MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:MUSA • US6267551025

444.85 USD
+10.01 (+2.3%)
At close: Feb 4, 2026
444.85 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/4/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MUSA. MUSA was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While MUSA belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MUSA is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MUSA was profitable.
  • In the past year MUSA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MUSA had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • MUSA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • MUSA's Return On Assets of 10.08% is amongst the best of the industry. MUSA outperforms 85.95% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of MUSA (86.30%) is better than 97.52% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 15.01%, MUSA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 84.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MUSA is significantly above the industry average of 12.09%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.08%
ROE 86.3%
ROIC 15.01%
ROA(3y)13.41%
ROA(5y)12.88%
ROE(3y)77.34%
ROE(5y)66.09%
ROIC(3y)19%
ROIC(5y)18.15%
MUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • MUSA has a better Profit Margin (2.44%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 3.79%, MUSA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUSA has grown nicely.
  • MUSA has a worse Gross Margin (11.99%) than 88.43% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUSA has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.79%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 11.99%
OM growth 3Y1.87%
OM growth 5Y14.26%
PM growth 3Y2.77%
PM growth 5Y17.58%
GM growth 3Y2.28%
GM growth 5Y7.25%
MUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MUSA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • MUSA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
MUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingMUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
MUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 7.03 indicates that MUSA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MUSA has a Altman-Z score of 7.03. This is amongst the best in the industry. MUSA outperforms 94.21% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUSA is 6.10, which is on the high side as it means it would take MUSA, 6.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.10, MUSA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 4.07. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MUSA (4.07) is worse than 77.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.07
Debt/FCF 6.1
Altman-Z 7.03
ROIC/WACC1.58
WACC9.5%
MUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.81 indicates that MUSA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.81, MUSA is not doing good in the industry: 83.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.40 indicates that MUSA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MUSA has a Quick ratio (0.40) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.4
MUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.33% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, MUSA shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 12.72% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.7%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.33% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • MUSA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.71% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
EPS Next 5Y13.33%
Revenue Next Year2.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
MUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
MUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10 20 30 40 50

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • MUSA is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.32.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MUSA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MUSA is cheaper than 76.86% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • MUSA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.25, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.95, which indicates a correct valuation of MUSA.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • MUSA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.50, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.32
Fwd PE 16.95
MUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MUSA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MUSA is cheaper than 61.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • MUSA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MUSA is cheaper than 66.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.69
EV/EBITDA 10.48
MUSA Per share dataMUSA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 200 400 600 800 1K

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • MUSA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.27
PEG (5Y)1.44
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.57%, MUSA is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.20, MUSA pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.57, MUSA pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%

5.2 History

  • MUSA has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • MUSA has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MUSA Yearly Dividends per shareMUSA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 8.36% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MUSA. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP8.36%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
MUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
MUSA Dividend Payout.MUSA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUSA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MURPHY USA INC

NYSE:MUSA (2/4/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 444.85 0 (0%)

444.85

+10.01 (+2.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners88.87%
Inst Owner Change-1.63%
Ins Owners7.81%
Ins Owner Change-1.35%
Market Cap8.33B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)471.20M
Analysts74.67
Price Target438.44 (-1.44%)
Short Float %7.59%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%
Yearly Dividend1.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP8.36%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.02%
Max EPS beat(2)8.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-35.68%
Max EPS beat(4)8.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.96%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.67%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.44%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.23%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.85%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-2.01%
PT rev (3m)-3.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.56%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.32
Fwd PE 16.95
P/S 0.43
P/FCF 22.69
P/OCF 10.2
P/B 15.26
P/tB 106.01
EV/EBITDA 10.48
EPS(TTM)24.28
EY5.46%
EPS(NY)26.24
Fwd EY5.9%
FCF(TTM)19.6
FCFY4.41%
OCF(TTM)43.63
OCFY9.81%
SpS1033.14
BVpS29.15
TBVpS4.2
PEG (NY)2.27
PEG (5Y)1.44
Graham Number126.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.08%
ROE 86.3%
ROCE 19.63%
ROIC 15.01%
ROICexc 15.19%
ROICexgc 17.39%
OM 3.79%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 11.99%
FCFM 1.9%
ROA(3y)13.41%
ROA(5y)12.88%
ROE(3y)77.34%
ROE(5y)66.09%
ROIC(3y)19%
ROIC(5y)18.15%
ROICexc(3y)19.48%
ROICexc(5y)19%
ROICexgc(3y)22.67%
ROICexgc(5y)21.44%
ROCE(3y)24.85%
ROCE(5y)23.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.54%
OM growth 3Y1.87%
OM growth 5Y14.26%
PM growth 3Y2.77%
PM growth 5Y17.58%
GM growth 3Y2.28%
GM growth 5Y7.25%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover4.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.07
Debt/FCF 6.1
Debt/EBITDA 2.21
Cap/Depr 165.83%
Cap/Sales 2.32%
Interest Coverage 7.34
Cash Conversion 81.31%
Profit Quality 77.93%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.4
Altman-Z 7.03
F-Score6
WACC9.5%
ROIC/WACC1.58
Cap/Depr(3y)156.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)148.5%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.75%
Profit Quality(3y)86.83%
Profit Quality(5y)92.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
EPS Next 5Y13.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.7%
Revenue Next Year2.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.76%
EBIT growth 3Y7.22%
EBIT growth 5Y22.94%
EBIT Next Year33.33%
EBIT Next 3Y13.05%
EBIT Next 5Y10.98%
FCF growth 1Y-14.07%
FCF growth 3Y-5.58%
FCF growth 5Y29.13%
OCF growth 1Y11.31%
OCF growth 3Y4.75%
OCF growth 5Y22.02%

MURPHY USA INC / MUSA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MURPHY USA INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MUSA.


What is the valuation status of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MURPHY USA INC (MUSA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MUSA stock?

The financial health rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 5 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

The dividend rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 8.36%.