METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:MX • CA59151K1084
Current stock price
82.78 CAD
+1.29 (+1.58%)
Last:
This MX.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MX.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MX was profitable.
- MX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years MX has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years MX had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.10%, MX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
- MX's Return On Equity of 3.27% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MX outperforms 73.08% of its industry peers.
- MX's Return On Invested Capital of 5.67% is amongst the best of the industry. MX outperforms 80.77% of its industry peers.
- MX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.75%. This is below the industry average of 6.75%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (4.75%) for MX is below the current ROIC(5.67%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.1% | ||
| ROE | 3.27% | ||
| ROIC | 5.67% |
ROA(3y)2.1%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)6.71%
ROE(5y)13.1%
ROIC(3y)4.75%
ROIC(5y)6.47%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.23%, MX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
- MX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.90%, MX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MX has grown nicely.
- MX's Gross Margin of 25.33% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MX outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
- MX's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.23% | ||
| GM | 25.33% |
OM growth 3Y4.13%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-35.27%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.97%
GM growth 5Y1.73%
2. MX.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- MX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MX has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for MX has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for MX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.72, we must say that MX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- MX's Altman-Z score of 1.72 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MX outperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MX is 3.83, which is a good value as it means it would take MX, 3.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.83, MX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- MX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.37. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.37, MX is doing worse than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.72 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC11.48%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.06 indicates that MX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- MX's Current ratio of 2.06 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MX outperforms 65.38% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.37 indicates that MX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.37, MX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.37 |
3. MX.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -41.13%.
- Measured over the past years, MX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -22.69% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.26% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.13%
EPS 3Y-22.69%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-111.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.93%
Revenue growth 5Y6.26%
Sales Q2Q%2.09%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.09% on average over the next years.
- MX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y79.47%
EPS Next 2Y37.19%
EPS Next 3Y19.3%
EPS Next 5Y-4.09%
Revenue Next Year18.91%
Revenue Next 2Y4.63%
Revenue Next 3Y3.17%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MX.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 27.59, which means the current valuation is very expensive for MX.
- 84.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.35. MX is around the same levels.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.39 indicates a correct valuation of MX.
- 84.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.23. MX is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.39 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MX indicates a rather cheap valuation: MX is cheaper than 80.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 96.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- MX has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as MX's earnings are expected to grow with 19.30% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y37.19%
EPS Next 3Y19.3%
5. MX.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.28%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.81, MX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MX is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.28% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.39%!
- MX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- MX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.39%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- MX pays out 67.05% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of MX has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP67.05%
EPS Next 2Y37.19%
EPS Next 3Y19.3%
MX.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:MX (4/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
82.78
+1.29 (+1.58%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)03-05 2026-03-05/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29/amc
Inst Owners70.72%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.61%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.40B
Revenue(TTM)3.59B
Net Income(TTM)79.87M
Analysts81.54
Price Target65.48 (-20.9%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.28% |
Yearly Dividend1.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.39%
DP67.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-17 2026-03-17 (0.185)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-103.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-120.47%
Max EPS beat(2)-85.85%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-120.47%
Max EPS beat(4)186.83%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)22.76%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)31.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)24.36%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.72%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.78%
Max Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.66%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.74%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.32%
PT rev (1m)20.22%
PT rev (3m)25.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-59.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.49%
EPS NY rev (3m)9.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.43%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.59 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.39 | ||
| P/S | 1.3 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.61 | ||
| P/B | 1.92 | ||
| P/tB | 1.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.46 |
EPS(TTM)3
EY3.62%
EPS(NY)5.38
Fwd EY6.5%
FCF(TTM)16.21
FCFY19.59%
OCF(TTM)17.96
OCFY21.7%
SpS63.49
BVpS43.22
TBVpS43.22
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number54.0115 (-34.75%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.1% | ||
| ROE | 3.27% | ||
| ROCE | 7.06% | ||
| ROIC | 5.67% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.06% | ||
| ROICexgc | 6.06% | ||
| OM | 12.9% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.23% | ||
| GM | 25.33% | ||
| FCFM | 25.54% |
ROA(3y)2.1%
ROA(5y)3.91%
ROE(3y)6.71%
ROE(5y)13.1%
ROIC(3y)4.75%
ROIC(5y)6.47%
ROICexc(3y)5.28%
ROICexc(5y)7.53%
ROICexgc(3y)5.28%
ROICexgc(5y)7.53%
ROCE(3y)5.91%
ROCE(5y)8.06%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.55%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.55%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y4.13%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-35.27%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.97%
GM growth 5Y1.73%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.37 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.83 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.69 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 22.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.76% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 111.71% | ||
| Profit Quality | 1147.53% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.06 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.37 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.72 |
F-Score5
WACC11.48%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)60.59%
Cap/Depr(5y)80.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.69%
Profit Quality(3y)537.5%
Profit Quality(5y)376.73%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-41.13%
EPS 3Y-22.69%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-111.29%
EPS Next Y79.47%
EPS Next 2Y37.19%
EPS Next 3Y19.3%
EPS Next 5Y-4.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.93%
Revenue growth 5Y6.26%
Sales Q2Q%2.09%
Revenue Next Year18.91%
Revenue Next 2Y4.63%
Revenue Next 3Y3.17%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y42.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.04%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year124.4%
EBIT Next 3Y24.3%
EBIT Next 5Y15.5%
FCF growth 1Y62.77%
FCF growth 3Y30.76%
FCF growth 5Y50.35%
OCF growth 1Y37.76%
OCF growth 3Y0.94%
OCF growth 5Y17.11%
METHANEX CORP / MX.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MX.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for METHANEX CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to METHANEX CORP (MX.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) stock?
METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MX stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) is 27.59 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.92.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MX stock?
The dividend rating of METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 67.05%.