MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MUR • US6267171022
Current stock price
39 USD
-0.56 (-1.42%)
At close:
38.99 USD
-0.01 (-0.03%)
After Hours:
This MUR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MUR Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MUR was profitable.
- MUR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years MUR 4 years were profitable.
- MUR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- MUR's Return On Assets of 1.06% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUR is outperformed by 61.24% of its industry peers.
- MUR has a Return On Equity of 2.04%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 62.68% of its industry peers.
- MUR has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.99%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 61.72% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 22.52%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.06% | ||
| ROE | 2.04% | ||
| ROIC | 3.99% |
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
1.3 Margins
- MUR has a Profit Margin of 3.87%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUR outperforms 44.50% of its industry peers.
- MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Operating Margin value of 16.04%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.72% of the companies in the same industry.
- MUR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of MUR (71.61%) is better than 82.30% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.87% | ||
| GM | 71.61% |
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
2. MUR Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MUR is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
- MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.05 indicates that MUR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.05, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR is 6.10, which is on the high side as it means it would take MUR, 6.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.10, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
- MUR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 65.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC8.01%
2.3 Liquidity
- MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MUR has a Current ratio of 0.77. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 70.33% of its industry peers.
- MUR has a Quick Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MUR has a Quick ratio of 0.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 66.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 |
3. MUR Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for MUR have decreased strongly by -49.82% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, MUR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -37.31% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -10.64% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.65% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 23.34% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.92% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue Next Year7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y4.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. MUR Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- MUR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.26.
- MUR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
- MUR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.42.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.86, which indicates a correct valuation of MUR.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MUR is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.29. MUR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.86 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MUR indicates a rather cheap valuation: MUR is cheaper than 85.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MUR is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 24.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.68 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- MUR's earnings are expected to grow with 40.30% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
5. MUR Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.54%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- MUR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.22.
- MUR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MUR is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 15.59%!
- MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- MUR pays out 178.64% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of MUR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP178.64%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
MUR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
39
-0.56 (-1.42%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)01-28 2026-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2026-05-06/bmo
Inst Owners91.99%
Inst Owner Change-0.32%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap5.59B
Revenue(TTM)2.70B
Net Income(TTM)104.23M
Analysts64.35
Price Target39.26 (0.67%)
Short Float %8.34%
Short Ratio4.24
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
Yearly Dividend1.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
DP178.64%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-18 2026-05-18 (0.35)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)351.54%
Min EPS beat(2)140.12%
Max EPS beat(2)562.97%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)186.6%
Min EPS beat(4)9.22%
Max EPS beat(4)562.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)90.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)62.54%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)50.42%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.36%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.58%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.66%
PT rev (1m)27.63%
PT rev (3m)31.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)17812.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-34.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)281.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)95.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)12.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.93%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.86 | ||
| P/S | 2.07 | ||
| P/FCF | 24.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.48 | ||
| P/B | 1.09 | ||
| P/tB | 1.09 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.68 |
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.54%
EPS(NY)3.03
Fwd EY7.78%
FCF(TTM)1.58
FCFY4.06%
OCF(TTM)8.7
OCFY22.32%
SpS18.81
BVpS35.71
TBVpS35.71
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number33.2965 (-14.62%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.06% | ||
| ROE | 2.04% | ||
| ROCE | 4.93% | ||
| ROIC | 3.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.17% | ||
| OM | 16.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.87% | ||
| GM | 71.61% | ||
| FCFM | 8.43% |
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.01%
ROICexc(5y)8.18%
ROICexgc(3y)7.01%
ROICexgc(5y)8.18%
ROCE(3y)8.3%
ROCE(5y)9.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.1 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 37.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.49% | ||
| Profit Quality | 217.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
F-Score5
WACC8.01%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)111%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)32.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)30.88%
Profit Quality(3y)174.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
Revenue Next Year7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y4.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.49%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year434.29%
EBIT Next 3Y82.76%
EBIT Next 5Y44.33%
FCF growth 1Y-72.32%
FCF growth 3Y-42.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3Y-16.79%
OCF growth 5Y9.77%
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
What is the valuation status for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of MUR stock?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for MURPHY OIL CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to grow by 119.76% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MUR stock?
The dividend rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 178.64%.