MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MUR • US6267171022
Current stock price
42.12 USD
+0.37 (+0.89%)
At close:
42.25 USD
+0.13 (+0.31%)
After Hours:
This MUR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MUR Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MUR had positive earnings in the past year.
- MUR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years MUR 4 years were profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years MUR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- MUR has a worse Return On Assets (1.06%) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
- MUR has a worse Return On Equity (2.04%) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
- MUR has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.99%) than 61.24% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 23.05%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.06% | ||
| ROE | 2.04% | ||
| ROIC | 3.99% |
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 3.87%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.54% of the companies in the same industry.
- MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With a Operating Margin value of 16.04%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has declined.
- The Gross Margin of MUR (71.61%) is better than 83.25% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.87% | ||
| GM | 71.61% |
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
2. MUR Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MUR is destroying value.
- MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.10 indicates that MUR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- MUR's Altman-Z score of 2.10 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 65.07% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR is 6.10, which is on the high side as it means it would take MUR, 6.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.10, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.20% of the companies in the same industry.
- MUR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.27, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.1 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.17%
2.3 Liquidity
- MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.77, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 69.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- MUR has a Quick Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MUR has a Quick ratio of 0.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 66.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 |
3. MUR Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.82%.
- MUR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -37.31% yearly.
- The Revenue for MUR has decreased by -10.64% in the past year. This is quite bad
- Measured over the past years, MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.65% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
3.2 Future
- MUR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 23.34% yearly.
- MUR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.06% yearly.
EPS Next Y-42.33%
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue Next Year-4.28%
Revenue Next 2Y2.94%
Revenue Next 3Y6.06%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. MUR Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 30.52, the valuation of MUR can be described as expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR is on the same level as its industry peers.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 24.88. MUR is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 52.93 indicates a quite expensive valuation of MUR.
- MUR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. MUR is more expensive than 60.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say MUR is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 52.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MUR is valued cheaper than 87.08% of the companies in the same industry.
- MUR's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 26.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as MUR's earnings are expected to grow with 41.67% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%
5. MUR Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.67%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- MUR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.29.
- MUR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of MUR grows each year by 15.59%, which is quite nice.
- MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- MUR pays out 178.64% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- MUR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP178.64%
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%
MUR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
42.12
+0.37 (+0.89%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)01-28 2026-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners91.85%
Inst Owner Change-2.53%
Ins Owners5.66%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap6.02B
Revenue(TTM)2.70B
Net Income(TTM)104.23M
Analysts53.85
Price Target30.76 (-26.97%)
Short Float %10.64%
Short Ratio5.38
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.67% |
Yearly Dividend1.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
DP178.64%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-17 2026-02-17 (0.35)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)351.54%
Min EPS beat(2)140.12%
Max EPS beat(2)562.97%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)186.6%
Min EPS beat(4)9.22%
Max EPS beat(4)562.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)90.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)62.54%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)50.42%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.36%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.58%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.66%
PT rev (1m)0.67%
PT rev (3m)5.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-110.78%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-54.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 30.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 52.93 | ||
| P/S | 2.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 26.48 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.82 | ||
| P/B | 1.18 | ||
| P/tB | 1.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.94 |
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.28%
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY1.89%
FCF(TTM)1.59
FCFY3.78%
OCF(TTM)8.74
OCFY20.74%
SpS18.87
BVpS35.84
TBVpS35.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number33.36
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.06% | ||
| ROE | 2.04% | ||
| ROCE | 4.93% | ||
| ROIC | 3.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.17% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.17% | ||
| OM | 16.04% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.87% | ||
| GM | 71.61% | ||
| FCFM | 8.43% |
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.01%
ROICexc(5y)8.18%
ROICexgc(3y)7.01%
ROICexgc(5y)8.18%
ROCE(3y)8.3%
ROCE(5y)9.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.27 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 6.1 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 104.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 37.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 88.49% | ||
| Profit Quality | 217.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.1 |
F-Score5
WACC8.17%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)111%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)32.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)30.88%
Profit Quality(3y)174.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y-42.33%
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
Revenue Next Year-4.28%
Revenue Next 2Y2.94%
Revenue Next 3Y6.06%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.49%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year342.67%
EBIT Next 3Y81.02%
EBIT Next 5Y44.33%
FCF growth 1Y-72.32%
FCF growth 3Y-42.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3Y-16.79%
OCF growth 5Y9.77%
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
What is the valuation status for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?
The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MUR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to decline by -42.33% in the next year.