MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:MPC • US56585A1025

195.83 USD
-0.09 (-0.05%)
At close: Feb 5, 2026
196.54 USD
+0.71 (+0.36%)
After Hours: 2/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall MPC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated MPC against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. MPC has an average financial health and profitability rating. MPC has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. Finally MPC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • MPC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year MPC had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • MPC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • MPC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
MPC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFMPC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of MPC (3.53%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MPC has a better Return On Equity (17.56%) than 84.54% of its industry peers.
  • MPC's Return On Invested Capital of 9.41% is amongst the best of the industry. MPC outperforms 81.16% of its industry peers.
  • MPC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.20%. This is below the industry average of 21.95%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (17.20%) for MPC is well above the current ROIC(9.41%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE 17.56%
ROIC 9.41%
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)6.32%
ROE(3y)37.13%
ROE(5y)20.85%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
MPC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICMPC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • MPC has a Profit Margin of 2.13%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: MPC outperforms 40.58% of its industry peers.
  • MPC's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • MPC has a worse Operating Margin (4.97%) than 64.25% of its industry peers.
  • MPC's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • MPC has a Gross Margin of 10.43%. This is in the lower half of the industry: MPC underperforms 71.01% of its industry peers.
  • MPC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.97%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 10.43%
OM growth 3Y10.38%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-32.72%
PM growth 5Y0.75%
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y-1.88%
MPC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsMPC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), MPC is creating value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for MPC. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
MPC Yearly Shares OutstandingMPC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
MPC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsMPC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.16 indicates that MPC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • MPC's Altman-Z score of 3.16 is amongst the best of the industry. MPC outperforms 81.64% of its industry peers.
  • MPC has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.23. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as MPC would need 7.23 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.23, MPC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.64 is on the high side and indicates that MPC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.64, MPC is not doing good in the industry: 75.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.64
Debt/FCF 7.23
Altman-Z 3.16
ROIC/WACC1.18
WACC7.99%
MPC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFMPC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that MPC should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • MPC has a Current ratio (1.19) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • MPC has a Quick Ratio of 1.19. This is a bad value and indicates that MPC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • MPC has a worse Quick ratio (0.73) than 64.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 0.73
MPC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesMPC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.63% over the past year.
  • MPC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -25.91% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-0.13%

3.2 Future

  • MPC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 22.34% yearly.
  • MPC is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.69% yearly.
EPS Next Y20.88%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
EPS Next 5Y22.34%
Revenue Next Year-4.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
MPC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesMPC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 50B 100B 150B
MPC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesMPC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 10 20

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.13, MPC is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of MPC is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.67. MPC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.00, the valuation of MPC can be described as correct.
  • 60.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than MPC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 27.20. MPC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.13
Fwd PE 15
MPC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsMPC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • MPC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of MPC indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: MPC is cheaper than 68.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.77
EV/EBITDA 8.62
MPC Per share dataMPC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300 400

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • MPC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as MPC's earnings are expected to grow with 18.28% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.87
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • MPC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.13%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • MPC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.65.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, MPC has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.13%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of MPC grows each year by 9.91%, which is quite nice.
  • MPC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • MPC has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.91%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years13
MPC Yearly Dividends per shareMPC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • MPC pays out 39.32% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • MPC's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP39.32%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
MPC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendMPC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B 10B
MPC Dividend Payout.MPC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.MPC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP

NYSE:MPC (2/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

After market: 196.54 +0.71 (+0.36%)

195.83

-0.09 (-0.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners75.49%
Inst Owner Change-1.76%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change-0.03%
Market Cap58.87B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)2.88B
Analysts73.33
Price Target199.38 (1.81%)
Short Float %3%
Short Ratio4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.13%
Yearly Dividend3.37
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.91%
DP39.32%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years13
Ex-Date02-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)6.92%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(2)19.16%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1108.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.31%
Max EPS beat(4)4366.18%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)580%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)390.01%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)305.33%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)9.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.27%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)7.85%
Min Revenue beat(4)6.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.27%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.56%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.67%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)10.18%
PT rev (1m)-1.69%
PT rev (3m)0.35%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-13.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)6.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.96%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.13
Fwd PE 15
P/S 0.44
P/FCF 13.77
P/OCF 7.96
P/B 3.59
P/tB 7.22
EV/EBITDA 8.62
EPS(TTM)10.8
EY5.51%
EPS(NY)13.06
Fwd EY6.67%
FCF(TTM)14.22
FCFY7.26%
OCF(TTM)24.59
OCFY12.56%
SpS449.94
BVpS54.54
TBVpS27.12
PEG (NY)0.87
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number115.13
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.53%
ROE 17.56%
ROCE 11.41%
ROIC 9.41%
ROICexc 10.06%
ROICexgc 11.83%
OM 4.97%
PM (TTM) 2.13%
GM 10.43%
FCFM 3.16%
ROA(3y)10.58%
ROA(5y)6.32%
ROE(3y)37.13%
ROE(5y)20.85%
ROIC(3y)17.2%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.11%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)23.54%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)20.86%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y17.49%
ROICexgc growth 5Y11.76%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.97%
OM growth 3Y10.38%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-32.72%
PM growth 5Y0.75%
GM growth 3Y3.77%
GM growth 5Y-1.88%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.64
Debt/FCF 7.23
Debt/EBITDA 2.69
Cap/Depr 95.88%
Cap/Sales 2.3%
Interest Coverage 5.34
Cash Conversion 74.12%
Profit Quality 148.52%
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 0.73
Altman-Z 3.16
F-Score4
WACC7.99%
ROIC/WACC1.18
Cap/Depr(3y)69.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)66.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.47%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.93%
Profit Quality(3y)133.55%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.63%
EPS 3Y-25.91%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%428.57%
EPS Next Y20.88%
EPS Next 2Y12.41%
EPS Next 3Y18.28%
EPS Next 5Y22.34%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-0.13%
Revenue Next Year-4.86%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.44%
Revenue Next 3Y-2.22%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.69%
EBIT growth 1Y-15.35%
EBIT growth 3Y16.01%
EBIT growth 5Y4.69%
EBIT Next Year88.95%
EBIT Next 3Y25.29%
EBIT Next 5Y14.23%
FCF growth 1Y-72.04%
FCF growth 3Y28.41%
FCF growth 5Y8.56%
OCF growth 1Y-57.46%
OCF growth 3Y25.73%
OCF growth 5Y-1.7%

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP / MPC FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to MPC.


Can you provide the valuation status for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of MPC stock?

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for MPC stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) is 18.13 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 3.59.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for MPC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of MARATHON PETROLEUM CORP (MPC) is expected to grow by 20.88% in the next year.