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Duckhorn Portfolio Inc (NAPA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:NAPA - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US26414D1063 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

11.09  -0.02 (-0.18%)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

NAPA gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 32 industry peers in the Beverages industry. NAPA has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. NAPA is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NAPA had positive earnings in the past year.
NAPA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years NAPA has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years NAPA had a positive operating cash flow.
NAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNAPA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.70%, NAPA is doing worse than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of NAPA (4.02%) is worse than 73.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a worse Return On Invested Capital (4.52%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for NAPA is significantly below the industry average of 11.61%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROIC 4.52%
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
NAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNAPA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

1.3 Margins

NAPA's Profit Margin of 12.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of NAPA (25.26%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 52.26%, NAPA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of NAPA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
NAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNAPA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NAPA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, NAPA has more shares outstanding
NAPA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, NAPA has an improved debt to assets ratio.
NAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingNAPA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M
NAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNAPA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

NAPA has an Altman-Z score of 2.46. This is not the best score and indicates that NAPA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
NAPA's Altman-Z score of 2.46 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. NAPA outperforms 43.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
NAPA has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.22) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.46
ROIC/WACC0.53
WACC8.59%
NAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNAPA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.73 indicates that NAPA has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
NAPA has a Current ratio of 3.73. This is amongst the best in the industry. NAPA outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
NAPA has a Quick Ratio of 3.73. This is a bad value and indicates that NAPA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.61, NAPA is not doing good in the industry: 63.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
NAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNAPA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

NAPA shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -8.96%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 19.00% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
NAPA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.20%.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.95% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.92% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
NAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 200M 400M 600M
NAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNAPA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.18, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of NAPA.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than NAPA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.15. NAPA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.05 indicates a correct valuation of NAPA.
NAPA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. NAPA is cheaper than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of NAPA to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.60), we can say NAPA is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
NAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNAPA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of NAPA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: NAPA is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.96
NAPA Per share dataNAPA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates NAPA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for NAPA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Duckhorn Portfolio Inc

NYSE:NAPA (12/23/2024, 8:21:17 PM)

After market: 11.09 0 (0%)

11.09

-0.02 (-0.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)12-04 2024-12-04/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners35.21%
Inst Owner Change-87.76%
Ins Owners0.91%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.63B
Analysts78.18
Price Target10.73 (-3.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.5%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.82%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.18%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.5%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)8.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.84%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.18
Fwd PE 16.05
P/S 3.83
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 122.47
P/B 1.27
P/tB 2.68
EV/EBITDA 12.96
EPS(TTM)0.61
EY5.5%
EPS(NY)0.69
Fwd EY6.23%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.82%
SpS2.89
BVpS8.73
TBVpS4.14
PEG (NY)2.05
PEG (5Y)0.96
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.7%
ROE 4.02%
ROCE 6.18%
ROIC 4.52%
ROICexc 4.53%
ROICexgc 7.41%
OM 25.26%
PM (TTM) 12.12%
GM 52.26%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.35%
ROA(5y)4.11%
ROE(3y)6.24%
ROE(5y)6.13%
ROIC(3y)5.17%
ROIC(5y)5.05%
ROICexc(3y)5.19%
ROICexc(5y)5.07%
ROICexgc(3y)9.88%
ROICexgc(5y)10.44%
ROCE(3y)7.07%
ROCE(5y)6.9%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-16.44%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-2.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.93%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.65%
OM growth 3Y1.23%
OM growth 5Y4.05%
PM growth 3Y-6.01%
PM growth 5Y8.56%
GM growth 3Y2.17%
GM growth 5Y2.5%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.22
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.9
Cap/Depr 71.97%
Cap/Sales 6.84%
Interest Coverage 5.71
Cash Conversion 9%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.73
Quick Ratio 0.61
Altman-Z 2.46
F-Score4
WACC8.59%
ROIC/WACC0.53
Cap/Depr(3y)176.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)130.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.21%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-8.96%
EPS 3Y-4.47%
EPS 5Y19%
EPS Q2Q%-43.64%
EPS Next Y8.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.44%
EPS Next 3Y11.99%
EPS Next 5Y10.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.2%
Revenue growth 3Y6.4%
Revenue growth 5Y10.95%
Sales Q2Q%19.93%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y11.82%
Revenue Next 3Y10.77%
Revenue Next 5Y8.92%
EBIT growth 1Y5.91%
EBIT growth 3Y7.71%
EBIT growth 5Y15.44%
EBIT Next Year63.82%
EBIT Next 3Y23.22%
EBIT Next 5Y16.13%
FCF growth 1Y-157.77%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-81.6%
OCF growth 3Y-59.85%
OCF growth 5Y-37.16%