VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094
Current stock price
127.87 USD
-1.7 (-1.31%)
At close:
127.87 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This MTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MTN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MTN was profitable.
- In the past year MTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years MTN has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years MTN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.12%, MTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN has a Return On Equity of 76.39%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MTN outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
- MTN has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.43%) than 64.29% of its industry peers.
- MTN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.45%. This is below the industry average of 10.56%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.89%, MTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of MTN (16.83%) is better than 75.40% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
- With a Gross Margin value of 42.55%, MTN is not doing good in the industry: 60.32% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- MTN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% |
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
2. MTN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MTN is still creating some value.
- MTN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- MTN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for MTN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.37, we must say that MTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.37, MTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.06% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.24. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MTN would need 10.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MTN (10.24) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.47. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 9.47, MTN is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC6.98%
2.3 Liquidity
- MTN has a Current Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MTN has a Current ratio of 0.62. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 76.98% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- MTN has a worse Quick ratio (0.51) than 79.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. MTN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.12%.
- Measured over the past years, MTN shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 20.47% on average per year.
- The Revenue has decreased by -0.83% in the past year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 8.59% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
3.2 Future
- MTN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 2.40% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, MTN will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. MTN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 20.86 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MTN.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.70% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.78, MTN is valued a bit cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.54 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MTN.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.87% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.54), we can say MTN is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MTN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 68.25% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- 80.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MTN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of MTN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.02
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
5. MTN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.85%, MTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.09. MTN pays more dividend than 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, MTN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.85% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of MTN grows each year by 11.10%, which is quite nice.
- MTN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- As MTN did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 139.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MTN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of MTN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP139.28%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
MTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
127.87
-1.7 (-1.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Earnings (Next)06-03 2026-06-03/amc
Inst Owners120.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.14%
Ins Owner Change6.25%
Market Cap4.56B
Revenue(TTM)2.92B
Net Income(TTM)230.55M
Analysts71.76
Price Target167.65 (31.11%)
Short Float %14.16%
Short Ratio5.46
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.85% |
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP139.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-26 2026-03-26 (2.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.71%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.06%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.96%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.39%
PT rev (1m)-5.05%
PT rev (3m)-5.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)-25.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 20.86 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.54 | ||
| P/S | 1.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.91 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.73 | ||
| P/B | 15.1 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.98 |
EPS(TTM)6.13
EY4.79%
EPS(NY)7.29
Fwd EY5.7%
FCF(TTM)8.04
FCFY6.28%
OCF(TTM)14.65
OCFY11.46%
SpS82
BVpS8.47
TBVpS-47.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.02
Graham Number34.18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROCE | 11.5% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 19.05% | ||
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% | ||
| FCFM | 9.8% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.8% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
F-Score5
WACC6.98%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year35.7%
EBIT Next 3Y17.87%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-21.92%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-13.75%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%
VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MTN.
What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VAIL RESORTS INC?
VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 20.86 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.1.
How financially healthy is VAIL RESORTS INC?
The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.