MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MUR • US6267171022
34.55 USD
+0.28 (+0.82%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
34.1935 USD
-0.36 (-1.03%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM
This MUR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Taking everything into account, MUR scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. MUR was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MUR has an average financial health and profitability rating. MUR is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. MUR also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. MUR Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MUR was profitable.
- MUR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- MUR had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years MUR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- MUR's Return On Assets of 1.47% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 40.10% of its industry peers.
- MUR has a Return On Equity of 2.79%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MUR underperforms 61.35% of its industry peers.
- MUR has a Return On Invested Capital (4.54%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MUR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.72%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.17%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROIC | 4.54% |
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
1.3 Margins
- MUR has a Profit Margin of 5.18%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MUR outperforms 46.38% of its industry peers.
- MUR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- MUR has a Operating Margin (18.10%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MUR has declined.
- MUR's Gross Margin of 70.03% is amongst the best of the industry. MUR outperforms 80.19% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MUR has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% |
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.07%
GM growth 5Y-2.18%
2. MUR Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), MUR is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 5 years ago, MUR has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for MUR is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.05 indicates that MUR is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.05, MUR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- MUR has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.32. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MUR would need 3.32 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- MUR has a better Debt to FCF ratio (3.32) than 74.40% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that MUR is not too dependend on debt financing.
- MUR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MUR outperforms 65.70% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC7.78%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.94 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- MUR has a worse Current ratio (0.94) than 60.87% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.87 indicates that MUR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- MUR has a Quick ratio (0.87) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 |
3. MUR Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for MUR have decreased strongly by -49.82% in the last year.
- The earnings per share for MUR have been decreasing by -37.31% on average. This is quite bad
- MUR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -10.64%.
- Measured over the past years, MUR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.65% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 23.34% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, MUR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.05% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-39.94%
EPS Next 2Y23.42%
EPS Next 3Y38.42%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue Next Year-7.46%
Revenue Next 2Y3.01%
Revenue Next 3Y4.05%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MUR Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- MUR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 25.04.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as MUR.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.29. MUR is around the same levels.
- MUR is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 41.68.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as MUR.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.57, MUR is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 41.68 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MUR is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- 81.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MUR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.06 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MUR's earnings are expected to grow with 38.42% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y23.42%
EPS Next 3Y38.42%
5. MUR Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MUR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.39%, which is a nice return.
- MUR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.40.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MUR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.39% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of MUR grows each year by 15.59%, which is quite nice.
- MUR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- MUR has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 128.65% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MUR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of MUR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP128.65%
EPS Next 2Y23.42%
EPS Next 3Y38.42%
MUR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
34.55
+0.28 (+0.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)01-28 2026-01-28/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05/bmo
Inst Owners94.52%
Inst Owner Change-2.53%
Ins Owners5.58%
Ins Owner Change2.2%
Market Cap4.93B
Revenue(TTM)2.70B
Net Income(TTM)142.68M
Analysts53.85
Price Target30.76 (-10.97%)
Short Float %10.75%
Short Ratio5.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.39% |
Yearly Dividend1.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.59%
DP128.65%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date02-17 2026-02-17 (0.35)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)87.1%
Min EPS beat(2)34.08%
Max EPS beat(2)140.12%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)36.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.67%
Max EPS beat(4)140.12%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)19.02%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)15.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)14.27%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.95%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-10.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.16%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.92%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.04%
PT rev (1m)3.24%
PT rev (3m)7.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-131.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-46.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-52.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.88%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.71%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.17%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 25.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 41.68 | ||
| P/S | 1.79 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.47 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.44 | ||
| P/B | 0.96 | ||
| P/tB | 0.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 4.06 |
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY3.99%
EPS(NY)0.83
Fwd EY2.4%
FCF(TTM)3.01
FCFY8.72%
OCF(TTM)10.03
OCFY29.03%
SpS19.29
BVpS35.88
TBVpS35.88
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number33.38
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.47% | ||
| ROE | 2.79% | ||
| ROCE | 5.61% | ||
| ROIC | 4.54% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.77% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.77% | ||
| OM | 18.1% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.18% | ||
| GM | 70.03% | ||
| FCFM | 15.61% |
ROA(3y)4.02%
ROA(5y)4.14%
ROE(3y)7.4%
ROE(5y)7.95%
ROIC(3y)6.72%
ROIC(5y)7.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.01%
ROICexc(5y)8.18%
ROICexgc(3y)7.01%
ROICexgc(5y)8.18%
ROCE(3y)8.3%
ROCE(5y)9.62%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.07%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-27.04%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-46.14%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.07%
GM growth 5Y-2.18%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.28
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.32 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.98 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 105.2% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.39% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 98.7% | ||
| Profit Quality | 301.26% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.05 |
F-Score5
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)111.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)109.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)33.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)31.09%
Profit Quality(3y)164.97%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-49.82%
EPS 3Y-37.31%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-60%
EPS Next Y-39.94%
EPS Next 2Y23.42%
EPS Next 3Y38.42%
EPS Next 5Y23.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.64%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.58%
Revenue growth 5Y6.65%
Sales Q2Q%-8.44%
Revenue Next Year-7.46%
Revenue Next 2Y3.01%
Revenue Next 3Y4.05%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-36.26%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.49%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year342.67%
EBIT Next 3Y80.79%
EBIT Next 5Y44.33%
FCF growth 1Y-54.34%
FCF growth 3Y-44.83%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-22.12%
OCF growth 3Y-16.79%
OCF growth 5Y9.77%
MURPHY OIL CORP / MUR FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MUR.
What is the valuation status for MUR stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for MURPHY OIL CORP?
MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MUR stock?
The financial health rating of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MUR stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) is expected to decline by -39.94% in the next year.