MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MUR - US6267171022 - Common Stock
32.56 USD
-0.18 (-0.55%)
32.5 USD
-0.06 (-0.18%)
Overall MUR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated MUR against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MUR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MUR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MUR had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MUR had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years MUR reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years MUR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
MUR has a Return On Assets of 1.47%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 60.58% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 2.79%, MUR is doing worse than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of MUR (4.63%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 21.83%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.38%) for MUR is well above the current ROIC(4.63%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
MUR has a Profit Margin (5.18%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MUR has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 18.10%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MUR (70.03%) is better than 77.88% of its industry peers.
MUR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% |
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
MUR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MUR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MUR has an Altman-Z score of 2.02. This is not the best score and indicates that MUR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.02, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.32. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MUR would need 3.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR (3.32) is better than 74.04% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.28, MUR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.42% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.02 |
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC8.09%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.94 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.94, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.35% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.87 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MUR has a Quick ratio (0.87) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MUR have decreased strongly by -51.82% in the last year.
MUR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 25.59% yearly.
MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -13.70%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.39% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
3.2 Future
MUR is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.92% yearly.
MUR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-55.28%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
EPS Next 5Y0.92%
Revenue Next Year-12.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
MUR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.48.
MUR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.19. MUR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.81 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MUR.
MUR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
MUR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.81 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MUR indicates a rather cheap valuation: MUR is cheaper than 84.13% of the companies listed in the same industry.
75.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.89 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.97%, MUR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.91, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, MUR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.97% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MUR has a limited annual growth rate of 3.72%.
MUR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
128.65% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MUR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
MUR's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP128.65%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
32.56
-0.18 (-0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners94.52%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change0.24%
Market Cap4.65B
Revenue(TTM)2.75B
Net Income(TTM)142.68M
Analysts53.85
Price Target29.67 (-8.88%)
Short Float %13.29%
Short Ratio8.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.97% |
Yearly Dividend1.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
DP128.65%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)87.1%
Min EPS beat(2)34.08%
Max EPS beat(2)140.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)36.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(4)140.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)19.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.27%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.16%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.92%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.04%
PT rev (1m)1.53%
PT rev (3m)7.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)65.27%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-50.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.81 | ||
| P/S | 1.69 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.81 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.25 | ||
| P/B | 0.91 | ||
| P/tB | 0.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.89 |
EPS(TTM)1.59
EY4.88%
EPS(NY)1.73
Fwd EY5.32%
FCF(TTM)3.01
FCFY9.25%
OCF(TTM)10.03
OCFY30.81%
SpS19.29
BVpS35.88
TBVpS35.88
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.8
Graham Number35.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.86% | ||
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% | ||
| FCFM | 15.61% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.9%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.59%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.74%
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 301.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.02 |
F-Score5
WACC8.09%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)118.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.24%
Profit Quality(3y)142.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
EPS Next Y-55.28%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
EPS Next 5Y0.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
Revenue Next Year-12.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.26%
EBIT growth 3Y11.87%
EBIT growth 5Y7.62%
EBIT Next Year106.68%
EBIT Next 3Y37.78%
EBIT Next 5Y19.65%
FCF growth 1Y-30.94%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.14%
OCF growth 3Y6.73%
OCF growth 5YN/A
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
What is the valuation status for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?
The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MUR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to decline by -55.28% in the next year.