MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MUR • US6267171022

Current stock price

38.79 USD
+0.98 (+2.59%)
At close:
39.5 USD
+0.71 (+1.83%)
Pre-Market:

This MUR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. MUR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MUR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MUR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years MUR 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years MUR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.06%, MUR is doing worse than 61.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUR has a Return On Equity of 2.04%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 62.68% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.99%, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 61.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 22.60%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROIC 3.99%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
MUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of MUR (3.87%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • MUR's Operating Margin of 16.04% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 51.20% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 71.61%, MUR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MUR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
MUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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4

2. MUR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUR is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MUR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • MUR has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • MUR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MUR Yearly Shares OutstandingMUR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
MUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.05 indicates that MUR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MUR has a better Altman-Z score (2.05) than 66.03% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR is 6.10, which is on the high side as it means it would take MUR, 6.10 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • MUR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 6.10. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • MUR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 67.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Altman-Z 2.05
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC8%
MUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MUR has a worse Current ratio (0.77) than 68.90% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.71, MUR is doing worse than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
MUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MUR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for MUR have decreased strongly by -49.82% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for MUR have been decreasing by -37.31% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue for MUR has decreased by -10.64% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.65% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 23.34% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.94% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue Next Year4.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.19%
Revenue Next 3Y4.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
MUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4

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5

4. MUR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 28.11, the valuation of MUR can be described as expensive.
  • MUR's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.86), we can say MUR is valued inline with the index average.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.79 indicates a correct valuation of MUR.
  • 69.86% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 37.39. MUR is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.11
Fwd PE 12.79
MUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MUR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.65% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MUR is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.47
EV/EBITDA 4.66
MUR Per share dataMUR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MUR's earnings are expected to grow with 40.30% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MUR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.70%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • MUR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.23.
  • MUR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.7%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MUR grows each year by 15.59%, which is quite nice.
  • MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MUR Yearly Dividends per shareMUR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUR pays out 178.64% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MUR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP178.64%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
MUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
MUR Dividend Payout.MUR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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MUR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MURPHY OIL CORP

NYSE:MUR (4/10/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 39.5 +0.71 (+1.83%)

38.79

+0.98 (+2.59%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners91.99%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap5.56B
Revenue(TTM)2.70B
Net Income(TTM)104.23M
Analysts64.35
Price Target38.72 (-0.18%)
Short Float %8.83%
Short Ratio4.14
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.7%
Yearly Dividend1.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
DP178.64%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)351.54%
Min EPS beat(2)140.12%
Max EPS beat(2)562.97%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)186.6%
Min EPS beat(4)9.22%
Max EPS beat(4)562.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)90.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)62.54%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)50.42%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.36%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.58%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.66%
PT rev (1m)25.86%
PT rev (3m)30.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)275.86%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-45.86%
EPS NY rev (1m)281.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)75.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)6.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)13.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.11
Fwd PE 12.79
P/S 2.06
P/FCF 24.47
P/OCF 4.46
P/B 1.09
P/tB 1.09
EV/EBITDA 4.66
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.56%
EPS(NY)3.03
Fwd EY7.82%
FCF(TTM)1.58
FCFY4.09%
OCF(TTM)8.7
OCFY22.44%
SpS18.81
BVpS35.71
TBVpS35.71
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number33.3
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROCE 4.93%
ROIC 3.99%
ROICexc 4.17%
ROICexgc 4.17%
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
FCFM 8.43%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.01%
ROICexc(5y)8.18%
ROICexgc(3y)7.01%
ROICexgc(5y)8.18%
ROCE(3y)8.3%
ROCE(5y)9.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr 104.38%
Cap/Sales 37.86%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.49%
Profit Quality 217.97%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z 2.05
F-Score5
WACC8%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)111%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)32.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)30.88%
Profit Quality(3y)174.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
Revenue Next Year4.65%
Revenue Next 2Y5.19%
Revenue Next 3Y4.94%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.49%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year434.29%
EBIT Next 3Y82.76%
EBIT Next 5Y44.33%
FCF growth 1Y-72.32%
FCF growth 3Y-42.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3Y-16.79%
OCF growth 5Y9.77%

MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.


What is the valuation status for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MUR stock?

MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MURPHY OIL CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to grow by 119.76% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MUR stock?

The dividend rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 178.64%.