VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094

Current stock price

131.7 USD
+1.69 (+1.3%)
Last:

This MTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. MTN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MTN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • MTN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • MTN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • MTN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
MTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMTN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • MTN's Return On Assets of 4.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MTN outperforms 62.70% of its industry peers.
  • MTN has a Return On Equity of 76.39%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MTN outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
  • MTN has a better Return On Invested Capital (8.43%) than 65.08% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MTN is below the industry average of 10.61%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.12%
ROE 76.39%
ROIC 8.43%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
MTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMTN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 7.89%, MTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MTN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MTN has a better Operating Margin (16.83%) than 75.40% of its industry peers.
  • MTN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • MTN's Gross Margin of 42.55% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MTN is outperformed by 61.11% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of MTN has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.83%
PM (TTM) 7.89%
GM 42.55%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
MTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMTN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

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2

2. MTN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • MTN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MTN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for MTN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for MTN is higher compared to a year ago.
MTN Yearly Shares OutstandingMTN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10M 20M 30M 40M
MTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMTN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.37, we must say that MTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • MTN has a Altman-Z score of 1.37. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MTN outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
  • MTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.24. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MTN would need 10.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.24, MTN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 9.47 is on the high side and indicates that MTN has dependencies on debt financing.
  • MTN's Debt to Equity ratio of 9.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MTN is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.47
Debt/FCF 10.24
Altman-Z 1.37
ROIC/WACC1.19
WACC7.09%
MTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMTN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MTN has a worse Current ratio (0.62) than 76.19% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MTN has a worse Quick ratio (0.51) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.51
MTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMTN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. MTN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • MTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.12%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 20.47% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, MTN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.83% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, MTN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 8.59% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%

3.2 Future

  • MTN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.39% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.23% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.04%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.79%
Revenue Next 3Y2.23%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
MTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMTN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B
MTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMTN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6 8

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5

4. MTN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.48, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MTN.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.50), we can say MTN is valued inline with the index average.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.05, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MTN.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.87% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • MTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.67.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.48
Fwd PE 17.05
MTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMTN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MTN indicates a rather cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 80.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.39
EV/EBITDA 9.08
MTN Per share dataMTN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of MTN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. MTN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.54%, MTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.09. MTN pays more dividend than 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.54%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MTN grows each year by 11.10%, which is quite nice.
  • MTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MTN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
MTN Yearly Dividends per shareMTN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

  • MTN pays out 139.28% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of MTN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP139.28%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
MTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMTN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
MTN Dividend Payout.MTN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MTN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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MTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

VAIL RESORTS INC

NYSE:MTN (3/25/2026, 3:12:35 PM)

131.7

+1.69 (+1.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-09
Earnings (Next)06-03
Inst Owners121.14%
Inst Owner Change-2.97%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change10.07%
Market Cap4.69B
Revenue(TTM)2.92B
Net Income(TTM)230.55M
Analysts72.5
Price Target176.57 (34.07%)
Short Float %14.12%
Short Ratio5.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.54%
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP139.28%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-26
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.71%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.06%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.96%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.39%
PT rev (1m)-0.24%
PT rev (3m)-0.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.49%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.65%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.63%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 21.48
Fwd PE 17.05
P/S 1.61
P/FCF 16.39
P/OCF 8.99
P/B 15.55
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.08
EPS(TTM)6.13
EY4.65%
EPS(NY)7.72
Fwd EY5.87%
FCF(TTM)8.04
FCFY6.1%
OCF(TTM)14.65
OCFY11.13%
SpS82
BVpS8.47
TBVpS-47.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.05
Graham Number34.18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.12%
ROE 76.39%
ROCE 11.5%
ROIC 8.43%
ROICexc 9.27%
ROICexgc 19.05%
OM 16.83%
PM (TTM) 7.89%
GM 42.55%
FCFM 9.8%
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 9.47
Debt/FCF 10.24
Debt/EBITDA 3.61
Cap/Depr 78.8%
Cap/Sales 8.07%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 66.02%
Profit Quality 124.18%
Current Ratio 0.62
Quick Ratio 0.51
Altman-Z 1.37
F-Score5
WACC7.09%
ROIC/WACC1.19
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
EPS Next Y-10.04%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.79%
Revenue Next 3Y2.23%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year51.53%
EBIT Next 3Y19.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-21.92%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-13.75%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%

VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MTN.


What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for MTN stock?

The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is expected to decline by -10.04% in the next year.