VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094

130 USD
-3.94 (-2.94%)
Last: Mar 10, 2026, 03:01 PM
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This MTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

MTN gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 126 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While MTN belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. MTN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. MTN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MTN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MTN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years MTN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
MTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of MTN (4.62%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of MTN (170.06%) is better than 99.21% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.08%, MTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MTN is below the industry average of 10.49%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (10.08%) for MTN is above the 3 year average (8.45%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.62%
ROE 170.06%
ROIC 10.08%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
MTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.94%, MTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MTN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MTN has a Operating Margin of 17.66%. This is in the better half of the industry: MTN outperforms 76.98% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of MTN (42.78%) is worse than 60.32% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MTN has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.66%
PM (TTM) 8.94%
GM 42.78%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
MTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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2

2. MTN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MTN is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, MTN has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, MTN has less shares outstanding
  • MTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MTN Yearly Shares OutstandingMTN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
MTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.25, we must say that MTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • MTN has a Altman-Z score of 1.25. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • MTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.00. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MTN would need 9.00 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of MTN (9.00) is better than 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • MTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 16.51. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 16.51, MTN is not doing good in the industry: 73.81% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 16.51
Debt/FCF 9
Altman-Z 1.25
ROIC/WACC1.44
WACC7.01%
MTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.54 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MTN has a Current ratio of 0.54. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
  • MTN has a Quick Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.46, MTN is doing worse than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.46
MTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MTN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.12%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 20.47% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.74% in the past year.
  • MTN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.59% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.74%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.67%

3.2 Future

  • MTN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.39% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.75% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.04%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.5%
Revenue Next 2Y2.29%
Revenue Next 3Y2.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
MTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6 8

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5

4. MTN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 21.21 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MTN.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MTN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.45.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.83, MTN is valued correctly.
  • MTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 65.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MTN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 24.65, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.21
Fwd PE 16.83
MTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MTN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MTN indicates a rather cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 84.13% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.19
EV/EBITDA 8.97
MTN Per share dataMTN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of MTN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MTN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • MTN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.40%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.10, MTN pays a better dividend. On top of this MTN pays more dividend than 97.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MTN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.4%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MTN grows each year by 11.10%, which is quite nice.
  • MTN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • MTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
MTN Yearly Dividends per shareMTN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

  • MTN pays out 122.08% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • MTN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP122.08%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
MTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
MTN Dividend Payout.MTN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MTN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VAIL RESORTS INC

NYSE:MTN (3/10/2026, 3:01:58 PM)

130

-3.94 (-2.94%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-09
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners121.14%
Inst Owner Change-2.97%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change4.16%
Market Cap4.65B
Revenue(TTM)2.96B
Net Income(TTM)266.09M
Analysts72.5
Price Target176.57 (35.82%)
Short Float %11.93%
Short Ratio4.64
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.4%
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP122.08%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.05%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.87%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.83%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.94%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.13%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.05%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.37%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.55%
PT rev (1m)-0.24%
PT rev (3m)-0.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.55%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-8.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.76%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.21
Fwd PE 16.83
P/S 1.56
P/FCF 13.19
P/OCF 7.91
P/B 29.73
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.97
EPS(TTM)6.13
EY4.72%
EPS(NY)7.72
Fwd EY5.94%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY7.58%
OCF(TTM)16.44
OCFY12.65%
SpS83.15
BVpS4.37
TBVpS-50.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.04
Graham Number24.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.62%
ROE 170.06%
ROCE 13.73%
ROIC 10.08%
ROICexc 11.88%
ROICexgc 30.01%
OM 17.66%
PM (TTM) 8.94%
GM 42.78%
FCFM 11.85%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 16.51
Debt/FCF 9
Debt/EBITDA 3.14
Cap/Depr 79.16%
Cap/Sales 7.93%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 71.45%
Profit Quality 132.49%
Current Ratio 0.54
Quick Ratio 0.46
Altman-Z 1.25
F-Score8
WACC7.01%
ROIC/WACC1.44
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
EPS Next Y-10.04%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.74%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.67%
Revenue Next Year0.5%
Revenue Next 2Y2.29%
Revenue Next 3Y2.75%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y7.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year51.53%
EBIT Next 3Y19.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-9.82%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-7.35%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%

VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MTN.


What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MTN stock?

The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is expected to decline by -10.04% in the next year.