MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:MUSA • US6267551025

397.42 USD
-47.43 (-10.66%)
At close: Feb 5, 2026
397.42 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, MUSA scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MUSA was compared to 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. While MUSA has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. MUSA is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MUSA was profitable.
  • In the past year MUSA had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years MUSA 4 years were profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years MUSA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
MUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUSA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.08%, MUSA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA has a Return On Equity of 86.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MUSA outperforms 97.52% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 15.01%, MUSA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUSA is significantly above the industry average of 12.09%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.08%
ROE 86.3%
ROIC 15.01%
ROA(3y)13.41%
ROA(5y)12.88%
ROE(3y)77.34%
ROE(5y)66.09%
ROIC(3y)19%
ROIC(5y)18.15%
MUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUSA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • MUSA has a better Profit Margin (2.44%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MUSA has grown nicely.
  • MUSA has a Operating Margin (3.79%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUSA has grown nicely.
  • MUSA's Gross Margin of 11.99% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA is outperformed by 88.43% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.79%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 11.99%
OM growth 3Y1.87%
OM growth 5Y14.26%
PM growth 3Y2.77%
PM growth 5Y17.58%
GM growth 3Y2.28%
GM growth 5Y7.25%
MUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUSA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUSA is creating value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for MUSA. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
MUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingMUSA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M
MUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUSA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • MUSA has an Altman-Z score of 7.03. This indicates that MUSA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 7.03, MUSA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUSA has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.10. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MUSA would need 6.10 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 6.10, MUSA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 4.07 is on the high side and indicates that MUSA has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 4.07, MUSA is not doing good in the industry: 77.69% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.07
Debt/FCF 6.1
Altman-Z 7.03
ROIC/WACC1.58
WACC9.48%
MUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUSA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MUSA has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that MUSA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of MUSA (0.81) is worse than 83.47% of its industry peers.
  • MUSA has a Quick Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that MUSA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MUSA has a Quick ratio (0.40) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.4
MUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUSA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • MUSA shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 0.33%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.72% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.7%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MUSA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.33% on average per year.
  • MUSA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.71% yearly.
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
EPS Next 5Y13.33%
Revenue Next Year2.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
MUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
MUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUSA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 10 20 30 40 50

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.37 indicates a correct valuation of MUSA.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.67, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.15, which indicates a correct valuation of MUSA.
  • 70.25% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUSA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUSA to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.20), we can say MUSA is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.37
Fwd PE 15.15
MUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUSA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MUSA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MUSA is cheaper than 61.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 66.94% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUSA, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.27
EV/EBITDA 10.48
MUSA Per share dataMUSA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 200 400 600 800 1K

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates MUSA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of MUSA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)1.29
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.57%, MUSA is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.19, MUSA pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.57, MUSA pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%

5.2 History

  • MUSA has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • MUSA has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MUSA Yearly Dividends per shareMUSA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUSA pays out 8.36% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP8.36%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
MUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUSA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
MUSA Dividend Payout.MUSA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUSA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MURPHY USA INC

NYSE:MUSA (2/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

After market: 397.42 0 (0%)

397.42

-47.43 (-10.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners88.87%
Inst Owner Change-1.63%
Ins Owners7.81%
Ins Owner Change-1.35%
Market Cap7.44B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)471.20M
Analysts74.67
Price Target438.44 (10.32%)
Short Float %7.59%
Short Ratio4.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%
Yearly Dividend1.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP8.36%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.02%
Max EPS beat(2)8.37%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-35.68%
Max EPS beat(4)8.37%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-5.96%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.67%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)11.44%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.14%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.83%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.23%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.85%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.69%
PT rev (1m)-2.01%
PT rev (3m)-3.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.56%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.14%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.28%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.37
Fwd PE 15.15
P/S 0.38
P/FCF 20.27
P/OCF 9.11
P/B 13.63
P/tB 94.7
EV/EBITDA 10.48
EPS(TTM)24.28
EY6.11%
EPS(NY)26.24
Fwd EY6.6%
FCF(TTM)19.6
FCFY4.93%
OCF(TTM)43.63
OCFY10.98%
SpS1033.14
BVpS29.15
TBVpS4.2
PEG (NY)2.03
PEG (5Y)1.29
Graham Number126.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.08%
ROE 86.3%
ROCE 19.63%
ROIC 15.01%
ROICexc 15.19%
ROICexgc 17.39%
OM 3.79%
PM (TTM) 2.44%
GM 11.99%
FCFM 1.9%
ROA(3y)13.41%
ROA(5y)12.88%
ROE(3y)77.34%
ROE(5y)66.09%
ROIC(3y)19%
ROIC(5y)18.15%
ROICexc(3y)19.48%
ROICexc(5y)19%
ROICexgc(3y)22.67%
ROICexgc(5y)21.44%
ROCE(3y)24.85%
ROCE(5y)23.74%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.96%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.65%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.7%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.54%
OM growth 3Y1.87%
OM growth 5Y14.26%
PM growth 3Y2.77%
PM growth 5Y17.58%
GM growth 3Y2.28%
GM growth 5Y7.25%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover4.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 4.07
Debt/FCF 6.1
Debt/EBITDA 2.21
Cap/Depr 165.83%
Cap/Sales 2.32%
Interest Coverage 7.34
Cash Conversion 81.31%
Profit Quality 77.93%
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.4
Altman-Z 7.03
F-Score6
WACC9.48%
ROIC/WACC1.58
Cap/Depr(3y)156.66%
Cap/Depr(5y)148.5%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.75%
Profit Quality(3y)86.83%
Profit Quality(5y)92.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
EPS Next Y8.07%
EPS Next 2Y9.85%
EPS Next 3Y10.49%
EPS Next 5Y13.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%0.7%
Revenue Next Year2.86%
Revenue Next 2Y2.47%
Revenue Next 3Y4.23%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.76%
EBIT growth 3Y7.22%
EBIT growth 5Y22.94%
EBIT Next Year33.33%
EBIT Next 3Y13.05%
EBIT Next 5Y10.98%
FCF growth 1Y-14.07%
FCF growth 3Y-5.58%
FCF growth 5Y29.13%
OCF growth 1Y11.31%
OCF growth 3Y4.75%
OCF growth 5Y22.02%

MURPHY USA INC / MUSA FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MURPHY USA INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MUSA.


What is the valuation status of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MURPHY USA INC (MUSA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MUSA stock?

The financial health rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 4 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?

The dividend rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 8.36%.