MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MUSA • US6267551025
Current stock price
519.78 USD
+7.33 (+1.43%)
At close:
519.78 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This MUSA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MUSA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MUSA was profitable.
- In the past year MUSA had a positive cash flow from operations.
- MUSA had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years MUSA had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.96%, MUSA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of MUSA (75.48%) is better than 98.37% of its industry peers.
- MUSA has a Return On Invested Capital of 15.03%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MUSA outperforms 84.55% of its industry peers.
- MUSA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.55%. This is above the industry average of 13.58%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.96% | ||
| ROE | 75.48% | ||
| ROIC | 15.03% |
ROA(3y)11.28%
ROA(5y)12%
ROE(3y)67.49%
ROE(5y)71.34%
ROIC(3y)16.55%
ROIC(5y)17.32%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 2.43%, MUSA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MUSA has declined.
- MUSA's Operating Margin of 3.82% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA outperforms 61.79% of its industry peers.
- MUSA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- MUSA has a Gross Margin of 12.17%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: MUSA underperforms 87.80% of its industry peers.
- MUSA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 3.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.43% | ||
| GM | 12.17% |
OM growth 3Y-2.68%
OM growth 5Y-5.17%
PM growth 3Y-5.43%
PM growth 5Y-6.66%
GM growth 3Y5.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
2. MUSA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUSA is creating value.
- The number of shares outstanding for MUSA has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, MUSA has less shares outstanding
- MUSA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 7.21 indicates that MUSA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of MUSA (7.21) is better than 95.12% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MUSA is 5.83, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MUSA, 5.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- MUSA's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.83 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA outperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.47 is on the high side and indicates that MUSA has dependencies on debt financing.
- MUSA has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.47. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUSA underperforms 73.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.83 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.21 |
ROIC/WACC1.86
WACC8.09%
2.3 Liquidity
- MUSA has a Current Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MUSA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MUSA's Current ratio of 0.80 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUSA is outperformed by 84.55% of its industry peers.
- MUSA has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that MUSA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.36, MUSA is doing worse than 69.11% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 |
3. MUSA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 0.33% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.72% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- Looking at the last year, MUSA shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -4.25% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, MUSA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.47% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.14%
Revenue growth 5Y11.47%
Sales Q2Q%0.7%
3.2 Future
- MUSA is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.73% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.37%
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%
EPS Next 5Y6.73%
Revenue Next Year2.24%
Revenue Next 2Y2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y3.09%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. MUSA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.41, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MUSA.
- MUSA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MUSA is cheaper than 68.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- MUSA is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.50, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.32 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MUSA.
- 63.41% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUSA, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.62, MUSA is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- MUSA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MUSA is valued a bit cheaper than 61.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.69 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.58 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- MUSA has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.99
PEG (5Y)1.68
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%
5. MUSA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.49%, MUSA is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.35, MUSA pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.49, MUSA pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.49% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MUSA is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 55.16%!
- MUSA has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
- As MUSA did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)55.16%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 8.82% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MUSA. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- MUSA's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP8.82%
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%
MUSA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
519.78
+7.33 (+1.43%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)02-04 2026-02-04/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners87.47%
Inst Owner Change-0.74%
Ins Owners7.92%
Ins Owner Change-3.14%
Market Cap9.62B
Revenue(TTM)19.38B
Net Income(TTM)470.60M
Analysts72.94
Price Target437.54 (-15.82%)
Short Float %7.41%
Short Ratio3.16
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.49% |
Yearly Dividend2.15
Dividend Growth(5Y)55.16%
DP8.82%
Div Incr Years5
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date02-23 2026-02-23 (0.63)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.02%
Max EPS beat(2)8.94%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-35.68%
Max EPS beat(4)8.94%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.07%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.4%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)10.15%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.21%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.45%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.23%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.71%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-4.02%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.12%
PT rev (1m)2.08%
PT rev (3m)6.04%
EPS NQ rev (1m)9%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.02%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.41 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.32 | ||
| P/S | 0.5 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.69 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.81 | ||
| P/B | 15.42 | ||
| P/tB | 61.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.58 |
EPS(TTM)24.28
EY4.67%
EPS(NY)25.58
Fwd EY4.92%
FCF(TTM)20.23
FCFY3.89%
OCF(TTM)43.99
OCFY8.46%
SpS1047.78
BVpS33.7
TBVpS8.44
PEG (NY)3.99
PEG (5Y)1.68
Graham Number135.69 (-73.89%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.96% | ||
| ROE | 75.48% | ||
| ROCE | 19.48% | ||
| ROIC | 15.03% | ||
| ROICexc | 15.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 17.29% | ||
| OM | 3.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 2.43% | ||
| GM | 12.17% | ||
| FCFM | 1.93% |
ROA(3y)11.28%
ROA(5y)12%
ROE(3y)67.49%
ROE(5y)71.34%
ROIC(3y)16.55%
ROIC(5y)17.32%
ROICexc(3y)16.89%
ROICexc(5y)17.86%
ROICexgc(3y)19.48%
ROICexgc(5y)20.76%
ROCE(3y)21.45%
ROCE(5y)22.44%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-14.34%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.45%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.58%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.95%
OM growth 3Y-2.68%
OM growth 5Y-5.17%
PM growth 3Y-5.43%
PM growth 5Y-6.66%
GM growth 3Y5.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover4.1
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 5.83 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.13 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 158.82% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.27% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 7.04 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.08% | ||
| Profit Quality | 79.54% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.21 |
F-Score6
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC1.86
Cap/Depr(3y)163.43%
Cap/Depr(5y)151.6%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.03%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.79%
Profit Quality(3y)79.19%
Profit Quality(5y)91.31%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.33%
EPS 3Y-4.75%
EPS 5Y12.72%
EPS Q2Q%8.19%
EPS Next Y5.37%
EPS Next 2Y6.7%
EPS Next 3Y7.67%
EPS Next 5Y6.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-4.25%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.14%
Revenue growth 5Y11.47%
Sales Q2Q%0.7%
Revenue Next Year2.24%
Revenue Next 2Y2.3%
Revenue Next 3Y3.09%
Revenue Next 5Y3.33%
EBIT growth 1Y-2.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y5.71%
EBIT Next Year42.36%
EBIT Next 3Y15.85%
EBIT Next 5Y11.91%
FCF growth 1Y-3.9%
FCF growth 3Y-18.42%
FCF growth 5Y2.37%
OCF growth 1Y-3.98%
OCF growth 3Y-6.47%
OCF growth 5Y7.62%
MURPHY USA INC / MUSA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MURPHY USA INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MUSA.
What is the valuation status of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY USA INC (MUSA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of MUSA stock?
MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is MURPHY USA INC?
The financial health rating of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY USA INC (MUSA) is expected to grow by 5.37% in the next year.