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NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA (NA.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:NA - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA6330671034 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

124.43  +0.95 (+0.77%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, NA scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. NA was compared to 31 industry peers in the Banks industry. There are concerns on the financial health of NA while its profitability can be described as average. NA is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

NA had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year NA had a positive cash flow from operations.
NA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years NA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
NA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFNA.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

NA has a Return On Assets of 0.79%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NA outperforms 80.65% of its industry peers.
NA has a Return On Equity of 14.34%. This is amongst the best in the industry. NA outperforms 83.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.79%
ROE 14.34%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.78%
ROA(5y)0.76%
ROE(3y)14.26%
ROE(5y)14.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
NA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICNA.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of NA (32.13%) is better than 80.65% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of NA has grown nicely.
NA does not have Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 32.13%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-2.07%
PM growth 5Y2.22%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
NA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsNA.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

NA does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
NA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
NA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for NA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
NA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingNA.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
NA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsNA.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100B 200B 300B 400B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of NA is 12.12, which is on the high side as it means it would take NA, 12.12 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 12.12, NA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.16% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.99 is on the high side and indicates that NA has dependencies on debt financing.
NA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.99. This is in the better half of the industry: NA outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF 12.12
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC17.48%
NA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFNA.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
NA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesNA.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

NA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 8.34%, which is quite good.
NA shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.31% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 12.09% in the past year. This is quite good.
NA shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.93% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.34%
EPS 3Y5.02%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%5.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.09%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y8.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.34%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.13% on average over the next years.
NA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.29% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.79%
EPS Next 2Y8.45%
EPS Next 3Y7.2%
EPS Next 5Y7.13%
Revenue Next Year9.82%
Revenue Next 2Y11.29%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
NA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesNA.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B
NA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesNA.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6 8 10

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.98, the valuation of NA can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of NA indicates a rather expensive valuation: NA more expensive than 87.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.63. NA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 11.21, which indicates a very decent valuation of NA.
90.32% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than NA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.68. NA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.98
Fwd PE 11.21
NA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsNA.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, NA is valued more expensive than 90.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.57
EV/EBITDA N/A
NA.CA Per share dataNA.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

NA's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.76
PEG (5Y)1.16
EPS Next 2Y8.45%
EPS Next 3Y7.2%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

NA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.69%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
NA's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 4.02.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, NA pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.69%

5.2 History

The dividend of NA is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.25%!
NA has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
NA has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.25%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years31
NA.CA Yearly Dividends per shareNA.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6

5.3 Sustainability

44.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by NA. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of NA is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP44.77%
EPS Next 2Y8.45%
EPS Next 3Y7.2%
NA.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendNA.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B
NA.CA Dividend Payout.NA.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.NA.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA

TSX:NA (2/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

124.43

+0.95 (+0.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)12-04 2024-12-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-26 2025-02-26/bmo
Inst Owners32.19%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap48.68B
Analysts76
Price Target143.04 (14.96%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.69%
Yearly Dividend4.83
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.25%
DP44.77%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years31
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.42%
Max EPS beat(2)4.56%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.42%
Max EPS beat(4)6.72%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.68%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.54%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)3.34%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.39%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.51%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.91%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)1.72%
PT rev (3m)11.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.24%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.14%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.98
Fwd PE 11.21
P/S 4.27
P/FCF 11.57
P/OCF 10.46
P/B 1.91
P/tB 2.14
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)10.39
EY8.35%
EPS(NY)11.1
Fwd EY8.92%
FCF(TTM)10.76
FCFY8.65%
OCF(TTM)11.89
OCFY9.56%
SpS29.14
BVpS65.31
TBVpS58.27
PEG (NY)1.76
PEG (5Y)1.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.79%
ROE 14.34%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 32.13%
GM N/A
FCFM 36.92%
ROA(3y)0.78%
ROA(5y)0.76%
ROE(3y)14.26%
ROE(5y)14.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-2.07%
PM growth 5Y2.22%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.02
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF 12.12
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 86.19%
Cap/Sales 3.89%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 114.91%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score7
WACC17.48%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)71.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)60.13%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.04%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)8.34%
EPS 3Y5.02%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%5.74%
EPS Next Y6.79%
EPS Next 2Y8.45%
EPS Next 3Y7.2%
EPS Next 5Y7.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.09%
Revenue growth 3Y8.49%
Revenue growth 5Y8.93%
Sales Q2Q%8.34%
Revenue Next Year9.82%
Revenue Next 2Y11.29%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-12.57%
FCF growth 3Y-10.63%
FCF growth 5Y-12.35%
OCF growth 1Y-9.95%
OCF growth 3Y-8.7%
OCF growth 5Y-10.89%