VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094
Current stock price
129.12 USD
-1.06 (-0.81%)
At close:
128.547 USD
-0.57 (-0.44%)
After Hours:
This MTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MTN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year MTN was profitable.
- MTN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- MTN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- MTN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.12%, MTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 76.39%, MTN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.44% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.43%, MTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MTN is below the industry average of 10.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
1.3 Margins
- MTN's Profit Margin of 7.89% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MTN outperforms 70.63% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- MTN's Operating Margin of 16.83% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MTN outperforms 75.40% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- MTN's Gross Margin of 42.55% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MTN is outperformed by 60.32% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MTN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% |
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
2. MTN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MTN is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MTN has less shares outstanding
- MTN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- MTN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- MTN has an Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.37, MTN is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MTN is 10.24, which is on the high side as it means it would take MTN, 10.24 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- MTN has a Debt to FCF ratio (10.24) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- MTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.47. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 9.47, MTN is not doing good in the industry: 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
ROIC/WACC1.2
WACC7.05%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.62, MTN is not doing good in the industry: 76.98% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- MTN's Quick ratio of 0.51 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MTN is outperformed by 79.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. MTN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.12%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 20.47% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- The Revenue has decreased by -0.83% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, MTN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.59% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
3.2 Future
- MTN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 2.40% yearly.
- MTN is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MTN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- MTN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.06.
- MTN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.33), we can say MTN is valued slightly cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.71 indicates a rather expensive valuation of MTN.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MTN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 65.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.16. MTN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- MTN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.04 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MTN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.03
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
5. MTN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.85%, MTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.09. MTN pays more dividend than 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.85% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MTN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.10%!
- MTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- As MTN did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 139.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MTN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- MTN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP139.28%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
MTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
129.12
-1.06 (-0.81%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Earnings (Next)06-03 2026-06-03/amc
Inst Owners120.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.14%
Ins Owner Change6.25%
Market Cap4.60B
Revenue(TTM)2.92B
Net Income(TTM)230.55M
Analysts71.76
Price Target167.65 (29.84%)
Short Float %16.82%
Short Ratio6.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.85% |
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP139.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-26 2026-03-26 (2.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.71%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.06%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.96%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.39%
PT rev (1m)-5.05%
PT rev (3m)-5.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)-25.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.06 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.71 | ||
| P/S | 1.57 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.07 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.81 | ||
| P/B | 15.24 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.04 |
EPS(TTM)6.13
EY4.75%
EPS(NY)7.29
Fwd EY5.65%
FCF(TTM)8.04
FCFY6.22%
OCF(TTM)14.65
OCFY11.35%
SpS82
BVpS8.47
TBVpS-47.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.03
Graham Number34.181 (-73.53%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROCE | 11.5% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 19.05% | ||
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% | ||
| FCFM | 9.8% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.8% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
F-Score5
WACC7.05%
ROIC/WACC1.2
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year35.7%
EBIT Next 3Y17.87%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-21.92%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-13.75%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%
VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MTN.
What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VAIL RESORTS INC?
VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 21.06 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.24.
How financially healthy is VAIL RESORTS INC?
The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.