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Marathon Oil Corp (MRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:MRO - US5658491064 - Common Stock

28.55 USD
-0.37 (-1.28%)
Last: 11/21/2024, 8:04:00 PM
28.5798 USD
+0.03 (+0.1%)
After Hours: 11/21/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall MRO gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated MRO against 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MRO has an average financial health and profitability rating. MRO is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

MRO had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year MRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
MRO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years MRO had a positive operating cash flow.
MRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.85%, MRO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.46% of the companies in the same industry.
MRO has a Return On Equity (11.63%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of MRO (10.21%) is better than 67.32% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for MRO is significantly below the industry average of 20.87%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.85%
ROE 11.63%
ROIC 10.21%
ROA(3y)10.54%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.14%
ROE(5y)8.92%
ROIC(3y)13.87%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 19.79%, MRO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.85% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MRO has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 29.96%, MRO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MRO has grown nicely.
MRO has a better Gross Margin (86.89%) than 92.68% of its industry peers.
MRO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.96%
PM (TTM) 19.79%
GM 86.89%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y5.86%
GM growth 3Y2.24%
GM growth 5Y0.24%
MRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MRO is creating some value.
MRO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for MRO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
MRO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
MRO Yearly Shares OutstandingMRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M
MRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

MRO has an Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is not the best score and indicates that MRO is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
MRO has a Altman-Z score of 2.76. This is in the better half of the industry: MRO outperforms 72.68% of its industry peers.
MRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.33. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as MRO would need 2.33 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.33, MRO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.17% of the companies in the same industry.
MRO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
MRO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.42) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.42
Debt/FCF 2.33
Altman-Z 2.76
ROIC/WACC1.27
WACC8.07%
MRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.69 indicates that MRO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
MRO's Current ratio of 0.69 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MRO is outperformed by 79.02% of its industry peers.
MRO has a Quick Ratio of 0.69. This is a bad value and indicates that MRO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MRO has a Quick ratio of 0.61. This is in the lower half of the industry: MRO underperforms 78.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.61
MRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for MRO have decreased strongly by -10.36% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 29.38% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
MRO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.78%.
MRO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.36%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y29.38%
EPS Q2Q%-16.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.78%
Revenue growth 3Y29.48%
Revenue growth 5Y1.3%
Sales Q2Q%-3.97%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MRO will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -2.56% on average per year.
MRO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.14% yearly.
EPS Next Y-6.75%
EPS Next 2Y-4.99%
EPS Next 3Y-3.07%
EPS Next 5Y-2.56%
Revenue Next Year0.06%
Revenue Next 2Y0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
MRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
MRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.37, which indicates a very decent valuation of MRO.
MRO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.76. MRO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.12, which indicates a correct valuation of MRO.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as MRO.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.96. MRO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.37
Fwd PE 12.12
MRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

69.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MRO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
MRO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MRO is cheaper than 75.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.83
EV/EBITDA 4.76
MRO Per share dataMRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

MRO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
MRO's earnings are expected to decrease with -3.07% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.39
EPS Next 2Y-4.99%
EPS Next 3Y-3.07%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.54%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.71, MRO is paying slightly less dividend.
MRO's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.31.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.54%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of MRO grows each year by 15.43%, which is quite nice.
MRO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
MRO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.43%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
MRO Yearly Dividends per shareMRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

19.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MRO. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.02%
EPS Next 2Y-4.99%
EPS Next 3Y-3.07%
MRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B -4B
MRO Dividend Payout.MRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

Marathon Oil Corp

NYSE:MRO (11/21/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 28.5798 +0.03 (+0.1%)

28.55

-0.37 (-1.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Inst Owners75.7%
Inst Owner Change-100%
Ins Owners0.43%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap15.97B
Revenue(TTM)6.72B
Net Income(TTM)1.33B
Analysts73.08
Price Target31.8 (11.38%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.54%
Yearly Dividend0.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)15.43%
DP19.02%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.91%
Min EPS beat(2)-10%
Max EPS beat(2)0.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.05%
Min EPS beat(4)-10%
Max EPS beat(4)8.86%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)3.02%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)6.61%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)16.49%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.57%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.46%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.57%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.44%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.58%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.55%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.13%
PT rev (1m)-1.5%
PT rev (3m)-5.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-28.13%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-28.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-4.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.35%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.12%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.37
Fwd PE 12.12
P/S 2.38
P/FCF 7.83
P/OCF 3.86
P/B 1.4
P/tB 1.4
EV/EBITDA 4.76
EPS(TTM)2.51
EY8.79%
EPS(NY)2.36
Fwd EY8.25%
FCF(TTM)3.65
FCFY12.78%
OCF(TTM)7.39
OCFY25.88%
SpS12.01
BVpS20.44
TBVpS20.44
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.39
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.85%
ROE 11.63%
ROCE 11.67%
ROIC 10.21%
ROICexc 10.29%
ROICexgc 10.29%
OM 29.96%
PM (TTM) 19.79%
GM 86.89%
FCFM 30.38%
ROA(3y)10.54%
ROA(5y)5.18%
ROE(3y)18.14%
ROE(5y)8.92%
ROIC(3y)13.87%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)14.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)14.15%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)15.81%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y12.25%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.37%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y5.86%
GM growth 3Y2.24%
GM growth 5Y0.24%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.42
Debt/FCF 2.33
Debt/EBITDA 1.11
Cap/Depr 91.92%
Cap/Sales 31.15%
Interest Coverage 7.77
Cash Conversion 96.36%
Profit Quality 153.46%
Current Ratio 0.69
Quick Ratio 0.61
Altman-Z 2.76
F-Score7
WACC8.07%
ROIC/WACC1.27
Cap/Depr(3y)75.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)78.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)22.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.44%
Profit Quality(3y)158.04%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-10.36%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y29.38%
EPS Q2Q%-16.88%
EPS Next Y-6.75%
EPS Next 2Y-4.99%
EPS Next 3Y-3.07%
EPS Next 5Y-2.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.78%
Revenue growth 3Y29.48%
Revenue growth 5Y1.3%
Sales Q2Q%-3.97%
Revenue Next Year0.06%
Revenue Next 2Y0.04%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-20.06%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y9.81%
EBIT Next Year90.59%
EBIT Next 3Y24.05%
EBIT Next 5Y14.35%
FCF growth 1Y-49.68%
FCF growth 3Y150.93%
FCF growth 5Y35.42%
OCF growth 1Y-24.1%
OCF growth 3Y40.52%
OCF growth 5Y4.82%

Marathon Oil Corp / MRO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for MRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to MRO.


What is the valuation status for MRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to Marathon Oil Corp (MRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is Marathon Oil Corp (MRO) stock?

Marathon Oil Corp (MRO) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MRO stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Marathon Oil Corp (MRO) is 11.37 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.4.


Is the dividend of Marathon Oil Corp sustainable?

The dividend rating of Marathon Oil Corp (MRO) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.02%.