VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MTN - US91879Q1094 - Common Stock
132.07 USD
-0.73 (-0.55%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to MTN. MTN was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. MTN scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. MTN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
MTN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
MTN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years MTN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
MTN's Return On Assets of 4.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MTN outperforms 63.91% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MTN (170.06%) is better than 97.74% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MTN (10.08%) is better than 73.68% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MTN is in line with the industry average of 10.39%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.45%) for MTN is below the current ROIC(10.08%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.62% | ||
| ROE | 170.06% | ||
| ROIC | 10.08% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
1.3 Margins
MTN has a Profit Margin of 8.94%. This is in the better half of the industry: MTN outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 17.66%, MTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.69% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of MTN (42.78%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MTN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 17.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.94% | ||
| GM | 42.78% |
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so MTN is still creating some value.
MTN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MTN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
MTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
MTN has an Altman-Z score of 1.25. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
MTN has a Altman-Z score of 1.25. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MTN outperforms 41.35% of its industry peers.
MTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 9.00. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MTN would need 9.00 years to pay back of all of its debts.
MTN has a better Debt to FCF ratio (9.00) than 64.66% of its industry peers.
MTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 16.51. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
MTN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 16.51. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 69.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 16.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.25 |
ROIC/WACC1.34
WACC7.52%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.54 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MTN has a worse Current ratio (0.54) than 72.18% of its industry peers.
MTN has a Quick Ratio of 0.54. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MTN has a Quick ratio of 0.46. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 75.19% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
MTN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 13.29%, which is quite good.
MTN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 20.47% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.06% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 8.59% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.29%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-12.8%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.06%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%4.13%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.38% on average over the next years.
MTN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.98% yearly.
EPS Next Y-4.63%
EPS Next 2Y2.59%
EPS Next 3Y6.38%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.44%
Revenue Next 2Y2.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.37, the valuation of MTN can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MTN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 69.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MTN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.51.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.93, the valuation of MTN can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MTN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 67.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MTN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.13, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
72.93% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MTN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
MTN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 88.72% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.47 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of MTN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
EPS Next 2Y2.59%
EPS Next 3Y6.38%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
MTN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.36%, which is a nice return.
MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.66. MTN pays more dividend than 97.74% of the companies in the same industry.
MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.36% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of MTN grows each year by 11.10%, which is quite nice.
MTN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
MTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
122.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MTN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
MTN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP122.08%
EPS Next 2Y2.59%
EPS Next 3Y6.38%
NYSE:MTN (1/2/2026, 12:54:22 PM)
132.07
-0.73 (-0.55%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners121.15%
Inst Owner Change3.56%
Ins Owners1.02%
Ins Owner Change4.08%
Market Cap4.75B
Revenue(TTM)2.98B
Net Income(TTM)266.09M
Analysts69.41
Price Target178.02 (34.79%)
Short Float %10.52%
Short Ratio4.49
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.36% |
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP122.08%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.5%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.05%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.87%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.83%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.41%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.94%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.91%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.13%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.05%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.37%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.55%
PT rev (1m)0.81%
PT rev (3m)-3.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)3.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)-9.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.78%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.32%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.37 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.93 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.47 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.07 | ||
| P/B | 30.35 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.94 |
EPS(TTM)6.82
EY5.16%
EPS(NY)7.8
Fwd EY5.91%
FCF(TTM)9.81
FCFY7.43%
OCF(TTM)16.37
OCFY12.39%
SpS82.76
BVpS4.35
TBVpS-50.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.95
Graham Number25.84
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.62% | ||
| ROE | 170.06% | ||
| ROCE | 13.73% | ||
| ROIC | 10.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.88% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.01% | ||
| OM | 17.66% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.94% | ||
| GM | 42.78% | ||
| FCFM | 11.85% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 16.51 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 9 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.14 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 79.16% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.93% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 71.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 132.49% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.54 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.25 |
F-Score8
WACC7.52%
ROIC/WACC1.34
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)13.29%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-12.8%
EPS Next Y-4.63%
EPS Next 2Y2.59%
EPS Next 3Y6.38%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.06%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%4.13%
Revenue Next Year1.44%
Revenue Next 2Y2.39%
Revenue Next 3Y2.98%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y7.46%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year54.37%
EBIT Next 3Y19.66%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-9.82%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-7.35%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%
VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MTN.
What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for MTN stock?
The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is expected to decline by -4.63% in the next year.