VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:MTN • US91879Q1094
Current stock price
129.41 USD
-1.72 (-1.31%)
Last:
This MTN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. MTN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- MTN had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year MTN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- MTN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years MTN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of MTN (4.12%) is better than 61.11% of its industry peers.
- MTN has a Return On Equity of 76.39%. This is amongst the best in the industry. MTN outperforms 94.44% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.43%, MTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MTN is below the industry average of 10.66%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.89%, MTN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.83%, MTN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.40% of the companies in the same industry.
- MTN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of MTN (42.55%) is worse than 60.32% of its industry peers.
- MTN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% |
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
2. MTN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MTN is creating some value.
- MTN has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- MTN has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, MTN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- MTN has an Altman-Z score of 1.38. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- MTN's Altman-Z score of 1.38 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. MTN outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
- MTN has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.24. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as MTN would need 10.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of MTN (10.24) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 9.47 is on the high side and indicates that MTN has dependencies on debt financing.
- MTN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (9.47) than 71.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.38 |
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC6.99%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.62 indicates that MTN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- MTN has a Current ratio of 0.62. This is in the lower half of the industry: MTN underperforms 76.98% of its industry peers.
- MTN has a Quick Ratio of 0.62. This is a bad value and indicates that MTN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of MTN (0.51) is worse than 79.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. MTN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- MTN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -10.12%.
- MTN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 20.47% yearly.
- MTN shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.83%.
- MTN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 8.59% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
3.2 Future
- MTN is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.39% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.16% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.04%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. MTN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 21.11, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of MTN.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MTN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MTN is cheaper than 61.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.17, MTN is valued at the same level.
- MTN is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.75.
- 65.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MTN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.05, MTN is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MTN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.46% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, MTN is valued cheaper than 80.95% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.13 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- MTN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.03
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
5. MTN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.02%, MTN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- MTN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.14. MTN pays more dividend than 98.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, MTN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of MTN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.10%!
- MTN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- As MTN did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
5.3 Sustainability
- 139.28% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MTN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- MTN's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP139.28%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
MTN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:MTN (4/6/2026, 11:08:21 AM)
129.41
-1.72 (-1.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)03-09 2026-03-09/amc
Earnings (Next)06-03 2026-06-03/amc
Inst Owners121.14%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change6.27%
Market Cap4.61B
Revenue(TTM)2.92B
Net Income(TTM)230.55M
Analysts71.76
Price Target167.65 (29.55%)
Short Float %14.16%
Short Ratio5.46
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.02% |
Yearly Dividend8.95
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.1%
DP139.28%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-Date03-26 2026-03-26 (2.22)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.96%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.71%
Max EPS beat(2)0.79%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.36%
Max EPS beat(4)4.65%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.06%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.96%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.22%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.88%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.52%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.87%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.39%
PT rev (1m)-5.05%
PT rev (3m)-5.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.21%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.38%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.11%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-3.55%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.83 | ||
| P/B | 15.28 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.13 |
EPS(TTM)6.13
EY4.74%
EPS(NY)7.72
Fwd EY5.97%
FCF(TTM)8.04
FCFY6.21%
OCF(TTM)14.65
OCFY11.32%
SpS82
BVpS8.47
TBVpS-47.61
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.03
Graham Number34.18
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.12% | ||
| ROE | 76.39% | ||
| ROCE | 11.5% | ||
| ROIC | 8.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.27% | ||
| ROICexgc | 19.05% | ||
| OM | 16.83% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.89% | ||
| GM | 42.55% | ||
| FCFM | 9.8% |
ROA(3y)4.47%
ROA(5y)4.19%
ROE(3y)41.74%
ROE(5y)30.96%
ROIC(3y)8.45%
ROIC(5y)7.43%
ROICexc(3y)9.37%
ROICexc(5y)8.66%
ROICexgc(3y)18.69%
ROICexgc(5y)17.41%
ROCE(3y)11.51%
ROCE(5y)10.13%
ROICexgc growth 3Y3.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y22.63%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.61%
ROICexc growth 5Y19.6%
OM growth 3Y-7.16%
OM growth 5Y6.96%
PM growth 3Y-11.81%
PM growth 5Y13.43%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y1.31%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 9.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 78.8% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 66.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 124.18% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.38 |
F-Score5
WACC6.99%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)90.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.72%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.96%
Profit Quality(3y)132.92%
Profit Quality(5y)173.66%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.12%
EPS 3Y-4.43%
EPS 5Y20.47%
EPS Q2Q%-10.52%
EPS Next Y-10.04%
EPS Next 2Y2.1%
EPS Next 3Y5.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.83%
Revenue growth 3Y5.48%
Revenue growth 5Y8.59%
Sales Q2Q%-4.68%
Revenue Next Year-3.07%
Revenue Next 2Y1.57%
Revenue Next 3Y2.16%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-5.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.07%
EBIT growth 5Y16.14%
EBIT Next Year51.53%
EBIT Next 3Y19.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-21.92%
FCF growth 3Y-14.84%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-13.75%
OCF growth 3Y-7.91%
OCF growth 5Y7.03%
VAIL RESORTS INC / MTN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MTN.
What is the valuation status of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for VAIL RESORTS INC?
VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 21.11 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 15.28.
How financially healthy is VAIL RESORTS INC?
The financial health rating of VAIL RESORTS INC (MTN) is 2 / 10.