(3y)10.54%
ROIC(5y)10.14%
ROICexc(3y)19.46%
ROICexc(5y)18.47%
ROICexgc(3y)19.46%
ROICexgc(5y)18.49%
ROCE(3y)13.35%
ROCE(5y)12.88%
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.45%
ROICexcg growth 5Y30.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.45%
ROICexc growth 5Y30.99%
OM growth 3Y-1.75%
OM growth 5Y29.97%
PM growth 3Y-15.09%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.72%
GM growth 5Y-0.45%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.81
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 75.66% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 38.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 74.73% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.44 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.64 |
F-Score8
WACC9.21%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)72.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)62.28%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.89%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.67%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)45%
EPS 3Y-10.21%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%53.33%
EPS Next Y-31.28%
EPS Next 2Y-6.66%
EPS Next 3Y-0.77%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.36%
Revenue growth 3Y4.95%
Revenue growth 5Y4.07%
Sales Q2Q%3.07%
Revenue Next Year-0.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.04%
Revenue Next 3Y1.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y61.19%
EBIT growth 3Y3.11%
EBIT growth 5Y35.26%
EBIT Next Year83.68%
EBIT Next 3Y29.26%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y170.48%
FCF growth 3Y-2.08%
FCF growth 5Y12.58%
OCF growth 1Y98.17%
OCF growth 3Y3.06%
OCF growth 5Y13.56%