VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094
Current stock price
130.14 USD
-2.54 (-1.91%)
At close:
130.14 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This MTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MTN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MTN was profitable.
- MTN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- MTN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years MTN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- MTN has a better Return On Assets (4.12%) than 61.11% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Return On Equity of 76.39% is amongst the best of the industry. MTN outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
- MTN has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.43%. This is in the better half of the industry: MTN outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MTN is below the industry average of 10.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.89%, MTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
- MTN has a better Operating Margin (16.83%) than 75.40% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- MTN has a Gross Margin of 42.55%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 60.32% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MTN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% |
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
2. MTN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MTN is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MTN has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for MTN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- MTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- MTN has an Altman-Z score of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.39, MTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MTN is 10.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take MTN, 10.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- MTN has a Debt to FCF ratio (10.24) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.47. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- MTN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 9.47. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.39 |
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC7.23%
2.3 Liquidity
- MTN has a Current Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.62, MTN is doing worse than 76.98% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN has a Quick Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- MTN has a Quick ratio of 0.51. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. MTN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.12%.
- Measured over the past years, MTN shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 20.47% on average per year.
- MTN shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.83%.
- MTN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.59% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.40% on average over the next years.
- MTN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y1.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. MTN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- MTN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.23.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.49% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.79), we can say MTN is valued slightly cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.85, MTN is valued on the expensive side.
- 65.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MTN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- MTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 38.88.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- MTN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 69.84% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MTN is valued cheaper than 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.2 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of MTN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
5. MTN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MTN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.87%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, MTN pays a better dividend. On top of this MTN pays more dividend than 98.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, MTN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.87% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of MTN grows each year by 11.10%, which is quite nice.
- MTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- MTN has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 139.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MTN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of MTN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP139.28%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
MTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
130.14
-2.54 (-1.91%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Earnings (Next)06-03 2026-06-03/amc
Inst Owners120.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.14%
Ins Owner Change6.25%
Market Cap4.64B
Revenue(TTM)2.92B
Net Income(TTM)230.55M
Analysts71.76
Price Target167.65 (28.82%)
Short Float %16.82%
Short Ratio6.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.87% |
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP139.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-26 2026-03-26 (2.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.71%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.06%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.96%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.39%
PT rev (1m)-5.05%
PT rev (3m)-5.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)-25.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.44%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.38%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.99%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.85 | ||
| P/S | 1.59 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.88 | ||
| P/B | 15.36 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.2 |
EPS(TTM)6.13
EY4.71%
EPS(NY)7.29
Fwd EY5.6%
FCF(TTM)8.04
FCFY6.17%
OCF(TTM)14.65
OCFY11.26%
SpS82
BVpS8.47
TBVpS-47.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
Graham Number34.181 (-73.74%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROCE | 11.5% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 19.05% | ||
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% | ||
| FCFM | 9.8% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.8% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.39 |
F-Score5
WACC7.23%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
Revenue Next Year-2.7%
Revenue Next 2Y1.75%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year35.7%
EBIT Next 3Y17.87%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-21.92%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-13.75%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%
VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MTN.
What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VAIL RESORTS INC?
VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 21.23 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.36.
How financially healthy is VAIL RESORTS INC?
The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.