MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MUR - US6267171022 - Common Stock
32.75 USD
+0.25 (+0.77%)
32.25 USD
-0.5 (-1.53%)
Overall MUR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated MUR against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MUR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MUR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MUR was profitable.
In the past year MUR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MUR reported negative net income in multiple years.
MUR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
MUR has a worse Return On Assets (1.47%) than 60.29% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Return On Equity of 2.79%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 61.24% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MUR (4.63%) is worse than 60.77% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 20.88%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.38%) for MUR is well above the current ROIC(4.63%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
MUR's Profit Margin of 5.18% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MUR has declined.
MUR's Operating Margin of 18.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 53.11% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has grown nicely.
MUR has a better Gross Margin (70.03%) than 78.95% of its industry peers.
MUR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% |
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUR is creating some value.
MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MUR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
MUR has an Altman-Z score of 2.02. This is not the best score and indicates that MUR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MUR has a Altman-Z score of 2.02. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 67.46% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR is 3.32, which is a good value as it means it would take MUR, 3.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MUR's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.32 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 74.16% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
MUR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.28) than 62.68% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC8.32%
2.3 Liquidity
MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.94. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.94, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.15% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.87 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MUR (0.87) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -51.82%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.59% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.70% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
3.2 Future
MUR is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.92% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.35% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-55.14%
EPS Next 2Y-20.61%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
EPS Next 5Y0.92%
Revenue Next Year-12.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 20.60, the valuation of MUR can be described as rather expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MUR.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.49), we can say MUR is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.90, MUR is valued on the expensive side.
MUR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
MUR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.9 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MUR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.73% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MUR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.08% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.91 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
EPS Next 2Y-20.61%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.00%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.71, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
MUR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MUR has a limited annual growth rate of 3.72%.
MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
MUR pays out 128.65% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MUR is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP128.65%
EPS Next 2Y-20.61%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
32.75
+0.25 (+0.77%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners94.39%
Inst Owner Change-2.41%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change0.24%
Market Cap4.67B
Revenue(TTM)2.75B
Net Income(TTM)142.68M
Analysts53.85
Price Target29.22 (-10.78%)
Short Float %13.48%
Short Ratio8.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4% |
Yearly Dividend1.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
DP128.65%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)87.1%
Min EPS beat(2)34.08%
Max EPS beat(2)140.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)36.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(4)140.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)19.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.27%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.16%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.92%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.04%
PT rev (1m)3.38%
PT rev (3m)2.69%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-62.19%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-76.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.39%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.41%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.71%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.9 | ||
| P/S | 1.7 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.88 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.27 | ||
| P/B | 0.91 | ||
| P/tB | 0.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.91 |
EPS(TTM)1.59
EY4.85%
EPS(NY)1.73
Fwd EY5.29%
FCF(TTM)3.01
FCFY9.19%
OCF(TTM)10.03
OCFY30.63%
SpS19.29
BVpS35.88
TBVpS35.88
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
Graham Number35.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.86% | ||
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% | ||
| FCFM | 15.61% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.9%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.59%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.74%
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 301.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.02 |
F-Score5
WACC8.32%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)118.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.24%
Profit Quality(3y)142.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
EPS Next Y-55.14%
EPS Next 2Y-20.61%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
EPS Next 5Y0.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
Revenue Next Year-12.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.23%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.35%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.26%
EBIT growth 3Y11.87%
EBIT growth 5Y7.62%
EBIT Next Year107.1%
EBIT Next 3Y38.05%
EBIT Next 5Y19.65%
FCF growth 1Y-30.94%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.14%
OCF growth 3Y6.73%
OCF growth 5YN/A
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
Can you provide the valuation status for MURPHY OIL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?
The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of MURPHY OIL CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 128.65%.