MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:MUR - US6267171022 - Common Stock
30.1 USD
-0.28 (-0.92%)
29.95 USD
-0.15 (-0.5%)
Taking everything into account, MUR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MUR was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of MUR get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. MUR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MUR was profitable.
In the past year MUR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MUR reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years MUR had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
MUR's Return On Assets of 1.47% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUR is outperformed by 61.43% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Return On Equity of 2.79%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.63%, MUR is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.38%. This is significantly below the industry average of 21.66%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.38%) for MUR is well above the current ROIC(4.63%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 5.18%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.29% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MUR has declined.
The Operating Margin of MUR (18.10%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has grown nicely.
MUR has a Gross Margin of 70.03%. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 79.05% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% |
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MUR is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for MUR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MUR has an Altman-Z score of 1.98. This is not the best score and indicates that MUR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MUR has a better Altman-Z score (1.98) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR is 3.32, which is a good value as it means it would take MUR, 3.32 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MUR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 3.32. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.28, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.98 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC8.31%
2.3 Liquidity
MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.94. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MUR has a Current ratio (0.94) which is in line with its industry peers.
MUR has a Quick Ratio of 0.94. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of MUR (0.87) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -51.82%.
Measured over the past years, MUR shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 25.59% on average per year.
MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -13.70%.
MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.39% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -10.66% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.41% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-56.61%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
EPS Next 5Y-10.66%
Revenue Next Year-13.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.93, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MUR.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR is on the same level as its industry peers.
MUR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.07.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.39, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MUR.
MUR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.08), we can say MUR is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.39 |
4.2 Price Multiples
84.29% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MUR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.14% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.68 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.41%, MUR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.90, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
MUR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.41% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MUR has a limited annual growth rate of 3.72%.
MUR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
MUR pays out 128.65% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of MUR has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP128.65%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
30.1
-0.28 (-0.92%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners96.49%
Inst Owner Change-2.39%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change0.32%
Market Cap4.30B
Revenue(TTM)2.75B
Net Income(TTM)142.68M
Analysts55.38
Price Target28.26 (-6.11%)
Short Float %12.31%
Short Ratio7.42
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.41% |
Yearly Dividend1.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
DP128.65%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)87.1%
Min EPS beat(2)34.08%
Max EPS beat(2)140.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)36.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(4)140.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)19.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.27%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.16%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.92%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.04%
PT rev (1m)2.04%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-52.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-24.14%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.9%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.39 | ||
| P/S | 1.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 9.99 | ||
| P/OCF | 3 | ||
| P/B | 0.84 | ||
| P/tB | 0.84 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.68 |
EPS(TTM)1.59
EY5.28%
EPS(NY)1.73
Fwd EY5.75%
FCF(TTM)3.01
FCFY10.01%
OCF(TTM)10.03
OCFY33.33%
SpS19.29
BVpS35.88
TBVpS35.88
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
Graham Number35.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.86% | ||
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% | ||
| FCFM | 15.61% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.9%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.59%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.74%
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 301.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.98 |
F-Score5
WACC8.31%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)118.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.24%
Profit Quality(3y)142.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
EPS Next Y-56.61%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y4.62%
EPS Next 5Y-10.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
Revenue Next Year-13.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y0.41%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.26%
EBIT growth 3Y11.87%
EBIT growth 5Y7.62%
EBIT Next Year95.87%
EBIT Next 3Y38.7%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y-30.94%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.14%
OCF growth 3Y6.73%
OCF growth 5YN/A
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
Can you provide the valuation status for MURPHY OIL CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?
The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10.
Is the dividend of MURPHY OIL CORP sustainable?
The dividend rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 128.65%.