MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:MUSA • US6267551025

397.42 USD
-47.43 (-10.66%)
At close: Feb 5, 2026
397.42 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/5/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MUSA. MUSA was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. MUSA scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MUSA has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MUSA was profitable.
  • In the past year MUSA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MUSA had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years MUSA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
MUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of MUSA (10.08%) is better than 85.95% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 86.30%, MUSA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.52% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA's Return On Invested Capital of 15.01% is amongst the best of the industry. MUSA outperforms 84.30% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 19.00%. This is significantly above the industry average of 12.09%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.08%
ROE 86.3%
ROIC 15.01%
ROA(3y)13.41%
ROA(5y)12.88%
ROE(3y)77.34%
ROE(5y)66.09%
ROIC(3y)19%
ROIC(5y)18.15%
MUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.44%, MUSA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MUSA's Operating Margin of 3.79% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA outperforms 59.50% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 11.99%, MUSA is doing worse than 88.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUSA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.79%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 11.99%
OM growth 3Y1.87%
OM growth 5Y14.26%
PM growth 3Y2.77%
PM growth 5Y17.58%
GM growth 3Y2.28%
GM growth 5Y7.25%
MUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MUSA is creating value.
  • MUSA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
MUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingMUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
MUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 7.03 indicates that MUSA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MUSA has a better Altman-Z score (7.03) than 94.21% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUSA is 6.10, which is on the high side as it means it would take MUSA, 6.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.10, MUSA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.07. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 4.07, MUSA is doing worse than 77.69% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.07
Debt/FCF 6.1
Altman-Z 7.03
ROIC/WACC1.58
WACC9.48%
MUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MUSA has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that MUSA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MUSA has a worse Current ratio (0.81) than 83.47% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MUSA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MUSA has a Quick ratio of 0.40. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUSA outperforms 40.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.4
MUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.33% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, MUSA shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.72% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.7%

3.2 Future

  • MUSA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.33% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MUSA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.71% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
EPS Next 5Y13.33%
Revenue Next Year2.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
MUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
MUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10 20 30 40 50

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MUSA is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.37.
  • 76.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUSA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • MUSA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.67, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.15 indicates a correct valuation of MUSA.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper than 70.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.37
Fwd PE 15.15
MUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MUSA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MUSA is cheaper than 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 66.94% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUSA, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.27
EV/EBITDA 10.48
MUSA Per share dataMUSA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 200 400 600 800 1K

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MUSA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • MUSA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)1.29
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.57%, MUSA is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.19, MUSA pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MUSA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%

5.2 History

  • MUSA has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • MUSA has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MUSA Yearly Dividends per shareMUSA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUSA pays out 8.36% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP8.36%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
MUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
MUSA Dividend Payout.MUSA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUSA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MURPHY USA INC

NYSE:MUSA (2/5/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 397.42 0 (0%)

397.42

-47.43 (-10.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners88.87%
Inst Owner Change-1.63%
Ins Owners7.81%
Ins Owner Change-1.35%
Market Cap7.44B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)471.20M
Analysts74.67
Price Target438.44 (10.32%)
Short Float %7.59%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%
Yearly Dividend1.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP8.36%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.02%
Max EPS beat(2)8.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-35.68%
Max EPS beat(4)8.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.96%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.67%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.44%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.23%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.85%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-2.01%
PT rev (3m)-3.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.56%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.37
Fwd PE 15.15
P/S 0.38
P/FCF 20.27
P/OCF 9.11
P/B 13.63
P/tB 94.7
EV/EBITDA 10.48
EPS(TTM)24.28
EY6.11%
EPS(NY)26.24
Fwd EY6.6%
FCF(TTM)19.6
FCFY4.93%
OCF(TTM)43.63
OCFY10.98%
SpS1033.14
BVpS29.15
TBVpS4.2
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)1.29
Graham Number126.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.08%
ROE 86.3%
ROCE 19.63%
ROIC 15.01%
ROICexc 15.19%
ROICexgc 17.39%
OM 3.79%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 11.99%
FCFM 1.9%
ROA(3y)13.41%
ROA(5y)12.88%
ROE(3y)77.34%
ROE(5y)66.09%
ROIC(3y)19%
ROIC(5y)18.15%
ROICexc(3y)19.48%
ROICexc(5y)19%
ROICexgc(3y)22.67%
ROICexgc(5y)21.44%
ROCE(3y)24.85%
ROCE(5y)23.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.54%
OM growth 3Y1.87%
OM growth 5Y14.26%
PM growth 3Y2.77%
PM growth 5Y17.58%
GM growth 3Y2.28%
GM growth 5Y7.25%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover4.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.07
Debt/FCF 6.1
Debt/EBITDA 2.21
Cap/Depr 165.83%
Cap/Sales 2.32%
Interest Coverage 7.34
Cash Conversion 81.31%
Profit Quality 77.93%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.4
Altman-Z 7.03
F-Score6
WACC9.48%
ROIC/WACC1.58
Cap/Depr(3y)156.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)148.5%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.75%
Profit Quality(3y)86.83%
Profit Quality(5y)92.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
EPS Next 5Y13.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.7%
Revenue Next Year2.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.76%
EBIT growth 3Y7.22%
EBIT growth 5Y22.94%
EBIT Next Year33.33%
EBIT Next 3Y13.05%
EBIT Next 5Y10.98%
FCF growth 1Y-14.07%
FCF growth 3Y-5.58%
FCF growth 5Y29.13%
OCF growth 1Y11.31%
OCF growth 3Y4.75%
OCF growth 5Y22.02%

MURPHY USA INC / MUSA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MURPHY USA INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MUSA.


What is the valuation status of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MURPHY USA INC (MUSA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MUSA stock?

The financial health rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 4 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

The dividend rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 8.36%.