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MPLX LP (MPLX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MPLX - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US55336V1008

51.94  -0.7 (-1.33%)

After market: 52.34 +0.4 (+0.77%)

Fundamental Rating

5

MPLX gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MPLX has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. MPLX has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively. MPLX also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year MPLX was profitable.
In the past year MPLX had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years MPLX 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years MPLX had a positive operating cash flow.
MPLX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMPLX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of MPLX (11.17%) is better than 80.10% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of MPLX (31.75%) is better than 88.35% of its industry peers.
MPLX has a better Return On Invested Capital (12.16%) than 76.70% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for MPLX is significantly below the industry average of 28.71%.
The 3 year average ROIC (11.01%) for MPLX is below the current ROIC(12.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.17%
ROE 31.75%
ROIC 12.16%
ROA(3y)9.82%
ROA(5y)5.89%
ROE(3y)28.87%
ROE(5y)17.14%
ROIC(3y)11.01%
ROIC(5y)9.2%
MPLX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMPLX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

MPLX's Profit Margin of 36.34% is amongst the best of the industry. MPLX outperforms 87.38% of its industry peers.
MPLX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 44.55%, MPLX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.44% of the companies in the same industry.
MPLX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 59.89%, MPLX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.02% of the companies in the same industry.
MPLX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 44.55%
PM (TTM) 36.34%
GM 59.89%
OM growth 3Y10.98%
OM growth 5Y2.21%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.41%
GM growth 3Y1.24%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
MPLX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMPLX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MPLX is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for MPLX remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, MPLX has more shares outstanding
MPLX has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
MPLX Yearly Shares OutstandingMPLX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
MPLX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMPLX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of MPLX is 4.71, which is a neutral value as it means it would take MPLX, 4.71 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
MPLX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.71) than 62.62% of its industry peers.
MPLX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.44. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
MPLX's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. MPLX is outperformed by 79.61% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.44
Debt/FCF 4.71
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.53
WACC7.95%
MPLX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMPLX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

MPLX has a Current Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that MPLX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of MPLX (0.99) is worse than 64.08% of its industry peers.
MPLX has a Quick Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that MPLX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
MPLX has a Quick ratio of 0.95. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MPLX outperforms 43.20% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.95
MPLX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMPLX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.49% over the past year.
MPLX shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.05% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 7.83% in the past year.
MPLX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.00% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.49%
EPS 3Y16.66%
EPS 5Y10.05%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.83%
Revenue growth 3Y14.23%
Revenue growth 5Y10%
Sales Q2Q%2.06%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, MPLX will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.66% on average per year.
MPLX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.12% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y7.19%
EPS Next 3Y6.9%
EPS Next 5Y5.66%
Revenue Next Year7.17%
Revenue Next 2Y6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y4.7%
Revenue Next 5Y1.12%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
MPLX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMPLX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
MPLX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMPLX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.25, the valuation of MPLX can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MPLX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.29, MPLX is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.86, the valuation of MPLX can be described as reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of MPLX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MPLX is cheaper than 61.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
MPLX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.25
Fwd PE 11.86
MPLX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMPLX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, MPLX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.65% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
63.59% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MPLX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.17
EV/EBITDA 11.24
MPLX Per share dataMPLX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of MPLX may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)1.22
EPS Next 2Y7.19%
EPS Next 3Y6.9%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

MPLX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.53%, which is a nice return.
MPLX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.39. MPLX pays more dividend than 80.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, MPLX pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.53%

5.2 History

The dividend of MPLX has a limited annual growth rate of 0.89%.
MPLX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of MPLX decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.89%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
MPLX Yearly Dividends per shareMPLX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

MPLX pays out 81.38% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of MPLX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP81.38%
EPS Next 2Y7.19%
EPS Next 3Y6.9%
MPLX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMPLX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B 4B
MPLX Dividend Payout.MPLX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MPLX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MPLX LP

NYSE:MPLX (1/22/2025, 5:28:45 PM)

After market: 52.34 +0.4 (+0.77%)

51.94

-0.7 (-1.33%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-04 2025-02-04/amc
Inst Owners23.6%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change0.26%
Market Cap52.92B
Analysts77.14
Price Target52.77 (1.6%)
Short Float %2.43%
Short Ratio4.58
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.53%
Yearly Dividend3.29
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.89%
DP81.38%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.91%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.24%
Max EPS beat(2)15.06%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.24%
Max EPS beat(4)15.06%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.83%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)6.45%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)4.89%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.74%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.06%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.2%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.95%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.93%
PT rev (1m)1.59%
PT rev (3m)10.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.39%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.25
Fwd PE 11.86
P/S 4.47
P/FCF 11.17
P/OCF 9.19
P/B 3.91
P/tB 9.89
EV/EBITDA 11.24
EPS(TTM)4.24
EY8.16%
EPS(NY)4.38
Fwd EY8.43%
FCF(TTM)4.65
FCFY8.95%
OCF(TTM)5.65
OCFY10.88%
SpS11.62
BVpS13.3
TBVpS5.25
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)1.22
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.17%
ROE 31.75%
ROCE 15.4%
ROIC 12.16%
ROICexc 13.09%
ROICexgc 17.63%
OM 44.55%
PM (TTM) 36.34%
GM 59.89%
FCFM 40.02%
ROA(3y)9.82%
ROA(5y)5.89%
ROE(3y)28.87%
ROE(5y)17.14%
ROIC(3y)11.01%
ROIC(5y)9.2%
ROICexc(3y)11.16%
ROICexc(5y)9.29%
ROICexgc(3y)15%
ROICexgc(5y)12.55%
ROCE(3y)13.94%
ROCE(5y)11.64%
ROICexcg growth 3Y28.7%
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.37%
ROICexc growth 3Y28.62%
ROICexc growth 5Y15.12%
OM growth 3Y10.98%
OM growth 5Y2.21%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y6.41%
GM growth 3Y1.24%
GM growth 5Y0.59%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.44
Debt/FCF 4.71
Debt/EBITDA 2.98
Cap/Depr 80.87%
Cap/Sales 8.64%
Interest Coverage 5.9
Cash Conversion 88.1%
Profit Quality 110.14%
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.95
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score8
WACC7.95%
ROIC/WACC1.53
Cap/Depr(3y)61.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.36%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.56%
Profit Quality(3y)125.39%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.49%
EPS 3Y16.66%
EPS 5Y10.05%
EPS Q2Q%13.48%
EPS Next Y11.95%
EPS Next 2Y7.19%
EPS Next 3Y6.9%
EPS Next 5Y5.66%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.83%
Revenue growth 3Y14.23%
Revenue growth 5Y10%
Sales Q2Q%2.06%
Revenue Next Year7.17%
Revenue Next 2Y6.06%
Revenue Next 3Y4.7%
Revenue Next 5Y1.12%
EBIT growth 1Y13.45%
EBIT growth 3Y26.77%
EBIT growth 5Y12.43%
EBIT Next Year38.61%
EBIT Next 3Y14.22%
EBIT Next 5Y9.38%
FCF growth 1Y12.76%
FCF growth 3Y10.14%
FCF growth 5Y35.96%
OCF growth 1Y17.77%
OCF growth 3Y6.08%
OCF growth 5Y11.94%