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MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MUR - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6267171022 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

29.74  -0.66 (-2.17%)

After market: 29.74 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall MUR gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated MUR against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MUR has an average financial health and profitability rating. MUR is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MUR was profitable.
In the past year MUR had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MUR reported negative net income in multiple years.
MUR had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMUR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B -2B -3B

1.2 Ratios

MUR's Return On Assets of 4.87% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 48.54% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Return On Equity of 9.01%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUR outperforms 41.75% of its industry peers.
MUR has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.97%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUR outperforms 49.03% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 28.71%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.87%
ROE 9.01%
ROIC 6.97%
ROA(3y)5.14%
ROA(5y)2.88%
ROE(3y)9.96%
ROE(5y)4.73%
ROIC(3y)9.25%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMUR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 14.83%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.34% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MUR has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 24.50%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.40% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of MUR (71.13%) is better than 78.16% of its industry peers.
MUR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.5%
PM (TTM) 14.83%
GM 71.13%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y16.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-3.81%
GM growth 3Y1.22%
GM growth 5Y0.72%
MUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMUR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

MUR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
MUR Yearly Shares OutstandingMUR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
MUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMUR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.13 indicates that MUR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.13, MUR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.68% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.36. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.36 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.36, MUR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.52% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.24 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
MUR has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.24. This is in the better half of the industry: MUR outperforms 63.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF 1.36
Altman-Z 2.13
ROIC/WACC0.85
WACC8.19%
MUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMUR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.71, MUR is doing worse than 76.70% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MUR has a Quick ratio of 0.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 76.21% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.65
MUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMUR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

MUR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.08%.
MUR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 29.31% yearly.
The Revenue for MUR has decreased by -10.92% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 14.35% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y29.31%
EPS Q2Q%-53.46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.92%
Revenue growth 3Y20.85%
Revenue growth 5Y14.35%
Sales Q2Q%-21.03%

3.2 Future

MUR is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -3.73% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -5.01% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-31.35%
EPS Next 2Y-10.99%
EPS Next 3Y2.04%
EPS Next 5Y-3.73%
Revenue Next Year-9.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.29%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.01%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMUR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
MUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMUR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

MUR is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.01.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MUR is valued a bit cheaper than 71.84% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.58, MUR is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.30, the valuation of MUR can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MUR is valued a bit cheaper than 70.87% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MUR to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.47), we can say MUR is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.01
Fwd PE 8.3
MUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMUR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MUR indicates a rather cheap valuation: MUR is cheaper than 83.01% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MUR is valued cheaper than 88.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 4.61
EV/EBITDA 3.31
MUR Per share dataMUR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-10.99%
EPS Next 3Y2.04%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.63%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.39, MUR has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, MUR pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.63%

5.2 History

The dividend of MUR has a limited annual growth rate of 2.13%.
MUR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.13%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
MUR Yearly Dividends per shareMUR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

MUR pays out 37.73% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP37.73%
EPS Next 2Y-10.99%
EPS Next 3Y2.04%
MUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMUR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B -3B
MUR Dividend Payout.MUR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MUR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MURPHY OIL CORP

NYSE:MUR (1/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

After market: 29.74 0 (0%)

29.74

-0.66 (-2.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)01-30 2025-01-30/amc
Inst Owners84.05%
Inst Owner Change-1.73%
Ins Owners5.16%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.34B
Analysts68.7
Price Target42 (41.22%)
Short Float %6.42%
Short Ratio5.19
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.63%
Yearly Dividend1.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.13%
DP37.73%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.4%
Min EPS beat(2)7.13%
Max EPS beat(2)7.68%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.83%
Max EPS beat(4)7.68%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.78%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.97%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)21.55%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.99%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.47%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.58%
Max Revenue beat(4)5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.85%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.69%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.12%
PT rev (1m)-1.55%
PT rev (3m)-12.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-51.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-20.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-14.49%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.01
Fwd PE 8.3
P/S 1.36
P/FCF 4.61
P/OCF 2.36
P/B 0.83
P/tB 0.83
EV/EBITDA 3.31
EPS(TTM)3.3
EY11.1%
EPS(NY)3.58
Fwd EY12.04%
FCF(TTM)6.46
FCFY21.71%
OCF(TTM)12.61
OCFY42.39%
SpS21.87
BVpS36
TBVpS36
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.87%
ROE 9.01%
ROCE 8.85%
ROIC 6.97%
ROICexc 7.19%
ROICexgc 7.19%
OM 24.5%
PM (TTM) 14.83%
GM 71.13%
FCFM 29.51%
ROA(3y)5.14%
ROA(5y)2.88%
ROE(3y)9.96%
ROE(5y)4.73%
ROIC(3y)9.25%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.72%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)9.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.75%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y36.32%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y36.32%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y16.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-3.81%
GM growth 3Y1.22%
GM growth 5Y0.72%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.33
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.24
Debt/FCF 1.36
Debt/EBITDA 0.78
Cap/Depr 103.93%
Cap/Sales 28.12%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 111.78%
Profit Quality 198.99%
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 2.13
F-Score5
WACC8.19%
ROIC/WACC0.85
Cap/Depr(3y)112.38%
Cap/Depr(5y)129.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.08%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y29.31%
EPS Q2Q%-53.46%
EPS Next Y-31.35%
EPS Next 2Y-10.99%
EPS Next 3Y2.04%
EPS Next 5Y-3.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.92%
Revenue growth 3Y20.85%
Revenue growth 5Y14.35%
Sales Q2Q%-21.03%
Revenue Next Year-9.79%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.29%
Revenue Next 5Y-5.01%
EBIT growth 1Y-34.75%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y32.69%
EBIT Next Year50.45%
EBIT Next 3Y22.03%
EBIT Next 5Y13.03%
FCF growth 1Y-13.3%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-7.85%
OCF growth 3Y30.71%
OCF growth 5Y26.32%