MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MUR - US6267171022 - Common Stock
31.45 USD
+0.3 (+0.96%)
31.6005 USD
+0.15 (+0.48%)
MUR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MUR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MUR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MUR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MUR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years MUR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
MUR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of MUR (1.47%) is worse than 60.95% of its industry peers.
MUR has a worse Return On Equity (2.79%) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
MUR's Return On Invested Capital of 4.63% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUR is outperformed by 60.95% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 21.41%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.63%) for MUR is well below the 3 year average (10.38%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MUR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.18%, MUR is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.76% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 18.10%, MUR is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.86% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
MUR has a Gross Margin of 70.03%. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 79.05% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% |
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUR is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MUR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MUR has an Altman-Z score of 2.00. This is not the best score and indicates that MUR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of MUR (2.00) is better than 67.62% of its industry peers.
MUR has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.32. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MUR would need 3.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MUR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.32) than 74.76% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MUR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 62.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC8.2%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.94 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MUR has a Current ratio of 0.94. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUR outperforms 41.43% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Quick Ratio of 0.94. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MUR has a Quick ratio (0.87) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -51.82%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.59% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -13.70% in the last year.
MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
3.2 Future
MUR is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -10.66% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-56.61%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
EPS Next 5Y-10.66%
Revenue Next Year-13.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.78 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MUR.
MUR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.15. MUR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 18.17, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MUR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR is on the same level as its industry peers.
MUR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 36.12.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.17 |
4.2 Price Multiples
MUR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MUR is cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MUR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.77
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.32%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.88, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, MUR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.32% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MUR has a limited annual growth rate of 3.72%.
MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
MUR pays out 128.65% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
MUR's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP128.65%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
31.45
+0.3 (+0.96%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.49%
Inst Owner Change-2.41%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change0.24%
Market Cap4.49B
Revenue(TTM)2.75B
Net Income(TTM)142.68M
Analysts55.38
Price Target28.52 (-9.32%)
Short Float %12.31%
Short Ratio7.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.32% |
Yearly Dividend1.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
DP128.65%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)87.1%
Min EPS beat(2)34.08%
Max EPS beat(2)140.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)36.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(4)140.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)19.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.27%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.16%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.92%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.04%
PT rev (1m)2.96%
PT rev (3m)0.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-44.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-68.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-11.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-2.14%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.17 | ||
| P/S | 1.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.44 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.14 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 0.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
EPS(TTM)1.59
EY5.06%
EPS(NY)1.73
Fwd EY5.5%
FCF(TTM)3.01
FCFY9.58%
OCF(TTM)10.03
OCFY31.9%
SpS19.29
BVpS35.88
TBVpS35.88
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.77
Graham Number35.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.86% | ||
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% | ||
| FCFM | 15.61% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.9%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.59%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.74%
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 301.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2 |
F-Score5
WACC8.2%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)118.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.24%
Profit Quality(3y)142.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
EPS Next Y-56.61%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
EPS Next 5Y-10.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
Revenue Next Year-13.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.26%
EBIT growth 3Y11.87%
EBIT growth 5Y7.62%
EBIT Next Year95.87%
EBIT Next 3Y38.7%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y-30.94%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.14%
OCF growth 3Y6.73%
OCF growth 5YN/A
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
Can you provide the valuation status for MURPHY OIL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?
The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of MURPHY OIL CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 128.65%.