VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094
Current stock price
133.22 USD
+3.91 (+3.02%)
At close:
132.686 USD
-0.53 (-0.4%)
After Hours:
This MTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MTN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MTN had positive earnings in the past year.
- MTN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years MTN has been profitable.
- In the past 5 years MTN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- MTN's Return On Assets of 4.12% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MTN outperforms 61.11% of its industry peers.
- MTN has a Return On Equity of 76.39%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MTN outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Return On Invested Capital of 8.43% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MTN outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MTN is below the industry average of 10.55%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of MTN (7.89%) is better than 70.63% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 16.83%, MTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.40% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MTN has grown nicely.
- MTN has a worse Gross Margin (42.55%) than 60.32% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% |
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
2. MTN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- MTN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for MTN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- MTN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MTN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.37, we must say that MTN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 1.37, MTN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.24. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MTN would need 10.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.24, MTN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 9.47. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- MTN's Debt to Equity ratio of 9.47 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MTN is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
ROIC/WACC1.19
WACC7.06%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.62, MTN is doing worse than 76.98% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN has a Quick Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.51, MTN is not doing good in the industry: 79.37% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. MTN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.12%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 20.47% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- Looking at the last year, MTN shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.83% in the last year.
- The Revenue has been growing by 8.59% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
3.2 Future
- MTN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 2.40% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.16% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MTN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 21.73, MTN is valued on the expensive side.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MTN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 63.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of MTN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.87), we can say MTN is valued slightly cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.28, MTN is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.87% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- MTN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 38.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.28 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of MTN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 69.84% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- MTN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. MTN is cheaper than 80.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of MTN may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
5. MTN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- MTN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.87%, which is a nice return.
- MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.04. MTN pays more dividend than 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.87% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MTN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.10%!
- MTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- As MTN did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 139.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MTN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of MTN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP139.28%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
MTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
133.22
+3.91 (+3.02%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Earnings (Next)06-03 2026-06-03/amc
Inst Owners120.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.14%
Ins Owner Change6.25%
Market Cap4.75B
Revenue(TTM)2.92B
Net Income(TTM)230.55M
Analysts71.76
Price Target167.65 (25.84%)
Short Float %16.82%
Short Ratio6.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.87% |
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP139.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-26 2026-03-26 (2.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.71%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.06%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.96%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.39%
PT rev (1m)-5.05%
PT rev (3m)-5.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)-25.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)-30.12%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.71%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.28 | ||
| P/S | 1.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.09 | ||
| P/B | 15.73 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.05 |
EPS(TTM)6.13
EY4.6%
EPS(NY)7.29
Fwd EY5.47%
FCF(TTM)8.04
FCFY6.03%
OCF(TTM)14.65
OCFY11%
SpS82
BVpS8.47
TBVpS-47.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.06
Graham Number34.181 (-74.34%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROCE | 11.5% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 19.05% | ||
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% | ||
| FCFM | 9.8% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.8% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
F-Score5
WACC7.06%
ROIC/WACC1.19
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
EPS Next Y-33.35%
EPS Next 2Y-0.82%
EPS Next 3Y2.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year35.7%
EBIT Next 3Y17.87%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-21.92%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-13.75%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%
VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MTN.
What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VAIL RESORTS INC?
VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 21.73 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.73.
How financially healthy is VAIL RESORTS INC?
The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.