MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MUR • US6267171022

Current stock price

41.83 USD
+1.8 (+4.5%)
At close:
42 USD
+0.17 (+0.41%)
After Hours:

This MUR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. MUR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MUR was profitable.
  • MUR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years MUR 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years MUR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

  • MUR has a Return On Assets of 1.06%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 61.72% of its industry peers.
  • MUR has a worse Return On Equity (2.04%) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.99%, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 61.72% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 22.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROIC 3.99%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
MUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • MUR has a Profit Margin (3.87%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • MUR's Operating Margin of 16.04% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 50.72% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has declined.
  • MUR has a Gross Margin of 71.61%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MUR outperforms 82.30% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
MUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. MUR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MUR is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
  • MUR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MUR Yearly Shares OutstandingMUR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
MUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.11 indicates that MUR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MUR has a Altman-Z score of 2.11. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 64.11% of its industry peers.
  • MUR has a debt to FCF ratio of 6.10. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MUR would need 6.10 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MUR (6.10) is better than 64.11% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MUR (0.27) is better than 65.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Altman-Z 2.11
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.15%
MUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.77, MUR is doing worse than 70.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.71 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MUR has a worse Quick ratio (0.71) than 66.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
MUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. MUR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -49.82%.
  • The earnings per share for MUR have been decreasing by -37.31% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -10.64% in the last year.
  • MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.65% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%

3.2 Future

  • MUR is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 23.34% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.92% on average per year.
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue Next Year7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y4.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
MUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 4

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5

4. MUR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 30.31, MUR can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • MUR's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. MUR is more expensive than 60.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.54), we can say MUR is valued inline with the index average.
  • MUR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.79.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MUR is cheaper than 66.99% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • MUR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.68.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.31
Fwd PE 13.79
MUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 84.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • MUR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 26.39
EV/EBITDA 4.97
MUR Per share dataMUR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MUR's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • MUR's earnings are expected to grow with 40.30% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MUR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.54%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.21, MUR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MUR pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.54%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MUR grows each year by 15.59%, which is quite nice.
  • MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MUR Yearly Dividends per shareMUR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • MUR pays out 178.64% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MUR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP178.64%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
MUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
MUR Dividend Payout.MUR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MUR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

MURPHY OIL CORP

NYSE:MUR (4/29/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 42 +0.17 (+0.41%)

41.83

+1.8 (+4.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength83.85
Industry Growth72.67
Earnings (Last)01-28
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners91.99%
Inst Owner Change-0.32%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap6.00B
Revenue(TTM)2.70B
Net Income(TTM)104.23M
Analysts64.35
Price Target39.26 (-6.14%)
Short Float %7.26%
Short Ratio3.84
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.54%
Yearly Dividend1.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
DP178.64%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date05-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)351.54%
Min EPS beat(2)140.12%
Max EPS beat(2)562.97%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)186.6%
Min EPS beat(4)9.22%
Max EPS beat(4)562.97%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)90.62%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)62.54%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)50.42%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.36%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.58%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.66%
PT rev (1m)27.63%
PT rev (3m)31.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)17812.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-34.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)281.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)95.48%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.86%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)12.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.93%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 30.31
Fwd PE 13.79
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 26.39
P/OCF 4.81
P/B 1.17
P/tB 1.17
EV/EBITDA 4.97
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.3%
EPS(NY)3.03
Fwd EY7.25%
FCF(TTM)1.58
FCFY3.79%
OCF(TTM)8.7
OCFY20.81%
SpS18.81
BVpS35.71
TBVpS35.71
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number33.2965 (-20.4%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.06%
ROE 2.04%
ROCE 4.93%
ROIC 3.99%
ROICexc 4.17%
ROICexgc 4.17%
OM 16.04%
PM (TTM) 3.87%
GM 71.61%
FCFM 8.43%
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.01%
ROICexc(5y)8.18%
ROICexgc(3y)7.01%
ROICexgc(5y)8.18%
ROCE(3y)8.3%
ROCE(5y)9.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y0.24%
GM growth 5Y1.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 6.1
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr 104.38%
Cap/Sales 37.86%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 88.49%
Profit Quality 217.97%
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z 2.11
F-Score5
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)111%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)32.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)30.88%
Profit Quality(3y)174.25%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y119.76%
EPS Next 2Y52.41%
EPS Next 3Y40.3%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
Revenue Next Year7.72%
Revenue Next 2Y5.81%
Revenue Next 3Y4.92%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.61%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.49%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year434.29%
EBIT Next 3Y82.76%
EBIT Next 5Y44.33%
FCF growth 1Y-72.32%
FCF growth 3Y-42.26%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-27.83%
OCF growth 3Y-16.79%
OCF growth 5Y9.77%

MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.


What is the valuation status for MUR stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MUR stock?

MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for MURPHY OIL CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to grow by 119.76% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for MUR stock?

The dividend rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 178.64%.