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METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:MX - CA59151K1084 - Common Stock

62.74 CAD
+1.22 (+1.98%)
Last: 1/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, MX scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MX was compared to 27 industry peers in the Chemicals industry. While MX has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. A decent growth rate in combination with a cheap valuation! Better keep an eye on MX. With these ratings, MX could be worth investigating further for value investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MX was profitable.
MX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years MX 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years MX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMX.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.84%, MX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.48% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of MX (8.31%) is better than 85.19% of its industry peers.
MX's Return On Invested Capital of 5.46% is amongst the best of the industry. MX outperforms 85.19% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MX is below the industry average of 7.57%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.64%) for MX is below the current ROIC(5.46%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.84%
ROE 8.31%
ROIC 5.46%
ROA(3y)3.51%
ROA(5y)3.14%
ROE(3y)11.2%
ROE(5y)9.72%
ROIC(3y)4.64%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMX.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.99%, MX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
MX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 14.45%, MX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.48% of the companies in the same industry.
MX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MX has a better Gross Margin (25.93%) than 62.96% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MX has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.45%
PM (TTM) 5.99%
GM 25.93%
OM growth 3Y-18.5%
OM growth 5Y15.49%
PM growth 3Y-26.11%
PM growth 5Y10.52%
GM growth 3Y0.81%
GM growth 5Y5.2%
MX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMX.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MX is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MX has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, MX has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MX has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingMX.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
MX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMX.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

MX has an Altman-Z score of 1.58. This is a bad value and indicates that MX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
MX has a better Altman-Z score (1.58) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
MX has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.90. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MX would need 3.90 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.90, MX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.30% of the companies in the same industry.
MX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.34. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.34, MX is doing worse than 70.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF 3.9
Altman-Z 1.58
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC10.51%
MX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMX.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.09 indicates that MX has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.09, MX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.33 indicates that MX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MX (1.33) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.09
Quick Ratio 1.33
MX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMX.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 19.00% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, MX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 31.95% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, MX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.36% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.53% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)19%
EPS 3Y-14.87%
EPS 5Y31.95%
EPS Q2Q%-95.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.55%
Revenue growth 5Y2.53%
Sales Q2Q%-0.79%

3.2 Future

MX is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -8.42% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.53% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-13.98%
EPS Next 2Y-3.76%
EPS Next 3Y0.05%
EPS Next 5Y-8.42%
Revenue Next Year-2.72%
Revenue Next 2Y4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y3.53%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
MX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMX.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B 4B
MX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMX.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 2 4 6

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.67, MX is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MX indicates a rather cheap valuation: MX is cheaper than 92.59% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.19, MX is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.14 indicates a correct valuation of MX.
81.48% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MX to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.88), we can say MX is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.67
Fwd PE 13.14
MX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMX.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MX is valued cheaper than 81.48% of the companies in the same industry.
MX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MX is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.77
EV/EBITDA 7.24
MX.CA Per share dataMX.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.4
EPS Next 2Y-3.76%
EPS Next 3Y0.05%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.94%.
MX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.34.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, MX has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.94%

5.2 History

The dividend of MX decreases each year by -12.05%.
MX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.05%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
MX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareMX.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1

5.3 Sustainability

24.20% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
MX's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP24.2%
EPS Next 2Y-3.76%
EPS Next 3Y0.05%
MX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMX.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M 400M 600M
MX.CA Dividend Payout.MX.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MX.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

METHANEX CORP

TSX:MX (1/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

62.74

+1.22 (+1.98%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryChemicals
Earnings (Last)10-29 2025-10-29/amc
Earnings (Next)01-27 2026-01-27/amc
Inst Owners69.22%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.6%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap4.85B
Revenue(TTM)3.57B
Net Income(TTM)213.70M
Analysts84.62
Price Target52.22 (-16.77%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.94%
Yearly Dividend1.01
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.05%
DP24.2%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)50.49%
Min EPS beat(2)-85.85%
Max EPS beat(2)186.83%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)27.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-85.85%
Max EPS beat(4)186.83%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)45.19%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)44.37%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)31.74%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.23%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.81%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.78%
Min Revenue beat(4)-14.78%
Max Revenue beat(4)-7.81%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.05%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.78%
PT rev (1m)-0.39%
PT rev (3m)-0.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.67
Fwd PE 13.14
P/S 0.98
P/FCF 3.77
P/OCF 3.31
P/B 1.36
P/tB 1.36
EV/EBITDA 7.24
EPS(TTM)4.95
EY7.89%
EPS(NY)4.78
Fwd EY7.61%
FCF(TTM)16.63
FCFY26.5%
OCF(TTM)18.95
OCFY30.2%
SpS63.97
BVpS46.06
TBVpS46.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.4
Graham Number71.63
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.84%
ROE 8.31%
ROCE 7.58%
ROIC 5.46%
ROICexc 5.81%
ROICexgc 5.81%
OM 14.45%
PM (TTM) 5.99%
GM 25.93%
FCFM 25.99%
ROA(3y)3.51%
ROA(5y)3.14%
ROE(3y)11.2%
ROE(5y)9.72%
ROIC(3y)4.64%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)5.37%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)5.37%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.45%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-27.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.09%
ROICexc growth 3Y-27.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.09%
OM growth 3Y-18.5%
OM growth 5Y15.49%
PM growth 3Y-26.11%
PM growth 5Y10.52%
GM growth 3Y0.81%
GM growth 5Y5.2%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.47
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.34
Debt/FCF 3.9
Debt/EBITDA 3.73
Cap/Depr 31.59%
Cap/Sales 3.63%
Interest Coverage 2.62
Cash Conversion 114.22%
Profit Quality 434.11%
Current Ratio 2.09
Quick Ratio 1.33
Altman-Z 1.58
F-Score6
WACC10.51%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)104.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)95.59%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.04%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.71%
Profit Quality(3y)193.63%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)19%
EPS 3Y-14.87%
EPS 5Y31.95%
EPS Q2Q%-95.04%
EPS Next Y-13.98%
EPS Next 2Y-3.76%
EPS Next 3Y0.05%
EPS Next 5Y-8.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.36%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.55%
Revenue growth 5Y2.53%
Sales Q2Q%-0.79%
Revenue Next Year-2.72%
Revenue Next 2Y4.64%
Revenue Next 3Y3.53%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y105.99%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.02%
EBIT growth 5Y18.41%
EBIT Next Year163.2%
EBIT Next 3Y46.67%
EBIT Next 5Y29.76%
FCF growth 1Y478.85%
FCF growth 3Y-9.07%
FCF growth 5Y24.08%
OCF growth 1Y51.94%
OCF growth 3Y-9.49%
OCF growth 5Y7.42%

METHANEX CORP / MX.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MX stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to MX.CA.


What is the valuation status for MX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to METHANEX CORP (MX.CA). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of MX stock?

METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) is 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for METHANEX CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of METHANEX CORP (MX.CA) is expected to decline by -13.98% in the next year.