MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MUSA • US6267551025

Current stock price

473.17 USD
-7.1 (-1.48%)
At close:
473.17 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This MUSA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. MUSA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MUSA had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MUSA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years MUSA has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years MUSA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • MUSA's Return On Assets of 9.96% is amongst the best of the industry. MUSA outperforms 84.80% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA has a Return On Equity of 75.48%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MUSA outperforms 98.40% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 15.03%, MUSA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.55%. This is above the industry average of 13.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.96%
ROE 75.48%
ROIC 15.03%
ROA(3y)11.28%
ROA(5y)12%
ROE(3y)67.49%
ROE(5y)71.34%
ROIC(3y)16.55%
ROIC(5y)17.32%
MUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 2.43%, MUSA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 3.82%, MUSA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.40% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • MUSA's Gross Margin of 12.17% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA is outperformed by 86.40% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUSA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.82%
PM (TTM) 2.43%
GM 12.17%
OM growth 3Y-2.68%
OM growth 5Y-5.17%
PM growth 3Y-5.43%
PM growth 5Y-6.66%
GM growth 3Y5.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
MUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8 10

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. MUSA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MUSA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • MUSA has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MUSA has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MUSA has a worse debt to assets ratio.
MUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingMUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M
MUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • MUSA has an Altman-Z score of 7.09. This indicates that MUSA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MUSA's Altman-Z score of 7.09 is amongst the best of the industry. MUSA outperforms 97.60% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUSA is 5.83, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MUSA, 5.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUSA (5.83) is better than 61.60% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.47 is on the high side and indicates that MUSA has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.47, MUSA is not doing good in the industry: 72.80% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.47
Debt/FCF 5.83
Altman-Z 7.09
ROIC/WACC1.56
WACC9.63%
MUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.80 indicates that MUSA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of MUSA (0.80) is worse than 85.60% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MUSA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MUSA has a worse Quick ratio (0.36) than 64.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.36
MUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MUSA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.33% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.72% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -4.25% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, MUSA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.14%
Revenue growth 5Y11.47%
Sales Q2Q%0.7%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.73% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y4.27%
EPS Next 2Y6.69%
EPS Next 3Y8.58%
EPS Next 5Y6.73%
Revenue Next Year0.33%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y3.28%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
MUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10 20 30 40 50

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. MUSA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.49, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MUSA.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.20% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. MUSA is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.69, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MUSA.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.80% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • MUSA is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.28, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.49
Fwd PE 18.69
MUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MUSA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper than 62.40% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.44
EV/EBITDA 10.75
MUSA Per share dataMUSA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 200 400 600 800 1K

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of MUSA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.57
PEG (5Y)1.53
EPS Next 2Y6.69%
EPS Next 3Y8.58%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. MUSA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.52%, MUSA is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • MUSA's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.42.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, MUSA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.52%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MUSA is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 55.16%!
  • MUSA has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • MUSA has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)55.16%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MUSA Yearly Dividends per shareMUSA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUSA pays out 8.82% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MUSA is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP8.82%
EPS Next 2Y6.69%
EPS Next 3Y8.58%
MUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
MUSA Dividend Payout.MUSA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUSA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MUSA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MURPHY USA INC

NYSE:MUSA (3/20/2026, 8:11:36 PM)

After market: 473.17 0 (0%)

473.17

-7.1 (-1.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners87.41%
Inst Owner Change-1.73%
Ins Owners7.92%
Ins Owner Change-3.13%
Market Cap8.77B
Revenue(TTM)19.38B
Net Income(TTM)470.60M
Analysts72.5
Price Target428.62 (-9.42%)
Short Float %8.22%
Short Ratio3.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.52%
Yearly Dividend2.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)55.16%
DP8.82%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date02-23
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.02%
Max EPS beat(2)8.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-35.68%
Max EPS beat(4)8.94%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.07%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.4%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)10.15%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.71%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.02%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)-2.24%
PT rev (3m)1.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.98%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.46%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.81%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.49
Fwd PE 18.69
P/S 0.45
P/FCF 23.44
P/OCF 10.78
P/B 14.07
P/tB 56.16
EV/EBITDA 10.75
EPS(TTM)24.28
EY5.13%
EPS(NY)25.32
Fwd EY5.35%
FCF(TTM)20.19
FCFY4.27%
OCF(TTM)43.9
OCFY9.28%
SpS1045.52
BVpS33.63
TBVpS8.43
PEG (NY)4.57
PEG (5Y)1.53
Graham Number135.54
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.96%
ROE 75.48%
ROCE 19.48%
ROIC 15.03%
ROICexc 15.15%
ROICexgc 17.29%
OM 3.82%
PM (TTM) 2.43%
GM 12.17%
FCFM 1.93%
ROA(3y)11.28%
ROA(5y)12%
ROE(3y)67.49%
ROE(5y)71.34%
ROIC(3y)16.55%
ROIC(5y)17.32%
ROICexc(3y)16.89%
ROICexc(5y)17.86%
ROICexgc(3y)19.48%
ROICexgc(5y)20.76%
ROCE(3y)21.45%
ROCE(5y)22.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-14.34%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.58%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.95%
OM growth 3Y-2.68%
OM growth 5Y-5.17%
PM growth 3Y-5.43%
PM growth 5Y-6.66%
GM growth 3Y5.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover4.1
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.47
Debt/FCF 5.83
Debt/EBITDA 2.13
Cap/Depr 158.82%
Cap/Sales 2.27%
Interest Coverage 7.04
Cash Conversion 80.08%
Profit Quality 79.54%
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.36
Altman-Z 7.09
F-Score6
WACC9.63%
ROIC/WACC1.56
Cap/Depr(3y)163.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)151.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.03%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)79.19%
Profit Quality(5y)91.31%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
EPS Next Y4.27%
EPS Next 2Y6.69%
EPS Next 3Y8.58%
EPS Next 5Y6.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.14%
Revenue growth 5Y11.47%
Sales Q2Q%0.7%
Revenue Next Year0.33%
Revenue Next 2Y1.9%
Revenue Next 3Y3.28%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y5.71%
EBIT Next Year41.81%
EBIT Next 3Y16.77%
EBIT Next 5Y11.91%
FCF growth 1Y-3.9%
FCF growth 3Y-18.42%
FCF growth 5Y2.37%
OCF growth 1Y-3.98%
OCF growth 3Y-6.47%
OCF growth 5Y7.62%

MURPHY USA INC / MUSA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MURPHY USA INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MUSA.


What is the valuation status of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY USA INC (MUSA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MUSA stock?

The financial health rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 4 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

The dividend rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 8.82%.