MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MUR • US6267171022

36.28 USD
+1.56 (+4.49%)
Last: Mar 13, 2026, 01:43 PM
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This MUR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to MUR. MUR was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. The financial health of MUR is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. MUR is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing. Finally MUR also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. MUR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MUR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MUR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • MUR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years MUR had a positive operating cash flow.
MUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.06%, MUR is doing worse than 64.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUR has a Return On Equity of 2.04%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.99%, MUR is doing worse than 62.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.72%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.51%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROIC 3.99%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
MUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • MUR has a Profit Margin of 3.87%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUR outperforms 43.00% of its industry peers.
  • MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of MUR (16.04%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 71.61%, MUR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
MUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. MUR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MUR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for MUR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for MUR is higher compared to a year ago.
MUR Yearly Shares OutstandingMUR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
MUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • MUR has an Altman-Z score of 1.97. This is not the best score and indicates that MUR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MUR's Altman-Z score of 1.97 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 63.77% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR is 6.10, which is on the high side as it means it would take MUR, 6.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR (6.10) is better than 61.35% of its industry peers.
  • MUR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • MUR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Altman-Z 1.97
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC7.83%
MUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.77 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MUR's Current ratio of 0.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MUR is outperformed by 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.71, MUR is doing worse than 65.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
MUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MUR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.82%.
  • MUR shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -37.31% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -10.64% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.65% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 23.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.05% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-42.33%
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue Next Year-7.46%
Revenue Next 2Y3.01%
Revenue Next 3Y4.05%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
MUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4

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3

4. MUR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 26.29, the valuation of MUR can be described as expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.71), we can say MUR is valued inline with the index average.
  • MUR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 45.59.
  • MUR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.82), we can say MUR is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.29
Fwd PE 45.59
MUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 89.37% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • MUR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 22.81
EV/EBITDA 4.23
MUR Per share dataMUR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MUR's earnings are expected to grow with 41.67% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. MUR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.09%, MUR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.41, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MUR pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.09%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MUR grows each year by 15.59%, which is quite nice.
  • MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
MUR Yearly Dividends per shareMUR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUR pays out 178.64% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MUR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP178.64%
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%
MUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
MUR Dividend Payout.MUR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MUR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MURPHY OIL CORP

NYSE:MUR (3/13/2026, 1:43:09 PM)

36.28

+1.56 (+4.49%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)05-05
Inst Owners91.85%
Inst Owner Change-2.53%
Ins Owners5.66%
Ins Owner Change1.24%
Market Cap5.18B
Revenue(TTM)2.70B
Net Income(TTM)104.23M
Analysts53.85
Price Target30.76 (-15.21%)
Short Float %10.75%
Short Ratio5.92
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.09%
Yearly Dividend1.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
DP178.64%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-17
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)351.54%
Min EPS beat(2)140.12%
Max EPS beat(2)562.97%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)186.6%
Min EPS beat(4)9.22%
Max EPS beat(4)562.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)90.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)62.54%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)50.42%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.36%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.58%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.66%
PT rev (1m)0.67%
PT rev (3m)5.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-299.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-123.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-54.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-7.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.84%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.29
Fwd PE 45.59
P/S 1.92
P/FCF 22.81
P/OCF 4.15
P/B 1.01
P/tB 1.01
EV/EBITDA 4.23
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.8%
EPS(NY)0.8
Fwd EY2.19%
FCF(TTM)1.59
FCFY4.38%
OCF(TTM)8.74
OCFY24.08%
SpS18.87
BVpS35.84
TBVpS35.84
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number33.36
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROCE 4.93%
ROIC 3.99%
ROICexc 4.17%
ROICexgc 4.17%
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
FCFM 8.43%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.01%
ROICexc(5y)8.18%
ROICexgc(3y)7.01%
ROICexgc(5y)8.18%
ROCE(3y)8.3%
ROCE(5y)9.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr 104.38%
Cap/Sales 37.86%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.49%
Profit Quality 217.97%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z 1.97
F-Score5
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)111%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)32.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)30.88%
Profit Quality(3y)174.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y-42.33%
EPS Next 2Y26.1%
EPS Next 3Y41.67%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
Revenue Next Year-7.46%
Revenue Next 2Y3.01%
Revenue Next 3Y4.05%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.49%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year342.67%
EBIT Next 3Y81.02%
EBIT Next 5Y44.33%
FCF growth 1Y-72.32%
FCF growth 3Y-42.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3Y-16.79%
OCF growth 5Y9.77%

MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.


What is the valuation status for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?

MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?

The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MUR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to decline by -42.33% in the next year.