MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MUR - US6267171022 - Common Stock
31.25 USD
-0.37 (-1.17%)
31.25 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, MUR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MUR was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MUR has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. MUR has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year MUR was profitable.
MUR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: MUR reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years MUR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.47%, MUR is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.19% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of 2.79%, MUR is not doing good in the industry: 60.77% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.63%, MUR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MUR is significantly below the industry average of 21.27%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.63%) for MUR is well below the 3 year average (10.38%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MUR had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
MUR's Profit Margin of 5.18% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 46.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MUR has declined.
MUR's Operating Margin of 18.10% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 54.07% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MUR (70.03%) is better than 77.99% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% |
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUR is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MUR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for MUR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
MUR has an Altman-Z score of 1.99. This is not the best score and indicates that MUR is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.99, MUR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
MUR has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.32. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MUR would need 3.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MUR's Debt to FCF ratio of 3.32 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 74.16% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of MUR (0.28) is better than 63.16% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.56
WACC8.22%
2.3 Liquidity
MUR has a Current Ratio of 0.94. This is a bad value and indicates that MUR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MUR has a Current ratio of 0.94. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUR outperforms 42.11% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.87 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MUR has a Quick ratio (0.87) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for MUR have decreased strongly by -51.82% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, MUR shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 25.59% on average per year.
The Revenue for MUR has decreased by -13.70% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.39% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 0.92% on average over the next years.
MUR is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.61% yearly.
EPS Next Y-55.28%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
EPS Next 5Y0.92%
Revenue Next Year-12.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.65, MUR is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MUR is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.51, MUR is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.05 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MUR.
MUR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.13, MUR is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.05 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MUR indicates a rather cheap valuation: MUR is cheaper than 85.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MUR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MUR is cheaper than 76.56% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 10.38 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.76 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.77
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.13%, MUR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
MUR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.93.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, MUR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.13% |
5.2 History
The dividend of MUR has a limited annual growth rate of 3.72%.
MUR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
MUR pays out 128.65% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
MUR's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP128.65%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
31.25
-0.37 (-1.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners94.39%
Inst Owner Change-2.41%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change0.24%
Market Cap4.46B
Revenue(TTM)2.75B
Net Income(TTM)142.68M
Analysts53.85
Price Target29.67 (-5.06%)
Short Float %13.29%
Short Ratio8.85
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.13% |
Yearly Dividend1.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
DP128.65%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)87.1%
Min EPS beat(2)34.08%
Max EPS beat(2)140.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)36.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(4)140.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)19.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.27%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.16%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.92%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.04%
PT rev (1m)4.02%
PT rev (3m)6.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)39.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-51.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.07%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.93%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.51%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.38%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.31%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.65 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.05 | ||
| P/S | 1.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 10.38 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.12 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.76 |
EPS(TTM)1.59
EY5.09%
EPS(NY)1.73
Fwd EY5.54%
FCF(TTM)3.01
FCFY9.64%
OCF(TTM)10.03
OCFY32.1%
SpS19.29
BVpS35.88
TBVpS35.88
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.77
Graham Number35.83
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 4.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.86% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.86% | ||
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% | ||
| FCFM | 15.61% |
ROA(3y)6.78%
ROA(5y)1.76%
ROE(3y)13.16%
ROE(5y)2.09%
ROIC(3y)10.39%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.9%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)12.59%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.74%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.74%
OM growth 3Y1.83%
OM growth 5Y6.15%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-19.86%
GM growth 3Y-1.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 301.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.99 |
F-Score5
WACC8.22%
ROIC/WACC0.56
Cap/Depr(3y)118.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)106.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)28.76%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.24%
Profit Quality(3y)142.37%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.82%
EPS 3Y28.7%
EPS 5Y25.59%
EPS Q2Q%-44.59%
EPS Next Y-55.28%
EPS Next 2Y-20.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.49%
EPS Next 5Y0.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-13.7%
Revenue growth 3Y9.87%
Revenue growth 5Y1.39%
Sales Q2Q%-4.28%
Revenue Next Year-12.05%
Revenue Next 2Y-6.7%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.61%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.26%
EBIT growth 3Y11.87%
EBIT growth 5Y7.62%
EBIT Next Year106.68%
EBIT Next 3Y37.78%
EBIT Next 5Y19.65%
FCF growth 1Y-30.94%
FCF growth 3Y3.8%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.14%
OCF growth 3Y6.73%
OCF growth 5YN/A
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
What is the valuation status for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?
The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 5 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MUR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to decline by -55.28% in the next year.