MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:MPC • US56585A1025

209.82 USD
+11.61 (+5.86%)
At close: Mar 2, 2026
212.18 USD
+2.36 (+1.12%)
Pre-Market: 3/3/2026, 9:07:01 AM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall MPC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated MPC against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MPC has an average financial health and profitability rating. MPC is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. MPC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year MPC was profitable.
  • In the past year MPC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years MPC 4 years were profitable.
  • MPC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MPC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMPC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of MPC (3.46%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of MPC (16.84%) is better than 83.57% of its industry peers.
  • MPC's Return On Invested Capital of 8.59% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. MPC outperforms 76.81% of its industry peers.
  • MPC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.20%. This is below the industry average of 22.15%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.59%) for MPC is well below the 3 year average (17.20%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that MPC had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.46%
ROE 16.84%
ROIC 8.59%
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)6.32%
ROE(3y)37.13%
ROE(5y)20.85%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MPC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMPC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 2.13%, MPC is not doing good in the industry: 60.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of MPC has remained more or less at the same level.
  • MPC has a Operating Margin of 4.97%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MPC underperforms 64.25% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of MPC has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Gross Margin of MPC (10.43%) is worse than 71.01% of its industry peers.
  • MPC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.97%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 10.43%
OM growth 3Y10.38%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-32.72%
PM growth 5Y0.75%
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y-1.88%
MPC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMPC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MPC is creating value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for MPC. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
MPC Yearly Shares OutstandingMPC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
MPC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMPC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • MPC has an Altman-Z score of 3.19. This indicates that MPC is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MPC has a better Altman-Z score (3.19) than 80.68% of its industry peers.
  • MPC has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.68. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MPC would need 7.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.68, MPC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.49% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.83 is on the high side and indicates that MPC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of MPC (1.83) is worse than 76.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.83
Debt/FCF 7.68
Altman-Z 3.19
ROIC/WACC1.21
WACC7.12%
MPC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMPC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.32 indicates that MPC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MPC has a Current ratio (1.32) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • MPC has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a bad value and indicates that MPC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of MPC (0.79) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.79
MPC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMPC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.63% over the past year.
  • The earnings per share for MPC have been decreasing by -25.91% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-0.13%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.08% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.69% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y20.88%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue Next Year-2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.53%
Revenue Next 3Y0.76%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
MPC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMPC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
MPC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMPC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.43, MPC is valued on the expensive side.
  • MPC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.13. MPC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.07, which indicates a correct valuation of MPC.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, MPC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.84% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.11, MPC is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.43
Fwd PE 16.07
MPC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMPC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MPC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • MPC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. MPC is cheaper than 70.05% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.48
EV/EBITDA 9.23
MPC Per share dataMPC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300 400

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MPC's earnings are expected to grow with 18.28% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.93
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.99%, MPC has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.46, MPC has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • MPC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.99%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of MPC is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.91%!
  • MPC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MPC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.91%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years13
MPC Yearly Dividends per shareMPC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 39.32% of the earnings are spent on dividend by MPC. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • MPC's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP39.32%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
MPC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMPC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B 10B
MPC Dividend Payout.MPC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MPC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP

NYSE:MPC (3/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 212.18 +2.36 (+1.12%)

209.82

+11.61 (+5.86%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners75.49%
Inst Owner Change-0.62%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change-0.13%
Market Cap61.90B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)2.88B
Analysts72.8
Price Target204.06 (-2.75%)
Short Float %2.99%
Short Ratio3.7
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.99%
Yearly Dividend3.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.91%
DP39.32%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years13
Ex-Date02-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)6.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(2)19.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1108.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(4)4366.18%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)580%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)390.01%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)305.33%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.27%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.56%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.67%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.18%
PT rev (1m)0.86%
PT rev (3m)0.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.4%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.12%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.48%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.43
Fwd PE 16.07
P/S 0.46
P/FCF 14.48
P/OCF 8.37
P/B 3.62
P/tB 12.34
EV/EBITDA 9.23
EPS(TTM)10.8
EY5.15%
EPS(NY)13.06
Fwd EY6.22%
FCF(TTM)14.49
FCFY6.91%
OCF(TTM)25.05
OCFY11.94%
SpS458.48
BVpS57.96
TBVpS17.01
PEG (NY)0.93
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number118.67
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.46%
ROE 16.84%
ROCE 10.42%
ROIC 8.59%
ROICexc 8.96%
ROICexgc 11.14%
OM 4.97%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 10.43%
FCFM 3.16%
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)6.32%
ROE(3y)37.13%
ROE(5y)20.85%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.11%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.54%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.86%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y17.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.97%
OM growth 3Y10.38%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-32.72%
PM growth 5Y0.75%
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y-1.88%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.62
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.83
Debt/FCF 7.68
Debt/EBITDA 3.13
Cap/Depr 95.88%
Cap/Sales 2.3%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 74.12%
Profit Quality 148.52%
Current Ratio 1.32
Quick Ratio 0.79
Altman-Z 3.19
F-Score5
WACC7.12%
ROIC/WACC1.21
Cap/Depr(3y)69.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.93%
Profit Quality(3y)133.55%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
EPS Next Y20.88%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
EPS Next 5Y22.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-0.13%
Revenue Next Year-2.47%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.53%
Revenue Next 3Y0.76%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.35%
EBIT growth 3Y16.01%
EBIT growth 5Y4.69%
EBIT Next Year87.96%
EBIT Next 3Y27.1%
EBIT Next 5Y14.23%
FCF growth 1Y-72.04%
FCF growth 3Y28.41%
FCF growth 5Y8.56%
OCF growth 1Y-57.46%
OCF growth 3Y25.73%
OCF growth 5Y-1.7%

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP / MPC FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MPC.


Can you provide the valuation status for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MPC stock?

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MPC stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) is 19.43 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.62.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MPC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) is expected to grow by 20.88% in the next year.